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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 14

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 14

Sunday Night Baseball: Cardinals at Cubs
By Steve Merril

A National League Central rivalry takes center stage on Sunday night as the Cubs host the Cardinals.


Adam Wainwright is 12-5 with a 2.30 ERA on the year. He has pitched at least seven innings in 15 of his 19 starts. The Cardinals’ starter has allowed 1 run or less in nine outings as well. Wainwright has faced the Cubs just once this season giving up 4 runs and seven hits in a loss back on June 18th. The righty has great control posting no more than 2 walks in a single outing. He has struck out 26 batters in his last four games and he hasn’t lost a game on the road since his first start of the season back on April 1st.


Travis Wood is 6-6 with a 2.69 ERA despite the fact that he has thrown 17 quality starts this season. Wood has allowed 2 earned runs or less in three straight starts which all came against the AL West. He has faced the Cardinals twice this season going 1-1 overall while allowing 4 earned runs and 13 hits in those games. Wood has struck out four batters or more in 10 straight starts. Run support has been a bit of an issue for the southpaw as the Cubs have scored just 17 total runs in his last seven starts.


The Cubs are a pretty healthy team; a lot of the names on their injury report aren’t that important. David DeJesus has a shoulder injury which should keep him out a month. Ryan Sweeney is out with a fractured a rib after running into a wall. Other than that, Chicago is without a few pitchers who weren’t really big contributors.

The Cardinals are a little more dinged up with Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday dealing with their own ailments. Out for the year is Jaime Garcia, Rafael Furcal and Jason Motte. Chris Carpenter will be back at some point in the second half as he is getting close to making rehab starts.


Cardinals are 11-5 in Wainwright’s last 16 Sunday starts
Cardinals are 11-5 Over in their last 16 Sunday games

Cubs are 6-14 in Wood’s last 20 home starts
Cubs are 50-22-4 Over in their last 76 during Game 4 of a series


Alfonso Soriano 11-for-42 vs. Wainwright
Starlin Castro 5-for-17 vs. Wainwright

Allen Craig 5-for-16 vs. Wood
Jon Jay 7-for-17 vs. Wood

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 14

Cincinnati at Atlanta: Preview & Pick

Following hot trends is a staple of baseball betting, and there are plenty today as the Atlanta Braves go for the sweep at home against the Cincinnati Reds to close out the first half of the season.

Such trends don’t always pan out, but they certainly allow us to offer a more informed free MLB Pick. To start, according to the betting odds at Bovada, Atlanta is a -130 home favorite with a total of just 7.5.

The Braves have Julio Teheran to start this afternoon, with the righthander bringing a 7-4 record and 3.09 ERA. His last home effort was a no-decision against the Marlins, but in his three previous outings, Teheran dominated in allowing no runs over 20 innings of work for a trio of victories.

The Under and Teheran at Turner Field has been a dynamic combination for those whose focus is baseball betting. In the nine home games Teheran has started before Braves fans, the Under has cashed seven times.

Cincinnati offers rookie Tony Cingrani, who has a 3-1 record with a 3.30 ERA. In his last effort, his teammates offered him no run support in a 2-0 defeat at Milwaukee.

With the close of this series upon us, the baseball betting community is well aware that the last four road series for the Reds have finished below the run total, most recently last Wednesday against Milwaukee in a 6-2 victory.

Those individuals are also aware that all season long, the Under has been a solid offering as a free MLB pick when Atlanta closes out a series in Georgia. With a 9-5 advantage, including four of the last five games, those who chose the Under have made money.

The Under has also been a consistent occurrence when a Reds pitcher is in the role of a road dog, and is coming off an Under in that last trip to the mound. In those circumstances, the Under has been the right MLB pick seven out of the last ten times.

Finally, this final baseball betting nugget is a mouthful, but when looking for any edge on a game, there’s always room for more. This season, when home favorites of less than -150 are playing, following a win, the last game of a series during the day and the total is below 8—all of which is happening today—the Under is 20-8-1.

In short, the easiest call on this free MLB Pick is to

Play Atlanta-Cincinnati Under 7.5

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 14

Sunday's National League Betting Notes & Tips

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (124, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Taylor Jordan makes his fourth major-league start after allowing nine runs (six earned) and 19 hits over 15 2/3 innings through the first three

Hot batting stat: Miami SS Adeiny Hechavarria, who scored the winning run Saturday, is batting .312 (39-for-125) since June 5.

Weather: Roof could be closed due to 40 percent thunderstorm risk.

Key betting note: The over is 13-3-3 in Miami's last 19 home games.

