MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 19

MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 19

Monday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies (-118, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Phillies right-hander Ethan Martin has surrendered at least one home run in each of his three major-league starts.

Hot batting stat: Rockies 3B Nolan Arenado hit 5-for-12 with four RBIs in a three-game series against Philadelphia back in mid-June.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies are 3-18 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds (-160, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Bronson Arroyo has allowed just one run on six hits over his past two starts, striking out 14 without walking a batter.

Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill is enjoying his hottest stretch of the season, recording eight multi-hit efforts over his last 10 games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 32-8-5 in the last 45 meetings in Cincinnati.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins (+103, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu has won each of his last five starts, posting a 2.56 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: The Marlins rank last in the majors in runs scored, hits, home runs, batting average, slugging and OPS.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers have won each of Ryu's last nine starts against a team with a losing record.


Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (+125, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Chicago 1B Anthony Rizzo batted 5-for-13 with three RBIs in a three-game series against the Nationals back in mid-May.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+110, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller has dominated the Brewers in 2013, allowing one run on eight hits over two starts - both victories.

Hot batting stat: St. Louis 1B Allen Craig is batting .410 with a home run and eight RBIs in 10 games against Milwaukee in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Brewers' SP Marco Estrada's last six Monday starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres (+128, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his last 10 starts - including a complete-game four-hitter in his previous outing against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Cold batting stat: OF Will Venable leads the club with 26 RBIs at home - the lowest team-leading total in the majors.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-0 in San Diego right-hander Andrew Cashner's last five outings following a quality start in his previous appearance.


Interleague

Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants (+111, 7)


Cold pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 6-7 with a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts away from Fenway Park.

Cold batting stat: Giants SS Brandon Crawford is hitting just .202 with one home run in 124 at-bats against left-handed pitching in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: San Francisco is 4-17 in right-hander Tim Lincecum's last 21 series-opening starts.

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Monday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles (+123, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander David Price is 6-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 14 career starts against the Orioles, and is 30-13 lifetime after the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Orioles 1B Chris Davis is hitting .311 with four home runs and 15 RBIs in 12 games against the Rays this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Baltimore has won eight of its last 10 series openers.


Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-280, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jordan Lyles' previous encounter with the Rangers was one of his worst performances of the season, as he surrendered eight runs on 11 hits over four innings of an 11-8 loss.

Hot batting stat: Rangers 3B Adrian Beltre is hitting .377 with four home runs and 10 RBIs in 13 games against the Astros, and went 3-for-3 versus Lyles in their last meeting.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Houston has lost each of Lyles' last five starts against Texas.


Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics (-175, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Aaron Harang is winless in his last four decisions, charged with 18 runs - including five homers - over 17 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Seattle 1B Justin Smoak is hitting .242 with zero homers in 33 at-bats against Oakland this season, and is a .224 batter versus the A's in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Harang's last six road starts.


Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels (-168, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver coughed up nine runs on nine hits over five innings in his previous start, his worst performance since a nine-run shellacking last Aug. 17 against Tampa Bay.

Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is just 1-for-10 against the Angels on the season, and is homerless in 52 at-bats versus Los Angeles in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1-2 in Weaver's last 14 starts against Cleveland.


Interleague

New York Mets at Minnesota Twins (-105, 8.5)


Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee has been on fire of late, surrendering just four runs over his previous three starts - a span of 20 2/3 innings.

Cold batting stat: Twins 2B/SS Brian Dozier is hitting just .213 in 19 games against interleague foes this season, including a 1-for-7 mark against the Mets.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 9-1 in its last 10 interleague road games against an opponent with a losing record.

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Monday Starters Who Excel at Night
By Covers.com

With all of Monday's action taking place under the lights, the focus is on starters who turn it up when the sun goes down.

Here is a look at three pitchers to consider if you're looking for strong evening performances:

Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins (8-5, 2.45 ERA)

Considered by many to be the top National League rookie of the year candidate, Fernandez has been most dominant in the evening. The 21-year-old is 6-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 87 night innings, compared to a 2-4, 3.25 mark during the day.

The Marlins host the Los Angeles Dodgers for a four-game series beginning Monday.

Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles (14-3, 3.70 ERA)

As his record may suggest, Tillman has been strong no matter what time of day he takes the hill. His night starts, however, have been especially impressive: he's 11-1 with a 3.47 ERA in the evening, while posting a 3-2 record with a 4.46 ERA in the afternoon.

