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NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 2) at ST LOUIS (1 - 2) - 9/26/2013, 8:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-129 ATS (-47.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road   
St. Louis is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games ,when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

San Francisco at St. Louis

San Francisco: 30-14 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite
St. Louis: 23-40 ATS in September

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

NFL Week 4

49ers (1-2) @ Rams (1-2) —
Both sides desperate after losing last two games; Rams looked lost in falling behind 21-0/24-0 in games at Atlanta/Dallas, after they rallied back from down 11 to nip Arizona in opener. 49ers scored one TD on 21 drives in last two games, with ten 3/outs, completing 26-55 passes in losses by 26-20 points- they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 divisional games, 4-0 as favorite of 3 or less points under Harbaugh. Rams are 10-5 as underdogs under Fisher, but 0-2 this year; they went 1-0-1 SU vs 49ers LY, after going 1-7 in previous eight series games, but SF has lost two of last three visits here. Home teams in divisional games are 11-4 vs spread so far this season. Rams are protecting Bradford better but WRs are not making plays and running game (57 ypg) has been non-existent. Long trip on short week for 49er team whose two best defensive players are either missing: Smith (alcohol rehab), or banged-up: Willis (wrist).

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

NFL Streaks, Tips, Notes

San Francisco 49ers at St Louis Rams

The NFL gets off to an early start Thursday with a matchup between St Louis Rams and visiting San Francisco 49ers. Rams spanked 31-7 by Cowboys this past week, the 49ers crushed 27-7 by Colts it's not the most appealing matchup but with the spread for this game a measly 3.5 points the 49ers are worth a second look. San Francisco has had some tough competition and should prevail against one of the easier opponents they have faced so far. San Francisco upended 16-13 by Rams in Week-13 last year won't be taking Rams lightly. Expect 49ers to move to 7-2 ATS revenging a division loss, up it's mark to 7-1-1 ATS off a home loss as a favorite and to improve the 3-1 ATS stretch on the road following a 20 or more point loss the previous game.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

Thursday Night Football Betting: 49ers at Rams

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams (+3, 41.5)

Less than eight months removed from a Super Bowl appearance, the San Francisco 49ers are immersed in controversy on and off the field heading into Thursday night's matchup at the St. Louis Rams. San Francisco has dropped two straight, including a stunning 27-7 defeat at home to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. No team played the 49ers tougher last season than the AFC West rival Rams, who battled to a 24-24 tie in San Francisco and beat them in overtime in St. Louis.

The 49ers' issues go beyond back-to-back inept performances - the team is under siege for allowing sack specialist Aldon Smith to play in Sunday's game only two days after he was arrested on suspicion of driving under the influence. Smith, who has a history of off-field issues, will enter a rehab facility to receive treatment and will miss Thursday's game. St. Louis is seeking a bounce-back effort after it was demolished by the Dallas Cowboys 31-7.

LINE: The 49ers opened as a 3.5-point road favorites and have been bet down to -3. The total opened as high as 43.5 and has been moved down to 41.5.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-2, 1-2 ATS): Losing in Seattle in Week 2 wasn't a surprise for San Francisco, but getting bulldozed by the Colts on both sides of the ball sent shock waves through the league. Colin Kaepernick turned in a breathtaking performance by throwing for 412 yards in the season opener but has tossed four interceptions and been limited to a combined 277 yards while leading the 49ers to only 10 points in the past two weeks. The absence of tight end Vernon Davis (hamstring) hurt versus the Colts, while the normally stout defense saw All-Pro linebacker Patrick Willis exit Sunday's game with a groin injury.

ABOUT THE RAMS (1-2, 0-3 ATS):
St. Louis posted a gritty comeback victory over Arizona in its season opener but has fallen behind by at least 21 points in back-to-back road losses to Atlanta and Dallas. Quarterback Sam Bradford threw for a season-low 240 yards and was sacked six times against the Cowboys while receiving little help from a ground game that saw starting running back Daryl Richardson play only one snap due to a foot injury. Rookie wideout Tavon Austin, the team's first-round draft pick, has six receptions in each of the first three games but is averaging only 6.6 yards per catch.


* Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in St. Louis..
* 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight vs. NFC West.


1. Kaepernick made his third career start at St. Louis last season and had a safety and lost a fumble that was returned for a TD.

