Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 5

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, July 5

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Atlanta at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-8 in Tim Hudson's last 8 road starts. Philadelphia is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140)

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs  (4:05 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.558; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.288
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); N/A

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.391; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.780
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Over

Game 955-956: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 13.619; Washington (Gonzalez) 14.944
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.556; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 14.652
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-105); Over

Game 959-960: Miami at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 15.313; St. Louis (Westbrook) 16.726
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.443; Arizona (Skaggs) 14.249
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.568; San Francisco (Cain) 15.873
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.516; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Over

Game 967-968: Minnesota at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.646; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-170); Under

Game 969-970: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.782; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.613
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.930; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+170); Over

Game 973-974: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 13.426; Texas (Tepesch) 14.847
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-215); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.190; Kansas City (Davis) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 16.442; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.740
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Harang) 15.095; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-210); Under

CFL

Calgary at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 2 of the season. Saskatchewan is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-1)

Game 425-426: Calgary at Saskatchewan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 116.023; Saskatchewan 119.660
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 54
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-1); Under

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Jimmy Boyd

Tampa Bay Rays -178

The Rays have a huge advantage in this matchup at the starting pitcher position. Dylan Axelrod has a 1-3 record in his eight starts on the road. In his last three starts he has posted a 5.94 ERA with a 1.800 WHIP. He is up against a Tampa Bay offense that is batting .270 over their past seven games and they are scoring 4.7 runs per game at home.

The White Sox are batting .246 against right handed starters and they will really struggle today against Jeremy Hellickson. In his last three starts Hellickson has posted a 1.42 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP. He is 3-0 in those starts and has a 7-3 overall record this season. The White Sox have a 15-28 record on the road while Tampa Bay owns a 25-18 record at home. This should be an easy win for the Rays and I expect Axelrod to have a very short night.

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Rob Vinciletti

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers    
Play; Milwaukee Brewers

The main reason for this selection is that road dogs like the Mets are 1-14 since 2004 if they are off a home dog loss and scored 4 or less runs with 10 or more hits, and are playing an opponent that lost by 2 or more runs. The Mets are off a grueling 4 game series with Arizona and were dropped 5-4 in extras after twice getting game tying home runs. The Mets may be worn out after that game and a series with Several long rain delays and two long extra inning games. Manager Terry Collins in his post game conference following the loss openly said he's never been on a tougher stretch in his career and don't even se how some of these guys are standing. The Mets have Z. Wheeler going and he has a 5 era in his 3 starts so far this season, often struggling with his command. The Brewers have J. Hellweg on the mound and looking to improve off a dreadful season debut in Pittsburgh. This is a much easier spot. Look for Milwaukee to take the opener.

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John Ryan

Orioles vs. Yankees
Play: Under 9

The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 9 runs will be scored in this game. NY is a solid 21-6 UNDER (+13.9 Units) when playing against a good team winning between 54% to 62% this season; 36-18 UNDER (+15.3 Units) facing good fielding teams averaging <=0.6 errors/game this season; 24-10 UNDER (+12.4 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season; 37-16 UNDER (+18.9 Units) after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 3 seasons; 11-2 UNDER (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. Orioles are a solid 31-16 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in road games when facing a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Miguel Gonzalez starts for the O's and he is coming along very well this season. He went 6 2/3 innings allowed 3 ER, on 2 HR, and struck out nine batters while walking none. Yanks are batting just .247 with a 0.299 OBP in 57 games against RH starters. Nova starts for the Yanks and in his first start since April 26, he pitched well completing 6 2/3 innings, allowed 3 ER, walking three and getting 7 K's in a 3-1 loss to TB. I like the 'UNDER' in this matchup.

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Jeffrey Brandes

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies

Pitchers:
ATLANTA BRAVES: TIM HUDSON (R) ERA: 4.22 W/L: 4-7
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES: CLIFF LEE (L) ERA: 2.59 W/L: 9-2

For the Braves, TIM HUDSON is winless in his last 10 outings. He hasn't recorded a win since May 5. He is 3-3 in nine career starts in Philadelphia.

