Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Is there a changing of the guard in the Premier League? Has the power shifted from Manchester to North London? Arsenal sit first and their neighbor Tottenham Hotspur is currently second. If last weekend's Manchester Derby was any indication, then the red half of Manchester is in for a long season.

Early days yet, but the North London clubs are in the thick of it this weekend with a pair of tough matches on Saturday's agenda.

Subplot alert: Spurs host Chelsea and it will be student v master as Andre Villas-Boas welcomes former ally Jose Mourinho to White Hart Lane.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Tottenham v Chelsea (+170, +230, +188)

Why bet Tottenham: When you go out and transform your club in a summer, it generally takes some time for the new faces to adapt. We've seen flashes of the new Spurs players firing on all cylinders. And those flashes have been magical. Especially Christian Eriksen who has fit right in behind the striker and given Spurs a dynamic playmaker. Winger Erik Lamela hasn't had a start yet, but he came on and supplied the assist on Paulinho's game winner one week ago at Cardiff.

Key players out/doubtful: Etienne Capoue, Aaron Lennon, Younes Kaboul, Emmanuel Adebayor

Why bet Chelsea: The Blues put an end to some drab performances with a 2-0 win at home against Fulham last week. Chelsea has been erratic from the beginning of the season, but this IS still Chelsea. The striker position must be sorted with an established starter, but Demba Ba, Samuel Eto'o and Fernando Torres have been poor to start the season.

Key players out/doubtful: Marco van Ginkel

2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 2, Chelsea 4

Key betting note: The previous three competitive games between these clubs have yielded a total of 16 goals (5.3 per game).

Where the action is: "Prices see this match as evenly balanced, and that is fair enough. The action is seeing more on the away team getting the 3 points, but all outcomes are being backed in this one, and many are also backing the over 2.5 goals at +108."

Aston Villa v Manchester City (+550, +320, -175)

Why bet Villa: Sigh. It was such a good start for Paul Lambert and his Villains. They beat Arsenal to start the season. Christian Benteke was picking up right where his season left off, seemingly scoring at will. That has disappeared, however, as Villa has lost three of four and Benteke will be out for around six weeks.

Key players out/doubtful: Christian Benteke, Jores Okore, Charles N'Zogbia

Why bet City: Why NOT bet City, really? The Citizens dominated rival United last week in a massive statement game. Villa is one of the worst teams on their home pitch and City has scored the most goals in the league thus far. They'll be flying high after dismantling Moyes' men and will look to keep momentum rolling.

Key players out/doubtful: Martín Demichelis

2012-13 fixture result: Villa 0, City 1

Key betting note: City has won six of its last seven Premier League matches against Villa.

Fulham v Cardiff (+110, +240, +290)

Why bet Fulham: After a dreadful opening five games to the Premier League season, the Cottagers might find a rallying points after a 2-1 win over Everton in the Capital One Cup. Even more, Dimitar Berbatov scored in that midweek game and he is the player Fulham needs most to perform at a top level.

Key players out/doubtful: Ashkan Dejagah, Maarten Stekelenburg, Matthew Briggs

Why bet Cardiff: The Bluebirds were hard-luck losers against Tottenham last weekend, with Spurs stealing the game towards the end of time added on. Cardiff can be a stingy defensive unit, but the side will need a creative spark to get results. Away to Fulham would be a great place to find that fire going forward.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Fulham has just one point their previous six home games.

Hull v West Ham (+135, +225, +240)

Why bet Hull: The Tigers are currently 11th in the League with seven points (like Man United) and are coming off a huge comeback win at Newcastle. They are the top promoted club in the league after the first five games.

Key players out/doubtful: Maynor Figueroa, Paul McShane, Robert Koren, James Chester

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers have fared better away from Upton Park as they've picked up a pair of draws in their two matches on the road and have just one win their first three home games. They have been great defensively in those away matches as the side has yet to concede a goal.

Key players out/doubtful: Andy Carroll, Alou Diarra, Guy Demel

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Hull is third in the league with a 15.6 percent conversion rate of chances in front of goal.

Manchester United v West Brom (-333, +475, +1100)

Why bet Manchester United: Because for David Moyes and the Red Devils, any other result is just not imaginable. The thrashing they suffered at the hands of Man City is one thing, but to leave points on the table at home to West Brom is another. United have just five losses at Old Trafford in the past three seasons.

Key players out/doubtful: Darren Fletcher, Rafael

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies will be confident after they dismantled Sunderland 3-0 last weekend and chased Paolo Di Canio out of town. The new acquisitions are getting used to one another as Stéphane Sessegnon scored the opener against his old club last week and strikers Nicolas Anelka and Victor Anichebe got playing time.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, Ben Foster, George Thorne

2012-13 fixture result: United 2, West Brom 0

Key betting note: United have netted at least two goals in their last 11 matches against West Brom in all competitions.

Southampton v Crystal Palace (-222, +350, +750)


Why bet Southampton: A massive win away to Liverpool will have spirits high in the Saints' locker room. As players adjust to the tactics and style implemented by manager Mauricio Pochettino, we could be seeing this season's Cinderella club.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Palace: Well, they do have three points from their first five matches and are above Sunderland. So there's that. But they must get points here or they'll find themselves in the basement very soon. After this fixture, Palace is away to Liverpool, home to Fulham and home to Arsenal. So it doesn't get much easier.

