Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 9

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 9

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

San Antonio at Miami
The Spurs look to follow up their Game 1 win and take advantage of a Miami team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. San Antonio is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6)

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 130.197; Miami 126.114
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6); Over

WNBA

San Antonio at Chicago
The Sky look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 home games. Chicago is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7)

Game 651-652: Atlanta at New York (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.797; New York 113.118
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Over

Game 653-654: San Antonio at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 110.512; Chicago 119.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 150
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
The Pirates go for the sweep and look to build on their 12-2 record in their last 14 games in Game 3 of a series. Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120)

Game 951-952: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.072; NY Mets (Niese) 15.464
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-170); Over

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Cincinnati (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.014; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.936
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Pettibone) 13.359; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.850
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Under

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 16.417; Cubs (Jackson) 14.437
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); N/A

Game 959-960: San Francisco at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Gaudin) 14.574; Arizona (Skaggs) 16.233
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Under

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 16.477; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.397
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 11
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

Game 963-964: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.738; LA Dodgers (Magill) 15.877
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Grimm) 15.777; Toronto (Johnson) 14.899
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.378; Detroit (Alvarez) 14.430
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: LA Angels at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Blanton) 14.957; Boston (Dempster) 16.574
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 15.300; Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.600
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Under

Game 973-974: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 16.172; White Sox (Santiago) 14.617
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-140); Over

Game 975-976: Houston at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 14.827; Kansas City (Mendoza) 16.136
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Under

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.953; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.064
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 979-980: Minnesota at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.557; Washington (Zimmermann) 13.565
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+165); Over

Game 981-982: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 13.557; Washington (Karns) 15.165
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 9

BRAD WILTON

My free play will be coming on the total of Game 2.

I gave you a 100 Dime winner on the Under on Thursday, and tonight my play is also on the Under - and you are getting it for free!

The teams looked to be headed for an easy Over when they rang up 101 points by the break, but the second half the baskets were harder to come by and the came easily held Under the total.

This one is going to hold Under as well, as the Spurs have been Under in their last pair, while the Heat are now Under in the playoffs in each of their last 4 dating back to their East Finals series with the Pacers.

Just get the feeling that we will be seeing another game where the winner will be lucky to break the 90 point mark.

Game 2 Spurs-Heat to stay Under.

3* SAN ANTONIO-MIAMI UNDER

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MATT RIVERS

Sunday's free play is the Under in the Braves-Dodgers game.

All these teams do when they face each other is play low-scoring games.

Last night's Under now has the Braves and Dodgers at 5 in a row Under the total, and 10 of the last 11 Under the total between the teams.

Mike Minor and Matt Magill are scheduled to make the trip to the top of the mound, and while Magill has been shaky at best - 6.38 ERA for the season - Minor has been steady as they come when it comes to limiting the runs as evidenced by his 2.52 season ERA.

Minor and Magill went at it on May 19th with the game ending in a 5-2 Braves win, and they Under coming through, as the teams played Under the posted price of 8 runs.

I am expecting a similar final that ends just Under the total on Sunday afternoon.

3* ATLANTA-L.A. DODGERS UNDER

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CRAIG DAVIS

As for today's free play, I'm giving you the Cleveland Indians over the Detroit Tigers with Justin Masterson on the hill.

Before you think it... I already know about Masterson's road woes. He's 0-3 with an ERA over 9.00 in his last three road starts --- but overall his numbers are good. and I have a lot of confidence in him today.

Masterson is 8-4 on the season with a 3.57 ERA in spite of the horrendous road run. That should tell you how good he was before he added these last three roadies to his record. Masterson hasn't seen Detroit yet this year, but was 2-2 with a 4.48 ERA against them in 2012.

Jose Alvarez makes his big-league debut on short notice for the Tigers. That's because
Anibal Sanchez, who was originally supposed to start, was pushed back due to tightness in the back of his right shoulder.

Alvarez is a lefty from Venezuela with a 5-4 record and a 2.42 ERA for Triple-A Toledo of the International League and Tigers manager Jim Leyland believes he's the best pitcher in the entire league.

Maybe so, but he hasn't gotten a lot of run support and I'm not expecting him to get much today.

