College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame at Michigan
By Otto Sports
Sportsmemo.com

Notre Dame at Michigan
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Michigan -4 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Michigan -3.5 O/U 52
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan -5

Notre Dame and Michigan meet in the Big House on Saturday night with ESPN providing the coverage. This is a rare night game in Ann Arbor and you can be certain a rabid crowd of well over 100,000 fans will be yelling as loud as they can. There has been a little media battle going on about the importance, or significance, of this rivalry; Brian Kelly doesn’t believe it’s that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things that Notre Dame will not be renewing the series for the foreseeable future. Brady Hoke thinks it is a big deal to Michigan and called ND “chickens” for ending the head-to-head plans. It clearly adds just a little more spice to this matchup.

Coaching

Kelly enters his fourth year in charge of the Fighting Irish fresh off a National Championship game appearance in 2012. I have a lot of respect for him as a coach as he’s had plenty of success wherever he’s gone. While his ND teams have been fairly bad as favorites during his tenure, they are 4-1 ATS as road underdogs since he took over for Charlie Weis.

Hoke has followed a somewhat similar career trajectory; a strong background in the MAC eventually led him here to Ann Arbor. He has a BCS bowl appearance to his credit. He’s also trying to change the philosophies a little bit after the Rich Rodriguez era, adding an element of grit I think was lacking.

ND Offense vs. Michigan Defense

While there is some experience returning to this Notre Dame offense I do feel we can call it a “new look” attack. Budding star quarterback Everett Golson was suspended before the season so the Irish were forced to turn back to the inconsistent Tommy Rees. The top two rushers from a year ago, Theo Riddick and Cierre Wood, have departed. Security blanket and leading receive TE Tyler Eiffert was drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals. They also have a pair of new faces along the offensive line. It really is a lot of change for an offense that was frankly quite mediocre on paper to begin with heading into this season. They coasted against a woeful Temple team last week in the opener but will find it much tougher this week.

The Wolverines went from soft and underdeveloped as a defense under Rich-Rod to tough under Hoke almost instantly. He talks about wanting to “hear football” and it starts up front with a banging defensive line. This was a team that was solid against the run last year and while some new faces are breaking into the starting 11 I think they’ll continue an upward trajectory. One thing defensive coordinator Greg Mattison wanted to see from his team was a better pass rush without having to blitz and we’ll get a good indication this weekend whether he’s got the guys to do it right now.

ND Defense vs. Michigan Offense


You’ll be hard pressed to find two better defensive linemen than Louis Nix and Stephon Tuitt, the anchors of this Irish defensive line. This is a pair of massive men with both of them coming in well over 300 pounds. But it’s not just girth; these guys are arguably two of the strongest linemen in the country as well and are able to physically dominate their opponents. Although Manti Te’o was the headliner of this unit last year, a unit that they rode to the title game, Tuitt and Nix were way more important in my mind. Despite losing Te’o this defense can be every bit as good as they were last year with eight other starters returning. Let’s not forget they held some decent offenses well below their averages last year including Michigan who scored just six points.

Michigan begins what they hope is a new era of offensive philosophy in 2013. No more Denard Robinson, no more spread and zone read option. Al Borges and Hoke are implementing a downhill, pro style, rushing focused, aggressive offense this year. Devin Gardner is firmly entrenched as the starting quarterback and has a chance to be a very solid Big Ten caliber signal caller. He is much more of a pocket pass than Robinson ever was but still has the athletic ability to get out and make things happen with his legs. But make no mistake; the days of Michigan quarterbacks leading the team in rushing are likely over. Look for Fitz Toussaint and highly touted Derrick Green to pound the rock a lot this season. This is without question the matchup of the day. Michigan’s pro style offense and rushing focus against an outstanding Notre Dame defensive line.

Final Take

My initial gut reaction when looking at this game is to side with the Wolverines. The environment inside of the Big House is going to be electric. I think the team was embarrassed with their six point effort last year and I think the new, more physical approach the coaching staff has implemented will pay dividends. On top of that I simply don’t trust Tommy Rees to go out and win a big game like this. Unfortunately I hate the line right now and frankly I think Michigan’s biggest strengths play right into Notre Dame’s biggest strengths creating somewhat of a stalemate. Under 52 may end up the preferred play unless the side drops under three points.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Betting Preview: Cincinnati at Illinois
By Andrew Lange
Sportsmemo.com

Cincinnati at Illinois
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Cincinnati -7.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Cincinnati -7.5 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -13
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Cincinnati

The word is clearly out that Illinois is not to be respected at all this season. Last week we saw the Illini open -24 vs. Southern Illinois and close -17. They were in control for much of the game but SIU was able to punch in a score in the fourth quarter and U of I slipped by with a 42-34 win. And that margin was how it looked in the box score – Illinois with slight edges in first downs and total yardage.

This week, the Illini take a big step up in class as they play host to Cincinnati. The Bearcats weren't particularly sharp last week against Purdue but still rolled to a 42-7 victory. Keep in mind that from a power rating standpoint, some would argue that Purdue is stronger that Illinois. But even if you consider them on equal footing and account for the change in venue, Cincinnati has some value at this current number.

When laying points on the road I’m looking for teams that obviously have the ability to win by margin and that travel to a venue that doesn’t hold much of a home field advantage. I think we get that here. Last year nine of Cinci’s 10 wins combing by double-digits while Illinois suffered blowout losses to Louisiana Tech, Penn State, Indiana, and a 14-point loss to Minnesota.

I spoke last month about the downward trajectory of the Illinois program and head coach Tim Beckman and his staff being in over their heads at this level. Unfortunately, the entire betting markets are aware of those deficiencies hence the price tag. And while it can take a few weeks for the markets to adjust to bad football teams, those who are already established as "bad" such as Illinois are placed in pointspread purgatory meaning they are “bet against” until they prove otherwise. At the current number I see no reason to rush to the window to bet Cincinnati. CRIS is showing -7.5 and there is enough contrarian opinions that we could see a -7 or two pop up before game day. That being said, Cincinnati has more than enough ability to go on the road and cash this ticket at anything less than -10.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Betting Preview: Oregon at Virginia
By Brian Edwards
Sportsmemo.com

Oregon at Virginia
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener: Oregon -22.5 O/U 59
CRIS Current: Oregon -21.5 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -22
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

Oregon ventured to the Eastern Time Zone back in Week 2 of the 2010 campaign. On that night, the Ducks trounced Tennessee 48-13 as an 11.5-point road favorite. They will be hoping for a similar result Saturday at Virginia in the first meeting between the two schools.

As of Wednesday, most books had Oregon installed as a 22-point favorite with a total of 60.5 or 61. Gamblers can take the Cavaliers to win outright for a +900 return (risk $100 to win $900).

Oregon has covered the spread in eight consecutive games as a road favorite. The Ducks opened 2013 with a 66-3 win over Nicholls State last Saturday as 59-point home chalk. The 69 combined points slipped over the 66.5-point total thanks to a touchdown with 3:45 remaining.

Marcus Mariota threw for 234 yards and one TD without committing a turnover. The sophomore signal caller also rushed for 113 yards and a pair of scores on just five carries. De’Anthony Thomas rushed for 128 yards and two TDs.

Kevin Parks scored on a 13-yard TD run with 2:36 remaining to lift Virginia to a 19-16 win over BYU as a 2.5-point home underdog in its season opener last week. The Cavs lost the turnover battle (2-1), were outgained 362-223 in total offense, and yet somehow they found a way to get into the win column.

That’s a good thing for fourth-year head coach Mike London, who can’t afford another season like 2012 when UVA limped to a 4-8 straight-up record (2-8-2 ATS). Before the spread cover against the Cougars, the Cavs had gone 0-7-3 ATS in their 10 previous home games.

Despite the win over BYU, quarterback play still appears to be an issue. The new starter, third-year sophomore David Watford, completed 18-of-32 passes for 114 yards with one TD and one interception. Watford was hesitant to look down the field and that might have been a good thing against BYU, but UVA is going to need more offense if it wants to keep pace with Oregon’s high-octane offense.

Note that UVA will be without starting guard Sean Cascarano, but both teams are otherwise injury-free.

Virginia owns a 3-6 spread record as a home underdog on London’s watch. Dating back to 2004, the Cavs have won five of six non-conference home games against BCS foes. The lone defeat came in blowout fashion when Southern Cal came to Charlottesville and dealt out a 52-7 shellacking as a 19.5-point road favorite.

I don’t like to eat more than three touchdowns worth of road chalk, especially when a team has to travel across the country. However, this smells like a blowout to me. Unless UVA can create turnovers galore, I just don’t see it having enough offensive firepower to stay within reach. I’ll call it Oregon by a 48-16 count.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

NCAAF: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Sportspic.com 

Ohio State (-27.5) vs. San Diego State

Ohio State opened the 2013 college football season with three-unanswered scores against Buffalo and appeared to be on their way to a route in week one before things fell apart. Braxton Miller was dealing with leg cramps, the Buckeyes' offense stumbled, and the defense failed to hold its own for four quarters in an eventual 40-20 win. It was enough to move on to week two with BCS Championship hopes intact, but head coach Urban Meyer was not happy with his team's level of play and has asked them to raise the bar in week two. It should help that San Diego State is in town following a blowout loss to Eastern Illinois, which was one of the biggest shocks of the opening week. Ohio State should be better in week two, and the Aztecs won't be able to put up 20 points the way Buffalo did.

South Carolina (+3.5) @ Georgia

All of the talk about Aaron Murray's inability to win the big one seemed a little too much in the offseason, but after another tough loss at Clemson last week the critics are only getting louder. Georgia opened as a 5-point favorite ahead of its date with South Carolina this week, but that number is already down to 3.5 and likely won't move from there as the bookies don't want to get burned on both sides. The Gamecocks torched North Carolina both on the ground and through the air in a week one win, and should have no problem covering in a game they could very well end up winning straight up.

