Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Bill Biles

Colorado Rockies -114

The Rockies send out pitcher Jorge De La Rosa who seeks his fourth straight win and 14th overall. De La Rosa has a 2.45 ERA while winning his last three. De La Rosa has also won three straight against the Marlins, posting a 1.59 ERA with 28 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings over his last four starts. He scattered five hits over six shutout innings in the last meeting, a 2-1 win on July 24.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Jeff Alexander

San Diego Padres -150

The Cubs came out on top yesterday, but they are still only 3-10 in their last 13. Plus, they've lost Game 3 in their last 7 series and are 0-5 Rusin's last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Cubs have dropped 5 of their last 6 in San Diego, and they'll have their hands full with Cashner, who has held 7 straight opponents to 3 earned runs or less. The Padres have played winning baseball at home this season, and the Cubs are just 27-57 in their last 84 road games versus a club with a winning home record.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Dave Price

Colorado Rockies -114

The Marlins have struggled immensely versus left-handed starters this season. They are batting .225 and scoring just 2.6 runs per game against them. I expect these struggles to continue as they go up against Colorado's De La Rosa. De La Rosa has been the bread-winner for the Rockies. They are 14-6 in his last 20 starts overall, 40-11 in his last 51 starts as a favorite and 38-15 in his last 53 starts versus teams with a losing record. He's been lights out lately, going 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Marlins, meanwhile, have lost 6 of Turner's last 7 starts, and he checks in with a 4.80 ERA over his last 3 starts. Take Colorado.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Larry Ness

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

The D’backs and Phillies went 18 innings on Saturday, with Arizona prevailing 12-7 in a game which lasted over seven hours,. The Phillies used 11 pitchers (including Sunday’s scheduled starter Tyler Cloyd) while the D’backs used nine. Philadelphia interim manager Ryne Sandberg will turn to the one pitcher who is completely rested on Sunday; Roy Halladay. The two-time Cy Young Award winner takes the mound for the first time since May 5 in the rubber match of the three-game series. And just who will he face? How about MLB’s top-earner, Patrick Corbin (D’backs are 21-4 in his starts, plus-$1,588).

Halladay was originally slated to make a third rehab start for Double-A Reading but a bevy of tired arms and the ace's proximity were likely factors for Sandberg to call an audible. The 36-year-old is working his way back after undergoing right shoulder surgery on May 16. Halladay has enjoyed success vs Arizona, posting a 4-1 mark with two complete games and an impressive 0.90 WHIP. However, in his last two starts before he went on the DL, Halladay allowed 13 hits (including four HRs), six walks and 17 ERs over just six innings (that’s a 25.50 ERA!). Remember, Halladay struggled in 2012 as well, posting a 4.49 ERA over 25 starts, before posting an 8.65 ERA in seven starts in 2013.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Charlie Scott

Saints vs. Texans
Play: Over 43.5

I expect both Coaches to take preseason week #3 serious. Both Teams have high powered Offense's and can score points with a variety of weapons.. Plus Saints Coach Sean Payton will throw and try to score in the 4th Quarter whether the Saints are up or down 20. play early as this line will go up !

