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Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, September 24

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, September 24

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
The Rays look to build on their 9-1 record in Matt Moore's last 10 starts as a road favorite. Tampa Bay is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115)

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Miner) 14.749; Miami (Alvarez) 13.608
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Over

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Thornburg) 13.129; Atlanta (Garcia) 14.562
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.404; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.397
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+165); Over

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.824; Cubs (Rusin) 14.372
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); N/A

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 15.331; St. Louis (Wacha) 16.762
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 13.524; San Diego (Ross) 15.010
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.398; San Francisco (Cain) 14.519
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+105); Over

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.442; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.033
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 14.523; Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.309
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-230); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Redmond) 15.235; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.836
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Over

Game 921-922: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 15.188; Texas (Darvish) 14.122
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-340); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+290); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 14.458; Minnesota (Diamond) 13.103
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Over

Game 925-926: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 15.364; LA Angels (Vargas) 16.587
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 16.767; Seattle (Paxton) 15.203
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 929-930: Boston at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.590; Colorado (Chatwood) 13.620
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Over

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Alex Smart

Washington Nationals +128

The Nationals lost last night, to today's opponent the Cardinals , but have proved to be resilient of late bouncing back 6 straight times after a negative result. Washington has also played well on the road winning 6 of their L/7 as visitors and are a bankroll expanding 11-2 in their L/13 game 2 series tilts. It must also be noted that when their starter Gonzalez starts for them on the road the team has a 23-8 L/31 moneyline record. The Nationals have recently backed Gonzalez with alot of run support, scoring a combined 45 runs in his L/6 starts.He has done his part to, as is evident by recording 4-1 record along with a 1.87 ERA over his L/ 33 2/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, the Cards have lost 4 of their L/5 at home as favorites when their starter Wachas goes to the hill. The 22 yr old in his last start was smashed for four runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings, and has looked vulnerable despite of some over powering stuff.

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Justin Bay

Toronto Blue Jays +1½ -140

Todd Redmond will be taking the mound for the Blue Jays in this game versus the Orioles who have put themselves out of the playoff race in the last month. Redmond has had pretty good success against the O's this season with a 3.48 ERA through 10.1 innings. In the month of September, he has been very solid with a 2.45 ERA through 18.1 IP. Redmond is coming off a solid outing against the Yankees going seven innings and letting up only one earned run.

Chris Tillman will be on the bump for the Orioles and he has had fairly good success against the Jays this season with a 3.86 ERA through 25.2 innings. Tillman has struggled a bit at home with a 4.07 ERA and in the month of September he has a 4.28 ERA.

The Orioles have been struggling this month and played themselves right out of the playoff race unless a couple teams do a lot of losing in the next week. After losing to the Rays yesterday and Machado done for the season, the Orioles might come into this game a little flat. The Blue Jays are a very dangerous team that runs under the radar and can put up a lot of runs very quickly. Look for the Blue Jays to cover this 1.5 run spread.

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Art Aronson

San Francisco Giants -117

The visitors will send Hyun-Jin Ryu (13-7, 3.03 ERA) to the hill at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Ryu allowed two runs on only two hits over eight innings in his last start, a loss against the Diamondbacks. Ryu is 1-2 with a 2.81 ERA in four starts against San Francisco, allowing three runs over 13 1/3 innings to help the Dodgers win his last two meetings. Note that Ryu has lost four of his last five starts. The Giants will counter with Matt Cain (8-9, 4.06 ERA). Cain gave up no earned runs over 7 2/3 innings before the bullpen blew the lead in his last start versus the Mets. Cain was effective in his most recent meeting with the Dodgers when he allowed one earned run over seven innings in a 3-2, 10-inning loss in Los Angeles on Sept. 12. San Francisco has won six of its last ten games while LA is just 4-6 in the last ten. The Giants have also won four of six meetings in San Fran this season. Lay the little extra juice to get San Francisco.

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Doug Upstone

San Diego Padres -111

Padres starter Tyson Ross hasn't won a game at home all season long but that is about to change. He has an ERA of 2.18 at Petco this season, far too good to not have scored a victory to date. Ross and the Padres are looking to finish strong and took the opener of the series last night. I am sure he and the team are aware of the oddity of his home record and break through this evening in an otherwise meaningless game.