Michigan (-3) vs. Notre Dame

The Fighting Irish were absolutely bullied in last year's BCS Championship game against Alabama, and this year's team isn't expected to be nearly as good. Michigan is coming off a dominant win over Central Michigan in which it put up a ridiculous 59 points, and will have the home advantage over a Notre Dame team that failed to cover against Temple in week one. The Fighting Irish offense isn't good enough to come out on top in shootouts, and the Notre Dame defense isn't nearly good enough to completely slow down the Michigan offense on the road this weekend.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

NCAAF: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Sportspic.com 

Buffalo @ Baylor Over 66

When Baylor and West Virginia clashed a year ago the line was monstrous, but by the end of the first quarter it was already on pace to obliterate the total. The Bears' offense has the potential to be just as explosive this year, and it matches up well against a Buffalo defense that just gave up 40 points against an Ohio State team that had a starting quarterback who was dealing with an injury for most of the game. Baylor will put up some big offensive numbers in this game as a 27.5 point favorite, and the Bulls' offense is good enough to put up at least a couple of scores to help push this number over the total. It may seem high at first glance, but both of these teams can score and the defenses aren't good enough to prevent them from doing exactly that.

San Diego State @ Ohio State Over 54

The Buckeyes scored 40 points in a win over Buffalo with Braxton Miller dealing with leg cramps and the offense lacking that crisp flare that is has developed under head coach Urban Meyer. Meyer wasn't pleased with his team's performance, and has asked for them to be much more efficient this week with Miller back at 100-percent. The offense should have no problem topping last week's 40-point performance against a San Diego State team that gave up 40 points in a blowout loss against the Eastern Illinois Panthers, and if the Aztecs manage to score even a single touchdown then this game should go over the total.

San Jose State @ Stanford Over 48.5

This Stanford defense is one of the best in the country, and it should give the offense plenty of chances to score in this game. The Cardinal will force turnovers and set up excellent field position time and again, so this game could get out of hand early on. That should leave enough time for the Spartans to put up a couple of scores against the second defensive unit late in order to help push the number over the total, which isn't that high to begin with thanks to the emphasis being put on the Stanford first-team defense being able to shut things down from the outset.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Saturday's Top 13 Games

Florida-Miami haven’t met since ’08; Gators haven’t played ‘canes here since ’03. Both teams won fairly handily last week, Miami outgained FAU 503-250, led 20-3 at half; Gators outgained Toledo 415-205, led 17-3 at half, but neither covered as big favorites. Since 2007, Florida is 12-4 as road favorite; they’re 27-12 vs spread in last 39 non-league games (1-4 last five). Miami is 8-3-1 as underdog under Golden; over last decade, they’re 5-2 as home dogs. Both teams have veteran QBs and experience OLs.

Temple lost 28-6 at Notre Dame last week because their kicker is awful; they left 10+ points on field when game was close; total yardage in game was 543-362. Owl QB Reilly is pretty good. Houston-Temple are league rivals who haven’t met since ’89 because AAC is new league. Since ’08, Cougars are 6-14 as road favorites- they’ve got veteran QB (9 starts) and four starters back on OL- they whacked outmanned Southern 62-13 last week (627-372 TY, 27-6 at half). Temple is just 5-6 vs spread as a dog since Golden left for Miami, but Owls are 13-7-1 in last 21 tries as a home dog.

In his three years at Texas Tech, Tuberville was 6-1-1 vs spread as a road favorite; his Cincinnati team is 8-5 as road faves since ’09, 9-4 in last 13 non-league games. Cincy has all five starters back on OL, including three seniors. Since ’06, Illinois is 7-5 as home dog; they’re 9-6 in last 15 non-league games. Illini also has experienced OL but no seniors start there. Bearcats (-10.5) crushed Purdue of Big Dozen 42-7 last week, running ball for 221 yards, passing for 204, good balance. Illini beat I-AA Southern Illinois 42-34, giving up 341 passing yards, not a good sign.

LY, West Virginia gained 778 yards vs Oklahoma, and lost 50-49, in an amazingly odd game in which WVU ran ball for 458 yards and lost, which almost never happens, except maybe to a service academy. Austin/Bailey/Jones are all in NFL now; Mountaineers struggled to beat I-AA Wm & Mary 24-17 last week (trailed 17-7 at half); since ’05, they’re 9-3 as road underdogs (3-1 under Holgorsen). Since ’06, Sooners are 26-15-1 as home favorites; they threw for 554 yards in this game LY. OU outgained ULM 429-166 last week, but completed only 14 of 33 passes.

South Carolina beat Georgia last three years, after losing seven of previous eight meetings; they’ve won two of last three visits between hedges, with underdogs 3-0-1 vs spread in Carolina’s last four visits here. Dawgs outgained Clemson 545-467 last week, but botched tying 25-yard FG late in third quarter and lost by 3; Georgia has only three starters back on defense- they’re 11-7 as home favorites since ’10, but since ’04, they’re 10-16 in game following a loss. Gamecocks are 14-9-1 as road dogs under Spurrier, 21-16-2 overall as dogs in his tenure. Both teams have veteran QBs and experienced OLs. SEC opener for both.

Duke (-23) beat Memphis 38-19 LY, outgaining Tigers 500-152 despite a -4 turnover ratio. Blue Devils are football road favorite for first time since 2005; they’re 8-3-1 vs spread as favorites under Cutcliffe, though and 11-7 in last 18 non-ACC games. Duke has four starters back on very experienced OL (118 starts) with an inexperienced QB. Memphis was 3-1 as home dogs in Fuente’s (former Oklahoma QB) first year as HC; they had been 4-11 as home dogs from ’09-’11. Tigers didn’t play last week, so that helps Duke, which got to work some kinks out in 45-0 win over I-AA chump. Memphis has a senior QB (12 starts) and 54 starts back on OL.

Northwestern (-1) won wild 42-41 game in Carrier Dome LY, despite being outgained 596-337. Wildcats were 5-0 as home favorites LY, after being 6-17 in that role from ’03-’11. Fitzgerald’s team lost its QB early last week at Cal, scored two defensive TDs in second half and left Bay Area with 44-30 win (-6). Cal’s hurry-up offense gained 558 yards despite Wildcats faking injuries to slow it down. Syracuse (+7.5) lost 23-17 to Penn State in Swamp, getting outgained 353-260; game was 6-3 at half- SU is 14-7-1 vs spread in last 22 non-league games. Neither team is experienced on OL or at QB, but Wildcats’ program has more continuity, with Marrone gone to NFL.

Notes on rest of Saturday's games.

-- Favorites are 23-12 vs spread in Kentucky’s last 35 games; Wildcats were 7-3 as home favorite under Phillips, but got off to bad start in Stoops era, losing to Western Kentucky on neutral field.
– Michigan State failed to cover last seven games as a home favorite, is 7-9 vs spread in last 16 non-league games, but South Florida lost 53-21 last week to I-AA McNeese State; hard to endorse either side.
-- Oklahoma State was 0-3 as home favorite LY, after being 18-5 from ’03-’11; Cowboys covered nine of last 13 non-league games.
– Ohio U is 4-7 in last 11 tries as home favorite; they’re on short week after getting roughed up by Louisville Sunday. North Texas passed for 404 yards in 40-6 (-16) win over Idaho last week.

– North Carolina is 9-5 vs spread as home favorite last two years; since ’05, Middle Tennessee is 11-15 as a road underdog. Both teams have senior QBs.
– San Diego State lost 40-19 at home to I-AA Eastern Illinois last week. Oy. Ohio State is 6-9 in last 15 games as home favorite, 3-7 in last ten non-league games.
– Utah State outgained rival Utah 487-450 last week, but lost tough 30-26 game, while Air force ran option for 409 yards in easy win over I-AA Colgate. First Mountain West game for Aggies.
– Since 2007, Tulane is 2-10 vs spread when favored at home; Green Wave better not look ahead to TV date with Louisiana Tech in next game.

– Virginia beat BYU 19-16 in monsoon last week, despite punting 13 times. Oregon makes long trip east- they’re 7-0 as road favorites last two years.
– Nebraska covered seven of last nine games as a home favorite, but only four of last 11 non-league games. Huskers allowed 35 first downs in 37-34 win over Wyoming last week, 33 of them on either 1st or 2nd down- they lost seven defensive starters from LY.
– Since ’05, Missouri is 22-11 vs spread in non-league games. Toledo was outgained 415-205 in 24-6 (+23) loss at Florida last week; Rockets covered seven of last eight games as a road underdog.
– Colorado State is on short week after 41-27 loss to Colorado in Denver Sunday; State was outgained 509-295. Since ’10, Tulsa is 11-6 as a home favorite; they got crushed 34-7 at Bowling Green Thursday, giving up 233 rushing yards.

– Ball State won last two meetings with Army 48-21/30-22, after losing previous two games with Cadets; Cardinals are 4-1 as home favorites under Lembo. Army is 1-6 as road dogs last two years.
– Eastern Michigan was outgained 384-380 by I-AA Howard last week. Penn State turned ball over four times last week, throwing for 296 yards, running for just 57 in 23-17 neutral field win over Syracuse, in frosh QB Hackenburg’s first college game.
– Baylor is 11-6 as home favorite under Briles; they don’t leave Waco until Oct 12. Buffalo covered four of last five games as a road underdog. – Since start of 2011, Western Kentucky is 12-0 vs spread away from home. Tennessee has 128 starts back on offensive line, one of most experienced in country; they were 1-5 as home favorite LY, after being 17-9-1 from ’07-’11.

– Kansas State lost at home to I-AA North Dakota State last week; Wildcats have only two starters back on defense from LY. ULL was outgained 522-274 in 34-14 (+10.5) loss at Arkansas.
– Oregon State lost 49-46 at home to I-AA Eastern Washington last week; since ’09, Beavers are 5-9 as home favorites (4-1 LY). Hawai’I (+24) lost 30-13 at home to USC last week, covering on last-minute TD pass (364-231 TY).
– Minnesota scored TDs on kick return, blocked FG and on defense in 51-23 (-13.5) home win over UNLV last week; Gophers are 12-7 vs spread in last 19 games as road favorites. New Mexico State was onluy down 14-7 at Texas at half last week, lost 56-7 (+43).

– Wyoming lost 37-34 at Nebraska last week but had 35 first downs, most ever vs Husker team; Cowboys outgained Huskers 602-503 despite being just 2-9 on third downs. Idaho (+16) lost 40-7 at North Texas, giving up 404 passing yards.
– Home side won five of last six New Mexico-UTEP games; Lobos lost last three visits here, by 4-8-3 points. Miners didn’t play last week, while New Mexico lost at home to Texas State, completing just 6-17 passes and getting shut out in second half.
– UNLV has nine starters back on both sides of ball but gave up three TDs on offense/special teams last week in 51-23 loss (+13.5) at Minnesota. Since 2008, Arizona is 2-8-1 vs spread as a road favorite.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Gambling Preview: Florida at Miami
By Teddy Covers
Sportsmemo.com

Florida at Miami (FL)
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener: Florida -3 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: Florida -3 O/U 48
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida -6
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

The Florida vs. Miami rivalry isn’t much of a rivalry these days.  The two teams haven’t played since 2008, and have no scheduled meetings following Saturday’s clash at the Orange Bowl in Miami. When they played in ’08, Urban Meyer was at the height of his career with Florida, and the game was no contest: a 26-3 Gators win, with Miami held to just 140 yards of total offense.  That being said, Miami was a 24-point underdog at the closing number, and Hurricane backers got the money when they lost by only 23.