For the Phillies, CLIFF LEE is undefeated in his last 11 starts. He has been lights-out nearly all season, especially over the last two months. He has turned in 11 consecutive quality starts dating back to May 6, while pitching at least seven innings in each of those outings. Lee is 7-0 with a 2.15 ERA during that span.

Key Trends:
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road

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Marc Lawrence

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

The Giants and Dodgers meet in the opener of this three-game division rivalry at AT&T Park Friday evening where Matt Cain meets Hyun-Jin Ryu. While Ryu has been a pleasant surprise in a disappointing season for the Dodgers this campaign, his 4.15 road ERA is more then two full runs worse the his 1.90 home ERA. On the flip side, Cain enters in amazing KW form with 23 strikeouts and 1 walk in his last three starts. Cain is also 8-3 his last eleven home team starts during July . With that look for Giants to improve to 7-2 in games at night behind Cain this season here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on San Francisco.

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Bryan Power

San Diego vs. Washington
Pick: Washington

The Nats were a nice early afternoon winner for me on the 4th of July, part of another winning card.  I also like them to take care of business Friday as they open a weekend series with the San Diego Padres at home.

The Nats' offense has been real feast or famine the last five games, but one thing we can count on here is the pitching of Gio Gonzalez.  The lefty has a 1.77 ERA over the course of his last three starts (0.935 WHIP), with the team going a perfect 3-0 over that span.  Last time out, he didn't allow any runs over seven innings (just three hits) as Washington drubbed the Mets 13-2.  Gonzalez has now turned in six consecutive quality starts.

Here he'll be facing a San Diego lineup mired in a horrific slump. Not only were the Padres swept in their previous three-game series by the Boston Red Sox; they scored just four runs in the three games.  Looking back, they have now lost six straight, scoring a total of seven runs.  Yikes! They are now just 15-27 on the road for the season.  Gonzalez has a 2-0 lifetime TSR against San Diego w/ a 1.37 ERA and he also owns a 35-12 TSR in the -125 to -175 price range on the money line.

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Will Rogers

LA Dodgers vs. San Francisco
Pick: San Francisco

The San Francisco Giants return home Friday off a disastrous road trip that saw them go 1-8 overall.  They were likely thankful to be rained out Thursday in Cincinnati, which gives them a leg up for Friday's opener against the rival Dodgers.  While LA has won 10 of their last 12, they did lose yesterday and I think despite the recent play of both sides, the home team is the smart wager tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1.  Revenge - The Giants started that disastrous road trip by getting swept at Dodgers Stadium last week.  This is their chance at revenge. At home, they are a much better team, going 24-15 for the season.  The Dodgers have gone 15-23 on the road after losing to Colorado Thursday.

2. Lefty vs. Lefty - Tonight's pitching matchup favors the Giants.  That's because it's a battle of southpaws and the reigning World Series Champs are 53-33 vs. southpaws since the start of last season.  They are batting .280 against them this year. Madison Bumgarner gets the start for San Francisco here and he will be going up against a Los Angeles lineup averaging a weak 3.3 runs per game vs. lefties in 2013.  Bumgarner is 6-3 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in nine career starts vs. the Dodgers. LA is also only 2-10 on the road vs. lefties this year.

3.  X-Factor - The Dodgers are a horrible 5-18 this season as a road underdog.

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Bruce Marshall

Pittsburgh vs. Chicago
Pick: Chicago

It has been a bumpy few days for the Pirates, who were cooled off at home as the Phillies took 2 of 3 in a midweek set at PNC Park. With the offense hitting a lull in the past few days as the recent 9-game win streak retreats further in the rear-view mirror, the Bucs now have to deal with longtime nemesis Jeff Samardzija in the opener of this weekend set at Wrigley Field.  The former Notre Dame wide receiver has been known to give the Pittsburgh hitters fits, allowing just 29 hits over 52 innings in his career vs. the Bucs while posting a 1.56 ERA.  Already this season, Samardzija has allowed only 5 runs and 13 hits in 22 IP in three starts against the Pirates.  No knocks on Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano, who pitched 7 shutout innings vs. the Cubs on May 22.  But Chicago is not rolling for anybody over the past three weeks (11-9 over the past 20 games), and like this plus price for Samardzija vs.a foe he usually flusters.