I like Masterson's matchup vs. the Tigers today and I'm taking Cleveland as your free play of the day.

2* CLEVELAND

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JEFF BENTON

Sunday freebie is the Over at Fenway Park as the Angels and the Red Sox wrap up their weekend set.

After a Friday night wash-out, the Halos and the BoSox played a day/night twinbill on Saturday and both teams used their bullpens to get to this Sunday finale.

I expect both Joe Blanton and Ryan Dempster to struggle to stay away from the big inning(s), and for this one to play Over the total.

Blanton has pitched better of late, but the fact remains he is 1-9 this season with a 5.53 ERA. 3 of his last 5 starts, and 7 of his 12 starts overall have ended up playing Over the total.

As for Dempster, he has allowed 20 runs his last 26-plus innings worked, and 4 of his last 5 starts have landed in the Over column.

It was a long day on Saturday for the teams, expect it to be a long day again on Sunday.

Angels-Red Sox Over.

2* L.A. ANGELS-BOSTON OVER

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Jimmy Boyd

Philadelphia Phillies +133

The Phillies have a strong advantage at the starting pitcher position with Jonathan Pettibone over Kyle Lohse. Pettibone has a 3.40 ERA in his 9 starts this season and the Phillies are 7-2 as a team in those games. Klye Lohse on the other hand is 0-2 in his last 3 starts with a 7.02 ERA. He has allowed 6 home runs in those 3 games and is trending on the wrong direction.

Even the offenses for these teams are playing heavily in favor of Philadelphia. The Phillies are averaging 5.6 runs per game over their past 7 games with a .274 batting average. Milwaukee has managed just 3.1 runs per game with a .248 batting average over their past 7 games. With the Phillies coming into this game as the hot team and the advantage we have at the starting pitcher position there is too much value to pass up.

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Twins at Nationals Under 7½ GM 1FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Twins and Nationals will play a day-night doubleheader on Sunday, but it's game one between Scott Diamond and Jordan Zimmermann that we are interested in. We have an angle we really like in Diamond, a left hander who the Nationals are unfamiliar with. Also, the Nationals have been atrocious offensively against southpaws this season. The Nats are posting a slash line of .199/.266/304/.571 against lefties. The Nationals have been a mess offensively for most of the season, averaging just 3.4 runs per game over their first 60 games. Add in a lefty that they've never seen before and their season-long struggles with lefties and it's hard to see them breaking out in Sunday's first game.
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Jordan Zimmermann has become the ace of the Nationals pitching staff. He has been terrific this season, posting a 2.16 ERA over 12 starts. Zimmermann is 5-0 at home with a 1.23 ERA. The Twins have never seen Zimmermann, so there will undoubtedly be a learning curve the first couple of times through the lineup. Away from Target Field, the Twins are averaging 3.93 runs per game. Games at Nationals Ballpark are averaging 7.17 runs per contest. With a good park to pitch in and two pitchers that have good matchups, we expect that this will be a low scoring game with both teams trying to conserve energy for the nightcap.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, June 9

Red Dog Sports

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners    
Play: New York Yankees

New York faced Felix Hernandez this year so they will be used to him and motivated to doing better than they did the previous time. ARod and Derek Jeter may be out for the Bronx Bombers but other hitters are stepping up and doing damage. Look for Ichiro Suzuki to do well in his return to Seattle.

The Mariners are a below average team and near the bottom of the league in hitting. They will need King Felix to pitch well on Sunday if they are going to win.

Take NYY for one unit as a big underdog.

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Jack Jones

Seattle Mariners -140

The Seattle Mariners have a big edge on the mound this afternoon with Felix Hernandez over David Phelps. As a result, I'll back the Mariners at home at a reasonable price with their ace on the mound.

Hernandez is having yet another solid season for Seattle. The right-hander has gone 7-4 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.048 WHIP through 13 starts to earn the massive contract he received this offseason. He'll be up against David Phelps, who is 4-3 with a 4.15 ERA overall, including 2-1 with a 5.14 ERA in his last three starts.