Florida’s defense may be every bit as good this year.  They completely stifled a pretty good Toledo offense last week, holding the Rockets to 12 first downs, 205 total yards and two field goals for the game.  The Gators were playing without suspended defenders LB Antonio Morrison, DT Darious Cummings and CB Loucheiz Purifoy in that contest, all of whom are expected to suit up this week.

That could be bad news for a Miami offense that did not look sharp in their home opener against Florida Atlantic last weekend.   The Hurricanes ran the ball effectively all evening, but senior QB Stephen Morris wasn’t clicking with his receivers, a modest 15-of-27 for 160 yards with one TD and one interception.  Head coach Al Golden: “We have to throw and catch better. We weren't as sharp as we need to be and that's it. No excuses. We protected well, except for one time, but other than that we have to throw and catch the ball better. We have to be more precise in our routes.”

The Gators have plenty of offensive concerns of their own.  When Florida last won the national title following the 2008 season, their offense averaged more than 43 points per game.  In Will Muschamp’s first two years as Florida’s head coach, the Gators averaged under 27 points per game in both seasons.  Last week against Toledo, the offense continually sputtered: four three-and-outs and two potential scoring drives stopped in the red zone.

Florida’s biggest offensive problem has been their lack of explosive playmakers – this team simply isn’t scoring many quick strike touchdowns these days.  They didn’t have a single 30+ yard play against a MAC defense last week, executing long, plodding drives instead of short, explosive ones.  RB Matt Jones is back from his one game suspension this week, but the real culprit here is the Jeff Driskel led passing game.

Driskel was the #1 rated QB recruit in the country when he arrived in Gainesville, but in a year and a half as the starter, he’s yet to live up to those enormous expectations.  The numbers don’t lie. He started 12 games as a sophomore last year, but finished the season with only 12 TD passes and 1,600 passing yards, bottom tier numbers.  It’s surely worth noting that Driskel struggled repeatedly on the highway last year, reaching 200 passing yards and throwing for more than one TD only once in their six games outside of the Swamp.

Yes, there is plenty of skill position talent on the field, but neither offense can be described as explosive these days, and both defenses have every bit as much size and speed as their counterparts on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Expect a relatively plodding, hard hitting low scoring affair that stays Under the total.

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CFB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com 

Oregon at Virginia

Ducks ranked in the top three in scoring offense for three years in-a-row had little trouble dismantling Nicholls State in the opener racking up 772 total yards split between 272 passing (2TD), 500 rushing yards (7TD) in it's 66-3 victory. Meanwhile, Virginia knocked off Brigham Young by a 19-16 score behind 114 passing (1TD), 109 rushing yards (1TD). Although, Virginia defense held it's own vs BYU's up-tempo style, the Cavaliers face an uphill battle this week against Ducks quicker-paced high-powered offense. Playing away from home is a difficult proposition for most teams and covering an even greater task. However, Ducks simply have more strength, resources than Cavaliers and should improve the current 8-1 SU/ATS overall stretch, 9-0 SU/ATS streak away from Autzen Stadium while Virginia adds to the 1-7-1 ATS slide at Scott Stadium, 2-8 ATS skid vs non-conference foes.

Texas at Brigham Young

Longhorns doing a number on New Mexico State racking up a massive 715 total yards in a 56-7 rout covering the whopping 44.5 point spot take the up-tempo offense to Provo Utah where they'll clash with BYU Cougars off a 19-16 season opening loss at Virginia as a 2.5-point chalk. There are some favorable sports handicapping trends to back BYU in this matchup. The Cougars are on a 7-0 ATS stretch as an underdog, 4-1 ATS vs Big 12. However, QB Taysom Hill struggling without Cody Hoffman last week and with the WR ‘questionable’ for Saturday Cougars could be in dangerous betting territory as Horns are 4-1 ATS as a visiting favorite, 7-2 ATS out of conference the past two seasons.

Notre Dame at Michigan

Wolverines amassing 463 total yards in routing Central Michigan 59-9 in the opener have moved to 15-0 at home under head coach Brady Hoke with a sparkling 10-5 mark at the betting window. Meanwhile, Fighting Irish put aside their embarrassing loss to Alabama in the National Championship game racking up 543 total yards in it's 28-6 opening win over Owls. The scoring barrage Wolverines displayed this past week will be tough to repeat with defense a big part in Fighting Irish's recent success. However, Wolverines impressive straight-up home record looks safe as they're on a 3-0 SU streak at home vs Fighting Irish, 6-1 SU stretch the past seven encounters in Ann Arbor. From a college football betting perspective things aren't so safe for Michigan. The Wolverines are just 2-6 ATS as home chalks of 4 or less, 2-5 ATS after pilling up 45 or more points the previous game and 0-5-1 ATS when held under 25 points/game a situation that is not out of the question with this Irish squad. A final few betting nuggets to consider, Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS taking 4 or less on the road, 4-3 ATS vs Wolverines in Ann Arbor.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

South Carolina at Georgia
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Matchup: South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs
Venue: Sanford Stadium (Grass)
Date: Saturday, September 7, 2013
Time/TV: 4:30 p.m. ET - ESPN
Line: Georgia -3 1/2, Over/Under 56
Last Meeting: 2012, South Carolina 35 vs. Georgia 7

Coming off a 38-35 loss at Clemson, Georgia (0-1 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) returns home Saturday with hopes of avoiding the script of its 2011 campaign. Two years ago, UGA opened the season with a loss to Boise State and then fell to 0-2 when Melvin Ingram led South Carolina to a 45-42 win between the hedges.

March Richt’s team opened as a four-point favorite Sunday night, but the number was three by early Monday morning. The line remained at three until Thursday when most spots move to 3.5, while others were reluctant to come off the key number and simply added more juice (-115 or -120) for those looking to support the Bulldogs.

As of early Monday morning, UGA was favored by 3.5 with a total of 56. Gamblers can take Steve Spurrier’s team to win outright for a +145 return (risk $100 to win $145). The Dawgs are 2.5-point favorites for first-half wagers with a total of 28.

South Carolina (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) has won three in a row over Georgia, including a 35-7 beatdown in Columbia last season. The Gamecocks raced out to a 21-0 first-quarter lead and it was over that quickly and easily. Only a short touchdown run for UGA with 1:55 remaining prevented it from taking cream-cheese treatment.

Connor Shaw threw a pair of touchdown passes and ran for another. Ace Sanders had a punt return for a TD and Marcus Lattimore also got into the end zone.

UGA quarterback Aaron Murray wasn’t allowed to get into any sort of rhythm thanks to ruthless South Carolina pass rush led by Jadeveon Clowney. Murray completed only 11-of-31 passes for 109 yards and one interception. The senior signal caller now owns a 1-10 record in 11 career games against opponents ranked in the Top 15.

South Carolina opened last Thursday with a 27-10 win over North Carolina as an 11-point home favorite. The Gamecock had to mount a goal-line stand in the waning moments to preserve the cover for their backers. They had raced out to a 17-0 first-quarter lead behind a TD pass apiece for Shaw and Dylan Thompson.

Shaw improved to 18-3 in 21 career starts. Spurrier’s offense produced 406 yards of total offense while limiting the Tar Heels to 293 yards. Remember, Larry Fedora’s team averaged more than 40 points per game in 2012 and has a veteran QB in Bryn Renner, who had a 28/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio last season.

Nevertheless, UNC’s lone TD drive needed a bogus facemask penalty on a third-down stop to be kept alive. The 37 combined points fell ‘under’ the 56-point total.

We knew UGA’s offense would be well ahead of its defense in the early going of 2013. That was indeed the case in last week’s loss, which was extra sour since leading returning receiver Malcolm Mitchell suffered a season-ending knee injury during an end-zone celebration.

On the bride side for Georgia, sophomore RB Todd Gurley ran like a beast. Gurley rushed for 154 yards and two TDs on just 12 carries. He was slowed by a quad injury but is ‘probable’ and will start Saturday.

Since 2004, Georgia has compiled a 22-27-1 spread record as a home favorite. Meanwhile, South Carolina owns a 14-9-1 ATS mark during Spurrier’s nine-year tenure.

South Carolina starting TE Rory Anderson has been upgraded to ‘probable’ after missing the season opener with a hamstring strain. Senior WR Bruce Ellington played a little bit against UNC, but he had missed more than two weeks of practice due to a hamstring. During his call-in show this week, Spurrier declared Ellington was ‘back to 100 percent.’

ESPN will provide the telecast at 4:30 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Sportsbook.ag has updated its odds to win the SEC. Alabama is the -130 ‘chalk,’ followed by Georgia (+450), Texas A&M (+600), South Carolina (+600), Florida (10/1), LSU (10/1) and Ole Miss (25/1).

The offshore website has ‘Bama as the +250 favorite to win the BCS Championship. The next-shortest odds belong to Ohio St. (5/1), Oregon (8/1), Texas A&M (12/1), FSU (12/1), Texas (15/1), Stanford (18/1), Clemson (18/1) and South Carolina (20/1).

Sportsbook.ag currently has Alabama as a seven-point favorite for next Saturday’s showdown at Texas A&M. Other lines in the website’s Games of the Year section include Georgia -3 vs. LSU, Clemson -1 vs. FSU, Georgia -2 vs. Florida, Oregon -3 at Stanford, ‘Bama -11 vs. LSU and ‘Bama -21 at Auburn.

Tennessee is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. The Vols will be in that role Saturday when they’re favored by 13.5 or 14 over Bobby Petrino’s Western Kentucky squad. The Hilltoppers own a 10-1 spread record in their last 11 games as road underdogs.

Northwestern QB/WR Kain Colter has been upgraded to ‘probable’ for his team’s home opener vs. Syracuse. Even with Colter and star RB Venric Mark missing most of the game, the Wildcats were able to win 44-30 at Cal last week.

