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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 20

College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 20

BOISE ST (2 - 1) at FRESNO ST (2 - 0) - 9/20/2013, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-37 ATS (+28.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-33 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
Boise State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games   
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Boise State at Fresno State
Boise State: 3-11 ATS after scoring 37+ points
Fresno State: 14-4 ATS playing on artificial turf

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 20

NCAAF Week 4

Favorites covered the last 11 Boise-Fresno games; Broncos won/covered its last seven games with Fresno- they lost here 27-7 (+9.5) the last time they were series underdog, but won three visits since by combined score of 142-62 (47-21 average). Peterson is a ridiculous 86-7 coaching Boise, covering three of five times he was getting points- they lost 38-6 (+3) in only road game this year, at Washington- they lost 13 of 22 starters from LY's team. Fresno had unexpected week off last week because of the bad floods in Colorado; Bulldogs are 6-1 as home favorites under DeRuyter, in his second year coaching Fresno.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 20

Boise State at Fresno State: What Bettors Need to Know

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs (-3.5, 68.5)

Fresno State looks to snap a seven-game losing streak to Boise State when the teams meet at Bulldog Stadium on Thursday in a key Mountain West matchup. No. 25 Fresno State is ranked for the first time since 2008 and seeking its first 3-0 start since 2004. The Bulldogs had an unexpected bye last week when flooding forced the cancellation of their game at Colorado, while Boise State has bounced back from its season-opening loss at Washington with two straight wins, including a 42-20 victory over Air Force on Saturday.

Boise State dominated the series from 2006-11, winning by an average score of 50-16 before holding on for a 20-10 victory at home last season. Thursday’s contest figures to be a shootout, with Fresno State ranked 11th in the FBS in scoring offense at 46.5 points per game and Boise State averaging 37. The game features two of the top quarterbacks on the West Coast in Fresno State’s Derek Carr and the Broncos’ Joe Southwick, who set a school accuracy record last week by completing 27-of-29 passes for 287 yards.

LINE: Fresno State opened as high as -4.5 and has been bet down to -3. Some books are seeing buyback on FSU at that key number, moving the spread to -3.5. The total has moved from 67.5 to 68.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and a 2 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing west at 5 mph.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (2-1, 1-0 Mountain West, 1-2 ATS): The Broncos’ offensive line did not allow a sack in two of their first three games, and sophomore Jay Ajayi rushed for a career-high 125 yards and four touchdowns against Air Force. At 6-3 and 222 pounds, junior wide receiver Matt Miller could be in for a big game against a Fresno State secondary that has struggled against physical receivers. The Broncos limited Air Force to 99 passing yards last week, and cornerback Bryan Douglas will need to continue his strong play against the explosive Fresno State aerial attack.

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (2-0, 0-2 ATS): Carr has been as good as advertised, especially at home, where he’s thrown 31 touchdown passes against four interceptions in his last eight games. Sophomore wide receiver Davante Adams has made a TD reception in 10 straight games and senior wideout Isaiah Burse has 338 all-purpose yards in the first two games, but the Bulldogs have struggled to establish a running game. Fresno State has caused a turnover in 16 straight games, but they enter Thursday ranked 111th in the FBS in total defense.


* Favorite is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Broncos are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Fresno State.
* Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Broncos are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games.


1. The Bulldogs are 10-0 under head coach Tim DeRuyter when scoring 30 or more points in a game.

2. Since the 2000 season, Boise State is 94-7 (.931) in conference games - the highest winning percentage in the country during that period.

3. Fresno State has won eight straight home games with an average margin of victory of 25.9 points.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 20

Boise State at Fresno State
By Brian Edwards

Matchup: Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs
Venue: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, California (Fieldturf)
Date: Friday, September 20, 2013
Time/TV: 9:00 PM ET – ESPN
Line: Fresno State -4, Over/Under 69
Last Meeting: 2012 at Boise State, Boise State (-7) 20-10

Boise State has dominated Fresno State with seven consecutive wins both straight up and against the spread. The Broncos have won the last four meetings by an average of 42.0 points per game.

On Friday night at Bulldog Stadium, Fresno State (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) will try to end years of frustration when it takes on the Broncos at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Most books opened the Bulldogs as four-point favorites Sunday, but the line was down to three across the board by lunch on Monday. The number remained at three until Wednesday afternoon when some shops went to 3.5. By Thursday afternoon, most spots had Fresno State favored by four with a total of 68.

Gamblers can take Boise State (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) on the money line for a +160 payout (risk $100 to win $160).

Fresno State had an open date last week after its game at Colorado was postponed due to the weather conditions in Boulder. The Bulldogs previously posted wins over Rutgers (52-51) and Cal Poly (41-25). They failed to cover in both spots, including the overtime triumph over the Scarlet Knights.

Senior quarterback Derek Carr torched RU for 456 passing yards and five touchdowns. Davante Adams and Josh Harper had 14 catches and two TD receptions apiece.

