Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah State vs. Air ForceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We cashed a 10* ticket with the 'over' in Utah State's season-opening loss to rival Utah last Thursday night, but we'll switch gears here, as we deal with a higher total against a weaker opponent.
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Aggies do-everything QB Chuckie Keeton threw the ball 40 times in last week's loss. I don't think it's a stretch to say that Utah State doesn't want Keeton slinging it around that many times per game. Look for the Aggies to make a concerted effort to get their ground game, and namely RB Joe Hill going this week against Air Force, chewing up plenty of clock in the process.
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Air Force certainly isn't known for its defensive prowess, but does return an experienced group, particularly in the secondary and should do just enough to keep this one competitive in front of the home faithful.
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In last week's analysis I noted that Utah State's defense took a hit due to offseason losses, but save for a couple of early lapses, I thought the Aggies stop unit held up fairly well against Utah. They'll have to make some major adjustments this week as they prepare to face Air Force's option-based offense, but they do catch a break with the Falcons losing starting QB Kale Pearson to an ACL injury last week. The Falcons are talking the talk when it comes to his replacement, Jaleel Awini, but I'm not convinced he's a great fit in this offense. That was evident last week as he ran the ball only twice for negative three yards in the win over Colgate.
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Air Force is looking to focus more on its ground game this year, and that's really out of necessity with little experience under center (even when Pearson was healthy). We should see a heavy dose of the Falcons running game here, and a similar gameplan from the Aggies. This total has been on the way down all week, and for good reason.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State -26FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cowboys are one of the favorites to win the Big 12 in 2013 due to the returning talent and experience they have coming back from last year’s 8-5 team. This is a squad that returned 15 starters, including eight on offense from a unit that put up a ridiculous 45.7 points and 547 total yards per game a year ago. After a 21-3 victory over Mississippi State in the opener, it’s clear that the Cowboys can play a little defense this year, too.
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Oklahoma State outgained Mississippi State 432-333 for the game. The defense limited the Bulldogs to a first quarter field goal, shutting them out the rest of the way. They did so by holding them to just 2-for-16 on third down conversions. While many believe the Cowboys are a pass-happy team, they proved that they could run it, too. Oklahoma State compiled 286 rushing yards while averaging 7.2 yards per carry. Quarterback J.W. Walsh threw for 135 yards and rushed for 125 more and a score.
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Texas-San Antonio is in just its second season as a member of the FBS. It went 8-4 last year, but only played a handful of teams from the FBS. In their four toughest games last season, the Roadrunners’ true colors showed. They lost to Rice (14-34), San Jose State (24-52), Utah State (17-48) and Louisiana Tech (27-51). Oklahoma State is clearly a better team than all four of those schools and should have no problem covering this 26-point spread.
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Mike Gundy is 44-18 against the spread as a favorite as the coach of Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 5-1 against the number in their last six games overall. Oklahoma State is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 non-conference games. The Cowboys are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

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Doug UpstoneFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. New Mexico StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Minnesota -14½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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PLAY AGAINST a home team like New Mexico State in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with two or more straight losses, against opponent in the first month of the season (Minnesota in this case) who was bowl team from prior season, who lost their last three games a year ago. In the last two decades, this system is 25-5 ATS, 83.3 percent)

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma -21FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Most of West Virginia’s top players from the Air Raid offense are gone. Without Geno Smith under center, this looks like a team that will struggle for most of the season. The Mountaineers also lost receivers Tavon Austin and Stedman Baily. Their quick scoring ability is non-existent this season, and they will have to rely heavily on the ground attack. That could be a major issue against an Oklahoma defense that features a strong linebacking core, and a top-notch secondary.
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In week one the Sooners held a solid ULM team scoreless in a 34-0 blowout. Oklahoma is facing a West Virginia defense that was third worst in the nation against the pass, and allowed 38.1 points per game. The Sooners have two dual threat quarterbacks between Trevor Knight and Blake Bell. Knight led the team in rushing with 13 carries for 103 yards, and he also passed for three touchdowns last week. He should have an even better performance this week against a Mountaineers secondary that allowed FCS opponent William & Mary to complete 67% of their passes, and throw for over 200 yards in week one.

