Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
Curse those international breaks!
The Premier League is back this weekend after a brief hiatus for the World Cup qualifiers. The transfer window is no more and clubs can now focus on integrating new stars to the league.
We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.
Manchester United v Crystal Palace (-500, +650, +1600)
Why bet Manchester United: It hasn't been the best of start for David Moyes at United. The Red Devils currently sit sevent in the table after collecting a win, draw and loss through the first three games. United will look to make this one a statement game and look to bag goals after a 0-0 draw with Chelsea followed by a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool prior to the break.
Key players out/doubtful: Darren Fletcher, Wayne Rooney, Rafael, Phil Jones
Why bet Crystal Palace: Palace's last match before the break was a 3-1 victory over Sunderland which bagged the club's first points of the season. You can probably expect the same starting XI in this one, but the side has major injury concerns so the depth just won't be there.
Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Murray, Yannick Bolasie, Jonathan Parr, Lewis Price, Patrick McCarthy, Jonathan Williams, Jack Hunt, Jerome Thomas
2012-13 fixture result: N/A
Key betting note: The last newly-promoted club to win at Old Trafford in the Premier League was Bolton Wanderers (2-1 inn 2001-02).
Aston Villa v Newcastle (+115, +240, +280)
Why bet Villa: All things considered, the Villains have had a nice little start to the campaign. Yes, the side has lost back-to-back games, but that was away to Chelsea and home to Liverpool. And those games were close. Villa started the season in fine form by thrashing Arsenal 3-1 at the Emirates and the side is performing well for boss Paul Lambert. Plus, Christian Benteke is climbing the ladder of "most feared strikers in the league".
Key players out/doubtful: Charles N'Zogbia, Nathan Baker
Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies are coming off a very important victory over Fulham last time out. The side needed the three points and, more importantly, needed the goal. Hatem Ben Arfa's game winning goal is still the side's only goal of the season, but perhaps the predominantly French squad is starting to get on the same page.
Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Michael Williamson, Jonás Gutiérrez, Gabriel Obertan
2012-13 fixture result: Aston Villa 1, Newcastle 2
Key betting note: Newcastle have just two wins, seven draws and 12 losses in its last 21 Premier League away matches.
Where the action is: "The road has not been nice to the Magpies, with a 4-0 kicking at Man City, and although Villa are not as imposing as the Citizens, it’s a price that at odds against is getting weighed into. The draw sees some support, but Newcastle are rather friendless in the betting."
Fulham v West Brom (+115, +240, +280)
Why bet Fulham: Fulham need goals after a slow start to the season and West Brom could be just what the doctor ordered. The Cottagers have scored 15 goals in their previous five home matches against West Brom, so at least history is on their side. Martin Jol's side should have more bite in an attack that features Dimitar Berbatov, Darren Bent, Bryan Ruiz and Adel Taarabt, so they'll be looking for goals Saturday.
Key players out/doubtful: Kieran Richardson, Fernando Amorebieta, Aaron Hughes, Maarten Stekelenburg
Why bet West Brom: The Baggies will do what they can to climb up the table and get out of that dreadful 20th spot in the table. An area that needs to be addressed is shots on target, of which the Baggies have just four through three games. They should get a lift from some of the club's new signings, namely Stephane Sessegnon and Scott Sinclair, who should improve the Baggies attack, or lack thereof. They are the only side that have yet to register a goal this season.
Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, Ben Foster, George Thorne, James Morrison, Steven Reid, Matej Vydra
2012-13 fixture result: Fulham 3, West Brom 0
Key betting note: West Brom have not scored a goal in five of its last seven away games in the league.
Hull v Cardiff (+140, +230, +230)
Why bet Hull: The Tigers looked fairly good against Manchester City in the club's last match. Though they did take the 2-0 loss, it's something that can be built upon. Plus, Cardiff could be exposed at the back as centerback Steven Caulker and keeper David Marshall will both be ruled out.
Key players out/doubtful: Allan McGregor, Abdoulaye Faye, George Boyd, Yannick Sagbo
Why bet Cardiff: Cardiff has gotten off to an excellent start to the season, posting a victory over Manchester City and a draw with Everton. Striker Frazier Campbell was a revelation against City, as the 26-year-old tallied a pair of goals, including the winner, in the historic 3-2 victory.
Key players out/doubtful: Steven Caulker, David Marshall, Andreas Cornelius
2012-13 fixture result: N/A
Key betting note: Hull has scored at least two goals in six of its last seven matches versus Cardiff in all competitions.
Stoke v Manchester City (+450, +300, -143)
Why bet Stoke: Low and behold, the Potters sit fifth in the table after a pair of wins in their first three matches. New manager Mark Hughes bolstered the squad on the final day of the window adding Marko Arnautovic, Oussama Assaidi and Stephen Ireland and all three will compete for starting spots.