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

New Orleans/ Houston Over 43.5: The Saints offense is starting to get it together and with Drew Brees and company playing at least the first half I expect them to put up some points in this one. The Houston offense has been solid in the early going, putting up 25.5 ppg and 427 ypg so far. The Saint defense has looked very good so far, but they were playing the Raiders and Chiefs in their first two games, so not much stock in that. The Houston defense has played well, but they haven't played good offenses in Miami and Minnesota. This is a good offense they will face today. The Texans have throw for 304 ypg so far, while the Saints have put up 297 ypg through the air. This one should be a shootout.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
L.A. Angels/SEATTLE Over 7½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This is probably the only site on the internet that warned you all about Jered Weaver. We’ve been maintaining that Weaver is a stiff and that his results have been fueled by pure luck and finally, true to what his skills suggest, Weaver has been whacked in back-to-back starts to the tune of 17 hits and 13 runs in 11 innings. Almost every ball hit of Weaver is hit hard and it’s been that way, not for two starts but the entire season. Weaver’s line-drive rate of 30% over the past two months is one of the worst marks in baseball and it’s on par with guys like Bruce Chen and Joe Blanton. Weaver has consistently been able to stave off hit %, strand % and hr/f regression over his career but his margin for error keeps getting smaller and smaller. His fastball velocity has dipped to even new lows and now sits at 86.6 MPH. On the road this season, Weaver is 1-4 with a 5.03 ERA. Weaver’s luck has finally run out over his past couple of games and the only reason we’re not fading him here is because Aaron Harang is on the other side.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Harang seems to really, really like the AL West but he's playing with fire now. His command has been eroding for three years. Anytime Harang throws a good game it’s because of elevated strand levels and pure luck. Harang is an innings eater for a non-contending team and he’s running out of gas. Over his past 24 innings, covering just five starts, Harang has walked 10 batters and has posted a 1.54 WHIP, a 7.13 ERA and an xERA of 5.95. He’s also an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a groundball/fly-ball rate of 29%/46%. Current Angels are hitting .350 off Harang with 57 hits in 163 career AB’s. That includes 11 jacks and an unsightly 1.049 OPS. Matt Harvey and Max Scherzer hooked up yesterday and the total in that game was 6. This total is 1½-runs higher than that one and these are two pitchers who are among the most hittable in the game. They are both playing with fire and if this game stays under this total, it’ll only be because we got extremely unlucky.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota +156 over CLEVELANDFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Indians went off for seven runs yesterday but that came against Liam Hendricks, an unknown stiff with a horrible history at this level. After Hendricks was knocked out in the fourth inning, the Indians did not score again the rest of the day. Cleveland’s bats have gone cold. They are hitting just .224 over their past 20 games, which is the worst mark in the AL and second worst in the entire league. With Scott Kazmir starting today, the Tribe are likely going to have to score a bunch to win because Kazmir is fighting it big time. He recently missed a start with a fatigued arm and returned one week ago in Oakland. Kazmir allowed 10 hits and five runs in five innings in Oakland and looked dreadful. Kazmir has given up five runs in back-to-back starts. His groundball rate over his last four starts has dipped from 41% on the year to 22% over that stretch. That’s troubling. His WHIP is also trending the wrong way, which was at a pedestrian 1.33 to begin with but over his last four starts, Kazmir’s WHIP has climbed to 1.68. Remember, Scott Kazmir missed all of 2011 and 2012. The Tribe took a flyer on him and for the most part, it’s worked out ok. Thing is, he’s ran out of steam and has already thrown 119 innings after a two-year hiatus. Everything in his profile, from more walks to less strikeouts to more fly-balls and line-drives to less groundouts all scream to stay away from him.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Mike Pelfrey isn’t going to attract as lot of attention today because he’s about as ordinary as they come, at least on the surface but we’re here to tell you that Pelfrey looks very interesting. In June and July, Pelfrey posted a 3.35 ERA and lasted at least six innings in six of seven starts. His shortest outing during the span was 5.2 innings. On May 31, Pelfrey’s ERA was 6.66 but he has cut 1½ runs off that mark and his ERA now sits at 5.19. Pelfrey has allowed three runs or less in 10 of 13 starts since May 31. June 1 marked the 13th month since Pelfrey had Tommy John surgery, and his elbow finally appears back to normal. Over the past two months, his fastball has consistently clocked at 93-94 mph. In a recent string of four starts against Toronto, Tampa, Cleveland and the Angels, Pelfrey posted a 2.28 ERA. Mike Pelfrey is not only far, far under the radar, he’s actually pitching better than he has in years and Minnesota has won three of his past four starts while Scott Kazmir is hanging on by a thread. In terms of value, this one offers up as much or more than any other on the board today because Minnesota’s chances of winning are probably better than Cleveland’s chances.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Craig Davis

Sunday's free play release is the Yankees to avoid the sweep in Tampa.

They have played too well over the past month to let it all slip away. After hitting well and pitching well enough to be a playoff team recently, they have dropped the first two games of this three game set in Tampa Bay and simply can't afford too many more losses.

It's probably not realistic to think they can reach the pinnacle of winning the AL East, but they can still shoot for one of the two Wild Card spots... but they have to win games like they have in front of them today.

Not only that, but we get real value here today as the Yanks are sitting around +140 with Ivan Nova on the hill.

Nova (7-4, 3.17 ERA) is 5-2 with a 2.30 ERA over his last eight starts since the All Star break. His last start, however, was his worst of the eight... yet he received tons of run support and earned an 8-4 win over the Toronto Blue Jays.

To be completely honest, I don't care about the pitching matchup today... I care about the attitude of the Yankees overall... and if they have any hope of making the post-season, they must muster a win this afternoon --- no matter who is on the hill.

Take New York as your free play of the day.

2♦ N.Y. YANKEES

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Jeff Benton

My Sunday free play will be for the Brewers and Reds to conclude their series with another Over.

Friday the teams combined for 10 runs, while last night they plated 9 combined runs, as both so far this weekend have managed to find their way Over the posted price.

Milwaukee has now been Over the total in each of their last 6 games, and while starter Marco Estrada has a 2.65 ERA for his last 3 starts, he did allow 4 earned runs to score in 6 innings in his last start against St. Louis, as the Over moved to 3-1 the last 4 times he has made the start.