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Larry NessFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Notre Dame vs. MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MichiganFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan (.735) owns a slight lead on Notre Dame (.734), as these two programs have the highest winning percentages in college football history...
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Notre Dame canceled its scheduled dates with Michigan from 2015-17, something the school claimed was a result of its five-games-per-year entrance into the ACC starting in 2014. However, the Wolverines made it clear that the Irish were solely responsible for the at-least-temporary end to the series, which began in 1887 and has been played annually since 2002. Coach Brady Hoke took things a bit further in May by telling a Grand Rapids luncheon panel that Notre Dame was "chickening out of" the rivalry. Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly got a lot of attention this past Sunday for saying he didn't think of Michigan as one of Notre Dame's traditional rivals, a statement he backed off a few days later.
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So now that all the “nonsense” is out of the way, the game will be played Saturday night at 8:00 ET, with ABC on hand to carry the festivities. This is an underdog driven series, as the favorite is just 3-14 ATS the last 17 meetings and there have been NINE outright upsets the last 13 years. Michigan is the small favorite here and I should note that the home team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings. That bodes well for Michigan, which opened the 2013 season with the nation’s longest-active home winning streak of 14 in a row (since the arrival of Brady Hoke).
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Michigan hasn't lost at home since a 48-28 defeat to then-No. 6 Wisconsin (on Nov. 20, 2010) and Michigan had averaged 38.4 PPG during its home winning streak, before blowing out Central Michigan 59-9 last Saturday, extending its home winning streak to 15 in a row. Notre Dame won 13-6 last season in South Bend, while forcing six turnovers. However, the Wolverines have won three straight at home in the series, including a 35-31 thriller two years ago that was the first night game-ever at Michigan Stadium.
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Tommy Rees was the starter at Michigan Stadium in 2011 (as he will be again here due to Everett Golson's ineligibility), going 27 of 39 for 315 yards with three TDs. However, the Irish blew a 17-point fourth-quarter lead in that one and Rees’ three turnovers (a fumble and two INTs), came back to haunt Notre Dame (two of his TOs came in the red zone). Notre Dame racked up 543 yards of offense in beating Temple last Saturday but the final score was just 28-6. Rees looked sharp, passing for 346 yards and three TDs against the Owls, in his first game since regaining the starting job.
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These two programs have the highest winning percentages in college football history, as Michigan (.735) owns a slight lead on Notre Dame (.734), and I’m counting on the revenge motive being HUGE in this one, especially since it could be the last time Notre Dame visits Michigan Stadium. Hoke’s won all 15 home games since taking the Michigan job and and just THREE of those victories have come by six points or less. I’m going against the underdog trend in this series and will take Michigan.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois +7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two had dichotomous results last week which will result in line value for the home dog Illini at a value price. Under first year HC Tuberville, Cincinnati thrashed Purdue 42-7 in opening weekend covering by 25 pts. They profited from 7 Purdue TOs while outgaining the Boilers 425-226, using a balanced offense that ran and passed for at least 204 yards. Far more was expected from Illinois in their 42-34 opening day win, no cover v. S. Ill. The Illini turned the ball over 4 times and allowed Salukies 407 yards. In so doing, they failed to cover the number by 13 pts. setting up a net of +40 AFP in this game. Well aware of the struggles of Illinois, under 2d year HC Beckman, as in his tenure, they are now on a run of 0-10 SU, 1-9 ATS. Having hit the nadir of their discontent, look for Illinois to get a much needed victory. Upset no surprise to this bureau.

