Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

San Francisco at San Diego
The Padres look to build on their 7-2 record in their last 9 games as a home underdog. San Diego is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100)

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 16.598; Cubs (Villanueva) 14.954
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); N/A

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.883; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.941
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over
Game 905-906: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.831; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.389
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.803; Atlanta (Medlen) 14.901
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gorzelanny) 13.816; Arizona (Corbin) 15.267
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-175); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Gaudin) 13.303; San Diego (O'Sullivan) 14.200
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 13.120; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.928
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 4; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-240); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-240); Over

Game 915-916: Texas at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Grimm) 15.626; Detroit (Fister) 14.453
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+160); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.769; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.112
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.873; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.248
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+175); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 15.812; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.632
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over

Game 923-924: Houston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 13.782; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.282
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-300); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-300); Under

Game 925-926: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.285; Oakland (Parker) 16.533
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 14.477; Seattle (Saunders) 15.506
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Under

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.139; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

CFL

Calgary at Montreal
The Stampeders look to bounce back from last week's loss to Saskatchewan and build on their 13-3 ATS record in in their last 16 games following a SU defeat.Calgary is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3)

Game 123-124: Calgary at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 119.495; Montreal 112.975
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3); Under

WNBA

Chicago at Connecticut
The Sky look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Sun. Chicago is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5)

Game 601-602: Chicago at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.146; Connecticut 107.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5); Over

Game 603-604: Washington at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.055; San Antonio 108.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 153
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 157
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Under

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Marc Lawrence

Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox pay a three-game visit to Oakland when they send John Lackey to the mound against Jarrod Parker and the Athletics Friday evening. While Parker enters the contest on a three-game losing slide, Lackey has cashed in four of his last six starts overall, and 16 of his last 20 away starts during the month of July. With Lackey in strong KW form with 27 strikeouts and 2 walks his last three starts, look for the right-hander to improve to 14-5 in his last nineteen team starts against the A's here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Boston.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Tigers -177FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Justin Grimm has been in a real funk lately, posting a 7.62 ERA in his last three starts. On the road he has been horrible all season with a 6.81 ERA. I do not believe he can get the run support he needs with the Rangers offense facing Doug Fister. At home Fister has posted a 3.76 ERA and a 1.234 WHIP.
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The Rangers have struggled against right handed pitchers this season. They have a .254 batting average and are scoring a mere 4.2 runs per game. They are up against a Tigers offense that has a .308 batting average over their past seven games and they are scoring 7 runs per game during that span.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington Nationals-1½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Nationals fit a nice system here that has won 12 of 13 when playing on road favorites of -140 or more that arrive off a road favored loss and scored 4 or less runs, and are now taking on an opponent off a home dog win like Miami that scored 5 or more runs. Washingto is too heavily favored to unit rate. however the system is solid winning 12 of 13 over the last 10 seasons. The Nationals as a team are a solid 14-2 as a road favorite off a road loss if they scored 2 or less runs. Thye have taken 5 of 6 from the Marlins this season. Miami has lost 6 of 8 as a home dog in this range and 28 of 42 vs winning teams. They only hit .215 and score 2.7 runs in night games. Washington is scoring over 5.5 runs the past week and have a nice pitching advantage with S. Strasburg over Miami starter N. Eovaldi. Look for Washington to emerge with the win tonight.

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Jeffrey BrandesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies    
Play: Philadelphia PhilliesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pitchers:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
CHICAGO WHITE SOX: JOHN DANKS (L) ERA: 4.31 W/L: 2-6
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES: JONATHAN PETTIBONE (R) ERA: 3.84 W/L: 5-3
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The White Sox have lost five of their last seven and are 6-20 in their last 26 road games. They will go with JOHN DANKS today who has tossed three consecutive quality starts, working at least seven innings in each, but has failed to earn a victory during the stretch. He lost his last start 3-1 to Tampa Bay.
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The Phillies have won six of their last eight games. They are possibly in the beginning of a roll that could help them get in position to make a run at the Braves and Nationals. They are going with rookie right-hander JONATHAN PETTIBONE today and he has allowed three or fewer runs in four consecutive outings, winning his last two starts.
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Key Trends:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Chi White Sox are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games
Chi White Sox are 6-19 SU in their last 25 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Freddy Wills

Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland A's
Play: Oakland A's

Parker is on our hot pitching list with a 2.65 ERA over his last three starts, but after he's gotten off to a slow start he's been on fire and consistent posting a 2.31 ERA over his last 10 starts alone. He also has pitched well against the Red Sox in his two career starts with a 1.35 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Boston tends to struggle on the road against good teams, 10-27 in their last 37 vs. a winning team. They are also just 8-24 in their last 32 in Oakland.