Greg Reynolds will go today for the Reds, as he makes only his second start of the year. If it is anything like his first - 5 innings, 8 hits, and 5 runs back on July 23rd - then I would not suspect Reynolds will be around much past the 5th inning this time out either.

The Reds are now on a 4-1-2 Over clip their last 7 games, and with Reynolds pretty much untested in the starter's role, cannot see how one would think this game is going to be a lower-scoring affair.

Only a matter of time before the runs get rolling today in the Queen City.

Milwaukee and Cincinnati to play Over the total on Sunday.

3♦ MILWAUKEE-CINCINNATI OVER

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Brad Wilton

My Sunday free play comes in preseason football as I back the Saints and the Texans to go Over the posted total.

After a 17-13 Under for New Orleans in their opening practice game, the Saints got the offense cranking a bit last Friday night in their 28-20 home win - and Over - versus Oakland.

Houston has been as consistent as you can get in their first 2 preseason affairs, scoring 27 at Minnesota and 24 last week at home against Miami. The Texans are 1-0-1 Over the total in their pair of exhibition games thus far.

With the starters going a little longer in this affair, I can see the offenses getting into a rhythm, and the points adding up on the scoreboard.

This total is right around 43 1/2 points as I post my analysis, and so we are looking at 6 touchdowns with a few field goals sprinkled in. Expect that to happen, and expect the Saints and Texans to play an Over on Sunday afternoon.

2♦ NEW ORLEANS-HOUSTON OVER

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Brett Atkins

My free winner for tonight is on the Houston Astros at home for a third-straight night, against the struggling Toronto Blue Jays, who I told you would have problems in the Houston humidity with this series, after getting stymied in New York in a four-game set. Toronto is road weary and is still on the road.

Don't bother listing either starting pitcher -Toronto's Mark Buehrle or Houston's Dallas Keuchel - because this looks more like a momentum play and simply going against a travel-weary Toronto team that won't want to deal with the climate. Trust me - that's a big deal in baseball.

And Houston is no fun in the summer months, as it's far too humid.

Toronto's seven-game losing streak is extended tonight, as the Astros take Game 3.

4♦ HOUSTON

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Chris Jordan

My free Sunday winner is on the Miami Marlins over the Colorado Rockies, and I want you listing both pitchers: Jacob Turner and Jorge De La Rosa.

I know that De La Rosa earned his third straight win Tuesday against the Phillies, in a solid show of perseverance, after he overcame a three-run third inning by retiring 11 straight hitters. And I know he's been one of Colorado's most consistent pitchers, but this is revenge.

Though command has steadily become an issue for Turner, and he has lost three straight decisions since he beat Atlanta on July 10, I like his chances to exact revenge on the Rockies and De La Rosa from a July 24 loss, in which he lasted six innings and allowed two earned runs while scattering six hits.

The value is there for us, and I'll take the Marlins while listing both.

4♦ MIAMI

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Scott Delaney

And while I like the late game total, my free play for Sunday is the early game total, as I like the New Orleans Saints and Houston Texans to go Over the posted number, which I see being 44 points.

Rule of thumb in the NFL Preseason, if you see any totals uncharacteristically high - above a traditional 37 - you play it Over. And truth be told, many preseason totals sit around 34. This one is 10 points higher than that, as the oddsmakers must see the Saints' high-octane offense pushing the game's tempo, despite Houston's physical defense at home.

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees played most of the first half a week ago Friday when the Saints hosted the Raiders, and he looked solid, completing 14-of-18 passes for 202 yards and a touchdown. Brees is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL over the past decade, and I think he will feel tested personally, and will want to respond.

For the Texans, the starters will likely play at least a half, if not longer. It will be the most we've seen of Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson, and I don't think this is a game that combo will want to flub their lines.

Remember, it's Sunday, and the Texans will hit the field Thursday in Dallas, so this is going to be a true final dress rehearsal and most accurate gauge for regular-season readiness we're going to see.

Look for this one to run high.

2♦ New Orleans/Houston Over

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, August 25

Big Kat Sports

Red Sox vs. Dodgers
Take: Under 7.5

Here are a few trends that have us leaning towards the Under tonight at Dodger Stadium.

Under is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 15-5-1 in Red Sox last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. National League West.
Under is 10-2-2 in Dodgers last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 18-7-1 in Dodgers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Pair those numbers with the fact that these two teams have gone under the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games and we’ll roll with that trend again, looking for another close game between these two at Dodger Stadium.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224866 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45942
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
290926
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.4
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3771
Newest User:
John
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2702

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com