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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 7

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 7

DUNKEL INDEX

NHL

Chicago at Los Angeles
The Kings look to build on their 27-5 record in their last 32 home games when the total is less than 5. Los Angeles is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-125)

Game 15-16: Pittsburgh at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.956; Boston 14.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under

WNBA

New York at Atlanta
The Dream look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10)
Game 651-652: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 101.208; Connecticut 115.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 14; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 8; 156 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-8); Under

Game 653-654: New York at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.700; Atlanta 119.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 10; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10); Over

Game 655-656: Chicago at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.188; San Antonio 108.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.845; Seattle 112.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 11 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 7; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
The Pirates look to take advantage of a Cubs team that is 2-8 in Travis Wood's last 10 starts as a home underdog. Pittsburgh is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115)

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.815; Cubs (Wood) 14.339
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); N/A

Game 953-954: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 13.724; NY Mets (Harvey) 15.812
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-210); Over

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.018; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.932
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 14.579; Milwaukee (Figaro) 15.029
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 16.443; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.331
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.818; Arizona (Corbin) 16.990
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Under

Game 963-964: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 14.974; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.840
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 15.349; Toronto (Rogers) 14.827
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.388; Detroit (Verlander) 14.330
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170); Over

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.688; Tampa Bay (Archer) 17.012
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa bay (-115); Under

Game 971-972: LA Angels at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Hanson) 15.783; Boston (Doubront) 15.348
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over

Game 973-974: Houston at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.582; Kansas City (Shields) 16.182
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-220); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.924; White Sox (Sale) 13.865
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Over

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.444; Seattle (Bonderman) 14.973
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Under

