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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 13

College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 13

AIR FORCE (1 - 1) at BOISE ST (1 - 1) - 9/13/2013, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-69 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-69 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Air Force is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games   
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Boise State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Air Force at Boise State
Air Force: 1-13 ATS off a conference loss by 21+ points
Boise State: 14-4 Under at home off a home game

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 13

Air Force at Boise State: What Bettors Need to Know

Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos (-23.5, 57)

Boise State's dalliance with the Top 25 may have been brief, but the Broncos showed last week that they're eager to return. Fresh off a 49-point drubbing of Tennessee-Martin, head coach Chris Petersen's club looks to continue its march toward a Mountain West Conference title as it entertains the Air Force Falcons on Friday night. Air Force had to do without starting quarterback Kale Pearson last time out, and it showed as the Falcons were thumped 52-20 by Utah State.

Air Force head coach Troy Calhoun has already made peace with the fact that Peterson, who suffered a knee in the season-opening 38-13 victory over Colgate, likely won't return against the Broncos. That should spell concern for a Falcons squad that struggled to fashion any sort of aerial attack against the Aggies last weekend. Boise State had no such trouble against Tennessee-Martin, as quarterback Joe Southwick racked up 234 passing yards and five touchdowns.

LINE: Boise State has been a steady 23.5-point favorite throughout the week. The total has dropped slightly from 57.5 to 57.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing S as high as 11 mph.

ABOUT AIR FORCE (1-1, 0-2 ATS): Calhoun was succinct when explaining his team's loss, which was punctuated by a stretch in which Utah State scored on four straight series to effectively put the game away. "I think we got thumped in every possible way in this game," Calhoun told the Air Force News Service. "In the first half, we had a chance to make some plays that we didn't make." The Falcons boast a potent running game that has averaged better than 285 yards per game - good for 18th in the nation - and should excel in the triple-option offense against a Boise State team that has struggled with run defense.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (1-1, 1-1 ATS): Last weekend's win was critical in helping restore the confidence of a Broncos team that plummeted out of the rankings following a 38-6 loss to the Washington Huskies in the season opener - the program's worst defeat since 2005. The Boise State defense still surrendered 362 total yards to Tennessee-Martin and has allowed an average of 210 rushing yards through the first two games - and Petersen blames tackling troubles. "You create space, you're going to miss tackles. We have to get more guys to the point of attack. One guy is not going to make the tackle in space."


* Air Force is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games.
* The over is 6-1 in the Falcons' last seven September games.
* Boise State is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 conference games.
* The under is 5-2 in the Broncos' last seven games following a SU win of more than 20 points.


1. The Broncos are 80-4 at home since 2000.

2. Air Force is 12-10 in Mountain West road games under Calhoun.

3. Boise State prevailed 37-26 in the only previous meeting between the teams back in 2011.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 13

NCAAF Week 3

Boise State (-11) beat Air Force 37-26 at home in '11, with total yardage 423-408 in its favor; Broncos are 2-10 as home favorites last two years, after being 28-15 in that role from '04-'10. Over last nine years, Falcons are 15-14-1 as road underdogs- they're 8-16 vs spread in last 24 league games. Boise got whacked 38-6 at Washington; this is their first D-I tilt since then, curious to see how they respond. Air Force gave up 577 TY at home to Utah State last week, 360 thru air, as Aggies converted 11-15 on third down. Air Force is outmanned, but will always give an effort.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, September 13

Air Force at Boise State
By Brian Edwards

Brian Edwards has been the best college football handicapper on the past two years in the first quarter of the season. His documented records (49-24, 67%) prove that fact and he’s already locked and loaded for Week 3 in 2013. Click to win!

Match-up: Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos
Venue: Bronco Stadium in Boise, Idaho (FieldTurf)
Date: Friday, September 13, 2013
Time/TV: 8:00 PM ET - ESPN
Line: Boise State -23, Over/Under 57
Last Meeting: 2011, Boise State (-30) 37-26 vs. Air Force

This week’s Friday game takes us to the smurf turf in Idaho, where Boise St. (1-1 straight up, 1-1 against the spread) will take on Air Force in the Mountain West opener for both teams. As of late Thursday afternoon, most books had the Broncos installed as 24-point favorites with a total of 57. Gamblers can back the Falcons on the money line for a +1315 payout at 5Dimes (risk $100 to win $1,315).

Chris Petersen’s team had never been blown out during his tenure at BSU until Week 1 of this season. In his seven previous years, the Broncos were beaten by double digits just twice in losses at Washington (24-10) and at Hawaii (39-27) in 2007. But neither of those contests were blowouts.