Key players out/doubtful: Charlie Adam, Glen Whelan
Why bet City: Man City are one of the favorites to win the league but a loss to Cardiff threw a wrench into the early part of the schedule for new manager Manuel Pellegrini. City will be in for a tough match, as the Brittania Stadium is a tough place to play, but will look for a big rebound after the loss. City boast so much attacking depth and we may see the introduction of ex-Fiorentina hitman Stevan Jovetic. City's attack will give Stoke plenty of headaches, even though playmaker David Silva could miss this one.
Key players out/doubtful: Vincent Kompany, David Silva, Micah Richards, Martín Demichelis
2012-13 fixture result: Stoke 1, Man City 1
Key betting note: Since the start of the 2012-13 Premier League season, no club has had more clean sheets than Man City with 20.
Where the action is: "Currently, City's back four are and team in general are without captain Vincent Kompany, and they have had their first loss already at a very game Cardiff side. The money and the odds say Mark Hughes will be conceding the three points to a side he used to manage."
Sunderland v Arsenal (+475, +300, -150)
Why bet Sunderland: Paolo Di Canio has brought many new faces to Sunderland, but has not gotten the results thus far. The Black Cats have just one point, but are a side that will need to time to see results. In all, there are 14 new players in the side and the Italian manager has pillaged Serie A for the bulk thereof. Even though Arsenal is dealing with a plethora of injuries, it will be a tough ask for Di Canio to stop the Gunners attack.
Key players out/doubtful: Craig Gardner, Phillip Bardsley, Lee Cattermole, Connor Wickham, John O'Shea
Why bet Arsenal: After a tough loss to Aston Villa to open the campaign, the Gunners have settled in nicely winning both matches since. One of those victories was against noisy neighbors Tottenham, which was closely followed by potentially the best transfer signing of the window, Mesut Özil. The majestic German playmaker should slot right in behind goalscoring dynamo Olivier Giroud and to the left of the underappreciated Santi Cazorla.
Key players out/doubtful: Tomas Rosicky, Abou Diaby, Per Mertesacker, Mikel Arteta, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Lukas Podolski, Yaya Sanogo
2012-13 fixture result: Sunderland 0, Arsenal 1
Key betting note: The Black Cats have just one home victory in their last nine visits from Arsenal in the Premier League.
Tottenham v Norwich (-222, +350, +750)
Why bet Tottenham: Tottenham finally confirmed the sale of their star-winger Gareth Bale to Real Madrid and have replaced him with young, skilled players such as Erik Lamela and Christian Eriksen. That aforementioned duo must orechestrate some attacking for Spurs as they have yet to score a goal from open play in the league. Tottenham suffered a tough 1-0 defeat away to Arsenal last time out, so perhaps the international break couldn't have come at a better time.
Key players out/doubtful: Etienne Capoue, Aaron Lennon, Emmanuel Adebayor, Vlad Chiriches, Gylfi Sigurdsson
Why bet Norwich: Norwich is another side that has welcomed many new faces. The Canaries opened the campaign with a draw against Everton and went into the break with a victory over Southampton. New striker Ricky van Wolfswinkel opened his account in home draw to Everton and now with Swedish international Johan Elmander in the mix, Norwich could prove to be a handful for Spurs.
Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Gary Hooper, Ryan Bennett
2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 1, Norwich 1
Key betting note: Spurs have lost just one of their previous 14 home matches, winning 10 and drawing three.
Everton v Chelsea (+240, +230, +135)
Why bet Everton: Everton has started life under Roberto Martinez with three draws in three matches, but the last two were scoreless draws. They haven't scored since the opening 2-2 draw versus Norwich and the side will now have to adjust to life without Marouane Fellaini. They did, however, manage to hold onto LB Leighton Baines and will welcome the addition of young midfielder James McCarthy. Obviously, goalscoring has been a problem and striker Nikica Jelavic is slowly falling out of favor. They landed Romelu Lukaku on loan from Chelsea, but he will be unavailable to face his parent club.
Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz, Darron Gibson, Romelu Lukaku
Why bet Chelsea: Chelsea will look to seize control of the top spot in the table with all three points in Sunday's late match. The last time we saw Chelsea in the league, they were finishing off a dull 0-0 draw away to Man United. But manager Jose Mourinho looks like he's never left Stamford Bridge. The side features a "who's who" of young talent and a smattering of the old guard that won the league under the Portuguese manager. Dating back to last season, the Blues have remained unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League matches.
Key players out/doubtful: N/A
2012-13 fixture result: Everton 1, Chelsea 2
Key betting note: There have been under 2.5 goals in Everton's last six Premier League home matches.
Where the action is: "The most action we are seeing so far for an away side this weekend is Chelsea."