UNLV has only won six times in 39 games during Bobby Hauck’s tenure. However, the Rebels have thrived as home underdogs with an outstanding 10-3-1 ATS mark. UNLV is a 10.5-point home ‘dog Saturday night vs. Arizona at Sam Boyd Stadium.

San Jose St. is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog. The Spartans, who lost a 20-17 heartbreaker at Stanford last season, are catching 25.5 Saturday night in Palo Alto. Stanford star LB Shayne Skov will be ‘out’ due to a one-game suspension.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Afternoon Action
By Covers.com

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers (-45)

If first-year head coach Gary Andersen can keep the Wisconsin defense performing on par with its running game, then Saturday's non-conference game against visiting Tennessee Tech could be just the latest in a long line of victories for the nation's 21st-ranked team. The Badgers ran for 393 yards last week in a 45-0 rout over Massachusetts, but more importantly, their new 3-4 defense shut out the Minutemen while holding them to 3.6 yards per play. "If I could characterize it in one word, it would be solid," defensive end Ethan Hemer said. "Guys made plays, caused turnovers. It was overall a pretty solid performance."

Tennessee Tech had an impressive showing of its own by posting a 63-7 victory over Cumberland of the NAIA. The margin of victory was its largest in a season opener. Sophomore Ladarius Vanlier had back-to-back touchdowns of more than 50 yards and quarterback Darian Stone passed for two scores and ran for two more while leading the offense to 505 total yards.

Key betting stat: Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.

Southeastern Louisiana Lions at TCU Horned Frogs (-43)


Senior quarterback Casey Pachall will remain Texas Christian's starting quarterback despite a late-game switch in last week's loss to Louisiana State. Sophomore Trevone Boykin, who started nine games last year after Pachall left for an impatient rehab facility, could play wide receiver when the No. 24 Horned Frogs host Southeastern Louisiana on Saturday. "If anything we need to get the ball to (Boykin)," coach Gary Patterson told the Fort Worth Star-Telegram on Sunday. "He played well as a wide receiver."

The Lions had a record day behind former Oregon quarterback Bryan Bennett but will have their hands full against a Horned Frogs' defense that has allowed 17 or fewer points eight times during an 11-game win streak in home openers. Patterson wouldn't divulge the availability for sophomore defensive lineman Devonte Fields, who was given a two-game suspension in May for breaking team rules. Fields is listed atop the team's depth chart and coaches are worried about the possibility of injury for next week's game against Texas Tech, but a decision will come from Patterson and TCU chancellor Victor Boschini.

Key betting stat: Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

Florida Gators at Miami Hurricanes (+3, 48)

The state of Florida has produced some of the most bitter rivalries of the last generation in college football, and No. 9 Florida and No. 24 Miami are gearing up for another chapter on Saturday. The Hurricanes will host the Gators in what could be the last meeting for the foreseeable future, as Florida will lose a non-conference game in a proposed expansion to a nine-game SEC schedule. Miami and the Gators will both be putting strong defenses on display.

The Hurricanes are having a harder time finding their way into the top half of the Top-25 than in-state rivals Florida and Florida State, but showed plenty of promise in a Week 1 drubbing of Florida Atlantic. Miami sophomore running back Duke Johnson shouldered most of the offensive load and will be attacking a Florida defense that surrendered only 50 yards on the ground in its opening win over Toledo. Johnson racked up 186 yards despite sitting out most of the second half.

Key betting stat: Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (+26, 59.5)

It certainly did not take long for J.W. Walsh to earn the respect of Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy. After coming off the bench in the Cowboys’ season opener, Walsh will start at quarterback in Saturday’s game at UTSA. Gundy said earlier this week that Walsh, a sophomore, would likely play the entire game, leaving fifth-year senior Clint Chelf on the bench for 14th-ranked Oklahoma State.

Chelf played the first two series last week against Mississippi State before Gundy switched to Walsh, who completed 18-of-27 passes for 135 yards. Walsh also ran for 125 yards and a score, while Jeremy Smith added 102 rushing yards and a pair of TDs in the 21-3 victory. The Cowboys’ defense bottled up the Bulldogs and will look to do the same against the Roadrunners, who scored 21 unanswered points to win at New Mexico last week 21-13.

Key betting stat: Under is 21-7-1 in Cowboys' last 29 road games.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Louisville Cardinals (-41)

No. 8 Louisville looks feed off the momentum of its explosive season-opening victory as it hosts Eastern Kentucky on Saturday. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater became the first Player of the Week in American Athletic Conference history, rolling up 355 yards and tying a career high with five touchdown passes in the Cardinals' 49-7 trouncing of Ohio. Louisville coach Charlie Strong's first collegiate win came against the Colonels in 2010.

Eastern Kentucky entered the season following an 8-3 finish in 2012, tying for second in the Ohio Valley Conference with Tennessee-Martin. The Colonels cruised to a 38-6 win over Robert Morris last week in the debut for 11 starters. Quarterback Jared McClain, who was taking over for Eastern Kentucky's all-time passing leader T.J. Pryor, passed for two scores and ran for two more in the victory.

Key betting stat: Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

South Carolina State Bulldogs at Clemson Tigers (-52.5)

Seven days after posting one of its biggest victories in recent memory, Clemson hopes to avoid a letdown against visiting South Carolina State on Saturday. The Tigers moved up to fifth in the national poll after edging previously No. 5 Georgia 38-35  in a Week 1 thriller. Tajh Boyd threw three touchdown passes and ran for two more scores in a win that “turned a lot of heads in college football,” according to the senior quarterback.

As Boyd continues his early-season push for Heisman Trophy consideration, the matchup with FCS foe South Carolina State presents an opportunity to rack up some impressive stats. The Bulldogs faced two FBS programs in 2012, losing to Arizona and Texas A&M by a combined margin of 126-14. In their 2013 season opener, South Carolina State held a slim halftime lead before falling to Coastal Carolina 27-20.

Key betting stat: Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games in September.

San Diego State Aztecs at Ohio State Buckeyes (-27.5, 56)

Second-ranked Ohio State looks to stretch the nation’s longest winning streak to 14 games when it hosts San Diego State on Saturday. The Buckeyes defeated Buffalo 40-20 in their season-opening game and will have junior All-American cornerback Bradley Roby back from a one-game suspension due to a disorderly-conduct incident. San Diego State has just one victory in 32 road contests against ranked teams, and that victory occurred last season when the Aztecs won 21-19 at Boise State.

San Diego State got off to a poor start as it committed five turnovers and was drubbed at home 40-19 by FCS school Eastern Illinois. Buckeyes junior quarterback Braxton Miller, who finished fifth in the Heisman Trophy balloting last season, passed for 178 yards and two touchdowns and rushed for 77 yards against Buffalo. Miller has 2,063 career rushing yards and needs 18 more to surpass Cornelius Greene (1973-75) as the most prolific running quarterback in Ohio State history.

Key betting stat: Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers (+22.5, 61)

No. 3 Oregon takes its high-powered offense on the road to Virginia on Saturday, the farthest east the Ducks have played since a 1977 trip to Georgia. The Ducks, who have never played an ACC team during the regular season, own the nation's longest road win streak at 15 games. The Ducks had eight touchdown drives last less than two minutes and racked up a school-record 772 yards against Nicholls State last week in Mark Helfrich's debut as head coach.

The Cavaliers got a taste of an up-tempo offense last week as BYU gained 362 yards on 93 plays. Oregon and BYU each averaged 16.7 seconds per play last Saturday, but the Ducks' speed still is unlike anything first-year Virginia defensive coordinator Jon Tenuta has seen. "The plays are similar, everybody runs the similar plays ... out of the spread offense," Tenuta said during this week's conference call. "There's a lot of similarities based on that aspect, but as far as the speed factor is concerned, in the last few years, no."

Key betting stat: Cavaliers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs (-3, 56)

Sixth-ranked South Carolina opens its SEC schedule Saturday with an opportunity to take a big step toward winning the East Division title as it visits No. 12 Georgia. Junior defensive end Jadeveon Clowney struggled throughout the Gamecocks' season-opening 27-10 victory over North Carolina due to a stomach virus, looking nothing like the player who won the conference’s Defensive Player of the Year honor in 2012. South Carolina displayed a balanced offensive approach in scoring the game’s first 17 points and will look to continue that trend this week.

Georgia’s defense struggled in a 38-35 loss at Clemson, allowing 13 plays of at least 10 yards. The bad news was not limited to that side of the ball - junior wide receiver Malcolm Mitchell injured the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee celebrating the Bulldogs’ first touchdown and will miss the rest of the season. Two areas of focus for Georgia this week will be better results on third down (4-for-14 in the opener) and playing smarter (nine penalties for 84 yards).

Key betting stat: Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Evening Action
By Covers.com

Syracuse Orange at Northwestern Wildcats (-17, 53)

Backup quarterback Trevor Siemian was the hero for Northwestern against Syracuse last season, and he may get a chance to squeeze the Orange again this weekend. In Northwestern’s 2012 season opener, Siemian came on for an injured Kain Colter and threw the game-winning touchdown pass with 44 seconds left, lifting his team to a 42-41 victory over the Orange. With Colter banged up again, Siemian could get the start for the No. 20 Wildcats on Saturday in their home opener versus Syracuse.

Northwestern is coming off a 44-30 victory at California in which the offense piled up 508 yards despite Colter suffering a concussion on the opening drive. Siemian came on to pass for 276 yards and a touchdown, while the Northwestern defense also made some big plays, including two interceptions returned for touchdowns by junior linebacker Collin Ellis. Syracuse fell to Penn State 23-17 last week in the debut of senior quarterback Drew Allen, a transfer from Oklahoma who was 16-of-37 for 189 yards and two interceptions against the Nittany Lions.

Key betting stat: Wildcats are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-28, 59.5)

Nebraska survived a scare from Wyoming in its season opener but should be able to celebrate a larger margin of victory when it hosts Southern Mississippi on Saturday. The No. 19 Cornhuskers allowed a stunning 602 yards in a 37-34 victory over Wyoming and strive for a much better performance against the Golden Eagles, who possess the nation’s longest losing streak at 13 consecutive games. Southern Miss lost 22-15 to Texas State in Todd Monken’s debut as coach.

