Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, July 14

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, July 14

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

LA Angels at Seattle
The Angels look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 2-10 in its last 12 games in Game 3 of a series. LA is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110)

Game 901-902: Washington at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jordan) 16.561; Miami (Alvarez) 15.159
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Over

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.368; Pittsburgh (Cole) 16.857
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cingrani) 15.752; Atlanta (Teheran) 14.853
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 13.290; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.694
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-165); Under

Game 909-910: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.581; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.967
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 13.414; San Diego (Stults) 14.989
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-150); Over

Game 913-914: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.545; Cubs (Wood) 15.008
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); N/A

Game 915-916: Texas at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 16.053; Detroit (Verlander) 15.027
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+160); Over

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.471; Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.503
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 14.377; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.944
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Over

Game 921-922: Toronto at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Johnson) 15.316; Baltimore (Feldman) 14.465
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Over

Game 923-924: Houston at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 14.402; Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.762
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-240); Under

Game 925-926: Boston at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Workman) 15.486; Oakland (Colon) 16.931
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Blanton) 16.131; Seattle (Iwakuma) 15.051
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110); Over

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.559; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.985
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Under

WNBA

Atlanta at Seattle
The Dream look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Storm. Atlanta is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2)

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Connecticut (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 104.484; Connecticut 111.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-5 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Los Angeles at Phoenix (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 118.237; Phoenix 110.501
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3 1/2; 175 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-3 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Atlanta at Seattle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.375; Seattle 108.733
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Under

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta BravesFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Atlanta BravesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Braves send Julio Teheran to the hill against the Reds in the wrap up of this three-game series Sunday afternoon, Atlanta will do so knowing Teheran has mowed down 56 batters with only 8 walks in his last eight starts. Teheran also owns a sharp 2.22 ERA in his last seven starts. With the Reds just 3-7 their last ten games in this park, look for the Braves to improve to 7-3 at home behind Teheran here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.

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RocketmanFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston @ OaklandFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oakland -154FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Boston Red Sox travel to Oakland to take on the A's on Sunday afternoon. Boston is allowing 6.3 runs per game their past seven games overall where opponents have a combined batting average of .292. Oakland is allowing only 3.1 runs per game their past seven games overall where their opponents have a team batting average of only .226. Brandon Workman gets the start for Boston and he has appeared in only one game this year pitching two innings, allowing four hits and three earned runs. He has an ERA of 13.50 so far this season. Bartolo Colon has been a beast for Oakland this year going 12-3 with a 2.69 ERA overall this year, 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA at home this season and 2-1 with a 1.64 ERA his last 3 starts. Oakland is 7-2 at home vs Boston the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland today!

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Jimmy BoydFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore Orioles -130FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Orioles have several advantages in today's matchup against the Blue Jays. Josh Johnson will be the starting pitcher for Toronto and he is 0-3 on the road in four starts this season. In those four games be has posted a 6.75 ERA and is averaging just 4.7 innings pitched per start. He is facing a Baltimore offense that has a .269 batting average against right-handed starters and they are scoring 4.9 runs per game.
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Baltimore will have Scott Feldman on the mound and he has been solid all season long. In his seven home starts, Feldman has posted a 3.65 ERA and a 1.083 WHIP. I expect to see Feldman shut down the Toronto offense as the Blue Jays have a .241 batting average on the road. Over their past seven games the Blue Jays have scored a mere 3.9 runs per game.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Diego PadresFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Padres are off a not hit loss to the Giants and Tim Lincecum last night. They will look to go into the break on a positive Note and avoid a 4 game home sweep to the Giants. They do so knowing that home favorites of -140 or higher are 19-3 off a home loss and had 2 or less hits, vs an opponent off a road win by 5+ runs and had 10 or more hits. The Padres have won 3 of 4 as a home favorite of -150 to -175. San Francisco has lost 6 of the last 7 on the road vs leftys. San Diego has better numbers vs Leftys this season and will get Barry Zito and his 9.37 road era. The Giants have lost all 7 of his road starts and Zito allowed 6 runs in 3+ innings here earlier in the season. Stults for San Diego has a solid 2.56 home era and the Padres are 7-1 in his home starts. Stults has also won 4 of his last 5 home starts vs the Giants. Look for the Padres to take the Finale.

