MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

Hot pitchers
-- Cingrani is 3-2, 2.41 in his last six starts.
-- Cahill is 2-0, 3.22 in his last four outings.

-- Guthrie is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Peavy is 2-1, 1.95 in his last four starts.
-- Nova is 4-0, 2.08 in his last six.
-- White Sox won last three Quintana starts (1-0, 3.38).
-- Price is 5-1, 2.80 in his last nine starts.
-- Gray is 2-0, 0.83 in his three home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lynn is 0-4, 7.45 in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.

-- Saunders is 1-3, 7.80 in his last five starts.
-- Gonzalez is 0-4, 8.71 in his last six starts.
-- Williams is 0-3, 5.53 in his last five starts.
-- Peacock is 2-4, 6.34 in his last seven starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
-- Lynn 7-28; Cingrani 4-16
-- Cahill 4-20 (0 of last 8); Vogelsong 6-14

-- Saunders 9-28; Guthrie 7-28 (1 of last 8)
-- Peavy 2-19 (0 of 6 with Bos); Nova 5-15 (1 of last 7)
-- Quintana 9-27; Gonzalez 5-26 (1 of last 10)
-- Price 6-21 (1 of last 8); Williams 6-20 (1 of last 6)
-- Peacock 3-10 (0 of last 4); Gray 2-5

Totals
-- Seven of last eight St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Arizona games stayed under the total.

-- Five of last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Bronx games went over the total.
-- Last four White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Angel games.
-- Seven of last ten Houston games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Royals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Bronx won eleven of its last sixteen games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won eight of their last eleven games.
-- A's won nine of their last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- St Louis lost four of its last six games.
-- Reds are 3-6 in their last nine.
-- Giants lost ten of their last sixteen games.
-- Arizona lost four of its last six.

-- Mariners lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox lost their last four games.
-- Baltimore lost six of last nine.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Houston lost seven of its last ten games.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

2:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. KANSAS CITY
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Boston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Oakland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. LA ANGELS
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 16 games at home

10:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

National League

St. Louis at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Lynn: St. Louis 19-9 Over away off 3+ division games
Cingrani: Cincinnati 21-2 SU at home off a loss

Arizona at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Cahill: Arizona 14-22 SU off 4+ home games
Vogelsong: 16-8 TSR with a total of 7 runs or less

American League

Seattle at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
Saunders: Seattle 12-2 Over as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Guthrie: 8-2 TSR in September

Boston at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET MLB
Peavy: Boston 17-40 SU in September
Nova: 19-6 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 ET MLB
Quintana: White Sox 15-30 SU off a loss by 2 runs or less
Gonzalez: Baltimore 32-16 SU at home in night games

Tampa Bay at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Price: 18-6 TSR away with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
Williams: 2-9 TSR in home games

Houston at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Peacock: Houston 9-31 SU off 3+ Overs
Gray: Oakland 49-22 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

StatFox Super Situations

MLB HOUSTON at OAKLAND

Play Against - Home teams (OAKLAND) poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start 35-19 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.8% 24.6 units ) 1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB HOUSTON at OAKLAND

HOUSTON is 19-16 (+15.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. The average score was: HOUSTON (4.2) , OPPONENT (4.1)

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

ST LOUIS (80 - 59) at CINCINNATI (78 - 62) - 7:10 PM

LANCE LYNN (R) vs. TONY CINGRANI (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 16-21 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-38 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 65-74 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 177-130 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 177-130 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 21-2 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 11-7 (+3.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.5 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYNN is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

TONY CINGRANI vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CINGRANI is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (70 - 68) at SAN FRANCISCO (62 - 77) - 10:15 PM

TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 150-148 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-39 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-53 (+20.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 30-19 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 16-8 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 30-18 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 21-10 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-7 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ARIZONA is 13-7 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
ARIZONA is 81-75 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-77 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-35 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-35 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-24 (-15.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-73 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-50 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-50 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-5 (+4.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CAHILL is 4-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.434.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

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SEATTLE (63 - 76) at KANSAS CITY (72 - 67) - 2:10 PM

JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 60-73 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 72-67 (+1.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 29-20 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
GUTHRIE is 32-25 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 8-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 32-23 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 63-35 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 251-367 (-104.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 13-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 18-20 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SAUNDERS is 4-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-7 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 4-7 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.2 units)

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BOSTON (84 - 57) at NY YANKEES (75 - 64) - 7:05 PM

JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 17-40 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-71 (-22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 105-111 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 98-105 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 77-95 (-26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-54 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 75-64 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 68-56 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 36-32 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NOVA is 46-25 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NOVA is 43-22 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 84-57 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 75-51 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-5 (+0.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PEAVY is 0-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

IVAN NOVA vs. BOSTON since 1997
NOVA is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (56 - 82) at BALTIMORE (73 - 65) - 7:05 PM

JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-82 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-39 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-48 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 22-39 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 54-77 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-54 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-60 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-52 (-24.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-33 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 73-65 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 63-53 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 86-64 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 37-24 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 68-57 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-16 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-26 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.031.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (77 - 61) at LA ANGELS (64 - 74) - 10:05 PM

DAVID PRICE (L) vs. JEROME WILLIAMS (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 116-64 (+31.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 64-74 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-39 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 62-73 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 42-58 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 13-22 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 28-45 (-26.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 28-44 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WILLIAMS is 13-22 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 2-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WILLIAMS is 2-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
WILLIAMS is 4-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 5-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PRICE is 4-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.5 units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (46 - 93) at OAKLAND (80 - 59) - 10:05 PM

BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 101-199 (-46.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 68-162 (-46.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 99-194 (-46.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 110-223 (-63.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-52 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 80-59 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 95-57 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-50 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 77-55 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 49-33 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 55-40 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 47-32 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 80-50 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 12-3 (+5.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GRAY is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, September 5

Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Angels are 0-13 since May 28, 2010 as a home dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Giants are 10-0 OU since 2011 off an 8-14 run win where they scored at least nine runs, if they are not playing the Braves.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Jeremy Guthrie starts the Royals are 11-0 since August 14, 2012 at home after a quality start where they did not win by 13+ for a net profit of $1204.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


David Price has produced a team record of 15-2 (+$1,277) in his career when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Athletics are 10-0 since April 16, 2013 as a 140+ favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $1000.

The Giants are 11-0 since September 20, 2012 at home after a 5+ run win for a net profit of $1161.

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