The Orioles entertain the AL East-rival Tampa Bay Rays for a three-game set starting Monday.

Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals (14-6, 3.02 ERA)

Zimmermann's performances have been night and day (pardon the pun), depending on what time it is. The 27-year-old is 12-2 with a 2.59 night ERA, and just 2-4 with a pedestrian 4.28 ERA in afternoon starts.

The Nationals visit the Chicago Cubs for a four-game series opening Monday.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 19

Monday MLB Thoughts
By Dave Essler

Colorado-Philadelphia: Break up the Phillies. Ethan Martin and his 1.81 WHIP in three games in the bigs is a favorite. Over Jeff Manship and his 1.70 WHIP in two games. I suppose one might conclude that this goes over, but that's a ton of runs in an NL game where neither team has seen the opposing pitcher, and the Phillies are DFL in hitting this week, sitting at .183. I suppose it's the Sanberg factor. The Rockies did use some bullpen in Baltimore, but not the better arms. Lean under here.

Arizona-Reds: I can never trust Arroyo, and honestly much of his recent success has come against bad teams. The D-backs do hit him pretty well, and then there's the flyball pitcher Delgado, who after the lengthy affair in Pittsburgh has little or no bullpen behind him, so I can't take Arizona, as much as I'd like to. Do think if the Reds bring some of their sticks home they win and score plenty.

Dodgers-Miami: Break up the Fish. A great win for them (and us) and now the Dodgers are only -125 at Miami. Well, then. That's a lot of respect for Miami and Fernandez, who also has very little bullpen behind him, either. I suppose with that number begging people to take the Dodgers that it's either a gift or yet another disaster. That total at only 6.5 implies that a 3-3 game is a winner, and I happen to think it is. The Fish actually hit LHP (see Bumgarner) reasonably well.

Washington-Chicago: I said I wouldn't back Samardzija at home again this season, but I could change my mind. After the series in Atlanta and with little to play for, one might think this is a bad spot for the Nationals. Zimmerman has thrown a lot of pitches, and really hasn't beaten a good (not that the Cubs are good) lately, so I could actually see this one not being a pitchers' duel, and perhaps leaning Chicago.

Cardinals-Brewers: Gallardo was simply destroyed as was the Brewer bullpen on Sunday, while St. Louis did what they had to in order to beat the Cubs. Estrada has pitched well since coming back, and because Gomez has been out, Lucroy and Ramirez rested yesterday, I wouldn't chalk this up to a Cardinals win just yet. They have certainly not been hitting well enough for me to take as a road favorite. Miller threw a ton of pitches last outing, and for sure with a potential elbow issue may look at the (gulp) Brewers here.

Pirates-Padres: Casher is obviously the Padres best hope, the Pirates play a million innings and send a LHP against the Padres. Padres or nothing for me.

Baltimore-Tampa Bay: Huge series for the Orioles if they want to stay in a race, and huge series for the Rays if the want to pretty much eliminate Baltimore. That's a fair bit of respect for Price on the road, but the Orioles do struggle a bit against LHP as it negates (to some extent) Markakis and Davis. Let's not forget that Tillman is 14-3 with a reasonable WHIP and has only really been shelled once. With that in mind and the Rays bullpen working late, I am inclined to take the Orioles, perhaps at least the RL, but it won't be cheap.

Seattle-Oakland: Harang comes off a tough loss in Tampa, but the stat that kills me there is 3 ground ball outs to 14 flyball outs in that game. What really concerns me about taking Seattle is the travel. They played in Florida, the several games in the heat in Arlington, so they've got to be a little tired, one would think. That and the A's have more or less had their way with him. Although Parker has been a freak, it's been against Houston twice, and interestingly enough those were his two last losses. With that in mind, and I know he's owned the Mariners, I could make a case at that number for the Seattle RL, especially in a big park that might keep the score down.