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Justin Bay

Nationals / Marlins Over 8½

Taylor Jordan
- Away: 10.0 IP, 13 H, 4 ER, 3.60 ERA, .310 OBA
- Coming off average start @ PHI: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 3 ER

Henderson Alvarez
- Career vs. WAS: 7.0 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 5.14 ERA, .321 OBA
- Home: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 6.00 ERA, .348 OBA
- Struggled in last start vs. ATL: 6.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER

General Notes:
With both teams hitting well, I look for both these pitchers to struggle, letting up 4 ER a piece. Look for this final score to be 6-5 Nationals coming out on top.


Cleveland Indians -110

James Shields
- Last Game vs. CLE: 5.1 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 8.44 ERA, .360 OBA
- Career vs. CLE: 70.0 IP, 4.11 ERA, .277 OBA
- Away: 67.1 IP, 2.54 ERA, .247 OBA
- Coming off quality start @ NYY: 7.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER

Ubaldo Jimenez
- Last Game vs. KAN: 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5.40 ERA, .158 OBA
- Career vs. KAN: 40.0 IP, 3.60 ERA, .237 OBA
- Home: 40.1 IP, 5.80 ERA, .250 OBA
- Coming off solid start vs. TOR: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER

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Art Aronson

Toronto vs. Baltimore
Play: Over 9½

Josh Johnson (1-4, 4.62 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Johnson gave up two earned runs off three hits with two walks in a loss to the Indians on Tuesday. Johnson has lost his last two starts and brings his horrible 0-3, 6.75 ERA road record into Baltimore to take on Scott Feldman (7-7, 3.87 ERA) who made his home debut for his new team against his former team, giving up nine hits and a walk over 5 1/3's innings, ultimately surrendering seven earned runs to the Rangers in the end. The right-hander has now given up nine runs over his first 11 1/3's innings as a Baltimore starter. Coming into Saturday, eight of these teams first 11 vs. each other in 2013 have indeed flown above the posted number and with these two confirmed "gas cans" facing off in the final game before the break, I believe all signs once again point to a higher-scoring affair.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston Astros +1½ +112FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Houston Astros are showing tremendous value Sunday as a big road underdog to the Tampa Bay Rays. I'll back them on the Run Line as the value is still there considering they are a dog on the RL as well.
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Each of the first two games of this series were decided by exactly one run as they have split the first two. Tampa has scored 4 runs or less in six of its last seven games overall. It is not known for blowing teams out and covering run lines.
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At 3-5 with a 4.67 ERA on the season, Erik Bedard has been respectable this season for Houston. Tampa's Chris Archer is simply getting too much respect from the books in this one. He has gone 3-3 with a 3.59 ERA in only eight starts this year.
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Bedard is 11-6 with a 3.46 ERA in 23 career starts against Tampa Bay. His teams have gone 16-7 in those starts. Houston is 19-7 against the run line (+13.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Sunday.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Mets at Pittsburgh PiratesFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Pittsburgh PiratesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Here is one more chance to take a look at Pittsburgh's UCLA alum rookie hurler Gerrit Cole before the All-Star break. While the Bucs have lost in Cole's last two starts, that's been more due to lack of run support; remember, Pittsburgh won in Cole's first four starts, and he has been serviceable at the least, allowed three runs or fewer in each of his four starts to date. Cole is also off of a solid outing last Tuesday vs. the A's when allowing only five hits and 2 runs in 7 IP. Pittsburgh's staff and bullpen have been lights-out over the past week, and not sure Mets starter Dillon Gee, hit hard in his last start vs. the Giants, has a 6.11 ERA on the road and has allowed a hefty .326 BA in games away from Citi Field.