The Golden Eagles outgained FCS school Texas State 400-207 but sabotaged themselves with six turnovers – four fumbles, two interceptions. Nebraska’s yardage allowed was its second-most ever in a victory (610 versus Ball State in 2007) as a young unit took its lumps against Wyoming and allowed eight plays of 20 or more yards. Senior quarterback Taylor Martinez bruised his left shoulder during the contest and is expected to be fully ready by kickoff.

Key betting stat: Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Big Ten.

Texas Longhorns at BYU Cougars (+7, 57.5)

No. 16 Texas set a school mark for total offense in its opener and now faces a tough defensive squad when it visits Brigham Young on Saturday. The Longhorns rolled up 715 yards in a 56-7 rout of New Mexico State and had four scoring plays of 50 or more yards for the first time in program history. Brigham Young finished third in total defense last season and allowed 223 yards and forced 13 punts in a season-opening 19-16 loss to Virginia.

The Cougars hope to have senior receiver Cody Hoffman on the field after he missed the opener with a hamstring injury. Hoffman had eight 100-yard receiving games last season and ranks third in BYU history in receiving touchdowns (28), fourth in career receptions (203) and fifth in receiving yardage (2,718). Texas has won 13 consecutive non-conference road games and is attempting to get back into the national championship discussion this season after going 22-16 over the last three years.

Key betting stat: Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.

UAB Blazers at LSU Tigers (-34.5, 60.5)

No. 11 LSU will look to carry forward the offensive fortitude it displayed in last week’s season-opening 37-27 victory over TCU, but as the Tigers host UAB on Saturday, there will be a focus on eliminating the mistakes that kept the opener close. The Tigers gave up a kickoff return for a touchdown, set up another TCU score with a fumble at their 6-yard line and kept a drive alive with a roughing the passer penalty. “If we improve on our tackling, we minimize some of the penalties, we don’t turn the ball over, it could have been a much different game,” LSU coach Les Miles told reporters Tuesday.

The Tigers figure to have an easier time with a UAB squad that allowed 497 yards and blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead in a 34-31 overtime loss to Troy in its season opener. The Blazers allowed 319 yards passing as Troy quarterback Corey Robinson set a NCAA record by completing 93.8 percent of his passes (30-for-32). LSU senior quarterback Zach Mettenberger passed for 251 yards and a touchdown against TCU in Cam Cameron’s first game as offensive coordinator, and the Tigers’ defense surrendered only 259 yards.

Key betting stat: Over is 7-3 in Tigers' last 10 non-conference games.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma Sooners (-21, 57.5)

No. 15 Oklahoma and visiting West Virginia enter Saturday's Big 12 opener after debuting new quarterbacks and improved defenses in season-opening wins last week. The Sooners, who posted their first shutout since 2010, pointed to a 2012 meeting with the Mountaineers as one of their defensive low points. "Between that night (a 50-49 road win) and what happened in the bowl game (a 41-13 loss to Texas A&M), it obviously convinced us that we needed to adjust our defense," defensive coordinator Mike Stoops said at Monday's press conference. "(We had to) be more flexible and more diverse and put more pressure on the quarterback."

West Virginia posted a second-half shutout in a rally against William & Mary after an inexperienced defense settled down. Junior quarterback Paul Millard has been tabbed the starter for the Mountaineers for the second straight week but junior backup Clint Trickett could figure in the offense attack. Oklahoma redshirt freshman Trevor Knight showed off more of his running ability than his arm in his debut.

Key betting stat: Mountaineers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas A&M Aggies (-37.5)


One week before its highly anticipated showdown with No. 1-ranked Alabama, seventh-ranked Texas A&M welcomes FCS opponent Sam Houston State to Kyle Field on Saturday. All eyes figure to be on Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel, who tossed three touchdown passes in the second half of the Aggies’ 52-31 win over Rice last Saturday. The sophomore quarterback was also benched late in the game after drawing an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty for taunting.

Manziel’s antics overshadowed the Aggies’ season-opening win, which featured a shaky performance by the defensive unit. With five defensive starters suspended, Texas A&M allowed a surprising 509 yards of total offense against Rice. Two of the suspended players are due back against Southland Conference opponent Sam Houston State, which extended its home win streak to 15 games with a 74-0 victory over Houston Baptist last Saturday.

Key betting stat: Under is 8-2 in Aggies last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-3.5, 50)

Notre Dame hasn't won at Michigan's "Big House" since 2005, a fact the 13th-ranked Fighting Irish need to remedy Saturday to keep their hopes of getting back to the national championship game alive. The 17th-ranked Wolverines seek their 400th victory at Michigan Stadium - and their 16th straight under coach Brady Hoke. Michigan has won six of its last seven home games versus Notre Dame, including three straight - one shy of its longest home win streak in the series.

The Wolverines hold a 23-16-1 edge in the series between the teams with the two best winning percentages in college football history. But the Irish defense dominated last year's matchup, intercepting Denard Robinson five times in a 13-6 victory. That sort of defensive performance would be even more impressive against this Michigan team, which rolled up 463 yards in a 59-9 win over Central Michigan last week.

Key betting stat: Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Washington State Cougars at USC Trojans (-15.5, 53.5)


No. 22 USC hopes explosive tailback Silas Redd will be ready when it begins Pac-12 Conference play against visiting Washington State on Saturday. Redd missed last week's game at Hawaii, further hampering an offense in flux. The Trojans still haven't decided on a starting quarterback for Saturday with Max Wittek and Cody Kessler still battling for Matt Barkley's old job.

The Cougars opened the season with a hard-fought 31-24 loss at Auburn last week. Washington State surrendered a kickoff return for a touchdown and had its comeback hopes ended when Connor Halliday was picked off in the end zone with five minutes left. Washington State has lost 20 straight games to ranked opponents and hasn't beaten USC since 2002.

Key betting stat: Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

San Jose State Spartans at Stanford Cardinal (-25, 48.5)

Stanford enters its season opener Saturday against visiting San Jose State as a heavy favorite, but the Spartans are very capable of making things interesting. San Jose State has won eight straight and 12 of its last 13 games, including a 24-0 win over Sacramento State in Week 1. The Spartans are unlikely to be overlooked by the fourth-ranked Cardinal, who won their fifth straight game in the series last season by a narrow 20-17 margin.

San Jose State’s upset hopes are fueled by senior quarterback David Fales, who is 12-2 as a starter and ended last season as the nation's most accurate passer. He’ll be tested by a Stanford defense that led the country in sacks last season and returns eight starters, including linebackers Shayne Skov and Trent Murphy. The Spartans’ running game could struggle without starting tailback Tyler Ervin, who hasn’t practiced since leaving last Thursday's game with a right foot injury.

Key betting stat: Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Where The Action Is: Saturday's NCAAF Line Moves
By Jason Logan
Covers.com

Books and bettors are both getting a grip on the college football season, which means plenty of line movement in Week 2 of the season. We talk to sportsbooks about the biggest adjustments to the odds heading into the weekend:

South Florida Bulls at Michigan State Spartans – Open: -24.5, Move: -23

Michigan State is still ironing out the wrinkles and has some health issues heading into Week 2, which has trimmed this spread a touch.

“Doubtfuls for Michigan State have seen this line creep down, but still obviously strong to the Spartans,” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Money is still coming on them at the adjusted line.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners – Open: +31.5, Move: 26.5

The Cowboys took a while to get going against Mississippi State in Week 1 but found their high-scoring form in the second half. Some markets opened this one way too high and since the adjustment, the majority of money is on OSU and could take this spread back up.

“Heavy action on Cowboys,” says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. “On Friday, we moved OSU to -28 with 85 percent of cash on Oklahoma State.”

Toledo Rockets at Missouri Tigers – Open: -14.5, Move: -17.5, Move: -17

The Rockets are known for giving BCS programs a run for their money. This line jumped as many as three points, thanks to sharp money on Missouri, before bettors came back on Toledo, which is garnering 66 percent of the handle.

“Sharps are doing what sharps do in Week 2: touching double-digit dogs and smaller-market games,” says an oddsmaker with BetDSI.com.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Illinois Fighting Illini – Open: +12, Move: +7.5

The Bearcats beat up on Big Ten foe Purdue in Week 1 and opened as hefty favorites versus Illinois. However, early money made it clear the Illini have plenty of fight in them this weekend.

“Smart money says the opener gave too much to Cincy on the road,” says Black. “Although the line has gone to the Illini, the money is coming in now on the smaller spread on Cincinnati.”

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tennessee Volunteers – Open: -9.5, Move: -13.5

Bettors expect a letdown from WKU after upsetting Kentucky in Week 1. Action has also bumped the total for this game from 55 to 58 points.

“Both sharp and public money is backing the Over Western Kentucky- Tennessee total, shooting from 55 to 58 with no buy back,” says BetDSI.com.

Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers – Open: +25.5, Move: +23.5, Move: 24.5

Some markets dropped the original line but most books opened Oregon -23 and have taken nothing but Ducks action, with sharp money getting a deal with Oregon on the road against a weaker ACC opponent.

“Ninety percent of money is on the Ducks,” says Perry. “This will be one of the five biggest decisions for the shop.”

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn Tigers – Open: -13, Move: -10.5

Not everyone is buying into Auburn after its opening win over Washington State. The Tigers take on a dangerous Red Wolves squad, which has drawn the majority of spread bets and all the SU money, dropping from +390 to +330.

“Too much respect to Auburn with the early line,” says Black. “There has to be some respect given to a (ASU) team that went for 509 yards rushing last week.”

Idaho Vandals at Wyoming Cowboys – Open: -21.5, Move: -30, Move: -28.5

This line has moved as much as a full touchdown at some books while others opened Wyoming -27.5 and took sharp action on the home side, which pumped the line to -30. Wiseguys bought back the Vandals and has the line at -28.5 at most shops.

San Jose State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal – Open: -22, Move: -25.5

Stanford makes its debut against a familiar foe in SJSU. The Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Spartans, but just escaped with a 20-17 win as 25.5-point favorites last fall. While the spread has climbed at most shops, Sportsbook.com is taking big money on San Jose State.

“Sharp money on San Jose State moved the line from Stanford -27.5 to -26,” says Perry. “About 72 percent of cash is on San Jose State.”

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas A&M Aggies - Open: -46.5, Move: -37

This game stinks of lookahead for the Aggies, with Alabama waiting on next week’s schedule. Johnny Manziel was the brunt of media criticism all week after his antics during the limited performance versus Rice in Week 1. A dark cloud resounds over this BCS-versus-FCS matchup and bettors have moved this line nearly 10 points since post.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Essential Betting Tidbits For Week 2 of College Football
By Covers.com

Below is a list of at least one betting tidbit for a plethora of matchups featuring two FBS schools on Saturday.