Game 979-980: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 14.371; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.752
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland vs. DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I cashed the Tigers yesterday afternoon, part of ANOTHER big card for me during what's been an outstanding overall stretch.  Friday night, I like them at home w/ Justin Verlander on the hill against the Cleveland Indians....
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Homefield advantage has always played a big role when these two American League Central teams meet with the Indians losing 29 of 38 here at Comerica Park.  And while the Tribe has had Justin Verlander's "number" about as much any team in baseball, it's not enough to overcome that homefield edge and the fact they are slumping coming into this series. And Verlander has won his last three starts.
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Cleveland was just swept in New York earlier in the week and has lost four straight.  Going back further, they have dropped 12 of 16, a stretch which began w/ a pair of losses to the Tigers. Adding to their problems here is the fact they've dropped eight straight on the road. Ubaldo Jimenez will get the start Friday, and while he's been better lately, his ERA remains 4.83 over 11 starts. He was rocked for six runs in just four innings the last time he saw Detroit.
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Though Verlander's ERA vs. Cleveland is his highest vs. any AL opponent and he's lost to them more times than any other team, I don't see him losing here.  He owns a career 96-33 TSR as a favorite of -150 or higher.  He's being backed by an offense averaging 5.7 runs per game at home this season.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh vs. Chi. CubsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PittsburghFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Pirates open a three game series with the Cubs in Chicago Friday afternoon they will send Francisco Liriano to the mound against Travis Wood knowing Liriano is in solid KW form with 23 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last three starts.  On the flip side, Wood is 0-3 with a 7.09 ERA in his career team starts at home in this series and 3-6 in his career team starts during June, including 1-3 at home.  With that, look for more of the same this evening.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Pittsburgh.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. NY MetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Miami +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Marlins don't win many games, but they haven't had much trouble with the Mets. They have won two of three series with New York this season, including a sweep in Miami last week.
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Jose Fernandez was very sharp in that series, tossing seven scoreless innings allowing just three hits in an 8-1 win on June 1. That wasn't his only start against the Mets this season, he also allowed two runs on just three hits in four innings in a game that Miami won 4-3 in extra-innings back in April.
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Funny enough, the opposing pitcher on that day was none other than Matt Harvey. He didn't get charged with the loss, just as he wasn't saddled with the loss last week when the Marlins chased him from the game, tagging him for four runs on 10 hits in five innings.
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Harvey is still undefeated, and he's still getting a lot of respect from the bookmakers, coming in as a 2-1 favorite in this game. He's hardly looked untouchable lately though, with just one win in his last eight starts.
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Then there is the not so mighty Mets offense, that ranks 29th in the Major Leagues in batting average, just ahead of the lowly Marlins.
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It's tough to say that the Mets are any better offensively than the Marlins, and Fernandez has been far better than Harvey in recent starts. The Marlins seem to have the Mets number, and I expect to see another close game between these two teams in New York tonight.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco vs. ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Matt Cain (4-3, 5.45 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Cain is coming a brutal outing in which he gave up seven runs off nine hits over six frames, striking out nine and walking none in a setback to the Cardinals on Saturday. The pathetic effort was obviously his worst of the year and it doesn't get any easier for the beleaguered hurler starting opposite the red hot Patrick Corbin (9-0, 2.06 ERA) who is coming off another victory despite giving up four runs off six hits with two walks while striking out five over six frames in his team's eventual 8-4 win over the Cubs on Sunday. So is it time to hit the panic button if your a Corbin fan after the somewhat sub-par effort? Obviously not; the young southpaw is on fire this year and is a smoking 5-0 with a minuscule 1.69 ERA in five starts in front of the home town crowd. Conversely though, it's definitely time to hit the panic button if you're a Cain fan; Cain is struggling with control, velocity, and now with his confidence. I feel that the undefeated Corbin, coupled with this extremely reasonable price, makes the Diamondbacks a legitimate investment opportunity tonight.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis vs. CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Normally we're not looking for spots to go against the Cards and their MLB-best 39-21 record (including 20-9 on the road), But Cincy isn't far behind St. Louis, and the Reds' home mark of 21-9 (behind only Atlanta in MLB) cancels the Redbirds' away success.  Thus, we focus upon the starting pitchers, in which the recent edge would seem to go to Cincy's Mike Leake, who has allowed only one run in his last four starts (all Reds wins).  Meanwhile, Cards starter Adam Wainwright is 4-7 in his career vs. Cincy with a 4.14 ERA.  Looks like a slight edge on the mound to the Reds, and can't bypass a chance to take them as an underdog tonight.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland A's vs. Chicago White SoxFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Chicago White SoxFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago fits a solid 14-2 System here that plays on home favorites that scored 4 or less runs in a 1 run home dog loss and had no errors, vs an opponent off a 1 run road favored win and scored 5 or more runs. This is a rematch from Sundays game which Oakland won 2-0 at home. Same 1 pitchers in Parker and Sale. Parker shut down Chicago allowing no runs. Now he gets them on the road where his 4.18 era is not bad. However its not as good as C. Sale and his 1.47 home era and 0.40 in his last 3 starts, Sake has won all 4 home starts. The White Sox are 7-2 as a home favorite off a 1 run home loss. Look for them to get some revenge on Oakland in this one.

