Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 13

Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 13

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Miami at San Antonio
The Heat look to bounce back from their Game 3 loss and build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games when trailing in a playoff series. Miami is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2)

Game 707-708: Miami at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 131.185; San Antonio 130.285
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Over

MLB

San Francisco at Pittsburgh
The Giants look to bounce back from yesterday's 12-8 loss and build on their 5-0 record in Matt Cain's last 5 starts after giving up 5 runs or more in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120)

Game 951-952: St. Louis at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.357; NY Mets (Harvey) 15.409
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 15.495; Cubs (Samardzija) 13.753
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); N/A

Game 955-956: Washington at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 15.269; Colorado (Francis) 16.660
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Under

Game 957-958: San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.928; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.939
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Under

Game 959-960: NY Yankees at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.425; Oakland (Parker) 16.073
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over

Game 961-962: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 16.556; Baltimore (Gausman) 15.086
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under

Game 963-964: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 17.358; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.180
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over

Game 965-966: Toronto at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.435; Texas (Darvish) 15.767
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-215); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-215); Under

Game 967-968: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 14.840; Minnesota (Correia) 13.126
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 13

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees +110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The New York Yankees will have a big advantage in today's game when they send Hiroki Kuroda to the mound. Kuroda has a 2.84 ERA and a 1.097 WHIP on the season. He is not the kind of pitcher that lets his opponent get on base very often. While he is not a strikeout style pitcher, he has only 17 walks in 79.3 innings pitched.
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Jarrod Parker has been given the start for Oakland. Parker is a mediocre 3-3 at home with a 5.40 ERA. Parker is 5-6 overall in 13 starts this season. He is up against a Yankees team that is as good on the road as the A's are at home. They are 3 games above .500 and with Oakland batting just 2.39 at home I believe the Yankees are the play in this game.

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Matt Fargo

Chicago Cubs +120

We lost a tough one on the Cubs yesterday as they carried a 1-0 lead into the sixth inning before giving up a run in the sixth and seventh to lose by a run. I will be backing them again today however in a smaller spot but one that still presents tremendous value in a contrarian way. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series and going back further, it has lost 12 straight meetings at home against the Reds. The Cubs hope to turn that around with Jeff Samardzija who is having a very solid season but does not have the wins to show for it. He has been the epitome of a tough luck pitcher as he has a 3.18 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 13 starts but the Cubs are just 4-9 in those games while personally, he is 3-7. He is coming off a non-quality start last time out but in his previous four non-quality outings this season, he has followed it up with a quality performance in his next start. He has faced Cincinnati twice this season and despite not winning either, he has a 1.50 ERA, allowing one run in six innings in each start. The Reds have won 12 straight games at Wrigley Field as mentioned and they should feel good about extending that with Mat Latos on the hill as he has yet to lose a decision this season, going a perfect 6-0. He has been the opposite of tough luck as despite a higher WHIP and just a slightly lower ERA than Samardzija, the Reds are 10-3 in his 13 starts. I expect all of this to come to an end today as Chicago finally breaks out of this skid against the Reds.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Cubs +115FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This game fits a system that has won 12 of 15 times playing on home dogs like the Cubs We want to play against road favorites like the Reds that are off a road favored win and scored 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits, vs an opponent like the Cubs that are off a home dog loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. The Reds are 3-9 on the road after scoring 2 or less on the road this year. The Cubs J. Samardjiza has a 3.18 era and 2.55 in his career vs the Reds. He also has the highest overall velocity on his fastball for starting pitchers this season narrowly topping Mets Right phenom Matt Harvey for that distinction. Look for the Cubs to take the finale behind their ace today.

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Jeffrey Brandes

Heat / Spurs Over 187

Key Trends:
Trends From Tue. Oct 30, 2012 To Thu. Jun 13, 2013

After 1 OVER when the line is pk->1.5, the HEAT are 1-0 favoring the OVER.
After 1 ATS loss when the line is pk->1.5, the HEAT are 1-0 favoring the OVER.