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Jesse Schule

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Pick: San Diego Padres

The Giants look anything like champions this season, but they aren't out of the race yet, sitting 6.5 games back of division leaders Arizona. They have just a two game edge on the last place Padres who have lost 13 of their last 14 overall. The Padres host San Francisco in the final game before the All Star break, and they will send Eric Stults to the mound on Sunday Afternoon. Stults (7-7, 3.50 ERA) tossed a complete game, allowing just one run on four hits in a 2-1 win at home over the Rockies his last time out. He's gone the distance in two of his last three home starts, and the Padres have won all three of those games. He boasts a home record of 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA in eight starts, and he face a Giants team that is just 17-30 on the road. The defending champs will hand the ball to Barry Zito, who hasn't been sharp in recent outings. Zito (4-6, 4.82 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits, while walking four over six innings in a 10-6 loss to the Mets his last time out. All four of his wins this season have come at home, and his numbers on the road are nothing short of tragic. He's 0-5 with a 9.38 ERA in seven starts away from AT&T Park. His numbers in his last two visits to PETCO are even worse, as he's allowed 12 runs on 13 hits over just 7 2/3 innings. The Padres should be able to pile on here, adding to Zito's nightmare.

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Jim Feist

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Colorado Rockies

The Dodgers had closed the lead in the NL West to just 1 1/2 games, but a loss on Friday now finds them 2 1/2 games back (heading into Saturday night's contest). The Dodgers began their run from last place in the NL West with the arrival of Yasiel Puig. Puig energized this club by hitting over .400 for most of his time and hitting some dramatic home runs. Puig did leave Friday's contest with a sore hip and so it is a question if he might get some rest either Saturday or Sunday. Adrian Gonzalez is having a great year, hitting .301 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI's. The Rockies are just 4 1/2 back of Arizona in the west. The Rockies always have a solid hitting attack, 6th in MLB in batting (.266), 5th in slugging (.427) and 8th in runs (423). Jhoulys Chacin has been solid for Colorado, posting a 8-4 mark with a 3.62 ERA. Ricky Nolasco is coming off a great performance for the Dodgers, going seven innings allowing no runs in a win. That makes a 2-1 mark his last three starts with a 3.79 ERA. Rockies have big edge though here in pitching today and if Puig sits for the Dodgers to rest his hip, they make a live dog. A plus 130 dog is just too much to pass on with Chacin on the mound.

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Jeff Alexander

New York Yankees -1½ +103

Sabathia has owned the Twins. He is 19-8 with a 2.95 ERA in 35 career starts against them. More recently, he's 11-0 with a 2.01 ERA in his last 12 starts against them. 8 of those 11 wins have come by at least 2 runs. Minnesota's Kyle Gibson was just rocked by the Yankees July 4, giving up 8 runs in 5 1-3 innings. He's given up a total of 12 earned runs in his last 2 starts spanning 11 1-3 innings. The Yankees should cover the run line behind another strong performance from CC.