The Red Sox do send a hot starter to the mound in their own John Lackey, but Lackey has a much higher ERA on the road 3.96, and he's been fortunate with a 81.7 LOB % which is the best for his career by far, but he faces an Oakland team that is very good with runners on and is backed by a bullpen that's flat out better. Oakland is also dominant at home winning 41 of their last 53 when favored.

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Brad Diamond

Boston vs. Oakland
Play: Over 7½

We have been on fire the last two month’s on the math side of the card. This encounter finds the Red Sox traveling off a day game in Seattle, while Oakland is rested and at home with a day of rest. The A’s have gone OVER at a 53.3% clip this season, 10/16 OVER vs. the American League East, 21-21 OVER at home. Boston has gone OVER 51.7%, while going OVER 57.4% of the time vs. RHP. The series has gone OVER in 6 straight. Oakland is OVER 7/10 when involved in game #1 of a series. In closing, the Sox are RED HOT on the road going 7-1-1 OVER vs. RHP and 14-5-1 OVER in game #1 of a series with Lackey hitting the bump. This is such an important weekend for each club, so I fully expect the lineups to rule.

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Art Aronson

Los Angeles vs. Seattle
Play: Over 8½

Jerome Williams (5-4, 4.16 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Williams is coming off a shaky outing, fortunate to earn a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on Saturday after he gave up five runs off seven hits with one walk while striking out one over just three innings of work. The big right-hander has now allowed 11 earned runs over just his last 4 2/3's innings pitched. Williams will take his unremarkable 2-3, 3.95 ERA night-game record into Seattle to throw opposite Joe Saunders (7-8, 4.51 ERA) who is coming off one of his better outings of the year, giving up one earned run off six hits with no walks over seven frames in a victory over the Reds on Sunday. Saunders has looked brilliant at times this year and pretty pedestrian in others; note that he sports a pedestrian 4-3, 3.56 ERA home record. So far these teams have played each other nine times in 2013 and the O/U has gone 4-6; but with these two confirmed "gas cans" facing off in the opener of this three-game set, I believe all signs do indeed point to a higher-scoring affair; consider a second look at the "over" in this one.

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Jim FeistFOR  FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco Giants at San Diego PadresSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San Diego PadresFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What a difference a month makes. The defending champion Giants have gone from the penthouse to the outhouse in the NL West. Granted, it wasn't a far fall. Only 6 1/2 games separate 1st from last now in the West with the Padres and Giants both occupying that bottom rung. Both these clubs are slumping in July, the Padres losing nine of the last 10 and the Giants eight of the last 10. Since June 1st, the Giants are 12-25 and the Padres are 13-24. So why am I giving out the Padres in this game? Well, sometimes you find a nugget that isn't even on the field that might sway you. That's what we have here on Friday. San Francisco starter Chad Gaudin may have other things on his mind tonight than baseball, as he's facing lewdness charges back in Las Vegas from a January hospital incident. Focus is important for pitchers in particular and this definitely will be taking away from that. Gaudin has pitched well for the Giants, mostly in 23 relief appearances. Sean O'Sullivan will make a spot start for the Padres after being called up from Triple-A Tucson. Sullivan is 7-4 with a 3.88 ERA in the minors this season. Sullivan did pitch well in the preseason for the Padres with a 1.73 ERA in 13 1/3 innings. I like Sullivan here, I expect him to be very competitive. I will be interested to see what's on Gaudin's mind tonight, baseball or something else.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle MarinersSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Seattle MarinersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While the Angels have been rallying the past couple of weeks, we're not sure those dynamics should apply when Jerome Williams takes the mound. Which has been bad news for the Halos lately, as Williams hasn't gotten past the third inning in two disastrous starts in a row, surrendering 11 runs in just 4 2/3 over that span, and his ERA is a sky-high 8.47 over his last four starts. Granted, ex-Angel Joe Saunders has not been especially sharp lately at home, either (7.45 ERA last four Safeco Field starts), but he has pitched very well in a couple of starts vs. his old team since leaving, posting a 1.93 ERA in two starts. And Saunders, historically good at Safeco Field )(10-3 with a 2.80 ERA in his career), has yielded just two ER over 13 2/3 IP in winning his first two July outings, and has allowed one run or fewer in four of his last five outings.