I'm buying into the OVER as the Spurs game 3 win seems to have left Miami wondering just what hit them. I can see both teams lighting up the board as Miami tries to regain credibillity while the Spurs look to shut down Miami again. Lebron has been held to under 20 points in all 3 games but in this moment of desperation, he'll light it up.

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Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay Rays -137FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Royals just completed a 7-2 homestand, but I expect their luck to chance on the road where they have dropped eight of 11. Ervin Santana has pitched well for the most part, but the Royals have provided him with little run support. They are 1-6 in his last seven starts as a result and has dropped his last three on the road. They are also 0-4 in his last four starts versus clubs that have a winning record. The Rays, on the other hand, have provided Jeremy Hellickson with ample support. In fact, they have won five of his last six starts while scoring at least seven runs in the five victories. The Rays are 7-1 in Hellickson's last eight home starts dating back to last season. The Rays are 40-15 in their last 55 home games versus a team with a losing record, including 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Royals are 17-41 in their last 58 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take the Rays.

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Art Aronson

Royals / Rays     Under 8

Ervin Santana (4-5, 2.99 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Santana gave up two earned runs off five hits over seven frames to beat the Halos on Saturday. Santana walked no one and had six strikeouts. For the most part Santana has been solid this season, but like the rest of his teammates in the rotation, he is consistently the victim of poor run support. Santana will be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson (4-2, 5.18 ERA) who is coming off a gem vs. the Orioles on Saturday, surrendering just four hits with no walks over six scoreless frames of work. Like Santana, Hellickson has been decent overall this year and is 2-0 with a 4.71 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. The Rays have a potent lineup but face a tough task in Santana in the opener of this three-game set as he sports a very respectable 3.00 ERA on the road. I believe these starters battle into the latter frames and this total sneaks below the posted number.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago CubsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Cincinnati RedsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Reds and the Cubs put the wraps on this four-game set at Wrigley Field Thursday afternoon where Mat Latos matches serves with Jeff Samardzija. Latos enters the contest 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in his last four-team starts in this series. He is also 13-5 in his career team starts during June. Meanwhile, on the other side of the coin, Samardzija is 0-7 with an 8.58 ERA in his career team starts during June and 1-5 in his team starts during the day this season. With that look for the Reds to make it four wins in a row over Samardzija in his last four starts in this series here this afternoon. We recommend a 1-unit play on Cincinnati.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati vs. ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It's rare to get a line on a Cubs total overnight when they're at home in the Friendly Confines of Wrigley Field, but here we have one and not surprisingly it's low as the pitching matchup of Mat Latos vs. Jeff Samardzija should be outstanding. I'm taking the Under.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  Latos - He has not lost a decision all year, going 6-0 in 13 starts with a 2.87 ERA and 1.169 WHIP. Lately, he's been even better with a 1.86 ERA his last three outings. Latos, who hasn't dropped a decision in a team-record 20 starts going back to last year, is seeking to become the first pitcher in Reds history to start a season unbeaten after at least 14 starts with an ERA of sub-3.00.  He is 2-0 vs. the Cubs already this year, including seven scoreless innings against Samardzija, a 1-0 final.
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2. Samardzija - I've said it before this season, but the former Notre Dame wide receiver may be the most hard luck pitcher in all of baseball. He has a 3-7 record in 13 starts despite a 3.18 ERA.  He's allowed two runs or fewer seven times.  Two of those were against Cincinnati, yet the Cubs lost both times.  Samardzija allowed just three runs total in the two starts, only a pair earned. I look for him to match Latos here.
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3.  X-Factor - Reds pitchers have posted a 1.33 ERA in the first three games of this series, including holding the Cubs to just three hits in a 2-1 victory last night.  Chicago, who has lost 12 straight times to the Reds here at Wrigley, is batting just .158 their last eight home games. Runs will be at a premium Thursday afternoon for both sides.

