MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 20
MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 20
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Tampa Bay Rays at N.Y. Yankees
In the start of a four-game set both the N.Y. Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays try pick up rare wins. Yankees splitting a double header yesterday head into the contest on a 2-6 slide plating 4.0 runs/game. Rays avoiding a sweep Wednesday in Boston with a 6-2 victory also head into the contest on a 2-6 slide crossing 3.3 per/game. Yankees pin their hopes on Andy Pettitte in the opener with the southpaw having a 5-4 record, 3.95 ERA. The veteran lefty 1-1 (2-1 TSR) since coming off the DL allowing nine runs in 19 innings will look to get back on track after allowing four runs on a season-high 11 hits against the Angels last outing. Yankees will be feeling pretty good about their chances as they've have a great track record vs Rays with Pettitte posting a 20-10 mark over 30 starts split between 11-6 at the Stadium, 9-4 in Tampa. The Rays have Matt Moore starting this evening bringing an 8-3 record, 4.12 ERA to the mound. Rays' lefty hitting a rough spot has lost three straight giving up 20 runs over 12 1/3 innings of work. The hurler is 3-2 in six starts vs Yankees (3-3 TSR). Tough to place much faith in either of these struggling clubs but with N.Y. 22-14 hosting Tampa, 7-3 opening a series at home, 9-3 as home favorites vs a left-handed starter we'll stay home with Yankees. Ray's Moore in such terrible form expect Rays to fall to 1-7 following a win, 3-9 opening a series on the road, 0-6 in Moore's last six June starts.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 20
MLB Odds and Picks – King Felix, Mariners short favorites at Angels
By: The Linemakers
Felix Hernandez had some trouble with the Angels in five starts last season, going 0-3 with a 6.25 ERA against them. But, just like almost everyone else in 2013, beating the Angels hasn’t been hard. On April 27, Hernandez allowed only one earned run in eight innings during a 3-2 Mariners win against the Angels. Tonight he’ll be facing Tommy Hanson, and, surprisingly, the Las Vegas sports books are only requiring bettors to lay a price of -110 with Hernandez.
What has happened here to make the price so low? Are the Angels winning at home at an unbelievable rate? No, they’re 19-20 in Anaheim. Have the Angels begun playing better at night lately? No, they still are 14 games under .500 when playing at night (17-31).
Josh Hamilton must finally be crushing the ball then, right? Nope. In fact, things have gotten worse for Hamilton, who was dropped to the seventh slot last night for the first time since 2009. Plus, even when Hamilton was putting up MVP numbers, he still rarely hit Hernandez, going 8-for-47 (.157) against him in his career, including being hitless in his last 10 at-bats.
The only semblance of reasoning why the odds are so tight is because Hanson has won his past two starts after the Angels had lost his previous three. Hanson has allowed only two runs in each of his last two outings against the Yankees and Red Sox.
Each team has gone 5-5 in the past 10 games with almost identical records on the season. The Angels (32-40) are sitting in third place in the AL West, just a half-game better than the Mariners (32-41).
Meanwhile, Hernandez (8-4, 2.32 ERA) comes in riding a hot streak. In his past four starts, he’s allowed one run or fewer three times while going 3-0. He's coming off seven scoreless innings with eight Ks in a 4-0 win at Oakland on Saturday and should be stay hot against the Angels tonight.
Bailey owns the Bucs, but…
If we were simply looking at career record by Homer Bailey against the Pirates in his career, his -200 price this afternoon against them would be completely justified. He’s 8-2 with a 2.51 ERA against the Bucs in 12 career starts, easily his best marks against any team. He even tossed Cincinnati’s first no-hitter in 24 years against them last season. The Reds have also won two of the last three in this series, and are coming off a 13-inning win last night.
However, Bailey has had mixed results in the past month with the Reds winning only two of his last six starts. He allowed six runs in a 6-0 home loss to the Brewers on Saturday.
The Pirates counter with Brandon Cumpton, who is making his second career start. He gave up three runs and seven hits during his five innings in the Pirates' 5-3, 11-inning loss to the Dodgers on Saturday in his major-league debut.
Although there is some unknown attached to siding with a rookie, the Pirates' resiliency should be factored into the equation. They haven’t lost two in a row since June 5 at Atlanta.