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Ross BenjaminFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon @ VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oregon -23FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I came to a definitive conclusion when watching the BYU/Virginia game last week. Both offenses were so awful that they made the opposing defenses look much better than they really are. The other conclusion I arrived at last Saturday was the Oregon Ducks are just as dynamic offensively as they've been in recent years.  As a matter of fact the Ducks defense may be the best it's been over the last 5 seasons. This is a horrible matchup for the Cavaliers. I hate laying any points on the road let alone this many. However, barring an Oregon collapse this one has no chance of being closer than a 4-touchdown win by the visitors. Any non-conference away favorite of 28.0 or less, that has won 15 or more of their last 22 games, versus an opponent coming off a non-conference home underdog straight up win is 9-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1980 season. The away favorite won those 9 games by an average of 28.9 points per game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

Harry Bondi

BOSTON COLLEGE (-3) over Wake Forest

Two even squads face off in Chestnut Hill tonight but we will lean to the home team who knows that this is one of the few winnable games on their schedule. BC faces USC & Florida State the next two weeks and are going to get their asses kicked bu those two powerhouse programs so we look for the Eagles to play with a sense of urgency that was missing in their week 1 win over Villanova. Wake beat up on one of the weakest programs in the country last week, Presbetarian, but Wake senior quarterback Tanner Price was only 14 of 25. Price is a 3 year starter who has not improved over his career. Boston college also has a 3 year starting quarterback in Chase Rettig who has struggled in the past but who we think will be much improved this year. Eagles need it and get it versus the Deamon Deacons tonight.

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Scott SpreitzerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas at BYUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: BYUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas was a little sluggish last weekend, before turning up the heat in a 56-7 win over New Mexico State. The Longhorns finished with over 700 yards of offense. But I'm not sold on Texas being the contender many think they are...at least not yet. Texas will face a BYU team off a loss at Virginia last weekend. The Cougars dropped a 19-16 decision and were as much affected by the poor weather conditions as they were the Cavaliers. BYU held Virginia to 223 yards of total offense on about 3 yards per play. Not per rush...but per play! The Cougars will also be better in the passing game this week with the return of potential NFL-er, WR Cody Hoffman who missed last week's opener due to a hamstring injury. These programs met two years ago in Austin and Texas escaped with a 17-16 win. I expect this meeting to go right to the wire, also. I'm grabbing the points with Texas on Saturday.

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Jim Feist

South Carolina vs. Georgia    
Play: South Carolina +3½

South Carolina ripped Georgia, 35-7, last year, and has a loaded team for Steve Spurrier. The Gamecocks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games on grass. Spurrier ripped his defense for not being in shape last week....as they held high powered North Carolina to just 10 points! "Did you watch what I was watching?" he said when asked about Clowney. “We'll try + work on our conditioning for the entire team." Georgia may have home field but the Dawgs have a lot of problems, allowing 4 sacks in last week's loss to Clemson, WR Malcolm Mitchell (572 yds in 2012) hurt his knee and is lost for the season, plus there are only 3 starters back on defense and Clemson shredded them. The Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

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Sean HiggsFOR  FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida vs. MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Miami +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Now, the Gators have been the dominate school in Florida with their recent success under Urban Meyer. Will Mushamp is in his 3rd year and again the defense will be the prominent unit for the Gators. Florida is off a 24-6 win over Toledo. No flash from the Gators in the win. They just pounded the Rockets into the ground by controlling the ball for nearly 40 minutes.
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The Hurricanes are off a season that saw them miss the post-season as they had a self-imposed ban on themselves. This is a hungry group of kids with 20 starters back. Stephan Morris threw for 160 yards in a 34-6 win over Florida Atlantic, but the offensive story is RB Duke Johnson. Johnson can easily be the ACC POY this year if he can duplicate the 186 yards he produced in the Canes win. He had a touchdown run of 53 yards and, along with Herb Waters 63 yard TD run, shows that this offense can put up points in a hurry.
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As good as I think the Canes offense can be, they will have a hard time against the Gators. Florida comes in with one of the units in the country. Toledo isn’t Miami U, but they did hold the Rockets to just 50 yards rushing and a shade of 200 total yards. We know Florida can play with the top teams as they proved last year by knocking off 3 teams ranked in the Top 10. I still think that the Canes experience, especially offensive skill players, will win out over the Gator defense.
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My final thoughts -FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I think that the Hurricanes experience and home field will be the big difference makers here. The Florida offense in my eyes is not superior to the Hurricanes defense. Miami HC Al Golden is also in his year 3, and has taken steps to bring ‘The U’ back to prominence. An upset win here will go a long way to restoring some of that Hurricane pride.