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Jeffrey BrandesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia Phillies -138
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Pitchers:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES: CLIFF LEE (L) ERA: 2.45 W/L: 7-2
MILWAUKEE BREWERS: ALFREDO FIGARO (R) ERA: 7.20 W/L: 0-0
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For the Phillies, pitcher CLIFF LEE is on a hot roll. In his last six starts, he's 5-0 with a 1.54 ERA. LEE faced these same Brewers on Sunday. He struck out 11 in 7 2/3 innings
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ALFREDO FIGARO will make his second Brewers' start. He gave up 3 home runs in 5 innings in his first start which Milwaukee lost 5-2.
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The Phillies are 21-18 at Miller Park and 64-44 all-time against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 9-11 in Game 2 of a series, and they're 5-13-2 in series play. They've been swept five times this season
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Key Trends:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Pick: Pittsburgh PiratesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Scrappy Pittsburgh heads to Wrigley Field with a day off after a brutal series at Atlanta. The offense gets to face lefty Travis Wood, who has hit a bit of a wall with a 4.82 ERA his last three starts. Chicago has had a bad wee, too, and has a losing record and home and on the road. The Cubbies are 26th in baseball in on base percentage and come home from a trip on the West Coast. That offense faces a re-born ace in lefty Francisco Liriano (3-2, 2.17 ERA) who has been terrific striking out 39 in 29 innings with only 9 walks. He lost his last start against the Reds but was brilliant, striking out 11 in six innings and allowed only one run on four hits and a walk in a 2-0 defeat. He pitched seven scoreless innings in his previous meeting against the Cubs May 22. Play the Pirates.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Los Angeles DodgersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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No doubt about it, the Dodgers have been a monster flop this season. But for the first time in recent memory, there seems to be a real sense of enthusiasm at Chavez Ravine, and there's not a shred of doubt as to the reason why.
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Yasiel Puig is creating a major stir among Dodgers fans, and it sure looks to me like he's energized what had been a totally flat baseball team. The Dodgers are still dead last in the NL West. But they're only 7.5 games out of first place, and with more than 100 games left to play, it's way too soon to count this team out of the race.
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As for the Braves, they're in great shape in the NL East. The Nationals cannot get untracked, the Phillies really don't look like anything more than a .500 team, and the Mets and Marlins are just plain bad. But the Braves are not without flaws, and the most troubling is the abundance of swing and miss types in this lineup.
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That Atlanta tendency could be in play tonight. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been rock solid for the Dodgers and he's racking up just a shade under one strikeout for every inning he pitches. Ryu has a good chance to contain the Braves tonight.
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Paul Maholm is no soft touch for the Braves. But the Atlanta southpaw has not been good on the road lately, and while it's a small sample, Maholm has an ugly history at Dodger Stadium.
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The Dodgers have done their best offensive work at home against lefties, so they should have a decent shot to get some licks in tonight against Maholm. Ryu has been superb at home, and I'll bank on him being better tonight than he was the first time around against this opponent.
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I'm a little hesitant to put a lot of faith in the Dodgers. But for the first time all season, they have the look of a go with team, at least for the time being. The price here is quite reasonable, so I'll side with the Dodgers tonight.