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston at Tampa BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Houston +1½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jarred Cosart will make his Major League debut for the Astros and he draws a tough competitor in David Price. Cosart averaged a strikeout per inning this season for Triple-A Oklahoma City. What should help Cosart in this start is that he has a bit of an unconventional delivery, throwing across his body from a right handed arm slot. That kind of deception will make it tough for the Rays, who have never seen Cosart before. That deceptive delivery has helped Cosart keep the ball in the ballpark throughout his minor league career with just 22 HR allowed in 447.1 innings and some nice peripheral stats with 7.8 K/9 and some low hit totals.
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The Astros, for as difficult of a season as it has been, are still one of the better teams in baseball against left handed pitching. They rank seventh in OPS at .721 and sixth in wRC+. They just saw Price last week, so they're familiar with him, and should be able to put up a better fight in this start.
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We think Houston should be able to keep this one close and love getting a sizable plus-money amount on the +1.5 run line.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mets vs. PiratesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pirates snapped their longest losing streak of the season on Wednesday w/ a 5-0 shutout of Oakland.  They had yesterday off and now start up a three-game set with the Mets. Like Pittsburgh, the Mets were off yesterday, this after sweeping the Giants on the road earlier in the week. I expect this to be a low-scoring series and will take the Under in Friday's opener.
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The Pirates' starting rotation has the best ERA in baseball (3.09) and in 24 of the last 25 games have allowed three earned runs or less.  Tonight's starter Charlie Morton may have provided that lone exception his last time out, but he still has a 2.57 ERA in a pair of home starts so far.  The Mets' offense, despite some recent prowess, is not one to be feared.  These teams have met four times previously this season and in all four games the Mets scored three runs or fewer.
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Mets starter Jeremy Hefner leads MLB in ERA since June 4th at 1.64 and has allowed exactly one earned run in six of his last seven starts. Here he will be facing a Pirates lineup which managed only six runs during its four game losing streak before nearly matching that entire total in their win Wednrsday. Pittsburgh has had a pretty big issue scoring runs all season, averaging only 3.7 runs per game at PNC Park.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston vs. OaklandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OaklandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Red Sox were forced to go extras yesterday in Seattle, but prevailed 8-7 for their third consecutive victory over the Mariners. Their first West Coast trip of the year concludes this weekend in Oakland where the A's will have a big edge in Friday's opener due to having had yesterday off.
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Here are my keys to the game:FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  Schedule - Obviously, Boston is at a disadvantage here as they played 10 innings yesterday and Oakland had the day off.  Over the last two seasons, the A's are 19-8 when playing with a day off.
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2.  Homefield Advantage - Oakland is 28-14 this year at home. That includes a 25-10 mark when favored on the money line. The Red Sox are just 1-7 their last eight visits here to the Bay.   The A's have a 41-17 record as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range the last three seasons.  Boston starter John Lackey has not been nearly as effective on the road this season with a 3-6 TSR and 3.96 ERA.
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3. X-Factor - Though he has not received a decision either way, A's starter Jarrod Parker has a 2.65 ERA his last three starts.