When Boise St. went to Washington two weeks ago, however, it was woodshed treatment from the Huskies in the form of a 38-6 clubbing. UW took the cash as a 4.5-point home favorite, while the 44 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 54-point total.

BSU responded by stroking FCS foe UT-Martin 63-14 as a 35-point home favorite. Senior quarterback Joe Southwick connected on 17-of-25 passes for 234 yards and five touchdowns without an interception. The 77 combined points soared ‘over’ the 57.5-point total.

Jay Ajayi rushed 15 times for 80 yards and two TDs, while Shane Williams-Rhodes hauled in seven receptions for 89 yards and two scores.

Boise St. has struggled to hook up its betting supporters on the blue carpet recently, limping to a 3-11 spread record in its last 14 games as a home favorite.

Air Force (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) started the season with a 38-13 win over Colgate as a 26.5-point home favorite. The Red Raiders posted a backdoor cover thanks to a one-yard TD run with 46 seconds remaining. The 51 combined points went ‘under’ the 66.5-point tally.

Jon Lee and Broam Hart combined for 231 yards on the ground and rushed for two TDs apiece.

In Week 2, Troy Calhoun’s squad got spanked 52-20 by Utah St. as an eight-point home underdog. The 72 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 57.5-point total.

Chuckie Keeton torched the Falcons secondary for 360 passing yards and five TDs. The Aggies generated 577 yards of total offense compared to only 270 for Air Force.

As a road underdog during Calhoun’s tenure, Air Force has compiled a 9-9-1 spread record in 19 such spots. The Falcons have been double-digit ‘dogs nine times on Calhoun’s watch, going 4-5 ATS.

When these programs met in Boise in 2011, the Broncos won a 37-26 decision but failed to cover the number as 30-point home ‘chalk.’ Kellen Moore threw for 281 yards and three TDs, while Doug Martin ran for 125 yards and one TD on 21 carries.

ESPN will provide television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Ohio St. QB Braxton Miller was upgraded to ‘probable’ on Wednesday for Saturday’s game at California. Miller sprained a ligament in his knee early in last week’s 42-7 win over San Diego St. Most books opened the Buckeyes as 16-point road favorites with a total of 66. They are 0-1 ATS in one road ‘chalk’ role under Urban Meyer.

Much has been made about Vanderbilt’s loss of WR Chris Boyd, who is indefinitely suspended after his arrest in Nashville for allegedly helping his former teammates cover up an alleged sexual assault. Boyd had 50 receptions for 774 yards and five TDs last season. But another injury that might be even more important is the one to senior LB Chase Garnham, who is ‘out’ at South Carolina and might not be back for an extended period of time due to a leg injury. Garnham was Vandy’s second-leading tackler in 2012 when he had 84 stops, seven sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss and three QB hurries.

Oregon St. has injuries galore along its offensive line going into Saturday’s game at Utah. The Beavers will only have seven o-linemen in uniform against the Utes.

Ole Miss will be without four key players Saturday at Texas. LB Denzel Nkemdiche is ‘out’ until at least late September and starting cover CB Charles Sawyer is suspended for at least one game after his arrest last weekend for DUI. Starting OG Aaron Morris is done for the season along with tight end Christian Morgan. On the bright side, WR Vince Sanders will return after missing the first two games with a collarbone injury.

Texas won’t have WR Daje Johnson due to a sprained ankle against the Rebels. There are some media outlets reporting that Longhorns QB David Ash won’t play due to a concussion, but most in Austin insist that it’ll be a game-time decision. Whatever the case, most books have Texas favored by just 2.5. UT smashed Ole Miss 66-31 in Oxford last year.

LSU safety Craig Loston, a second-team All-SEC selection last year, suffered a leg injury in last week’s win over UAB. However, he has been upgraded to ‘probable’ and will start vs. Kent St. The Tigers are favored by 37 at most spots. Flashes star RB Dri Archer (ankle) has bee upgraded to ‘probable’ at LSU.

Northwestern star RB Venric Mark remains ‘questionable’ vs. Western Michigan. Pat Fitzgerald shouldn’t be in any hurry to rush Mark back into the lineup. The Wildcats host Maine next week before an open date that precedes their Big Ten opener vs. Ohio St.

Florida junior QB Jeff Driskel suffered a sprained knee in last week’s loss at Miami. Fortunately for the Gators, they have an open date this week. Driskel is expected to be ready next week vs. Tennessee.

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