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Jim Feist

Minnesota at Toronto
Pick: Over

The Rogers Centre is a home run happy park and Minnesota goes with 32-year-old Kevin Correia, who pitches to contact and who has allowed 114 hits in 99 innings. He has been awful in his career against Toronto with a 6.23 ERA. Correia struggled in his last start, allowing five earned runs -- all in the third and fourth -- on seven hits and three walks over five innings. Toronto has a strong offense, 10th in baseball in runs scored, 6th in slugging, and the over is 16-7 in the Blue Jays last 23 home games. Toronto has a soft throwing pitcher of its own in 34-year-old lefty Mark Buehrle (4-5, 4.81 ERA), who has allowed more hits than innings pitched and has a 5.63 ERA his last three starts.

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Jack Jones

Philadelphia Phillies -142

The Philadelphia Phillies have a massive edge on the mound tonight. That's why I'll lay the juice and back them as a home favorite over the Atlanta Braves Friday.

Cliff Lee is having a Cy Young-caliber season to this point. The left-hander has gone 9-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.966 WHIP over 17 starts. Lee is also 5-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in 11 career starts against Atlanta.

Tim Hudson is clearly washed up. The right-hander is 4-7 with a 4.22 ERA in 17 starts this season. Hudson has been at his worst away from home, going 1-7 with a 5.71 ERA in nine road starts in 2013.

The Braves are 0-8 in Hudson's last 8 road starts. Atlanta is 1-5 in its last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Phillies are 39-14 in their last 53 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Philadelphia is 4-0 in Lee's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Phillies Friday.

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Ray Monohan

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates     

By trading SP Scott Feldman to Baltimore the Cubs declared they are giving up on the season. No surprise there but it won't help the mood on a team that is actually going through it's best stretch of the season right now. This is a good pitching duel between Francisco Liriano and Jeff Samardzija - there could definitely be a lot of whiffs. For all those Ks Samardzija racks up he still has a losing record on the season including a loss to Pittsburgh earlier this season, at Wrigley. I am expecting a repeat of that performance this evening as the Pirates begin another run against the downtrodden Cubbies.

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Jesse Schule

Colorado vs. Arizona
Pick: Colorado

The Rockies won just 3-of-7 during a recent home stand, but they earned a big win over the Dodgers last night by a score of 9-5. Michael Cuddyer remains red hot, he was 2-for-3 with a home run last night. His franchise record 27 game hitting streak came to an end Tuesday, but he's recorded hits in 29 of his last 30 games, and he's hitting .366 during that span.

Jorge De La Rosa will get the nod for the visitors, and he's been excellent in recent starts. De La Rosa (8-4, 3.09 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over six innings in a 2-1 win over the Giants in his last start. Prior to that he surrendered a pair of runs on seven hits over six frames in a 7-6 win over Washington.

He's seen plenty of the D'Backs already this year, and he's 2-1 with a 1.58 ERA in three starts this season, and he came into this year with a record of 2-1, 3.38 ERA in five starts versus Arizona dating back to 2010.

The southpaw has been on top of his game, and he has history on his side, that combined with a red hot Michael Cuddyer should be enough to power the Rockies past Arizona tonight.

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Greg Shaker

Chicago Cubs +126

No doubt about a few things here. The Cubs thrower today is the best they have got right now and the Cubs are playing pretty good baseball. Pitt continues to win games with Mirrors and Liriano has been using one of those with a higher WHIP than he should have based on his ERA. The Pirates cannot continue to win games not scoring runs and they have struggled a lot verses all kinds of pitching this year. They are still getting a lot of respect from Oddsmakers and too much IMO. The Cubs have been crushing lefties, averaging near 7.5 Per 9 Over their last 10 played. I'm playing 1% here at this betting line.