2. The Rams tied for the lead league with 52 sacks last season, but have only seven through the first three games.

3. LB Smith was second in the league with 19.5 sacks in 2012 and has registered 37 in 35 games.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 26

San Francisco at St Louis
By Kevin Rogers

The NFC West was expected to be one of the top divisions in football this season. Past the Seahawks and their 3-0 start, the other three clubs are a combined 3-6, as two of those squads meet up in St. Louis on Thursday night. The Rams gave the 49ers plenty of problems in 2012, while San Francisco faces its own offensive issues heading into Week 4.

After putting up 34 points in the season-opening victory over the Packers, the Niners have tallied a combined 10 points in consecutive losses to the Seahawks and Colts. Indianapolis and San Francisco exchanged rushing touchdowns early on, but the Colts reeled off 20 unanswered points over the last three quarters to pound the Niners, 27-7. The Colts cashed outright as 10½-point underdogs, while the total easily went 'under' 45½. The San Francisco rushing defense was torched by the Colts' ground game for 179 yards, including 95 yards from former Giants' standout Ahmad Bradshaw.

Colin Kaepernick led the Niners to a Super Bowl appearance last season, but the young quarterback has thrown for just 277 yards and no touchdowns in the last two losses. San Francisco will likely get tight end Vernon Davis back in the lineup after sitting out last week with a hamstring injury, the first missed game for the ex-Maryland star since 2007. The Niners are one of 12 teams in the league not to amass a total of 1,000 yards through three games, while only three clubs have scored fewer points than San Francisco so far (Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, and Jacksonville).

The Rams stunned the Cardinals in Week 1 with a fourth-quarter rally, but St. Louis has failed to cover in each of the first three weeks. Jeff Fisher's squad has fallen behind early in each of the two last losses at Atlanta and Dallas, trailing by as many as 21 to the Falcons and 24 to the Cowboys. St. Louis was chased out early in last Sunday's 31-7 defeat at Dallas, never coming close as 3 ½-point road underdogs. The Rams allowed nearly 400 yards to the Cowboys, including 175 yards on the ground from DeMarco Murray.

Both San Francisco and St. Louis have allowed at least 24 points in each of their three games, but it hasn't resulted in a 3-0 mark to the 'over,' The 49ers have hit the 'under' in each of the last two contests in spite of allowing 56 points in this span, while the Rams are 2-1 to the 'over,' even though St. Louis' defense has given up 62 points the last two weeks. handicapper Antony Dinero breaks down San Francisco's ineffective offense, "Anquan Boldin had a remarkable debut with the 49ers, but he's disappeared since. San Francisco's receiving corps has been unable to create openings for Kaepernick, contributing greatly to the offensive struggles, so expect their matchup with St. Louis' secondary to dictate everything. The total-deciding tempo and the game's eventual winner hinges on what happens when Kaepernick aggressively looks to force throws downfield. Jonathan Baldwin, acquired from Kansas City for fellow first-round bust A.J. Jenkins, could play a key role."

Last season, the Rams cashed in each of the two meetings with the 49ers, although St. Louis didn't pull off the sweep. St. Louis went into Candlestick Park last November as 13½-point underdogs and fought to a 24-24 tie with San Francisco, as Sam Bradford threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns. This game was actually the first of the new era at quarterback for Kaepernick, who replaced an injured Alex Smith in the second half for San Francisco.

The Rams battled the Niners to overtime once again in the second matchup at the Edward Jones Dome, as St. Louis held off San Francisco, 16-13 to cash as 7½-point home 'dogs. San Francisco's defense stepped up by limiting St. Louis to a pair of 53+ yard field goals, while the Rams' defense was responsible for a safety and a touchdown on an errant lateral. The Rams have covered three straight home meetings with the Niners, including each of the last two in the underdog role.

Since Fisher arrived on the St. Louis sidelines in 2012, the Rams own a 6-1 ATS record against NFC West foes, with the lone non-cover coming against Arizona in Week 1. However, St. Louis has put together a 5-1-1 SU mark within the division since the start of last season, while winning four consecutive home games against NFC West opponents.

On the flip side, Jim Harbaugh's club has struggled to cash inside the division by posting a dreadful 1-9 ATS record the last 10 games against NFC West teams since December 2011. However, the Niners are 3-3 straight-up the last six divisional road contests in this span, which includes a 34-27 win at St. Louis to close 2011 as 12½-point favorites.

The 49ers are listed as three-point road favorites tonight, but expect that number to get pushed up to 3½ by game-time with much of the public money going on San Francisco. The total is set at 42 across the board, as things get underway in St. Louis at 8:25 PM EST and the contest can be seen on the NFL Network.

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