Hernandez relishes the opportunity to face the Yankees. He has gone 8-5 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.274 WHIP in 15 career starts against New York. In his last three starts against the Yankees, Hernandez has gone 2-0 with a 1.21 ERA while allowing only 3 earned runs over 22 1/3 innings.

The Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Seattle is 20-7 in his last 27 games as as favorite of -110 to -150. The Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 starts during game 4 of a series. Bet the Mariners Sunday.

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Rob Vinciletti

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets    
Play: New York Mets

The Mets fit a nice system that has won 11 of the last 13 times and plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss that scored 2 or less runs on 10 or more hits if they were a favorite at -200 or higher in the loss. The Mets had several chances to win Saturdays 20 inning marathon. Today should be different as they have John Niese going and he usually does well vs Miami and he has a 1.33 era in his last 3 starts. Miami had to use today's original starter K. Slowey on Saturday so they will give Koehler another go here today. Miami has lost all 5 of his starts and he has a 5.06 road era. Miami has big trouble with lefty as they are 1-9 on the road and are hitting .195 and scoring just 1.6 runs per game on the season against Left handers so far this season. Miami has lost 20 of 27 as a road dog in this range. Look for the Mets to win this one.

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Steve Rosen

Oakland A's vs. Chicago White Sox    
Play: Oakland A's

Chicago won for only the second time in 12 games Saturday and beat the Athletics for the first time in six meetings.Oakland continues to pile up quality outings from the starting rotation. They have a current 18-4 streak!

Griffin did not factor in the decision in his last start despite one of his best efforts of the season, when he limited Milwaukee to four hits over seven scoreless innings. He is 5-4 and 3-3 away. He is going against the struggling Santiago.

Santiago is 1-4, he is 0-2 at home and does not pitch well during the day. He was pounded for three runs and five hits in one-third of an inning versus the Athletics last year!

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Jeffrey Brandes

Angels /Red Sox Over 10

Pitchers:
LOS ANGELES ANGELS: JOE BLANTON (R) ERA: 5.53 W/L: 1-9
BOSTON RED SOX: RYAN DEMPSTER (R) ERA: 4.39 W/L: 3-6

In this game we have both starting pitchers with a combined ERA of 9.92. We have two teams playing, both of which are able to light up the scoreboard. Take the OVER in this game.

Key Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home
against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games

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Art Aronson

Twins at Nationals GM 2
Play Under 8½

Scott Diamond (4-4, 4.66 ERA) gets the start for the visitors; Diamond dominated in a 10-0 win over Seattle on Sunday, throwing six shutout frames. He struck out three and walked one. Diamond will be opposed by Jordan Zimmermann (8-3, 2.16 ERA) who gave up two unearned runs off four hits with a walk while striking out four over eight frames in his team's 3-2 win over the Mets on Tuesday. The Twins have a tough task in besting Zimmermann tonight as he's undefeated at home this year, going 5-0 with a minuscule 1.23 ERA in six starts in Washington thus far. As I've mentioned in the past, "recent performance" always plays a part in my handicapping method and in this case both of these starters come into this contest with considerable momentum; the table is set for these hurlers to battle into the latter frames. Consider a second look at the "under" in this one.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago CubsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Pirates take on Edwin Jackson and the Cubs at Wrigley Field in the finale of this three game set Sunday afternoon Pittsburgh will do so knowing they've toppled Jackson in each of his last three home starts. With Jackson allergic to the sun this season (1-6 in day team starts), look for the Bucs to steal the loot in this one. We recommend a 1-unit play on Pittsburgh.

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San Antonio at MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We unsuccessfully gave out the Over in Game One as a premium selection, and we were all set to cash in an easy winner before the Heat fell apart in the fourth quarter, scoring just 16 points in the final period and giving up the lead in an eventual four-point loss. Despite that final result, the Heat played pretty well statistically, finishing with a higher shooting percentage, more rebounds, and and committing only eight turnovers. That type of stat line will almost always result in a Miami win, and we look for a better fourth quarter effort tonight as this game goes over the total. The Heat are 17-8 Over after an ATS loss while the Spurs are 14-4 Over after forcing 8 or less turnovers. San Antonio had no problem with the uptempo pace in Game One and showed no rust after a long layoff prior to Thursday's game. Offensive production high for both teams on Sunday.