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Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Phillies badly need a victory. Today's pitching matchup should provide them with an excellent opportunity to get one.
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Not only is Cliff Lee 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.867 WHIP on the road, he's also 8-4 with a 3.64 ERA vs. the Twins.
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On the other hand, Correia is 1-2 with a 9.98 ERA and 2.674 WHIP in four starts vs. Philadelphia.
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The Phillies are 27-16 (+5.2) the past couple of seasons, as road favorites in the 125 to 150 range. I feel they're worth a look here.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto vs. TexasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This obviously looks like a no-brainer to most. After all, the Rangers can't possibly lose three straight games at home against the Indians and Blue Jays, can they?
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I believe it's well within the realm of possibility.
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Toronto has a good thing going right now. The Jays have won four of their last six games and perhaps more importantly, they're playing loose, like a team that has nothing to lose. That's a good mentality to have facing an uphill battle like they are in the crowded A.L. East.
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Meanwhile, the Rangers might just be squeezing the bats a little too hard right now. They've dropped five of their last seven games overall and remember, just last weekend they lost two of three games against these same Blue Jays in Toronto.
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Yu Darvish, tonight's starter, continues to pitch well for Texas, but he's not getting much support from his mates, and as a result has posted only one win in his last four starts. Give the Jays the advantage tonight as they get their second look at Darvish in less than a week.
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Toronto spot starter Esmil Rogers has done what's been asked of him in two starts this season, allowing only six hits and one earned run in 7 1/3 innings. The Jays managed to win both of those games by a combined 9-1 score, against the Braves and tonight's opponent, the Rangers. Rogers has looked like a different pitcher since coming over to the American League from Colorado last year. He's worthy of our support tonight, even if it will be the Jays bullpen that does much of the heavy lifting.
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The Jays were swept in a three-game series here in Texas last May, but since then, they've held their own in this matchup, and I look for them to continue to relish the 'spoiler' role on Thursday.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco vs. PittsburghFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PittsburghFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I won my free play on the Pirates yesterday (beat the Giants 12-8) and I'll come back with them here as they look to finish off the sweep.  The fact they are available at 'plus-money' is a bonus.
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The Bucs have been a strong home team this year, going 23-11 at PNC Park. They have scored a total of 20 runs so far in this series with the 12 scored yesterday marking a season-high. It was also a season high 18 hits.  I like their chances tonight facing embattled Giants starter Matt Cain, who has struggled with a 5.09 ERA in 13 starts.  San Francisco is just 12-20 on the road this season.
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Starting for the home team will be Charlie Morton, who gets the nod for the 1st time since Tommy John surgery last year.  He will return to face a Giants lineup that has scored four or fewer times seven of the last 10 games.  I think this is a good opponent for him to make his 1st start of 2013.  Morton has a 3.07 career ERA vs. the Giants.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Though All-Star hurler Cliff Lee has been one of the few bright spots for the Phils, even he is providing something of a conundrum for skipper Charlie Manuel, as Lee has noticeably run out of gas after six innings in his recent starts. Which means that Manuel might again tonight in Minneapolis have to tap his rickety bullpen that has posted a hefty 4.56 ERA, third worst in MLB behind only the Mets and Astros.  The Phils are also on a 5-game losing streak and not scoring many runs (just nine in the past four games) as they are about to get swept by the host Twins, who have won 10 of their last 15 after rallying to win last night's game by a 4-3 count.  And after a series of shaky efforts, starter Kevin Correia was at least serviceable in his last start on Saturday at Washington when allowing three runs in 6 1/3 IP.  We understand why the Phils are favored with Lee on the mound, but the value in the price lies with the Twins and against slumping Philadelphia.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Phillies won the first game of this road trip in Milwaukee, but they have since lost five in a row. They look to avoid the sweep tonight in Minnesota, playing the final game of a three game series against the Twins.
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Minnesota has rallied late to win each of the first two games by just one run. Last night they scored twice in the bottom of the eighth to come from behind and win 4-3.
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Cliff Lee will get the nod for Philadelphia, and he's coming off a loss to the Brewers in his last start. Prior to that though he had won five straight decisions, including a complete game shutout against Miami.
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Domonic Brown leads the National League with 19 home runs, but he's 0-for-10 in this series so far. That might change today though, as Kevin Correia has struggled to keep hitters in the park recently.
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Correia (5-4, 4.11 ERA) has surrendered 10 home runs in his last five starts,  and he was taken deep twice in the first inning by Seattle in his last start at Target Field. He's had just one start against the Phillies since 2010, and it was pretty ugly. He failed to get out of the second inning, and allowed five runs on four hits.
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After a pair of wins in close, one-run ballgames, I think the Twins aren't going to be so lucky tonight.