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Vegas ConnectionFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington State at USCFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Washington StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington State played a very good game a Auburn losing 31-24 and USC struggled at Hawaii before putting away the Warriors 31-13. The points look good vs a team that still have not decided on a QB.

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston -3 over TEMPLE: Last year the Temple pass defense was rated 113th in the nation by Phil Steele and they didn't get off on the right foo this year allowing Notre Dame 355 yards passing in their opener. Temple also allowed 21 TD's through the air last year, while grabbing just 4 INT's and started out the same this year as they allowed ND QB Tommy Rees to connect on 3 TDS, while not intercepting him at all. Now they have to facing the high powered passing attack of the Cougars. Last year the cougar offense slipped 109 ypg overall and 122 ypg passing from 2011, but they still managed to put up 480 ypg and 328 ypg last year. Now this group has 10 starters back and David Piland has another year of experience under his belt, along with the 2nd best WR corp in the league. Oh yeah this offense also has the best rated RB's and 3rd best OL in the AAC as well. The Temple DL and DB's are both rated the worst in the league by Phil Steele and I don't see them as having much of a chance at stopping or even slowing down the Houston attack. The Cougars will struggle on defense this year, but Temple has the 9th rated QB, 10th rated RB's and 10th rated WR's in the league and they just won't come up with nearly enough offense to keep this one close. 
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Western Kentucky +13 over TENNESSEE: This WKU team is not to be taken lightly this year and a big reason why I will go with them here. The Hilltooppers beat up Kentucky last week and piled up a ton of yards in the process. Their offense is very good and underrated this year and the should have some good success vs a Tennessee defense that looked better than they actually are last week. The Hilltoppers held an FCS team to just 211 yards last week, but this is a group that allowed 35.7 ppg and 471 ypg last year. I can see them reverting back to struggling on that side of the ball in this one. The Tennessee offense looked good in the openers, but it was vs an FCS team and this offense still has some growing to do, with just 5 starters back from last year and a new QB. I know that Tennessee is looking to build on wins and any win is big for them right now, but you also have to feel that this team may have an eye on their next two games, which are at Oregon and Florida. Look ahead spot here for the Vols. I look for WKU to do enough on offense to keep this final in single digits.
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2 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma State -26.5 over UTSA: The Roadrunners will be a decent team, but vs their own competition. Last year this team did go 8-4 on the year, but just half of their wins were vs FBS foes and the FBS teams they did beat went a combined 8-41 last year and they started this year with a win over New Mexico, which went 4-9 last year and may be worse this year.  Oklahoma State sputtered on offense last week and you can bet that Mike Gundy will look to put plenty more points on the board in this one. Oklahoma State is one of the best teams in the Big 12 and they only have Lamar on deck, so no look ahead in this one. Look for the Cowboys to win by at least 31 here.
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Kent State/ Bowling Green Under 45: The Bowling green offense is not explosive and will play many conservative games this year, especially knowing that they have that solid defense to fall back on. Today the will also be facing a Kent State defense that could e better than last year's group that allowed just 24.5 ppg. The Kent State offense could be without Dri Archer again and they showed that they will struggle without him. Last week they were able to put up just 17 points and 361 yards vs an FCS foe. Now they take on the best defense in the MAC and a team that could finish in the top 10 nationally this year. This is a huge game in the MAC and with two very stout defenses on the field and a couple of conservative offenses I will look for no more than 38 points in this one.
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ILLINOIS +8 over Cincinnati: Cincinnati had a big opening week win and Tommy Tubberville is an excellent coach, but this team still has some work to do. Last week they led only 14-7 at the half before hey blew it open in the second half, but they were aided in that 2nd half by an INT return for a TD and and another TO they got deep in Purdue territory. The Bearcats will be taking on a better offense that looked really good last week under the guidance of new OC Bull Cubit. Look for Illinois to put up just enough points to get the cover here.