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Dave Price

Washington Nationals -130

The odds are stacked against Miami pulling off the series sweep. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, and the Marlins are just 14-37 in their last 51 game 3s of a series. I'm not a big believer in Henderson Alvarez, yet. His teams are 4-13 in his home starts since the start of last season, including 0-8 versus division opponents during this span. Alvarez was hit hard last season in his only start against Washington. He gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits (3 HRs) in 7 innings of a 4-2 defeat. Washington's Taylor Jordan has been pretty solid through 3 starts (3.45 ERA). He'll keep the Nats in this one, and the bats should take care of the rest against Alvarez.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto +109 over BALTIMOREFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Scott Feldman is back where he does not belong, that being in the American League, where he pitched from 2005 to 2012 as a member of the Rangers. Feldman put up some nice numbers with the Cubbies this year before being traded to Baltimore but he has a horrible history in the AL, with a .284 BAA, a .345 OBP, and a 1.44 WHIP. In four of the eight seasons he pitched in Texas, his ERA was over 5.00 and in his first start at his new ballpark he was tagged for nine hits and seven runs in 5.1 innings. Feldman is very prone to giving up jacks and that’s likely going to hurt him here against this tough Blue Jays line-up.
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The Blue Jays have won five of the past six games against the Orioles. Josh Johnson has 31 K’s over his past 29 innings and his xERA over that span is 3.06. Johnson has only thrown 60 innings this year and is rounding into the form that the Blue Jays had hoped for when they signed him. He appears to be healthy and the skills are definitely there. Johnson and the dangerous Blue Jays simply offer up too much value as a dog against Scott Feldman.
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Minnesota +190 over N.Y. YANKEESFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Yankees are simply a huge risk spotting a price like this one because of their inability to score runs with their makeshift lineup. The Yankees four and five hitters are Vernon Wells (.242) and Lyle Overbay (.246). Keep Brett Gardiner off the base-paths and pitch around Robinson Cano and the Yanks become feeble. New York has scored just three runs in the first two games of this series against Scott Diamond and Sam Deduno. The Yanks whacked Kyle Gibson in the rookie’s second big league start but Gibson’s other two starts against the Royals and Rays were of the quality variety. Gibson turned down the Phillies in the 36th round as an Indiana high schooler and became a first-rounder out of Missouri in 2009, signing for $1.85 million. His stock fell late that spring due to forearm tightness, and though he remained healthy in 2010, he needed Tommy John surgery in September 2011. He returned in 2012 with 13 appearances of no more than four innings before a stint in the Arizona Fall League. Gibson’s stuff has returned after his elbow reconstruction. He threw his four-seam fastball at 92-94 mph in the regular season and the AFL, where he started in the Rising Stars Game and ranked third in strikeouts. He also threw strikes with his two-seamer and his plus changeup with sink that he long has used as an out pitch. For more info on Gibson, see our MLB call-ups section.
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The Yanks are heavily favored because C.C. Sabathia starts. Sabathia’s fastball velocity has dropped from 92.3 mph in 2012 to 89.9 mph in 2013, the biggest drop among any SP with at least 65 IP. His base skills have been good but far from the elite levels he posted during most of his career. In 19 games started, Sabathia is 9-7 with a 3.99 ERA, which highlights the risks even more of laying more than 2-1 on him pitching for a team with a serious lack of offense.

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Wunderdog

Cincinnati at Atlanta
Pick: Atlanta -114

Cincinnati is great at home, but has a losing record (22-26) on the road. The Reds are 4-11 in their last 15 road games, and 5-16 in their last 21 games as an underdog. First place Atlanta is 31-14 at home, strong on offense, 11th in runs scored and slugging, 9th in on base percentage, and off a nice 5-2 over this team last night.  Starter Julio Teheran (3.09) rarely walks anyone, with 21 free passes in 107 IP. The Braves are 41-16 in their last 57 home games, and 6-2 in Teheran's last eight home starts. Play the Braves.

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Teddy Covers

San Francisco vs. San Diego
Pick: San Francisco

My clients and I cashed a ‘Big Ticket’ winner with the Giants on Friday in their 10-1 blowout over the Padres.  And we cashed another winner supporting San Francisco last night with Tim Lincecum’s no hitter in a 9-0 laugher.  There’s absolutely no reason to think the slumping Padres are going to break out of their extended funk this afternoon either.

Here’s an excerpt from yesterday’s write-up with the numbers adjusted to reflect current realities:

“For all the struggles that the Giants have endured over the past few weeks, this team is still very much in contention in the NL West, trailing vulnerable division leader Arizona by only 6.5 games.  The defending World Series champs have been here before – at the end of an extended slump AND on the outside looking in at the playoff picture past the halfway point of the season.  There’s money to be made supporting the Giants in the weeks and months to come, a confident, veteran team working their way back into contention.  Thursday’s come-from-behind win was EXACTLY what this team needed!