In the win over Cal Poly, Tim DeRuyter’s team raced out to a 34-0 hafltime lead behind a pair of punt returns for TDs by Isaiah Burse. The Bulldogs appeared en route to an easy spread cover as 28.5-point favorites, but the Mustangs rallied from a 41-3 deficit to score 22 unanswered points.

Carr connected on 22-of-31 throws for 205 yards and three TDs without an interception. He now owns an 8/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Boise State took a 38-6 beating on the chin at Washington in its season opener as a four-point underdog. The Broncos bounced back with a 63-14 win over UT-Martin and then beat Air Force by a 42-20 count last Friday. The 62 combined points hurdled ‘over’ the 58-point tally.

But Air Force took the cash on the smurf turf as a 23-point underdog. BSU senior QB Joe Southwick completed 27-of-29 passes for 287 yards and one TD. He also ran for 53 yards and one score on just six carries. Jay Ajayi rushed 17 times for 125 yards and four TDs, while Matt Miller came down with 10 catches for 112 yards.

Chris Petersen’s squad had 533 yards of total offense compared to 287 for the Falcons. However, BSU backers who came up one point shy of a push got burned by a pair of costly turnovers.

Southwick is completing 73.4 percent of his passes and has a 6/2 TD-INT ratio. Ajayi has 298 rushing yards and six TDs. He averages 5.4 yards per tote.

Fresno State starting strong safety Rodney Matthews is ‘out’ this week with a knee injury. Boise State has only been a road underdog four times during Petersen’s eight-year tenure, compiling a 2-2 spread record. As for Fresno State, it is 6-2 as a home favorite on DeRuyter’s watch. The ‘over’ is 2-1 for BSU, but the ‘under’ cashed in its lone road assignment. Following an easy ‘over’ winner in its opener against Rutgers, the 66 combined points in Fresno’s win over Cal Poly dipped ‘under’ the 74.5-point total.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Utah State owns a 16-2 spread record in its last 18 games as a road underdog dating back to 2008. The Aggies are catching 6.5 points at Southern Cal.

Tennessee’s 59-14 loss at Oregon was its most lopsided defeat since 1910.

Florida has won eight in a row over Tennessee and has taken the last six meetings by double-digit margins. The Vols are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as double-digit underdogs.

When Arkansas travels to Piscataway, N.J., to face Rutgers, it will be venturing into the northeast for the first time since 1940. The Scarlet Knights are hosting an SEC team for the first time in school history.

Rutgers QB Gary Nova has been upgraded to ‘probable’ vs. Arkansas after sustaining a concussion last week. However, if you read Kyle Flood’s quotes, it sounds more like Nova has a 50-50 chance of playing against the Hogs. Arky QB Brandon Allen is ‘doubtful’ after suffering a bruised shoulder in last week’s non-covering win over Southern Miss. Look for Iowa transfer A.J. Derby to most likely get the starting nod. --Since its woeful effort in a blowout loss at Louisville in Week 1, Ohio has responded with back-to-back wins both SU and ATS. Even though the Bobcats lost the yardage battle 483-335 vs. Marshall, they were +4 in turnovers and won a 34-31 decision as 7.5-point home underdogs.

Nine teams are 3-0 ATS: Oregon, Maryland, Central Florida, Texas-San Antonio, Texas Tech, Washington State, Wisconsin, Wyoming and Florida Atlantic.

Ten teams are 0-3 ATS: New Mexico State, Wake Forest, Florida International, Tulsa, TCU, La. Tech, Central Michigan, California, Notre Dame and Middle Tennessee.

Texas A&M true freshman WR Ricky Seals-Jones will undergo knee surgery Friday. The Aggies’ star recruit in the 2013 class might take a medical redshirt. Seals-Jones had three receptions for 84 yards and one TD in the opener against Rice. He has been limited to just a few plays since then. No final decision has been made as of yet.

Missouri will be without its leading tackler the last two seasons for the first half Saturday at Indiana. Andrew Wilson, a senior LB and co-captain, will not play for the first 30 minutes after getting flagged for targeting Toledo WR Bernard Reedy with a forearm above the shoulders in the third quarter of a 38-23 victory.

Southern Cal RB Silas Redd has missed the team’s first three games and is ‘doubtful’ vs. Utah State Redd led the Trojans with 905 rushing yards and nine TDss last year, averaging 5.4 yards per carry.

Before making Saturday wagers, gamblers should be aware of these injuries to key players: Toledo QB Terrance Owens (questionable – leg), Texas QB David Ash (questionable – concussion), Minnesota QB Philip Nelson (questionable – hamstring), Mississippi State QB Tyler Russell (doubtful – concussion), Oregon State RB Storm Woods (out – concussion), Fla. International QB Jake Medlock (doubtful – concussion), LSU safety Craig Loston (questionable – leg) and Houston QB David Piland (doubtful – concussion).

North Texas is 10-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog during Dan McCarney’s tenure. The Mean Green is a 33-point dog at Georgia.

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