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Don Best ConsensusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Giants at PiratesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Under is 6-0 in Mortons last 6 starts vs. Giants. Under is 4-1 in Cains last 5 starts vs. Pirates. Under is 4-1-3 in McClellands last 8 Thursday games behind home plate.

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Jim Feist

Blue Jays at Rangers
Pick: Under

Texas has been a good under team at home with the under 6-0 in the Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A weak Toronto offense comes to town, 19th in on base percentage, but at least veteran lefty Mark Buehrle is finally in a groove with a 2.37 ERA his last three starts. Texas has ace Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.75 ERA) going with 118 strikeouts in 88 innings and only 57 hits allowed! The under is 6-1-1 in the Rangers last 8 against a team with a losing record, so look for fewer runs than oddsmakers expect. Play the Blue Jays/Rangers under the total.

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Dave Cokin

Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Kansas City Royals

One week ago, Ned Yost's head was on the managerial chopping block. The Royals were mired in a terrible slump, and the vultures were circling in Kansas City.

One week later, the Royals are suddenly on fire. The Royals are now on a 7-1 rampage following Wednesday's dramatic come from behind win against the Tigers. They're back to within three games of the .500 plateau, KC trails second place Cleveland by only one game, and they're actually within 5.5 of the AL Central-leading Tigers.

It's not as though the Royals are bombing baseballs all over the park, but they are winning again and Yost now looks safe for at least the time being. I also think it's fair to say the thrilling win yesterday was the best victory of the campaign to date for the Royals. The challenge now is to keep that momentum intact as they journey to Tampa Bay for a weekend set with the Rays.

Ervin Santana takes the hill for Kansas City tonight. His history against the Rays, particularly in this ballpark, is pretty discouraging. Santana has had loads of trouble with several of the hitters he'll be facing tonight, and he's prone to the long ball against these guys as well.

Jeremy Hellickson will throw for the Rays tonight. Hellickson has been mostly ordinary for TB this season. His metric line isn't horrible, but Hellickson has managed only four quality starts overall. The good news for the righty is that his control has been superb. Hellickson has walked only four batters in his last six starts covering 38.2 innings. So hitters have to beat him as he won't beat himself.

I would call the pitching matchup basically even. Santana has the better numbers, but that history against the lineup he most likely sees tonight is troubling. Plus, the Rays are 5-1 at home when Hellickson starts.