-Miami-Ohio gave up 374 yards in the second half last week to Marshall while only gaining 55 on offense. +17 at Kentucky this week.

-Penn State's offense managed just 57 yards rushing last week. Not much help for freshman QB Chistian Hackenburg. -24 vs. Eastern Michigan this week.

-Temple starting Quarterback Connor Reilly is expected to play but is nursing a sprained ankle. He led the owls in rushing yards last week at Notre Dame with 65. +3 vs. Houston.

-Kent State has covered the spread in the last four meetings with Bowling Green. +7 home dogs on Saturday.

-FCS McNeese State obliterated South Florida 53-21 last week. Bulls were 20.5-point faves. They are 23-point underdogs this week at Sparty, a swing of 43.5 points in spreads from Week 1 to 2.

-Michigan State wide receivers had six drops in Week 1 - a problem carried over from last season - as the offense struggled against Western Michigan.

-Oklahoma State opened as a 31.5-point road favorite at Texas Sam Antonio State and sharp action moved the line down as low as 26.5 by Friday afternoon.

-Cincinnati opened as a 12-point road favorite at Illinois and sharp action bet the line down to 7.5. Cincy has covered four in a rown and seven of eight going back to last season.

-The Gators have failed to cover in their last six games as favorites going back to last season. -3 on the road at Miami.

-Miami has scored at least 30 points in its last five games going back to last season.

-Big line moves in the Western Kentucky-Tennessee matchup. Line bet up to 13.5 from 9.5 and total bet up to 58 from 55.5.

-Middle Tennessee QB Logan Kilgore has a shoulder injury but is expected to play at North Carolina. All the early money us on the Blue Raiders though, moving the line from 21.5 to 17.5.

--Ball State started four new starters on the offensive line last week and gave up three sacks. -8 vs. Army.

-Mizzou has been bet up from -14.5 to -17 vs. Toledo. The Tigers have an off week next week before traveling to Indiana.

-Toledo's last seven games have played under the total. Missouri's last four have played over.

-Buffalo-Baylor is the highest total on the board of FBS matchups at 69 (dude).

-San Diego State lost to FCS Eastern Illinois last week at home as 14-point faves. A lot of sharp action came in on a quality Eastern Illinois team last week though so consider that for this week's game. Aztecs getting 28 points at Ohio State.

-Oregon gained 772 yards (500 on the ground) last week vs. FCS Nicholls State. -23 at Virginia.

-Air Force crushed Colgate by a score of 38-13 last week, but the Falcons lost Junior QB Kale Pearson to an ACL injury. Sophomore Jaleel Awini will start. +9.5 as the Falcons host Utah State Saturday.

-The under is 4-0 in the South Alabama Jaguars last four non-conference games. Total of 49 as the Jags are on the road to face Tulane.

-Wyoming racked up 602 yards of offense in Nebraska one week ago while Idaho surrendered 591 - 404 of which came through the air - in a loss to North Texas. The Cowboys are 28-point home faves.

-The Gamecocks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Georgia. The Bulldogs are 3.5-point faves.

-Memphis had a bye week to open the season the team has used that week off to better prepare for the Duke Blue Devils. Memphis are 4-point home dogs.

-Northwestern QB Kain Colter was injured last week versus Cal and is probable Saturday. But backup QB Trevor Siemian led Northwestern to a victory over Syracuse in the 2012 season opener. Northwestern is a 16.5-point home favorite against Syracuse Saturday.

-Navy tore up Indiana's defense last year to the tune of 257 rushing yards. The Midshipmen are 12.5-point road dogs at Indiana Saturday.

-Nebraska gave up five touchdowns against Wyoming one week ago. Nebraska's defense was on the field for a total of 6 minutes and 41 seconds for those five TD drives. The Huskers are 28-point home faves against Southern Miss.

-The Kansas State Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus opponents from the Sun Belt Conference. They are 10.5-point faves against UL Monroe Saturday.

-Tulsa only picked up 51 rushing yards in the opener, ranking them 110th in the Nation. Tulsa is a 10.5-point home fave against Colorado State.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Game of the Day: Notre Dame at Michigan
By Covers.com

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-4, 50)

Notre Dame hasn't won at Michigan's "Big House" since 2005, a fact the 13th-ranked Fighting Irish need to remedy Saturday to keep their hopes of getting back to the national championship game alive. The 17th-ranked Wolverines seek their 400th victory at Michigan Stadium - and their 16th straight under coach Brady Hoke. Michigan has won six of its last seven home games versus Notre Dame, including three straight - one shy of its longest home win streak in the series.

The Wolverines hold a 23-16-1 edge in the series between the teams with the two best winning percentages in college football history. But the Irish defense dominated last year's matchup, intercepting Denard Robinson five times in a 13-6 victory. That sort of defensive performance would be even more impressive against this Michigan team, which rolled up 463 yards in a 59-9 win over Central Michigan last week.

LINE: Michigan opened at -3.5 and has been bet up to -4.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s and there is a 29 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Wind will blow toward the north end zone of the Big House at 4 mph.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (1-0): The Irish faced some turmoil in the offseason, most notably losing quarterback Everett Golson when he was suspended from the school for the fall semester. Tommy Rees stepped in under center and was effective in last week's 24-6 win against Temple, going 16-for-23 for 346 yards and three touchdowns. The defense, dominant during the undefeated regular season a year ago, picked up where it left off but will have its hands full with a Michigan team loaded with talent at the skill positions.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (1-0): The Wolverines' offense flourished last week under quarterback Devin Gardner, who was 10-of-15 for 162 yards and a touchdown and rushed for 52 yards and two scores. Gardner has accounted for at least two touchdowns in six straight games. The defense had a strong showing, as well, holding Central Michigan to 210 total yards and forcing two turnovers as the Wolverines aim for a third consecutive season ranking in the top 20 in the nation in total defense.

TRENDS:

* The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Big Ten.
* The over is 4-0 in the Wolverines' last four home games.
* The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:


1. Notre Dame is 11-0 when it does not commit a turnover under coach Brian Kelly, whose five-year contract extension was announced Saturday.

2. Michigan K Brendan Gibbons has made a school record-tying 14 consecutive field goals dating to last season.

3. Eighteen of the past 28 meetings have been decided by seven points or fewer.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Line Moves - Week 2
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

When it comes to offering the first available line in college football, The Wynn in Las Vegas is the clear-cut leader amongst other betting shops in the desert. Every Sunday during the college football season, the sportsbook sends out opening numbers around 6:00 p.m. ET for the upcoming week.

It’s well known that serious bettors wait for an opportunity to take advantage of mistakes they believe the Wynn has made on Sunday and attack with limit wagers. If the book is too long on a particular game, the odds are adjusted accordingly, which happens often. The line moves aren’t always right and some industry experts will tell you that some of the moves are decoys or false, but that’s for us to find out as the season progresses.

Each Friday throughout the college football season, we’ll inform you of all line moves of "Four Points" or more off the opening line and recap the results in the following installment.

Week 2 Lines Moves

Favorites


Ohio State vs. San Diego State
Open Buckeyes -24
Friday: Buckeyes -28

Northwestern vs. Syracuse
Open Wildcats -9½
Friday: Wildcats -16½

Indiana vs. Navy
Open Hoosiers -4
Friday: Hoosiers -12½

Missouri vs. Toledo
Open: Tigers -12½
Friday: Tigers -17

Auburn vs. Arkansas State
Open: Tigers -4
Friday: Tigers -11

Bowling Green at Kent State
Open: Falcons -2½
Friday: Falcons -7

Wyoming vs. Idaho
Open: Cowboys -22
Friday: Cowboys -28

Stanford vs. San Jose State
Open: Cardinal -18½
Friday: Cardinal -25½

Underdogs

Texas-San Antonio (UTSA) vs. Oklahoma State
Open: Roadrunners +31½
Friday: Roadrunners +27

Illinois vs. Cincinnati
Open: Fighting Illini +16
Friday: Fighting Illini +8

Louisiana-Lafayette at Kansas State
Open: Ragin’ Cajuns +16
Friday: Ragin’ Cajuns +10½

New Mexico State vs. Minnesota
Open: Aggies +21
Friday: Aggies +15½

UNLV vs. Arizona
Open: Rebels +17½
Friday: Rebels +11

Week 2 Total Moves

While the Wynn in Las Vegas is the top outfit to follow when it comes to college football sides, a major offshore outfit, CRIS, has the best pulse on totals. This week, CRIS sent out its totals on Monday while most other legit books opened a couple days later. Similar to the above sides, we’ll inform you of all total moves of "Three Points" of more off the opening line on Friday.

South Alabama at Tulane
Open: 53
Friday: 49½

Duke at Memphis
Open: 50
Friday: 53½

Navy at Indiana
Open 64
Friday: 68

Texas at BYU
Open: 54½
Friday: 58

Army at Ball State
Open: 59½
Friday: 62½

Buffalo at Baylor
Open: 64
Friday: 68½

Western Kentucky at Tennessee
Open: 54
Friday: 58

Idaho at Wyoming
Open: 61
Friday: 65½

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

Week 2 Showdowns
By Sportsbook.ag

FLORIDA GATORS (1-0) at MIAMI HURRICANES (1-0)

Sportsbook.ag & Total: Florida -3.5 & 48
Opening Line & Total: Gators -3.5 (-105) & 48

No. 12 Florida and Miami will battle for a claim to state supremacy when the two teams clash on Saturday at noon at Sun Life Stadium. These two schools haven’t met since 2008 when a heavily favored Florida squad steamrolled Miami 26-3, but failed to cover the 24-point spread. Before that meeting, the Hurricanes had won six straight SU over the Gators. Both of these teams opened their seasons with easy SU victories against cupcake opponents, but they didn’t cover the lofty spreads. Miami, a 31-point week-one favorite, beat Florida Atlantic 34-6 while Florida, a 23-point favorite, won 24-6 over Toledo. Last season, the Hurricanes went an impressive 9-3 ATS but all three of those ATS losses were against non-conference foes. Miami was an impressive 5-1 ATS at home, however. Florida went 7-6 ATS last year while covering 4-of-6 times on the road. Its biggest weakness, like Miami, was against non-conference opponents, going 1-4 ATS.