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SC Live Dogs

New York Mets at +120

Why we like the Mets on Friday at +120...here we have a Mets team that is playing good ball right now going 5-2 in their past 7 games while averaging 6.4 rpg and allowing just 4.1 rpg during that stretch. During the Pirates past 7 games, they have seen a 2-5 record while averaging just 3 rpg and allowing 2.9 rpg during that stretch. More importantly for this Pirates team is that they have now seen their July record slip to 3-6 and after a 17-9 June, with that being said, you have to wonder how this Pirates team will react after a day off and knowing that they are a few days away from the All-Star Break. The Mets will be pitching Jeremy Hefner who is not getting much respect this season as he has posted a 3.39 era through 101 innings of work as well as posting a 1.35 era through his last 20 innings of work where he went 2-0 in his last two starts as an underdog of +120 & +130. Hefner has not been afraid of pitching in road games either as he has a respectable 3.74 road era through 53 innings of work as well as allowing just 5 runs through his last 26 road innings on 24 Ks, 4 BBs & 2 HRs in the above average offensive ballparks of Nationals Park, Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field & Miller Park. The Pirates will be pitching Charlie Morton who is making just his 6th start of the season where he has posted a 3.37 in his previous 24 innings of work. Morton has not fared so well of late where he has posted a 4.61 era over his last 14 innings of work against the below average offensive teams of the Cubs, Brewers & Angels where he allowed 13 hits on 8 BBs, 11 Ks, & 2 HRs. An interesting trend with Morton is that his worst starts have come on 5 days of rest (Fridays start will be on 5 days of rest) where in 2013 he has made just one start on 5 days of rest where he allowed 4 runs through 6 innings on 7 hits & 2 HRs. When we look at Mortons 2012 numbers on 5 days of rest, he carried a 5.33 through 25 innings on 34 hits, 8 BBs & just 15 Ks. In Mortons career against the Mets, he is 0-2 with a 4.91 era while the Pirates are 0-4 in games that he has started against the Mets. From a bullpen standpoint, the Pirates do have the home edge with a 2.25 era but we do have to make notice that the Mets bullpen has improved greatly as of late and are not a caution bullpen at this point of the season.

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Game PlanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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NY Yankees -177FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Twins have been awful lately going 5-16 their last 21. The Yankees just swept the Twins in Minnesota and have dominated the Twins over the years. Yankees are 6-0 in Kurodas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. American League Central. Twins are 15-54 in their last 69 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take the Yankees tonight.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto at BaltimoreFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick Over 1st HalfFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Blue Jays big bats were ice cold in Cleveland, and Toronto failed to hit a home run while losing two of three to the Tribe. They might have a better chance of hitting a few long balls in Baltimore, the home of Chris "Crush" Davis who leads the Major Leagues with 34 dingers with three games remaining before the All Star Break. Chris Tillman will toe the rubber for the Orioles, and he's served up 18 home runs in his 18 starts on the year. Most of those came at home in Baltimore, where he's been taken deep 14 times in 10 starts. Tillman (10-3, 3.92 ERA) wasn't very impressive in his last start, allowing five runs on 10 hits in just 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Yankees in the Bronx. He hasn't fooled Jose Bautista in previous meetings, the Jays slugger is 6-for-15 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs lifetime. Colby Rasmus has also taken him out of the park, going 3-for-8 with a double and a home run in his career versus Tillman. With Mark Buehrle on the mound for the Jays, Tillman might have plenty of room for error. Buehrle (5-5, 4.50 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a 4-0 home win over the Twins in his last start. He's been a bit of a "Jekyll and Hyde" pitcher this year at home and on the road, posting a record of 4-1, 3.30 at Rogers Center, but 1-4, 5.81 away from Toronto. Chris Davis is hitting homers on everybody this season, and he's taken Buehrle deep in the past. Davis is 4-for-9 with a home run lifetime versus the veteran, while Nick Markakis is hitting .431 with a pair of homers in 31 career at bats versus Buehrle. This contest should see it's fair share of runs, and I don't expect either of these two starters to keep the ball in the park today.