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Jim Feist

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates took their second straight game from the Cubs with a win on Saturday, 6-2. The win moved the Bucs to three games back division leader St Louis. Meanwhile, the Cubs can start thinking about next season as they dropped to 14 1/2 back in the Central. The Cubs dropped to 13-18 at home, while Pittsburgh is now 16-14 on the road. Jeff Locke will start for the Bucs. Locke has been solid, posting a nice 5-1 record this season with a 2.45 ERA. Meanwhile, Edwin Jackson will toe the rubber for the Cubbies. Jackson has lost three straight and is now 1-8 on the year with a 6.29 ERA. The Pirates are 6-2 in their last eight games at Wrigley. I expect another win here today as the Bucs hold all the edges, especially on the mound.

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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox
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The White Sox received a stellar performance from John Danks on Saturday and picked up a nice win over the rampaging A's in the process. But there are food reasons to believe Oakland will get right back to its winning ways today.
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The A's long ago got rid of the surprise tag. This is simply a good baseball team with one superstar and a bevy of solid guys who blend well together. The pitching staff is comprised of hurlers who eat innings effectively, and give the bats a good chance to win the game more often than not. Unlike so many squads, the A's are also blessed with tough bullpen arms. Aside from a recent slump afflicting setup lefty Sean Doolittle, this team has been mostly nails from the seventh inning on. Knowing they can rely on the pen takes the pressure off the starters and also gives the offense confidence that they don't need to blow out the scoreboard to get wins.
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The White Sox are not good. The offense is spotty at best and the defense is horrible. I also don't like the makeup of the starting rotation. Every team can benefit from having one or two lefties on the staff. They give the opponent a different look, and can often generate the weaker half of a platoon in some cases. But too many lefties is a problem, as the desired different look becomes all too familiar to the opponent. Thanks to injuries, the Chisox now have a rotation consisting of four lefties, with Dylan Axelrod the only righthander starting right now.
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Hector Santiago gets the call today. He's done okay on a couple of spot start occasions this year, with a standout effort against the Mets the highlight. But Santiago looks to me like a pitcher better suited for bullpen work, and I think that with repeated longer stretch exposure he's a candidate to get hit hard.
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The A's counter today with AJ Griffin, who is looking like the prototype for the mid-rotation six or seven inning, three or four run type. Sure, Griffin will have the dominating effort here and there, and he might get blown up every now and then. But what you'll generally get from Griffin is precisely what you want to see from a #3-4 starter. Three okay trips through the opposition lineup, and then turn it over to the bullpen.
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I'll bank on Griffin being his typical self today, and with Oakland facing its fourth straight White Sox lefty, I like their bats to enjoy a productive day. Even as road chalk, this looks like a good spot for the A's to finish off another winning series with the victory today.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland Athletics at Chicago White SoxFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Well, you can't win 'em all, so maybe the A's shouldn't feel too bad about Saturday's 4-1 loss at The Cell after winning 18 of their previous 21. The mark is now 18-4 their last 22, still compelling stuff, and despite some offensive ups and downs this weekend in Chicago; those sorts of extended numbers make Oakland worth another look. Starting pitcher A.J. Griffin is off seven shutout innings last Tuesday at Milwaukee and faces a Chisox side that has won only 2 of its last 12, and has been battling inconsistency at the plate. Pale Hose lefty hector Santiago, a spot starter for Robin Ventura on Sunday, might not be able to keep pace. Play A's

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New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: New York YankeesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Yankees bounced back nicely today with a 3-1 victory to give Andy Pettitte his 250th win in his career and he wouldn't of had it any other way that with Rivera closing out it like some many of his previous wins. Sunday's match up is an interesting one with King Felix on the mound against young David Phelps. Felix is 7-4 on the season with a 2.58 ERA and Phelps is 4-3 with a 4.15 ERA. In 15 career starts vs. the Yankees Felix is 8-5 with a 2.99 ERA, but has allowed 10 home runs and has his highest whip against anyone minimum 15 starts. Look for Phelps to hold his own and the Yankees to scratch out a few runs to win the game and series.

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