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Nick Parsons

Cleveland Indians -1½ -109

I released a "run-line" play on the Rangers last night and they'd go on to smoke the Astros 12-0.

That means that Texas sits just one game behind the Indians for the lead in the AL wild-card race.

With what I believe is the clearly superior starter in this particular matchup, and with a ton of motivational factors working in its favor, I believe the table is set for the home side to win convincingly.

Hector Santiago (4-9, 3.53 ERA)

Santiago had his last start skipped over, but the beleaguered southpaw is set to get go tonight; in his last outing he gave up three runs off six hits and three walks over just four innings in a 3-1 loss to the Indians on Friday.

The 25-year old has now given up a combined nine runs over his last three starts.

Ubaldo Jimenez (12-9, 3.49 ERA)

Jimenez struck out nine Astros on Thursday, ultimately giving up one earned run off six scattered hits with no walks in seven innings of work. Unfortunately the veteran was saddled with a no-decision for his superb effort.

The big right-hander has now posted eight K's or more in six of his last seven starts and has held his opposition to just a total of two earned runs over his last 28 1/3's frames of work.

The Bottom Line

The Tribe have dominated this series, winning 15 of the last 17. Cleveland has averaged a whopping 7.5 runs and hit .318 during 12 consecutive victories over the White Sox.

Chicago is coming off satisfying back-to-back victories over Toronto, but note that it's not won three-straight since mid August.

With such overall dominance vs. the White Sox, it comes as no surprise to learn that several of the Indians' hitters have feasted on their starting pitching; Nick Swisher has five home runs and 12 RBIs vs. them this season; Ryan Raburn is hitting .381 with four home runs and 18 RBIs; Jason Kipnis and Asdrubal Cabrera each have driven in 11 runs; Yan Gomes is hitting .378; Carlos Santana is batting .362.

Enough said.

Consider laying the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price.

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Rob Vinciletti

Boston Red Sox -143

Boston fits a 90% system that has cashed 9 of 10 times this season and plays on road favorites off a home favored win by 2 or more runs if they scored 5 or more runs and their opponent is off a home loss. Colorado has lost 16 of 18 at home vs American League teams and 26 of 36 after allowing 10 or more runs in their last game. Boston is 9-3 as a road favorite from -125 to -150 and has won 20 of the last 28 vs losing teams and 14 of 20 in September. We will back the Redsox and J. Lackey over Colorado and T. Chatwood in this one as Boston has the better team.

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Jim Feist

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: Washington Nationals

Your free play for Tuesday, September 24th comes in National League action as the Nationals and Cardinals meet in St. Louis. Washington is hot at the right time, 24-8 in their last 32 overall. They have a strong lefty going in Gio Gonzalez (10-7, 3.40 ERA) who has struck out 183 in 182+ innings and allowed just 156 hits. Gonzalez held the Marlins to two earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out three in six inning, and the win was his fourth in his last five starts. He is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA his last three starts. The Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter while the Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

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Bryan Power

NY Mets vs. Cincinnati
Pick: Cincinnati

Though the Reds overall numbers vs. lefties are a bit troublesome, they are still in the midst of a pennant race + they are a perfect 4-0 this season vs. the Mets.  They shouldn't need many runs Tuesday considering Mike Leake is on the hill as he's working on a 13+ inning scoreless streak....

The Reds have won six of their last seven overall following Monday's 3-2 win in extra innings. As I said above, they are now 4-0 vs. the Mets this year & tonight's pitching matchup certainly seems to be in their favor with Leake opposing Jonathan Niese.  Leake has a 0.84 ERA and 0.937 WHIP his last three starts overall, all of those outings resulting in Cincinnati victories.  Niese, meanwhile, has a 5.66 ERA and 1.743 WHIP on the road.  Leake has had the Mets number as well, with a 4-1 team start record, 1.31 ERA and 0.956 WHIP.  Niese has a 1-4 TSR all-time vs. the Reds.

Leake has faced the Mets one time this year, back in May, and there he threw seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball.  He beat Niese that day 4-0.  Leake is also coming off B2B scoreless outings, including a 10-0 victory his last time out.  The Reds offense has also been far more reliable of late than that of the Mets.