Pirates (Cumpton) +170 at Reds
Mariners (Hernandez) -110 at Angels
Marlins (Koehler) +163 at Giants
Season to date record: 133-135-1 (+52)
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 20
Thursday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet and Tips
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals (-164, 7)
Hot pitcher: Jordan Zimmermann has not lost at Nationals Park in more than a year, going 11-0 in his last 18 home starts since June 5, 2012.
Cold pitcher: Rockies lefty specialist Rex Brothers has 29 straight scoreless outings (26 2/3 IP) since April 10 at San Francisco. His 0.30 ERA is the lowest in the bigs among relievers with at least 20 appearances.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 9 mph.
Key betting stat: The Nationals are 21-5 in Zimmermann’s last 26 starts as a favorite.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-109, 8)
Hot pitcher: Rays left-handed pitcher Alex Torres has not allowed a run in 18 1/3 innings this season. His scoreless streak extends to 23 1/3 innings pitched dating back to 2011.
Cold pitcher: Rays lefty Matt Moore was roughed up for five runs in 5 1/3 innings against Kansas City last time out. He has been battered for 20 runs (19 earned) and 26 hits in only 12 1/3 innings over his last three turns.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 10 mph.
Key betting stat: The under is 5-0 in the Rays’ last five road games.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-182, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Braves starter Mike Minor has been one of baseball’s top pitchers since last season's All-Star break, going 14-6 with a 2.43 ERA.
Cold pitcher: Mets closer Bobby Parnell is 1-3 with a 5.90 ERA (7 ER/10 2/3 IP) over his last 11 outings dating back to May 22. Prior to that, he was 4-0 with a 0.93 ERA (2 ER/19.1/3 IP) in 19 games.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 6 mph.
Key betting stat: The Braves are 1-6 in their last seven games with umpire Jeff Kellogg behind home plate.
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-118, 9)
Hot pitcher: Red Sox reliever Junichi Tazawa has a 1.69 ERA (3 ER/16.0 IP) over his last 14 games and boasts a 17:0 K:BB ratio during that span.
Cold pitcher: Red Sox closer Andrew Bailey has an ERA over 11.00 in his last four appearances.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 8 mph.
Key betting stat: The under is 7-0-1 in Boston’s last eight overall.
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (-173, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Cardinals starter Lance Lynn hasn’t picked up a loss since May 7 and is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA in six career appearances against the Cubs.
Cold pitcher: Cubs reliever Carlos Marmol recorded the blown save and loss Sunday in New York, allowing four runs on a pair of home runs in Chicago’s 4-3 loss.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 9 mph.
Key betting stat: The Cubs actually have a winning record outside the division, but they are 9-23 against NL Central opponents, the worst record in the majors within the division.
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (101, 7)
Hot pitcher: Mariners ace Felix Hernandez has won three consecutive decisions and has a 1.84 ERA over his last four starts. He has excelled on the road with a 6-2 mark to go with a 1.74 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
Cold pitcher: Mariners closer Tom Wilhelmsen has blown his last two save attempts, yielding six earned runs over his last 2 2/3 innings pitched.
Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 6 mph.
Key betting stat: Seattle continues to be a porous offensive squad and has scored only 30 runs in its last 13 games – tallying one run or fewer five times during the stretch. The under is 11-2 in the Mariners’ last 13 overall.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (-131, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Padres starter Jason Marquis has put together three straight wins in as many quality starts and hasn’t suffered a loss since April 22.
Cold pitcher: The Dodgers bullpen will be fatigued after the club played a doubleheader against the Yankees on Wednesday. L.A. used six relievers over the course of the two games.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-60s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 5 mph.
Key betting stat: The Padres are 7-0 in Marquis' last seven home starts.
Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-175, 7.5)
Hot pitcher: Giants’ lefty specialist Javier Lopez has not been charged with a run in his last 17 outings (11 IP). Left-handed batters are just 2-for-26 (.077) against him this season.
Cold pitcher: After yielding three or fewer runs in each of his previous four turns, rookie Marlins starter Tom Koehler has been knocked around for 17 earned runs and five homers in his last three. Koehler is 0-2 with a 5.04 ERA in eight road games - four starts.
Weather: Temperatures in the mid-50s with clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 13 mph.
Key betting stat: Surprisingly, the Marlins are 7-0 in the last seven meetings in San Francisco. However, the last series in San Fran was back in May, 2012.