“San Diego has been a perennial last place contender in the NL West for most of the last decade, and they’re in last place again right now.  San Diego has been through their own extended slump in recent weeks, but I don’t see the Padres bouncing back into contention like I expect to see the Giants do.  You just don’t get the sense that San Diego’s low budget and limited offense are going to allow this team to transform into a winning ballclub.  And their current 3-18 slump (including a 2-9 mark at home) has featured no shortage of sluggish, lifeless baseball.  In other words, there’s a lot more upside supporting San Fran in the weeks to come than San Diego – the time to ‘buy low’ on the Giants is right now!”

Padres starter Eric Stults is coming off a complete game, 122 pitch effort against Colorado in his last outing, by far his highest pitch count in any big league game since 2009.  He’s faced the Giants three times already this year, and San Fran has hit him consistently; to the tune of a 6.23 ERA.  While the betting markets won’t support Barry Zito on the road in virtually any situation, the price is right to support Zito and the Giants this afternoon as they look to complete their momentum changing four game sweep heading into the All Star break.

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John Ryan

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds

The simulator shows a high probability that the Reds will get a much needed win. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 105-90 mark for 54% winners and has made 54 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road dogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) and is a terrible speed team averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season with the game taking place in the second half of the season. The Reds have a great young starter on the hill in Cingrani, who has allowed two runs or fewer in seven of nine starts. He gave up two ER and three hits over seven innings in a 2-0 loss at Milwaukee Tuesday. Manager Baker is a solid 25-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR. Take the Reds.

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Michael Alexander

Arizona Diamondbacks -154

After a recent losing streak the Arizona Diamondbacks have righted the ship and are looking for a four-game series sweep of the visiting Milwaukee Brewers today. Arizona won for the sixth time in as many contests against Milwaukee yesterday as Didi Gregorius, Miguel Montero and Jason Kubel homered in a 5-4 triumph.
The Diamondbacks will send Ian Kennedy to the hill today. Arizona is 20-9 in Kennedys last 29 home starts and 11-5 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, July 14

Joe Gavazzi

Oakland -150

We look to ride the momentum from last night's 3-0 Oakland victory with their best starter on a home field where the As are 19-5 recently. On this field, the As have won 7/9 Colon starts in which he has a 2.47 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. In his last 10 starts, Colon is 9-1 with a 1.48 ERA. In 4 recent outings vs. Boston, Colon has a 1.90 ERA. Workman had a 3-1 record and 2.80 ERA in Minor League ball. But when making his Major League debut on Wednesday vs. Seattle, he allowed 3 runs in 2 IP. That is not a positive as he enters his initial Major League start on the road.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, July 14

Greg Shaker

Chicago / Philadelphia Under 7.5

There is just not a lot to think about here as this play is pretty cut and dry. We have 2 lefties on the Hill to open up this game and we have 2 teams that are not that prolific at scoring verses these guys. The White Sox especially has not done so all year and most recently over their last 10 games they are managing right 1.6 Runs Per 9 verses Southpaws. Phillies right at 3.2 Per 9 last 10. We do have 2 pretty good left side throwers in this contest and both are WHIP-ing very well of late. Last 2 Hamels has 12 K's and 1 BB, Quintana 18 K's and 2 BB's over his last 2 pitched. That is NOT the behavior of either having weary arms. The Weather is mostly neutral, the Ump is as well and betting with the right book or books you can get this at a -105. Phils Ben Revere broke his foot last night and will not play. White Sox 2B Gordon Beckham most likely out as well after a collision last night. That's can't hurt, and neither is the fact that this interleague game will be played at an NL Park. This one is worth a shot I think..

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