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Will Rogers

Tampa Bay vs. NY Yankees
Pick: Under

The Rays came from behind to beat the Orioles yesterday 5-4.  Foortunately, I had Baltimore on the run line, meaning I won +1.5.  Things will get no easier for Tampa Bay Tuesday as they open a series in the Bronx. With a pitching matchup of Matt Moore vs. Hiroki Kuroda, I like the under.

Here are my keys to the game

1.  Matt Moore - He has been spectacular on the road this year with an 8-1 record (12-2 TSR) in 14 starts with a 2.76 ERA and 1.227 WHIP.  He comes in off a rough outing at home vs. Texas, but look for him to bounce back here against a Yankees lineup averaging just 2.9 runs over its last seven games.

2.  Hiroki Kuroda - As good as Moore has been on the road, Kuroda has been even better at home. He has a 1.97 ERA and 1.008 WHIP in 13 starts at Yankees Stadium with the Under going 8-4-1.  Overall, the Under is 20-8-3 in his 31 starts this season, including 13-2 if the Yankees are off a loss. The Under is 11-3 when he starts as an underdog.

3.  X-Factor - The Rays are 20-10 Under in division road games.

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Bruce Marshall

NY Mets vs. Cincinnati
Pick: Cincinnati -1.5

The Reds are back into the playoffs but that is not enough for them in this last week, as they would like to collar the Cardinals for the NL Central crown if possible, or at the least pull ahead of the Pirates to host the one-game wild card playoff next week. Facing the lowly Mets is a plus for tonight, as is starter Mike Leake, who has been dominant of late, winning three straight starts behind a 0.84 ERA with a career-high 20 1/3 scoreless innings.  Meanwhile, Mets starter Jonathon Niese is  1-3 with a 4.55 ERA in five lifetime starts vs. Cincy.

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Jimmy Boyd

Los Angeles Angels +112

The Oakland A's have clinched the division, and they made a pitching change prior to today's game sending A.J. Griffin to the mound. It is hard not to like a home team like the Angels when they are facing an opponent that is already thinking about the post season. The Angels have a .271 batting average at home, and over their past seven games they have scored an average of 4.9 runs per game. They are clearly a team that is not giving up on the year yet.

The starting pitcher matchup also favors Los Angeles in this game. A.J. Griffin has a 4.07 ERA on the road this season. In his last trip to Anaheim, Griffin was a 4-1 loser, giving up four runs and three homers in just five innings pitched. He is up against Jason Vargas for the Angels. Vargas has been solid at home, posting a 5-2 record in 11 starts and a 3.73 ERA. Oakland is 2-6 in Griffin's last eight starts against AL West opponents, and facing an Angels team that is 10-4 in their last 14 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.

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Matt Fargo

Colorado Rockies +133

The Red Sox have already clinched the American League East but they still have something to play for and that is the best overall record in the American League. Establishing that would earn them a playoff matchup with the Wild Card winner. Boston finished its final homestand of the season with a 6-3 record which locked up the best home record in the American League and while it has been solid on the road, it hasn't been nearly as strong. Speaking of strong, that is what John Lackey was in his last start as he allowed just one run on two hits in a complete game win over the Orioles. It snapped a string of two straight non-quality starts where he allowed 11 runs in 12 innings, one of which came on the road. At home, Lackey has a 2.47 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 13 starts, going 6-3 but on the road he is just 4-9 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 15 starts. The Red Sox are 5-10 in those games and have scored just 3.3 rpg behind him. Additionally, the Red Sox are 2-5 in Lackey's last seven starts following a quality outing in his last start. The Rockies are 3-4 on this current homestand with two games remaining so finishing strong is the goal in what was a very disappointing season. Playing home has been the strength as Colorado is 44-35 compared to a dismal 27-51 record on the road. The Rockies have recently played very well against the top teams in baseball as they are 7-0 in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. They send Tyler Chatwood to the mound and he has quietly put together a pretty solid season, posting a 3.36 ERA over his 19 starts. He has not been at his best since re-entering the rotation following a stint on the disabled list bit the Rockies are 5-1 in his last six home starts against teams with a winning record while going 6-2 in his last eight starts as a home underdog.