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Joseph D'AmicoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Notre Dame vs. MichiganFOR  FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Notre Dame +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan blew up Central Michigan, 59-9 in Week 1 as Notre Dame took down Temple, 27-6. Last year, the Irish picked off Denard Robinson 5 times on route to a 13-6 victory. Wolverines QB, Devin Gardner was 10 of 15, for 162 yards passing, 1 TD, and 2 Picks vs. CMU. Those interceptions are bothering me, guys. If Gardner felt enough pressure to throw those INT's vs. Central Mich the Notre Dame "D" will cause even more turn over's this week. Irish QB, Tommy Rees looked impressive with a 16-for-23 performance, 346 yards passing, and 3 scores in the air over the Owls. I feel that Michigan won't be able to manhandle Notre Dame's big, stout defensive line here. The 'dog is 14-3 against the spread the L17 in this series. I have an opinion on Notre Dame here. But be sure to GUARANTEE a profit today by getting all my winners right here.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego State at Ohio StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San Diego StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Things couldn't get much worse for San Diego State after its humbling 40-19 home loss vs. FCS Eastern Illinois last week. Aztec HC Rocky Long was not amused, calling it one of the worst efforts of his college coaching career. What that unexpected result has also doe is over-inflate this number in Columbus vs. a well-regarded Ohio State side that itself sprung some leaks in allowing lightly-rated Buffalo to hang around last week at the big horseshoe. Note Buckeyes just 1-4 last 5 laying double digits for Urban Meyer, and SDS 5-1 last 6 as a DD dog.

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Sc Live Dogs

LA Angels +110

Why we like the Angels on Saturday at +110...this is one of those valuable home dogs who are playing the better baseball at this point in the season and will be facing a pitcher who is looking to regain form in a ballpark where he has shown little success in. This Angels team comes in as winners of their last 10 of 13 games where they have averaged 5 RPG while allowing just 3 RPG during that stretch. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost their last 7 of 12 games while averaging 4 RPG and allowing 4 RPG during that stretch. This is a Rangers team, who throughout the stretch of the entire season, have averaged 4.5 RPG, so they seem to have hit a soft spot offensively come September. The Angels will be pitching Garret Richards who is clearly pitching his best ball of the season where he brings in a 2.87 era in his last 15 innings while allowing 13 hits and just 1 HR. This Rangers team has a combined 56 ABs off of Richards where they have a .268 average with just 1 HR. Richards faced this Rangers team on August 6th IN Los Angeles where he allowed just 3 runs through 6 innings on 5 Ks, 1 BB & 0 HRs. The Rangers will be pitching Derek Holland who brings a 4.32 era over his last 16 innings where he allowed 4 HRs on 12 BBs and 11 Ks. It should be noted that those numbers were in the pitcher friendly ballparks of the Athletics and Mariners as well as a start against the Astros; which should play to the advantage of the Angels IN Los Angeles. There are a few reasons to fade Holland in this matchup and we will start by talking about his recent troubles on the road. In Hollands last three road starts, he allowed a combined 9 runs through 16 innings on 17 hits, 3 HRs, 12 Ks & 11 BBs. The room for concern with Holland lies with his BB totals as they have steadily increased up to this point in the season. To take his road problems a step further, we will examine his last three road starts IN Los Angeles against the Angels. In those three starts, Holland allowed a combined 14 runs through 18 innings on 21 hits, 3 HRs, 11 Ks & 6 BBs. This Angels team is familiar with Holland as they have a combined 146 ABs with a .301 average and 9 HRs. Our final reason for a fade against Holland is because of the fact that he sees his 3.07 season era rise to a 3.71 era when pitching on 4 Days of Rest (which he will be doing on Saturday). We will play on the Angels at +110.