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Jeff Alexander

Washington Nationals -146

The Padres enter this series on a 0-6 slide, and I don't see them ending their skid tonight. San Diego has dropped each of Cashner's last 3 starts as it has provided him with little run support. Plus, the right-hander hasn't been as sharp on the road where he has a 4.17 ERA. Washington is 3-0 in Gonzalez's last 3 starts while he's posted a 1.77 ERA. The Nats have won both of his starts against San Diego while he's tallied a 1.42 ERA. Washington gets the call.

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Dave Price

Philadelphia Phillies -144

Atlanta's Tim Hudson has been horrible on the highway where he's 1-7 with an ERA of 5.71 in nine starts. The Braves are 0-8 in Hudson's last eight road starts. Philadelphia's Cliff Lee has been dealing all season, standing at 9-2 with a 2.58 ERA in 17 starts. The Phillies have won eight of his last 11 overall and seven of his last 10 at home. In addition, Lee has a 2.74 ERA against the Braves while Hudson has a 3.81 ERA against the Phillies. Lee has given up two earned runs or fewer in each of his last six starts versus the Braves. Look for Philly to come out on top behind another gem from Lee.

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SPORTS WAGERS

Calgary +2 over SASKATCHEWAN

This is a tough game to call for so many reasons that we’re going to sit this one out. Hold a gun to our head and we’d take the Stamps but that’s the beautiful thing about sports-betting, we have a choice, the books do not. Calgary looked unbeatable last week but one has to consider that it was an emotionally charged atmosphere for the Stampeders playing their first game in Calgary after the devastating floods wreaked havoc on that city. It’s extremely difficult to follow up such an emotional win with another strong performance but the Stamps are so talented that they may not need to be as charged up. Drew Tate is 6-0 as a starting QB in the CFL in games he starts and finishes and that is something that can’t be ignored.

As for the Riders, well, they absolutely destroyed the Eskimos in Edmonton in their opener and barely broke a sweat in doing so. The Riders jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead, lead 22-1 at the half and 36-6 after three quarters before pulling up the reigns in a breeze through fourth quarter. Make no mistake, Darian Durant looked sharp but only threw the ball 22 times because the Riders had such an easy time of it. The Riders defense also looked sharp but that was against an unproven QB in Mike Reilly, who was picked off three times and went just 17-35. The question is whether the Riders are that good or are the Eskimos that bad. We’ll get a truer measure here but one thing we know for sure is that the Riders are taking a huge step up in class in facing Drew Tate and the talented Stamps offense. Too many unknowns intangibles here for us to confidently recommend a side so we’ll have to pass.

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SPORTS WAGERS

KANSAS CITY +104 over Oakland

Tommy Milone is 7-7 with a 4.17 ERA, which isn’t so good when you consider that he’s benefited greatly from pitching half his games at O.co Coliseum. On the road, Milone has an ERA of 5.07 but he has an xERA on the road of 6.26. Milone is pure garbage. He’s an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a groundball/fly-ball split of 25%/57%. He has the lowest groundball rate of any starter in the majors with at least 10 starts this year. Milone has already surrendered 19 bombs in just 105.2 innings and will face a Royals team that owns the fourth best BA (.272) in the league against southpaws. Over the last month, covering five starts, Milone’s WHIP was 1.38. Milone is hittable, he can’t keep the ball in the yard and frankly, he has no business being favored on the road.