Key players out/doubtful: Patrick McCarthy, Glenn Murray, Yannick Bolasie, Jack Hunt, Jonathan Williams, Jonathan Parr

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: There has been just five goals in Southampton's league matches this season - fewest in the league.

Swansea v Arsenal (+220, +240, +138)

Why bet Swansea: After a less-than-stellar start to the season, the Swans have two wins and a draw in their last three. Michael Laudrup and his side like to jump out to big leads and have scored the two quickest goals in the Premier League thus far this season.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Arsenal: No club is hotter in the League and no club is hotter away from home. The Gunners haven't missed a beat since losing to Villa on opening day and have won 11-straight games away from the Emirates in all competitions. Arsenal might have a long injury list, but as long as Mesut Ozil is on the pitch, he can make the worst of reserves look like the second coming of Ian Wright.

Key players out/doubtful: Theo Walcott, Mikel Arteta, Abou Diaby, Yaya Sanogo, Lukas Podolski, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

2012-13 fixture result: Swansea 0, Arsenal 2

Key betting note: The Gunners are the only side to score in each of the Premier League games this season.

Where the action is: "The match prices see most siding with the streak to continue by backing the Gunners at +138, but this price has been drifting with the home team seeing their price drop from +240 to +220. It’s a hard game to call, but the most popular play is understandable with many backing over 2.5 goals at -133. The Gunners have been scoring well, namely in the form of Aaron Ramsey who sees backing at +260 to score at anytime, given his great start to the season."

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Re: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Only a pair of games on the board Sunday after a fairly wild and wacky Saturday that saw both Manchester clubs fail to collect points against vastly inferior opponents.

We talk to Aron Black at bet365 to find where action is on a big home game for Stoke City.

Stoke v Norwich (-105, +250, +350)

Why bet Stoke: Stoke played Arsenal reasonably well one week ago, but a pair of set-piece goals saw to their demise in a 3-1 loss. The Potters will always be a tough club and the culture is undergoing a gradual change under new boss Mark Hughes. This isn't the Stoke that scores from Rory Delap 30-yard throw ins anymore. The side tries to keep possession and goes for it more in open play than they previously had done under Tony Pulis.

Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Whelan, Marc Muniesa, Jamie Ness

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries are in the midst of some poor form and haven't scored in their previous two matches. The players the club brought in during the transfer window were celebrated, but have yet to form a cohesive unit. One such player is striker Gary Hooper, who should be approaching full health and could feature for the Canaries who are desperate for somebody to score.

Key players out/doubtful: Sébastien Bassong, Elliott Bennett

2012-13 fixture result: Stoke 1, Norwich 0

Key betting note: The five previous meetings between these two clubs have produced fewer than three goals in total.

Where the action is: "Money so far sides with Stoke to take the three points, and it's most likely that Stoke are a shorter price come kickoff. Norwich are largely being swerved with some action on the Draw."


Sunderland v Liverpool (+450, +280, -138)

Why bet Sunderland: Well, Paolo Di Canio is out as manager as the Black Cats were humiliated by West Brom last week and sent the Italian packing. Di Canio just couldn't get this team to play cohesive football so perhaps this match is a rallying point to turn the season around before it's too late.

Key players out/doubtful: Phillip Bardsley, Wes Brown

Why bet Liverpool: A hiccup last week in a 1-0 defeat to surging Southampton after the Reds got off to a blistering start to the season. Liverpool has been fueled by goals from Daniel Sturridge and incredible play from new-keeper Simon Mignolet (formerly of Sunderland). But it will be the return of talisman Luis Suarez after a 10-match ban (dating back to last season) that could have the Reds flying high once again.

Key players out/doubtful: Philippe Coutinho, Aly Cissokho, Sebastián Coates, Glen Johnson

2012-13 fixture result: Sunderland 1, Liverpool 1

Key betting note: Liverpool have played over the 2.5 goal total in 13 of their last 15 away matches.

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Re: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

This week's fixtures in the Barclays Premier League conclude with Newcastle United traveling to face Everton. If the Toffees can snatch the three home points, it would put the club in sole possession of fourth place in the table.

We talked to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action on this match.

Everton v Newcastle (-150, +280, +500)

Why bet Everton: If you were asked "who is the only club in the league to not lose a game yet this season", you probably wouldn't guess the Toffees. Yet here we are. Roberto Martinez has made a pretty nice transition to the blue half of Liverpool with two wins, three draws and zero losses. The club is progressively getting stronger as they opened the campaign with three draws and have posted back-to-back wins at home to Chelsea and away to West Ham.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies are one of the more inconsistent sides in the league, but when they are on, they can play. When they are off, however, it can be atrocious. The club had a nice spell with a draw against West Ham and victories over Fulham and Aston Villa, before losing to a spirited Hull side one week ago. The matchuup between Newcastle winger Hatem Ben Arfa and Everton defender Leighton Baines should be a great one.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Steven Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: Everton 2, Newcastle 2

Key betting note: Everton has won seven of their previous eight home games in the league.

Where the action is: "The action so far for this one has seen more take on the visitors which is somewhat surprising, however at the price, obviously many feel that Newcaastle are value. Everton see the usual home support for a team at their price, with the draw also getting action. The total goals market is split down the middle with pretty much the same action on over 2.5 goals at -118 and under at -105. Romelu Lukakau sees support as the market fave in the First Goalscorer market at +400, as well as To Score at Anytime at +110."

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