The Gators’ season-opening win against Toledo was a complete one, led in the air by an efficient performance from junior QB Jeff Driskel, who completed 17-of-22 passes (77%) for 153 yards with a touchdown. Senior WR Trey Burton led the receiving corps with five receptions for 69 yards. On the ground, junior RB Mack Brown filled in for starting RB Matt Jones (viral infection) by running for two touchdowns as part of his 112 yards on 25 carries. Brown had a total of 25 carries for 102 yards all of last season, and will likely get fewer carries than Jones, who is probable to play this week. The defense looked equally dominant against the Rockets, giving up just two field goals. Junior CB Cordy Riggs led the team with six tackles (five solo) while the secondary limited Toledo to just 17-of-38 passing for 155 yards (4.1 YPA). Even freshman CB Vernon Hargreaves III excited with an interception, showing the Gators defense may have weapons for years to come. They will some big additions to their defense on Saturday with the return of star LB Antonio Morrison, starting CB Loucheiz Purifoy and DT Darious Cummings, who all served a one-game suspension last week for off-field issues.

The Hurricanes put up a whopping 503 yards in last week's win over FAU, 303 on the ground and 200 through the air. Star sophomore RB Duke Johnson stole the show with 186 yards on 19 carries, including a 53-yard touchdown. He also caught a pass for 38 more yards, and did all of this despite missing most of the second half with a head injury. He is expected to start on Saturday though. This comes one year removed from the 5-foot-9 stud posting 10 touchdowns and 6.8 yards per carry. In the air, senior QB Stephen Morris underwhelmed however, completing just 15-of-27 passes for just 160 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. The defense held FAU to 117 passing yards on 16-of-32 attempts. FAU ran 43 times for 133 yards, while the Miami defensive line also had five sacks and recovered a fumble. However, Miami did have some blemishes, converting 4-of-14 third downs, committing eight penalties for 67 yards and losing the time of possession by a wide margin, 33:18 to 26:42.

SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS (1-0) at GEORGIA BULLDOGS (0-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Georgia -3.5 & 56.5
Opening Line & Total: Bulldogs -3 (-105) & 56.5

After a narrow three-point loss at Clemson, No. 11 Georgia continues its difficult start to the season when it hosts another top-10 team, No. 6 South Carolina, on Saturday afternoon. Though star DE Jadaveon Clowney was relatively quiet in the season opener, his Gamecocks still came away with a 27-10 romp of North Carolina. The favored Bulldogs meanwhile opened their season with a 38-35 loss to the Tigers, who are now ranked fourth in the nation. South Carolina has owned this rivalry recently, going 3-0 SU and ATS in the past three meetings, including a 35-7 crushing last year and a 45-42 win in Athens in 2011. In the past 10 meetings at Sanford Stadium, Georgia is 6-4 SU, but just 4-6 ATS. Since 1992, the Gamecocks are just 8-13 SU in this series, but 12-7-2 ATS (63%), including a 9-2-2 ATS mark (82%) in their past 13 meetings with the Bulldogs. Last year, Georgia went 6-3 ATS against SEC opponents and 8-6 overall ATS for the second consecutive year. South Carolina was also an impressive 8-5 ATS last year (5-3 ATS in the SEC) and is now 30-24 ATS (56%) since 2009.

Georgia’s loss wasn’t for a lack of offense as sophomore running back Todd Gurley continued to tear his way through the SEC with 154 yards on 12 carries with two touchdowns. That included a 75-yard run. Last year he burst onto the scene averaging 6.2 yards per carry for 1,385 yards and 17 touchdowns, but was bottled up in the blowout loss at South Carolina, gaining just 39 yards on 13 carries. Senior QB Aaron Murray also had a dreadful game in Columbia last year, completing 11-of-31 passes (36%) for 109 yards, 0 TD and 1 INT. However, Murray looked sharp last week, racking up 323 yards in the air on 20-of-29 passing (69%), but didn’t find the end zone and threw one pick. This was despite missing top WR Malcolm Mitchell for the majority of the game after he injured his knee while celebrating the Bulldogs' first touchdown in the first quarter. Mitchell, who led Georgia with 52 receiving yards in last year's loss to the Gamecocks, was diagnosed with a torn ACL and is out for the season. Georgia’s main issues were with its revamped defense though, as it was unable to stop Clemson on the air or on the ground. The Tigers picked up three passing touchdowns on 270 yards and 197 yards on the ground as Tajh Boyd found the end zone a combined five times. The Georgia defense allowed more than 35 points just once all of last season, but lost a bunch of key players to the NFL, and those absences really showed.

South Carolina’s defense was great on all fronts in the opener. The defensive backfield limited North Carolina QB Bryn Renner to just 194 yards on 43 attempts (4.5 YPA) while the front seven kept the Tar Heels to 2.8 yards per carry and no touchdowns. Though the presumptive No. 1 overall pick in next year's NFL draft Clowney had just three tackles, the Gamecocks finished with three sacks for 30 yards while forcing one fumble. On offense, quarterback Connor Shaw was efficient, completing 11-of-20 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown. But he was even better in last year's romp of Georgia, throwing for 162 yards and 2 TD on just 10 pass attempts, plus adding another 78 yards and a touchdown on the ground as part of his team's 230 rushing yards. Sophomore WR Shaq Roland showed his big-play ability last week with a 65-yard touchdown catch just 1:19 into the game, and RB Mike Davis kept the unit going all day though with 12 carries for 115 yards (9.6 YPC), including a 75-yard dash to cap the scoring midway through the third quarter. Sophomore RB Brandon Wilds also ran well with 64 yards on 12 carries (5.3 YPC).

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (1-0) at MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (1-0)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Michigan -4.5 & 50
Opening Line & Total: Wolverines -3.5 (-115) & 50.5

No. 17 Michigan seeks payback on Saturday night when it hosts No. 14 Notre Dame. These two schools have provided college football fans with some incredible games over the years, but this series will be put on hold after Saturday’s battle in Ann Arbor. Last season, these two teams played an ugly game that the Fighting Irish were able to win 13-6. The Notre Dame defense was huge in that game, forcing six Wolverines turnovers. However, Michigan still leads the all-time series with a record of 23-16-1, including 5-2 (SU and ATS) in the past seven meetings. After last season’s national title appearance, the Fighting Irish were expected to once again be contenders in large part to sophomore quarterback Everett Golson. However, Golson was kicked off the team for academics, putting Tommy Rees was back at the helm for Notre Dame. In week one, Rees threw for 346 yards and three touchdowns in a 28-6 win over Temple. The victory moved Rees’ career record to 14-4 as a starter, and for a week, showed that the Fighting Irish may not miss Golson at all. While Denard Robinson was the stud quarterback for most of his career at Michigan, it was Devin Gardner who was taking the snaps at the end of the year. While Rees appeared to be in mid-season form in week one, Gardner had both positives as well as some negatives. In the Wolverines' 59-9 victory over Central Michigan, Gardner compiled 214 total yards and three touchdowns, but also threw two interceptions. Like Robinson, Gardner is an exceptional athlete that can beat you with both the pass and run. Both teams have very good defenses, so the quarterback that plays the best may go a long way in determining which side is able to get a victory in this bitter rivalry. Although Notre Dame is 15-5 ATS (75%) as a road underdog of seven points or less since 1992, home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points coming off a 35-point win like Michigan are 65-30 ATS (68%) in the past 10 seasons.

In the win over the Wolverines last year, Notre Dame’s offense also struggled, gaining only 239 yards from scrimmage. In that game, Rees completed 8-of-11 passes for 115 yards (10.5 YPA). One of the biggest reasons for Rees’ success last week was the performance by receivers TJ Jones (6 catches, 138 yards) and DaVaris Daniels (69 receiving yards, two touchdowns). The pair did damage in both the intermediate passing game, as well as attacking down the field. With the ground game gaining 188 yards against Temple, the Fighting Irish have a balanced offensive attack that is capable of moving the ball in any way. Add in their stingy defense, and you have a complete team that is going to be tough to beat. While he had only one assisted tackle against the Owls, senior DT Louis Nix III is an absolute monster on the defensive line. Weighing in at 357 pounds, Nix forces teams to double-team him, allowing linebackers to pursue. He was a huge key to the success of Manti Te'o last year. ILB Dan Fox appears to be filling in the role of Te'o nicely, getting 10 tackles (5 solo, 5 assist) against Temple. However, the kicking game really struggled against last week, as both Nick Tausch and Kyle Brindza missed their lone field goal attempt. If this game comes down to the play of the special teams, then the Wolverines may be in very good shape.

In their victory in week one, Michigan’s special teams got the season started with a blocked punt that was returned for a touchdown by Joe Reynolds. The Wolverines under Brady Hoke have become much more aggressive on special teams, and they will look to continue that success against the Fighting Irish. With Gardner being inconsistent throwing the ball against Central Michigan, look for Michigan to really establish the ground game. The Wolverines were able to rush for 242 yards, led by freshman Derrick Green (11 rush, 58 yds, 1 TD) and senior Fitzgerald Toussaint (14 rush, 57 yards, 2 TD). Toussaint rushed for 58 yards on 13 carries (4.5 YPC) in last year's loss at Notre Dame. Michigan's ability to run the football could open up opportunities for Gardner to go deep to playmaking WR Jeremy Gallon, who caught four passes for 47 yards and a touchdown last week. On defense, the Wolverines have a playmaker in junior cornerback Raymon Taylor. Against Central Michigan, Taylor had an interception, returning it for 54 yards, to go with four tackles (2 solo, 2 assist). He will be tasked with stopping TJ Jones, in what could be one of the most exciting matchups in the game. Senior LB Cameron Gordon was all over the field against the Chippewas, compiling two sacks and four tackles. If he is able to wreak havoc and force Rees to run around, the Wolverines will be in great shape. With the history of these two teams and the animosity due to the fact that Notre Dame has ended the series, expect the two teams to come out with a lot of intensity.


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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

College Football Betting Odds and Preview Capsules
Atssportsline.com

Ready for a big day of college football? ATSwins is more ready than ever. Beating the college football betting odds requires injuries, trends and key information. There is a big schedule today and we'll highlight five very interesting matchups on national television. Here are is a brief look at the five football games to help you dominate the football betting lines.

Looking for a big game? Catch the Early Lock of the Year, going this Saturday. It's a 20-unit play! We've won 17 of the last 21 weeks including preseason and hit that play last season with Air Force over Michigan!  Call toll free 1-800-772-1287 for more information on discounts.