Nevertheless, I can make a case for riding the hot horse here. The idea is to get as many wins out of the Royals as you can until the inevitable reversal takes place. They're going to be underdogs all weekend, and if they can stay warm, there's a chance to pick up some serious profits. Once they lose, just jump off the train and find something else. But with the price where it is tonight, I prefer the Royals to keep it rolling for at least one more night.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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N.Y. METS +122 over St. Louis (5 innings)FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1st 5 innings. The Mets were the unlikely winners last night over Shelby Miller and the Cardinals, 5-1 and we’re counting on them to have the lead after five today. Adam Wainwright’s stock is through the roof right now. The right-hander has won four in a row and the Cardinals have won five of his last six starts. Wainwright has nine wins and an off-the-charts BB/K ratio of 7/91 in 96 frames. The interesting thing, however, is that Wainwright has not excelled versus New York in his career, as he is 1-4 with a 7.29 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 33.1 IP.
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In 23 career starts, Matt Harvey (RHP, NYM) has never had a complete disaster start. In eight games started at Citi Field this season, Harvey has allowed just 36 hits in 57 innings for a BAA of .157 and ERA o0f 1.88. In four starts at Citi Filed last year, Harvey posted an identical 1.88 ERA after allowing just 11 hits in 24 frames for a BAA of .141. Harvey has flashed the second highest fastball velocity among SP at 95 mph, behind only Stephen Strasburg. He's more than a thrower though. His stats are the product of fantastic skills right across the board.  His growth has come due to his four-seam fastball. Batters are swinging at it at the same rate as 2012. They missed it 12% of the time in 2012, but that mark has increased to 20% in 2013 and he has ironed out the LH/RH splits he showed in 2012. Rarely will Matt Harvey be a pooch at home and when he is, he offers up nothing but value, even against the Cardinals and Wainwright.
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Kansas City +127 over TAMPA BAY (5 innings)SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1st 5 innings. The Royals have caught fire with seven wins in their past eight games, they’re coming off a confidence boosting series win over the Tigers and they’ve also had some success against these Rays by winning six of the past eight games head-to-head. In fact, the last time K.C. faced the Rays, back on May 1, Jeremy Hellickson gave up nine hits and four runs in 5.1 innings and was opposed by Luis Mendoza in a game the Royals won, 9-8. Hellickson has been pitching better of late but his pitch count is always high as a result of going deep into counts and batters hitting a high number of foul balls off him when he gets two strikes. Hellickson has been taken yard 12 times this season and it’s a rare day when he doesn’t allow three runs or more in six frames. Current Royals have 20 hits in 75 career AB’s versus Hellickson and every starter in today’s lineup has at least one hit against him.
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Earvin Santana had a rough six-game stretch from May 12 to June 2 in which the Royals lost all six games Santana started. However, in those six games, Santana received 12 totals runs of support. Incredibly, Santana has pitched seven full innings or more in nine of his 12 starts this season. If he gets into trouble his 55% groundball rate can get him out of it and he’s also very capable of registering a strikeout. Santana is coming off back-to-back gems against Houston and in Texas, where he went seven full again and allowed one unearned run. The dude can pitch and his displaying the best skills of his career this season. The Rays will not have the luxury of seeing Mendoza in this one. Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve had many leads after five innings but lost and it’s for that reason that we’re going to play five innings only because our choices are almost always heavily influenced by the starting pitchers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 13

MATT RIVERS

Matinee free play for Thursday, and it will be for Adam Wainwright and Matt Harvey to set them up, and knock them down at Citi Field as the Cardinals and the Mets hold Under the total.

This one is really as simple as it looks. Wainwright and Harvey will simply toe the slab and go at it deep into the afternoon as neither team will be able to must very many crooked digits on that scoreboard.

Let's take a look at what Wainwright has done: 6-1 on the road this year with an ERA just over 3, and 4-1 during the day with an ERA of 2.64. He has also allowed 3 runs or less in 12 of his 13 assignments this season. Doubtful the Mets reach 3 runs on him this afternoon.

Now let's take a look at Matt Harvey. Harvey has worked 4 straight starts without a decision, but is still 5-0 for the season, and his ERA is still among the best in the league at 2.10.

5 of Harvey's last 7 starts have ended up playing Under the total, and the righty has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his 3 starts this season. I think it is safe to assume the Cards won't get much more than 3 in this contest.

Going to look for it to be a low-scoring affair in Queens on Thursday afternoon.

Cardinals-Mets Under the total.

4* ST. LOUIS-N.Y. METS UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 13

JEFF BENTON

Thursday freebie is the Yankees to avoid the sweep in Oakland.

It is clear the Athletics are for real, as Oakland is now on a 10 game home field winning streak, and they have also won their last 6 home games versus the vaunted Yankees.

My feeling is the Yanks end both streaks and avoid the ugly sweep in the process.

Hiroki Kuroda is in the midst of his longest winless stretch since coming to New York, as he is 0-3 with an over 5 ERA his last 4 trips to the mound.

Oakland counters with Jarrod Parker who has won his last 3 starts with an ERA under 2 in that span.

Sure looks like the deck is stacked against the Yankees in this one, but my gut tells me to look for New York to avoid the broom before heading down the highway for the weekend in Anaheim.

Yanks post the mild underdog win this afternoon.

1* N.Y. YANKEES

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