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MLB Betting News and Notes
MLB Betting News and Notes
The Best Bets in the Bigs
Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in Major League Baseball.
For the week of June 3-9.
Hot team: Detroit Tigers
Last week: 5-1
Upcoming schedule: at Royals, at Twins
Skinny: The Tigers have won four straight heading into a three-game series in Kansas City. Detroit took two of three from the Tampa Bay Rays last week before sweeping division-rival Cleveland.
Cold team: Cleveland Indians
Last week: 0-6
Upcoming schedule: at Rangers, vs. Nationals
Skinny: Terry Francona’s club was the feel-good story early in the season, but the Tribe has now dropped seven straight games to sink below .500. The Indians have a very tough schedule this week and could find themselves near the bottom of the division standings if they can’t snap the losing skid in Texas against a very tough Rangers team.
Over team: Boston Red Sox
Last week: 5-1 over/under
Season: 34-27-3 over/under
Upcoming schedule: at Rays, at Orioles
Skinny: The Red Sox hosted the high-powered Rangers and Angels last week and runs were aplenty in both series. The teams combined to score an average of 12.3 runs per game in Boston's six high-scoring affairs.
Under team: New York Yankees
Last week: 2-5 over/under
Season: 24-34-5 over/under
Upcoming schedule: at Athletics, at Angels
Skinny: The Yankess have gone low in four consecutive games and five of their last six thanks to a great effort from their pitching staff. New York hurlers held opposing batters to 2.5 runs per game last week.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes
Five MLB Betting Tips For Bettors to Consider
A recent article in the Reno Gazette highlighted some great baseball betting tips from professional bettors.
1) Check ground ball, fly-ball and line-drive rates on Fangraphs.com.
Line drives produce 1.26 runs/out, fly balls produce 0.13 R/O, and ground balls produce only 0.05 R/O, according to the site. Place your bets according to the tendencies of the starting pitchers in any given game.
2) Determine a team’s effectiveness against right-handed and left-handed pitchers.
This seems simple, but is sometimes overlooked by bettors. For example, the New York Mets have the most left-handed hitters on their roster in the bigs (7) and are 27th in team batting average (.221) against left-handed pitchers. That's no coincidence.
3) Playing the underdog in a team’s first game back home after a long road trip.
Because home teams are usually favored in baseball, situational handicapper Marco D’Angelo says he’s had success betting the dog in this situation. This is also known as the dreaded letdown spot to bettors.
4) Betting rookie pitchers before September.
The handicapper in the article believes rookie pitchers have a distinct advantage in their first outing against any given team and bettors can usually grab them at a good price. Successful and profitable rookie pitchers early this season include: Matt Harvey (Mets), Shelby Miller (Cardinals), Hyun-Jin Ryu (Dodgers).
5) Betting a pitcher when facing his former team for the first time.
Another situational betting tip that is based on a revenge factor. Bettors are banking on a pitcher in this spot to have inside knowledge of the batters' tendencies and to bring a little something extra to the table against his former club.