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates (-153, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates starter Gerrit Cole has yielded just two home runs in 36 2/3 innings pitched.

Hot batting stat: Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen, who homered and added an RBI single on Saturday, has four multi-hit performances in his last seven contests.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and sunny skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-3 in the Mets' last 13 games overall.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (-122, 7.5)

Hot batting stat: Reds OF Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .413 during his current 11-game hitting streak.

Hot pitching stat: Braves starter Julio Teheran is 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA in eight home starts, striking out 56 in 50 1/3 innings at Turner Field.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and a 40 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow in from right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in Teheran's last seven home starts.

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-133, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies starter Jhoulys Chacin has yielded a .338 batting average to the Los Angeles roster in 14 career appearances (13 starts).

Hot batting stat: Rockies 1B Todd Helton, who has 699 career multi-hit games, is 6-for-15 against Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in the Dodgers' last eight games overall.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-163, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers starter Wily Peralta extended his scoreless streak to 15 1/3 innings by pitching a three-hit masterpiece against Cincinnati on Tuesday for his first career complete game.

Cold batting stat: The Diamondbacks have been out-hit in all three games of the series.

Weather: Roof could be closed due to extreme heat.

Key betting note: The home team is 6-2 in umpire Ron Kulpa's last eight games behind home plate.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-153, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Giants starter Barry Zito has gone 0-3 with a 5.82 ERA over his last seven outings, six of which the Giants lost.

Hot batting stat: Giants C Buster Posey is 6-for-12 with a home run against Padres starter Eric Stults.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants have won 20 of their last 29 games against the Padres.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (131, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Cards hurler Adam Wainwright has worked at least seven innings in each of his last three outings, including a seven-frame performance against the Houston Astros on Tuesday in which he allowed just one run and five hits en route to victory.

Hot batting stat: Cubbies OF Alfonso Soriano has belted six of his 16 homers in his last eight games.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwright's last 11 starts as a road favorite.


Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies (-170, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies lefty Cole Hamels gave up one run on six hits over eight frames to lower his July ERA to 1.20 during Tuesday’s 4-2 triumph over the Nationals.

Cold batting stat: Chicago and Philadelphia combined to go 6-for-42 with runners in scoring position in Saturday’s doubleheader.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies (47-48) are 3-10 in games in which they have a chance to reach .500.

** Odds, probable starters and weather as of 8:35 a.m. ET.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, July 14

Sunday's American League Betting Notes and Tips

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-112, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Royals starter James Shields owns a 1-5 career mark versus Cleveland and yielded five runs on nine hits for a no-decision on July 4 against the Tribe.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland 2B Jason Kipnis had three hits Saturday and has hit safely in 21 of his last 23 games. He is 3-for-9 in his career versus Shields.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 8-0 in Shields' last eight starts.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (-207, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yanks starter C.C. Sabathia has given up 20 homers this season – tied for the third-highest total in the majors.

Cold batting stat: The Yankees have homered in only 11 of their last 34 games.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Sabathia's last six starts vs. Twins.

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers (-168, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers lefty Martin Perez improved to 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA over his last four starts since being recalled on June 22.

Cold batting stat: Rangers 2B Ian Kinsler is batting .154 (4-for-26) in his career versus Tigers starter Justin Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Verlander's last six home starts.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (-119, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Orioles righty Scott Feldman has struggled in 12 career appearances (six starts) against Toronto, going 0-4 with a 6.11 ERA.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays RF Jose Bautista is 5-for-11 with a home run and two doubles against Feldman.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays (-243, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Astros lefty Erik Bedard lost his two starts in July, allowing nine runs (eight earned) in 11 2/3 innings after going 3-1 in five June outings.

Cold batting stat: Rays 3B Evan Longoria has just four hits in 33 at-bats (nine games) during Tampa Bay's current home stand.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in Rays starter Chris Archer's last eight starts.

Boston Red Sox at Oakland A's (-149, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: A's starter Bartolo Colon has won nine of his last 10 outings after limiting the Pittsburgh Pirates to a run in seven frames on Monday.

Cold batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is 6-for-46 with 15 strikeouts against Colon.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-60s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The Red Sox are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-129, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Angels starter Joe Blanton is coming off a rough outing in Chicago, where he surrendered six runs and eight hits over five innings in a loss to the Cubs on Tuesday.

Hot batting stat: Seattle's home run streak is the longest in the American League since Texas set the major-league record in 2002 with a 27-game run.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and sunny skies. Winds will blow from left field to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 9-1-1 in Mariners starter Hisashi Iwakuma's last 11 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

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