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Steve Janus

San Diego Padres -108

The Padres have continued to play well down the stretch, despite having absolutely no shot at a making the playoffs. San Diego is a respectable 13-8 in the month of September and have won 6 of their last 9 overall and 7 of their last 10 at home. The Padres opened up their 4-game series against the Diamondbacks with a 4-1 victory on Monday and are now 6-1 at home vs the Diamondbacks this season.

I look for the dominance to continue with a very favorable pitching matchup tonight. San Diego will send out Tyson Ross, who despite a 3-5 record has pitched exceptionally well. Ross has a 3.15 ERA and 1.112 WHIP over 14 starts and an even better 2.84 ERA and 1.011 WHIP in five starts at Petco Park. He's allowed just 4 earned runs on 10 hits over 14 innings in his two career starts vs Arizona.

The Diamondbacks counter with Wade Miley, who is 10-10 with a respectable 3.75 ERA in 31 starts. However, Miley can't be looking forward to this matchup. He's 1-6 with a 5.96 ERA in eight career starts vs the Padres and 0-4 with a 5.82 ERA against San Diego this season. A big reason for that is the Padres have thrived against left handed starters, as they are hitting .255 with an average of 4.3 runs/game. That's well above their season averages of .243 and 3.7.

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Dave Price

Cleveland Indians -1½ -108

Needing to win to stay a game ahead of the Rangers in the AL wild-card race, Cleveland won't overlook a Chicago club it has defeated 12 consecutive times. These wins have come by an average of 4.3 runs while the Indians have averaged 7.5 runs and batted .318. Cleveland is in good hands with Ubaldo Jimenez set to get the ball. The right-hander has a 1.65 ERA over his last 10 starts. The Tribe has won his last four starts while the Sox have dropped Hector Santiago's last three starts. The White Sox have lost both of Santiago's starts against the Indians this year while Cleveland has won both of Jimenez's starts against Chicago this season. Take Cleveland on the run line.

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Doug Upstone

San Diego Padres -111

Padres starter Tyson Ross hasn't won a game at home all season long but that is about to change. He has an ERA of 2.18 at Petco this season, far too good to not have scored a victory to date. Ross and the Padres are looking to finish strong and took the opener of the series last night. I am sure he and the team are aware of the oddity of his home record and break through this evening in an otherwise meaningless game.

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SPORTS WAGERS

MIAMI -110 over Philadelphia

The Phillies are another one of those teams that can’t get this season over quick enough. Philadelphia has dropped five in a row. They are finished playing at home this season now must play in an empty stadium with no atmosphere. The Phillies dropped the opener last night, 4-0. They had short AB’s and quick half innings at the plate. The Phillies epitomize the term, “playing out the string”. Zach Miner has made one start and 13 relief appearances this season. He’s not likely to go past four innings here because he does not have the stamina to do so. In just 22 innings over 14 appearances, Miner has walked 12 batters. That’s when he’s been called in to face one or two batters. In relief, Miner has an xERA of 6.02 and he also brings a 1.52 WHIP to the table. If the Phillies were playing any other team besides Miami or Houston, Miner would be a +170 pooch. We get the benefit of that value here by playing the favorite.

Miami is not as bad as you might think. This team will not be a pushover next season. They have the potential of an outstanding starting staff with Jose Fernandez, Nathan Eovaldi and tonight’s starter, Henderson Alvarez. Alvarez comes in with a 4-5 record in 15 starts to go along with a serviceable 4.05 ERA. However, a look under the hood shows the seeds of something good. Alvarez owns good velocity and a very nice groundball tilt (58% of his last five starts). He'll need to find more strikeouts to take a sustained step forward but there are elements in his pitch mix that suggest he can do so. Get this; Alvarez has allowed a measly four extra-base hits in 400+ times he has thrown his four-seam fastball, slider, and change-up. Alvarez can pitch and is a very cheap price against Zach Miner and a Phillies team that just wants to go home.