Get ready for a big day!

Florida Gators (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Miami-Florida Hurricanes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Intangibles:

These state rivals have not met since 2008
Miami RB Duke Johnson ran for 186 yards last week
Miami has not faced an SEC team since 2008

Keys to Success: The Gators are coming off a 24-6 win over Toledo, but they didn't cover the 23.5. Mack Brown led a rushing attack that totaled 262 yards. Running back Matt Jones should add to this excellent ground game. Miami pounded Florida Atlantic, 34-6, giving 31 as Johnson ran for 186 yards despite sitting out most of the second half. He had a minor head injury but is expected to play. Florida's defense allowed just 205 total yards in their opener so expect the Hurricanes to lean on quarterback Stephen Morris, who had two potential touchdown passes dropped last week. Florida is 9-1-1 ATS last 11 in September.   College Lines: Florida is a 3-point betting odds favorite. Total: 49.0

South Carolina Gamecocks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Georgia Bulldogs (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Intangibles:

Georgia could start the season at 0-2 if they lose
Georgia is without leading returning receiver Malcolm Mitchell (knee)
South Carolina allowed just 10 points to high-scoring North Carolina last week

Last matchup: (10/6/12): South Carolina (-1) over Georgia, 35-7

Keys to Success: South Carolina is coming off a very impressive 27-10 win over North Carolina at home last Thursday. They outgained North Carolina, 203-35 in the first quarter. Sophomore running back Mike Davis ran for 115 yards and a touchdown. Steve Spurrier continues with his rotating quarterback system of Dylan Thompson and Connor Shaw. Georgia fell to Clemson, 38-35 last week on the road, giving 1.5. Aaron Murray threw for 323 yards on 20-of-29 passing, but was sacked four times, lost a fumble and was picked off. The Georgia offensive line struggled against Clemson and now they must face DE Jadeveon Clown and the tough Sourth Carolina defensive line. South Carolina is 5-0-1 ATS last 6 in series. College Football Odds: Georgia is a 3-point betting odds favorite. Total: 56.0.

Texas Longhorns (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Brigham Young Cougars (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Intangibles:

Texas amassed 715 total yards against New Mexico State last week
Texas is 0-2 lifetime against BYU
BYU middle linebacker Uani Unga (chest) is doubtful.

Last matchup: (9/10/11): Texas (-7.5) over BYU, 17-16

Keys to Success: The Longhorns dominated New Mexico State, 56-7 last week, giving 44.5. Junior quarterback David Ash threw for 343 yards and rushed for 91. He threw four touchdowns but also had two picks. Ash will have a much tougher time against the Cougars' defense. BYU fell at Virginia last week, 19-16, giving 2.5. Sophomore running back ran for 144 yards on 33 carries, but quarterback Taysom Hill struggled (13-of-40 for 175 yards). Unga recorded 10 tackles but may miss this game. They'll need playmaker Kyle Van Noy (22 career sacks) to have a big game. Texas is 7-0 ATS last 7 following a SU loss. NCAA Odds: Texas is a 7-point betting odds favorite. Total: 55.5.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Michigan Wolverines (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

Intangibles:

Notre Dame has won at Ann Arbor since 2005.
This will be the last game in this series
Michigan quarterback Devin Gardner combined for 214 yards last week and two touchdowns last week

Last matchup: (9/22/12): Notre Dame (-6) over Michigan 13-6.

Keys to Success: Notre Dame quarterback Tommy Rees passed for 346 yards last week in their 28-6 win over Temple. He faces a Michigan defense that allowed just 144 passing yards to Central Michigan (59-9 win). This is a revenge game for Michigan though this rivalry will end on a nasty note. Head coach Brady Hoke said that Notre Dame was "chickening out" by dropping out of the series as Notre Dame is committed to playing a portion of their games against the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Irish are very good defensively again although they will be tested by Gardner, who is a better passer than last year's quarterback- Denard Robinson. Home team is 5-1 ATS last 6 in series. NCAAF Odds: Michigan is a 4-point betting odds favorite. Total: 51.0.

Washington State (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Southern California (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Intangibles:

USC still hasn't named a starting quarterback
Washington State has lost 20 straight games to ranked opponents
USC hasn't lost in this series since 2002

Last matchup: (9/25/10): USC (-22) over Washington State, 50-16.

Keys to Success: For some reason, Southern Cal still has not named a replacement for quarterback Matt Barkley. Cody Kessler and Max Witterk were not sharp in their 30-13 road win over Hawaii, giving 23.5. Washington State lost at Auburn, 31-24 as Connor Halliday threw for 344 yards and a touchdown. USC running back Silas Redd, who was a former star at Penn State, could player after suffering a torn MCL in the spring. Tre Madden rushed for 109 yards against Hawaii last week in Redd's place. The favorite is 6-2 ATS last 8 in series. Football lines: USC is a 15.5-point betting odds favorite. Total: 53.5.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, September 7

CFB Week Two Notes
By Dave Essler

Miami (OH)-Kentucky: Probably want no part of this game. Kentucky has L'ville next, which is not only a challenge but a rivalry. And the score against WKU was really not indicative of how poorly they played. Penalties galore. Miami got eaten up once Marshall woke up, but they had exactly nine first downs and allowed thirty-four. Should be sloppy game, so perhaps under.

Michigan State-South Florida: Spartans struggled far more with WMU than most thought they would, but glaring stat to me is a net of 116 passing yards. Their defense won this game and it appears it will have to win many more, and they forced four turnovers. And South Florida simply gets abused by McNeese State. I get that McNeese is a great FCS school but 53-21 at home is a bit much. McNeese had the ball for almost 35 minutes, and USF simply could not make a first down. Spartans have Youngstown on deck, so they may continue to play three deep trying to find playmakers. However, little chance of taking USF here. Under, probably.

Oklahoma State-UTSA: Welp, the Roadrunners got it done for us with a pretty balanced attack against a disciplined, if nothing else, New Mexico team. Surprisingly the Cowboys got most of it done on the ground against Mississippi State, and didn't turn the ball over. Because this at UTSA, I might make a case for the Roadrunners again if they want to give us enough points.

Houston-Temple: The Owls covered in South Bend, but only because Notre Dame let them, really. Ress pretty much lit them up passing, averaging over 15 yards a completion. First thought was what would the Cougars passing attack do to them, but it was Houston who rushed for almost 400 yards against Southern, and whose average per completion was only 6.5 yards. Not sure if that's a product of playing Southern, or a trend. I suppose, again, if there's enough points, playing at home w/Fordham next, we might think about the Owls, although Houston does have a bye week.

North Texas-Ohio: Obviously UNT after the easy win/cover at home on the up-tick and we'll have to see what Ohio does against L'ville. If we want to back the home team, it'd be better if they got killed in Louisville because we'd get better value. Mean Green clearly a team on the rise, and at home to Ball State (tough game) next week and at UGA the following week, where I do think they cover (in Athens). They'll be ready for Conference play, so perhaps a futures bet there, because they will be over valued, IMO.

Here's some of the week two SEC stuff I started last week, which were written before week ones' games. I know you want the winners. Later. Shall retrieve and add to my notes later

Florida at Miami: Much bigger game than many might realize, since it was UF who cancelled this rivalry several years ago. The people in Miami are also pissed because it's a Noon game, and they lobbied hard for the 7PM night game for the exposure, and of course the atmosphere. As it turns out, ABC has NASCAR that night from Richmond, and ESPN is doing the Notre Dame-Michigan game. The game is, however, sold out and was in July. Florida hasn't won in Miami in over a decade, losing the only two games played in 2003 and 2004. This WAS the look-ahead game for both teams, and both teams have a bye next week. IMO advantage 'Canes since they return so many and are at home, as opposed to Florida who had eight players (three in the first two rounds, all on defense) drafted, and six more signed as free agents with NFL teams.

South Carolina at Georgia: A game everyone's had circled since the two met last year in Columbia, in a game the 'Cocks took control of early and never let up. It was clearly the biggest National embarrassment to the 'Dawgs in some time, not just from "losing", but the "way they lost". I fully expect them to be about as motivated for this game as they were the SEC Championship game against Alabama last year. A lot of people are high on South Carolina and a lot of people are or having taken over 9.5 wins for this team, and I am not sold on it. Tough schedule mid-season w/three straight Conference road games, right before playing the only other game they may lose, to Florida, at home. This game dictates a ton, nationally. The winner is in the drivers' seat for the SEC East very early, and the loser will need help they may not get.

Missouri-Toledo: Missouri is actually one of my under-the-radar teams for this season. Franklin, although I don't think he's great, did miss the better part of five games last season. And, under Pinkel, this was a team that had gone to about seven straight Bowls prior to playing in the SEC. I just think they were totally unprepared and dealt with injuries. Not saying they've got a chance to win anything, but they will cover some games (at home v/South Carolina, IMO) that many might not expect. Toledo is a team that will also make some noise, and one that Missouri shouldn't take too lightly. If they escape Florida without serious incident, they bring back most of an offense that lost three games last year, exclusive of a Bowl meltdown against Chuckie Keaton. They lost at Arizona in OT, lost to Ball State (on the road) and at home to Northern Illinois. So, the Tigers had better not sleep on them.

Tennessee-Western Kentucky: After thumping the shit out of Austin Peay, one would think that Butch Jones has them back on the map. Let's not be too hasty here. The Vols lost everyone on offense and had no defense last season, and they have no bye. Hardly. They play at Oregon and at Florida in the next two weeks. And last season they played in Alabama (35-0) so this is far from virgin territory to this team. And of course the Hilltoppers just played at Kentucky (sort of) so they've had some test, in in a huge revenge game, as opposed to Austin Peay. Western is breaking in a new quarterback, and bring back half of what actually was a reasonable defense, considering they played in the Sun Belt Conference. I can see, however, WKY stubbing their toe here, since Butch Jones, albeit without much talent, will have Tennessee at least playing error-free football. That's one reason I do lean to the under here.

Vanderbilt-Austin Peay: Well props to Austin Peay for trying here. But, with Vanderbilt's issues and a game against South Carolina next week, Austin Peay covering what will surely be a big number is far from out of the question. Let's not forget they covered +52 at Virginia Tech last year, so again, they won't be overwhelmed here at all. This will be rare air for the Commodores, being favored by this much, although last season they were -33 to UMass and won by 42. Probably too close for comfort, and there is simply no chance of me taking Vanderbilt here, no matter what the number is.

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