The A’s are favored here with Milone going because Wade Davis walked five batters in one inning in his last start in Minnesota and allowed six runs. Davis has been smacked around on more than a few occasions this season and he does come with some serious risk. However, prior to imploding in his last start, Davis had strung together four starts in a row of allowing two earned runs or fewer and that includes a game against the Tigers. That said, we’re not going to sugarcoat this and suggest that Davis qualifies as a strong starting pitcher because he does not. We’re merely pointing out that Davis has strikeout ability (73 K in 83 IP) and he and the Royals are undervalued at home against one of the most overvalued combos on the road, that being the A’s (22-22 on the road overall) with Tommy Milone going. 


Miami +159 over ST. LOUIS

On the surface, the Marlins wouldn’t look like such a good bet in St. Louis against Jake Westbrook and his 2.95 ERA. However, Westbrook’s skills (26/27 BB/K and 4.47 xERA) say there's been quite a whole lot of of luck involved so far. Westbrook's 79% strand rate and 5% hr/f are due for some correction, though he is doing a great job of keeping the ball on the ground (60% GB%). The Miami offense also hasn't been a doormat lately with a .256 BA in June and 5.5 runs per game over the last week heading into this one. Westbrook isn’t even an average pitcher. He’s a serviceable. Below average one on a very good team. That doesn’t mean he should be in this price range.

The Marlins are an enthusiastic group that has been playing well for over a month. Miami is 8-2 over its last 10 and just took two of three in Atlanta, who own the best home record in baseball. Incidentally, the Cardinals are just 22-16 at home. Once again, we get a sweet price on the Marlins with Jacob Turner going and once again we’re on it. Turner has started just six games this season and could easily be 6-0 after he allowed three runs or fewer in all of them and two runs or fewer in five of those six. In 2011, Turner was the Tigers #1 pitching prospect. His fastball sits between 90-95 mph and he uses his 6’5” height well to pitch on a downward plane. The fastball exhibits nasty late life and he gets hitters to pound it into the ground. Turner has an elite 51%/18%/30% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile and has allowed just one jack over 41 innings. The Fish have won four of Turner’s six starts and he remains one of the league’s most undervalued starters. The Marlins absolutely have a great chance of extending their strong play of late. Big overlay.


TAMPA BAY -1½ +108 over Chicago

The White Sox managed to squeeze out a rare win yesterday but don’t expect lightning to strike twice in a row, especially on the road, where the South Side has won just 15 of 43 games. All it takes is a quick glance at Dylan Axelrod's monthly ERA trend to know something isn't right: 3.95 in April, 4.10 in May, and 5.88 in June. Axelrod's June was particularly troubling as he walked 15 batters, struck out just 14 in 26 frames and had a 5.97 xERA covering five starts. Axelrod also owns a disturbing 1.44 WHIP this season but perhaps the most disturbing number of all is his high 83% strand rate in June, which should have led to a low ERA month but instead he had an awful ERA month. Dylan Axelrod is on the verge of imploding for several starts in a row and is now officially on our fade list.

Jeremy Hellickson is so much better than his 4.90 ERA suggests. Hellickson is 5-1 over his last six starts with a skills supported 3.23 ERA. During that stretch he struck out 27 and walked seven over 35.2 innings Even more impressive is the six-game stretch in which Hellickson thrived occurred against Detroit, Toronto, Boston, K.C., Baltimore and Cleveland. That’s just sick. After facing that group in succession, facing the White Sox should be appear in slow motion for both Hellickson and the Rays. Put it on the board……Yes!

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Sports Experts 17

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Pick: Chicago Cubs

Francisco Liriano used to be a great pitcher, he had two horrible seasons (2011-2012), but now with the Pirates looks like the old Liriano is coming back, the only problem Sports Experts 17 see in this game is that he will face a powerful Friday Cubs that in home in a daily game they are very difficult to beat and with Jeff Samardzija and his losing record 5-7, he still a great and strong at home. Don't think this will be a easy game for the Pirates.

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Game Plan

LA Angels -130

Red Sox are 0-5 in Doubront's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Red Sox are 3-8 in Doubront's last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 21-43 in their last 64 games as a road underdog. Angels are 8-1 in Wilson's last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Take LA Angels.

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