SAN DIEGO -108 over Arizona

The D-Backs are likely spent. After a huge four-game series against the Dodgers followed by a trip to the thin air in Colorado, Arizona came in here last night and dropped a 4-1 decision. They have three more games here before closing out the season at home against the Nationals, making these final three road games of the season difficult to get up for. To make matters worse, Arizona must now face Tyler Ross. Ross is at home in PETCO Park, which suppresses runs by 10% and LHB HRs by 15%. Since joining the rotation July 23, all four of his home starts have been pure quality. Ross has a 2.58 xERA, 10.5 k’s per nine and a 60% groundball rate over 26 IP over his past five starts. The D-backs are 15th in runs scored and are just 35-42 on the road. This is not a favorable matchup, nor a favorable spot.

Wade Miley has labored through the past month. The D-Backs have lost five of his past six starts and he’s been hit hard in many of them. Miley has never pitched as many innings as he’s pitched this season and one of the signs of fatigue is issuing free passes. He walked four in his last start in five innings and we’ve also seen a dip in his groundball rate from a solid 52% over his first 23 starts to just 38% over his last eight starts. Miley’s WHIP has also increased to an unacceptable level of 1.52 over his past five starts. We get the better pitcher in much better form, we also get the home side in the final week of the season and we get to spot less than a dime in a favorable situation. That works.   


Milwaukee +134 over ATLANTA

Of all the post-season teams, the Braves seem the most disengaged at the moment and that makes them and Freddy Garcia a very sweet fade here. The Braves were 3-hit last night in a 5-0 loss. They’ve lost two of three and five of eight while being shut out in three of those five losses. Garcia will fill in here but come playoff time, you won’t see him anywhere near the mound. Garcia’s 1.31 ERA in two starts makes him grossly overpriced here but in actuality, that ERA is laughable and just proves how luck plays a huge factor in small sample sizes. Garcia’s line drive rate in those two starts is 37% (league average is 21%) and his has a 90% strand rate (league average is 72%). Garcia is a 37-year-old, washed up, two-pitch pitcher, one of which is an 87-MPH fastball. He does not possess the stuff to get major-league hitters out with regularity. The Brewers are going good right now and figure to put up some runs here.

Tyler Thornburg was unceremoniously welcomed with 4 HR’s in his MLB debut. Three more went yard in next two games but work in minors suggests more hr/f fluke than chronic issue. On plus side, Thornburg showed ability to carry his good strikeout rate to the majors and he’s been very good in his past three starts with a 2-1 record and a skills supported 2.00 ERA over 18 frames. Bullpen may be home long term, but intriguing enough to keep an eye on and certainly worth a wager against the Braves and Garcia.

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Sam Martin

Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies

Solid line value backing the Rockies at home tonight against Boston, with the Red Sox already securing the AL East crown but starting a poor road pitcher in John Lakcey who has lost ten of his 15 road starts this season. Colorado's Tyler Chatwood has been decent at home with a winning 4-2 record and 6-4 team start record, but more impressively has kept his ERA under 4 in the hitter-friendly Colorado ballpark. Lackey's lone career trip to Colorado didn't go so well, giving up five runs in 6 2/3 IP in a no-decision but team loss. Grab the line value wiht the Rockies here.

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Sean Murphy

Boston vs. Colorado
Pick: Colorado

This game is being priced as if the Red Sox are fighting for their playoff lives, but that simply isn't the case.

Having wrapped up the A.L. East title in their weekend series against Toronto, I look for the BoSox to suffer a bit of a letdown in Tuesday's series opener in Colorado.

While the Rockies are mired in another losing season, they've been a force at home - as usual. Colorado is a solid 44-35 at Coors Field this season and enters Tuesday's contest playing good baseball, securing six wins in its last nine games.

John Lackey will take the ball for the Red Sox. He's posted a nice 3.44 ERA this season, but that hasn't kept him from recording a losing record at 10-12. Note that the Red Sox are a miserable 5-10 in his 15 road starts this year, where his ERA has risen to 4.39. Coming off a complete game victory over the Orioles last week, I'm counting on a letdown from Lackey in this spot.

Tyler Chatwood will counter for Colorado. He's endured an up and down season, but has pitched relatively well here at home, going 4-2 with a 3.95 ERA. The Rockies have certainly brought out the bats in Chatwood's home outings, providing him with over six runs per start of support.

The Rockies are simply tearing the cover off of the ball right now, averaging just under five runs per nine innings while hitting .317 as a team over their last 10 contests. Home field should be the great equalizer on Tuesday night, as Colorado shows some pride and pulls off the minor upset.

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