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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida at Miami FLFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Miami FLFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Big matchup in the state of Florida with the Gators visiting the Miami Hurricanes, and we look for Miami's experience and home field advantage to the be difference in this game. Miami returns ten starters on offense from last season, and they looked pretty good against an inferior Florida Atlantic team putting up over 300 yards passing and another 200 yards on the ground. Florida will certainly put up a bigger fight against the Canes this week, but they have no business being a road favorite here considering they lost all but four starters from last year's defense and all those new starters will be playing their first road game today against a solid Miami scoring unit. Florida didn't do much through the air last week, relying on their running game to get past overmatched Toledo, but Miami can contain the Gators' rushing attack and force them to throw the ball more than they want to here. Experience and home field advantage is big this early in the season and we look for the Hurricanes to pull the upset.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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South Carolina at GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: GeorgiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by 6 or more points. The line opened at 4 1/2 and early money came in SC pushing the line to as low as 3 points. The line remained at 3 from September 1 through September 5 until it moved to 3 1/2 on some large bet movements. Much attention has been made in the media circles about the rough and very physically draining game Georgia played last week in Clemson. I strongly believe this is just hype and recovery times for 18 to 22 year olds is extremely fast, especially when only one game has been played. Moreover, this is the home opener for Georgia and you can bet by game time last week will be an ancient memory for this team. The Georgia offense is arguably the best in the SEC and certainly one of the best in FBS. They are led by Aaron Murray, who threw for 3.893 yards with 36 TD and just 10 INT and was second in passing efficiency in the nation last season. Nine of 11 offensive starters are back and I do not see the SC defense being able to hold up for four quarters against this unit. The SIM shows projections for Georgia to score at least 28 points in the game and has a 40% probability of scoring 42 to 48 points. further projections show that Georgia will gain a minimum of 10 or more net passing yards and will gain over 500 yards in total offense. In past games, SC is just 1-5 ATS the past three seasons and 18-60 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points. SC is 2-13 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 42 to 48 points in a game. They are 0-1 ATS the past three seasons and 4-18 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 10 or more net passing yards and just 5-15 ATS when allowing an opponent to gain 500 or more total offensive yards. Take Georgia.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

Kyle Hunter

Arizona vs. UNLV    
Play: UNLV +11

The UNLV Rebels are a totally different team at home as compared to on the road. UNLV is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. They are 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. UNLV isn't a good team, but they are better than they used to be, and they are going to pull off some upsets at home this year. Arizona is far from a great team, and UNLV should hang around in this one. Grab the points and take the home underdog here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 7

Rob Vinciletti

South Carolina vs. Georgia    
Play: Georgia -3

Georgia is at home for this one as they arrive in off a tough loss to a Clemson team that was 11-2 last season. That loss will help them greatly in this game against a South Carolina team that coast past North Carolina last week. Georgia played a much tougher game and they are 6-1 ats as a favorite of 13 or less with revenge. The Bulldogs have not had much luck in the series but are bringing back an explosive offense led by senior Qb Aaron Murray and a pair of Top Tier Running backs in T. Gurley and K. Marshall. Their offense has Improved in each of the last 4 seasons. The Georgia defense doesn't appear to be as strong as last season but there's not much shame in allowing 30+ in a road game against a loaded Clemson team. The Gamecocks also have some questions on defense and we will see how good they are in this game at Georgia. South Carolina has a solid offense but is 0-4 straight up and to the spread the past few seasons on the road in a game where there are points expected to be put up with a total that is 52 to 56 points. Georgia has won 9 of the last 10 home openers and know the importance of this Big Early season Conference game and cannot afford to go 0-2. South Carolina has only 36 lettermen returning and this is the toughest road game on the Schedule. Look for Georgia to win and cover.

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