Boston-San Francisco: One would have to think the Giants AND Boston are tired. Boston playing late and getting into SF in the wee hours of the morning, and the Giants flying back from South Florida and series' at Washington and Baltimore. Giants typically hit LHP better, and Posey rested Sunday. Truly never know what you're going to get with either pitcher, and I suppose if Scutaro plays, I'd have to lean Giants since Boston also loses the DH.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 19

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

Los Angeles had a ten game win streak come to a halt Sunday in Philadelphia but the red-hot Dodgers remain an awesome 25-4 since the break stuffing $2178 into betting accounts. Dodgers handing the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu bringing a 12-3 record, 2.91 ERA) to the mound are in good hands. The southpaw off a smart 7 innings of 5 hit 1 run-ball is undefeated in nine starts with a sparkling 9-0 team start record. Ryu will be opposed by Jose Fernandez carrying an 8-5 mark, 2.45 ERA. The hurler also off a gem tossing 7 innings of 3 hit no run-ball is a perfect 5-0 at home with a miniscule 1.39 ERA and 9-2 team start record over his eleven home starts. Two starters in great form but expect Dodgers to start a new streak against one of the leagues worst. Dodgers are 3-0 following a loss since the break, 8-1 opening a series since starting their amazing streak, 5-1 as a favorite of $1.20 to $1.50 during the run.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 19

MLB Odds and Picks – Pirates, Reds, Cardinals battling for NL Central
By: The Linemakers
Sportingnews.com

While the Braves are running away with the NL East with a 15.5-game lead over second-place Washington, and the Dodgers appearing to do the same in the West with a 7.5-game lead over Arizona, the NL Central is setting up for some major theatrics for the final seven weeks. The Pirates, Cardinals and Reds are all separated by only 2.5 games.

After winning their fifth straight game on Aug. 8, the Pirates are in the midst of a slide that has seen them lose seven of their last nine games. That includes getting swept at Colorado, losing two of three at St. Louis and dropping two of three at home to Arizona last weekend. In that stretch, the biggest beneficiaries to the Pirates' struggles has been the Reds, who have won nine of their last 12, while the Cardinals have won five of their last seven.

With the advent of an additional wild card being added to the playoffs for each league last season, it once again put a premium on winning the division like we hadn’t seen in a couple decades. Sure, more teams make it now, but if a team doesn’t win the division, it gets placed in the one-game, do-or-die situation, which a team like Pittsburgh surely doesn't want because it doesn't have a bona fide ace. The Reds fall into that same category of having a bunch of really good starters who could do some damage in a seven-game series, while the Cardinals have a true ace with Adam Wainwright.

The three contenders will all have their chance to seal their fate as they play several games against each other through the end of the season. The Cardinals have two three-game series remaining with Pittsburgh and seven games against Cincinnati. The Reds and Pirates will meet six times in the final two weeks of the season, including the final three at Cincinnati.

While the Pirates and Reds trade punches down the stretch, the Cardinals' schedule looks to give them the edge for the division. Following their Sept. 8 game against Pittsburgh, they don’t play the Bucs or Reds for the rest of the season. They get Milwaukee for six games, the Mariners for three, Colorado four times, three at home against the Nationals, and close out the season with three at home against the Cubs. None of those teams has a winning record, which is the main reason they have a significant edge to winning the division.

This is part of the reason why the Cardinals, despite being a game back of Pittsburgh right now, are the favorites to win the division. They are 7-to-1 to win the World Series and 16-to-5 to win the NL pennant. Pittsburgh is 10-to-1 to win the World Series and 9-to-2 to win the NL, while the Reds are 12-to-1 World Series and 6-to-1 NL.

There is still a lot of baseball to play, but if the Cardinals can hang around until their easy stretch comes, they should take the division, with the Reds and Pirates squaring off for the wild card -- which should be interesting because both teams will be sick of seeing each other after playing so many times in the final two weeks.

Reliable Liriano takes the mound tonight


The Pirates open a seven-game, West Coast trip tonight in San Diego and turn to Francisco Liriano (13-5, 2.68 ERA), who has evolved into their ace and most reliable pitcher. He’s been the brightest spot in their rotation lately and they’ll need another big outing from him like they got in his last start when he beat the Cardinals, 5-1, on Wednesday, their only win in that critical three-game series.

The Padres come with Andrew Cashner (8-7. 3.87 ERA), who has been tough at home this season. On the road, Cashner has a 4.97 ERA; at home, his ERA drops to 2.50. With the Pirates and Padres both struggling to find some offense, this looks like a good situation for the UNDER to be the best wagering opportunity.

Monday's picks:

Pirates/Padres UNDER 6.5 (-105)
Pirates (Liriano) -128 at Padres
Dodgers/Marlins UNDER 6.5 (-120)

Second-half record: 55-49 (+902)

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