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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kansas City Royals +135FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Royals are showing a lot of value as a road underdog tonight. Kansas City's Bruce Chen will return to the starting rotation after spending most of the season in long relief. Chen started 34 games last year, so the transition will be easy. While he didn't put up very good numbers last season (5.07 ERA), he's had little trouble when taking the mound in Cleveland. Chen is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA in four starts at Progressive Field since 2010.
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I like the Royals chances of giving Chen some room to work with, as the Indians will counter with Corey Kluber, who is just 6-5 with a 4.23 ERA in 16 starts. Kluber has struggled lately with a 6.61 ERA and 1.592 WHIP over his last three and has not had much success against the Royals, posting a 6.48 ERA and 1.381 WHIP in three starts. This will be the third time the Royals bats will have faced Kluber this season and the second time this month. They should have a very good idea of what's coming when they step up to home plate.
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Kansas City lost 4-8 last night in New York and recently have been a great team to back coming off a loss, as they are 7-1 in their last 8 games after losing the previous game. The Indians are just 1-5 in their last 6 vs division opponents and a miserable 1-5 in Klubers last six starts during Game 1 of a series.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Mets +134FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The New York Mets are showing excellent value Friday as a nice-sized road underdog to the Pittsburgh Pirates. You would think that Pittsburgh has the edge on the mound given this line, but in fact it's just the opposite.
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New York starter Jeremy Hefner has gone 4-6 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.190 WHIP in 17 starts this season. He is clearly one of the most underrated starters in the league. Hefner is also 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in his last three starts.
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Charlie Morton has gone 1-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in only five starts this season for Pittsburgh. He has really struggled of late, going 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in his last three outings.
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Hefner is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.571 WHIP in one career start against Pittsburgh, pitching seven shutout innings of a 6-0 victory in 2012. Morton is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in four career starts against New York. His teams are 0-4 in those four contests.
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The Mets come in having won four straight, while the Pirates have lost four of their last five games overall. Hefner is a very profitable 6-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. The Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Pirates are 11-25 in Morton's last 36 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet New York Friday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

Allen EastmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado +215FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rockies should be huge underdogs in this game. But I think that this is going to be a really strong situation. This one will have a lot of value for backers. Young Tyler Chatwood is on the mound for the Rockies. He has been outstanding this year. He is 5-2 with a 2.74 ERA and has only given up over two earned runs one time in his last 10 starts. That one bad start came against the Dodgers last week. But I think that Chatwood is going to get revenge. The Dodgers are playing great. And they might be -180 in this game. But the Rockies are going to be very live underdogs in this game and I'm willing to take a shot on a plus-money play with a hot young pitcher.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 12

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary +130 over MONTREALFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Alouettes are 1-1 after opening the season with back-to-back games against the Blue Bombers. They should be 0-2 and it should’ve been two blowout losses. Winnipeg turned the ball over six times last week and the Als scored 11 points. In Week 1, Winnipeg turned the ball over four times, yet Montreal needed a 14-0 fourth quarter to win that one. The Als 1-1 record is a gift from heaven because this team should be 0-2 on way to their worst record in more than a decade. Anthony Calvillo was great in his day but his day has long past, as he’s now 41 years old and very few QB’s in the history of this game, be it CFL or NFL, have been able to thrive over the age of 40. The Als played a rather pedestrian offense in the first two weeks and will not be well-prepped to deal with the wrath of this Stampeders offense.
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Calgary is 1-1 after an opening day blowout win over B.C and a subsequent loss to Saskatchewan. That loss to Saskatchewan was by no means an ugly one. Let’s not forget that it came the week after a hugely, emotional opening day win after the devastating floods the week before. The Als are favored here because Drew Tate will sit this one out and that actually works to our advantage in terms of the price being offered. Kevin Glenn is not Drew Tate but he’s an extremely capable back-up that went 9-5 for the Stamps last year after Tate was injured. Glenn compiled 4,220 yards in passing for 25 touchdowns and a completion rate of 66.7 per cent. He’s not going to come out cold either. Glenn played last week and has been taking first-team snaps all week in practice. Glenn knows this offense and he has various weapons to utilize. Calgary is the vastly superior team here on both offense and defense. After a disappointing Week 2 loss, expect this juggernaut of a team to rebound and rally behind Glenn. The Alouettes, meanwhile could be dregs the entire year and in no way should they be favored over this visitor. How does one take away the ball six times, score just 11 points and lose? Keep the points. Stamps outright.

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