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Cajun SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: St Louis CardinalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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STL starter A. Wainwright is 10-1 SU not installed as a 200 or more favorite after a start in which he went at least eight innings. STL is 40-22 SU (+1505) L62. The Cards are 31-13 SU versus right-handed starters this season and they are 16-9 SU versus teams with a winning record. Play St. Louis with Wainwright on the bump.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston vs. Kansas CityFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Houston Astros' pitching has been surprisingly decent in recent days, but the problem for them on Friday will be going up against the Royals' James Shields.  The 'Stros will throw out a hot pitcher of their own in Jordan Lyles and with two week offenses here, I expect the Under to cash easily.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1. Shields - Somehow, James Shields is only 2-6 in his 12 starts (4-8 TSR) despite a 2.83 ERA and 1.047 WHIP. He allowed only one run at Texas last time out in 4-1 win.  He's allowed three runs or less in 10 of his 12 starts, but the problem has been some of the worst run support in all of baseball.  As a result, the Under is 8-4 in all of Shield's starts.
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2. Lyles - Pitching has not been Houston's strong suit this year, but Lyles is a big part of the starting staff's recent turnaround. He's allowed two runs or less in four consecutive starts, turning in a 1.90 ERA over that frame. Like Shields though, that hasn't neccessarily translated into team success.  Again, because of poor run support, Lyles' TSR is just 2-2 those last four outings.
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3. X-Factor - Both offenses here are not strong.  Before yesterday's seven run, 11-hit performance (I cashed KC), the Royals had been averaging a weak 2.2 runs over their last 14 games. They have scored the second fewest runs in the American League for the year.  Houston had one big game offensively in their three-game homestand vs. Baltimore, but have otherwise been held to 2 runs or less three times in the last four games.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas +121 over BOSTONFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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John Lester is proving that his 4.82 ERA and 1.38 WHIP from 2012 were flukes. His skills seem to be back to the levels that made him a consistent winner and one of the most reliable starters in the game a few years ago. The Red Sox have now won nine of Lester's 12 starts. He has a 6-2 record overall to go along with a 3.53 ERA but there are warning signs galore and now is the time to sell high on this overrated lefty. The first warning sign is Lester's declining 7.2% swinging strike rate that does not support his strikeout rate of 65 K's in 79 frames. Lester is also starting to walk a few too many batters (8 BB over his past 19 IP), which is never a good sign. Over his last three starts, including one against the pathetic hitting White Sox in which he allowed five runs, Lester has been tagged for 13 earned runs in 19 innings. We could certainly be looking at a tired arm here and now Lester will face a tough Texas lineup that has won 12 of 18 games against southpaws this season.
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By contrast, the Red Sox have been below average versus left-handed pitching this season, hitting only .236 with a .693 OPS and now they'll face one of the best in the game. Derek Holland has made six career starts against the Red Sox, going 5-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 41 IP. Holland's 2.31 ERA in May came with full skill support and it's even more impressive when you consider the venue in which he pitches half his games in. Holland has 72 K's and just 18 walks issued in 74 innings of work this year. Unlike Lester, who is getting weaker, Holland is getting better as the season progresses. With an average fastball velocity of 93.9 mph and an elite 12.0% swinging strike rate in May, up from 11.2% in April, Holland has the goods to sustain his masterful May and success against these Red Sox. We're not so sure about Lester.
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COLORADO -1½ +138 over San DiegoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rockies opened as a -156 favorite here. That looks like a clear enticement into trying to get bettors into taking the bait on the Padres. After all, San Diego just beat Clayton Kershaw last night in L.A. and Andrew Cashner has put up better numbers than Jhoulys Chacin. The Rockies are better at home and deserve to be favored, but by this much? The Padres have won four of Cashner's last five starts and over that stretch, covering 33 innings, Cashner has walked just five batters and he has not issued a single walk in his last two starts, However, Cashner has pitched more innings this season (57) than any time before at this level. Over the past three years, Cashner has spent 209 days on the DL while never throwing more than 54 innings in a season. He's been switched from starter to reliever to starter and he now enters unchartered territory in terms of innings worked at this level with some serious warning signs. Cashner has surrendered six bombs over his last four starts and that includes three in Seattle in his last start. He's also striking out less batters. Taking on the Rockies at Coors Field is the worst matchup in baseball for opposing pitchers, where they must face a potent offense in an extremely hitting friendly environment (+43% runs scored). Granted, it is a very small sample size, but the Rockies have knocked Cashner around in 8.2 career innings, where he has given up 20 hits, 5 BB, and 14 ER. Based on this high line, oddsmakers are calling for Cashner to be roughed up again and based on his pedigree, current form and past history here, we couldn't agree more.
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With a 3-3 record in 10 starts, a 4.26 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, Jhouly's Chacin is not going to garner much attention here but this is a pitcher that should be on your radar because he's coming on big time. The surface stats don't say so but under the hood, Chacin has an elite 58% groundball rate over his last four starts. His ERA over that span is an unappealing 6.07 but it's all because of a very unfortunate 57% strand rate. When that normailizes, his ERA will   drop significantly.  Chacin's xERA over his last four starts is 3.85 and that's actually very impressive when you consider that three of those four starts were at Coors Field. Chacin has dominated in the past, especially against righties and at the young age of 25 and appearing to be fully recovered from some health issues over the past couple of years, Chacin is a prime breakout candidate. The surface stats on both these pitchers are misleading, with Chacin being much better than the stats suggest and Cashner being much worse. That sets this one up very nicely for the Rockies to tee off and we're on it.

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GoodFellaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Red Sox -141FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Simply going right back to the Boston Red Sox tonight. We have been on them their last 2 ballgames, including last night's (2*) Winner on them over Texas. The Halos simply struggle vs LH pitching, as they rank dead last in the American League in batting .AVG (.220) and rank dead last in .OPS (.652). Doubront can be nasty and these Angels have very little exposure vs him, too. Only Hamilton (3-7) has more than 1 AB vs Felix. Halos sending out Hanson who is making just his 2nd start since coming off the DL,and he was knocked around in that 1st start off a month layoff, vs the Astros. Obvious edge to the Red Sox bullpen, and I fully expect these Red Sox (who do rake RH pitching) to come away with another win at home tonight.

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Mti SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee +125 over PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Phillies are hot and Cliff Lee is pitching well. However, this is too much to lay for a team that has trouble scoring runs. And the Phillies' offense will be playing small-ball, believing that two runs might be enough for Cliff Lee.
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The Phillies are 4-16 on the road after a win as a dog in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent –including losses by scores of 5-1 and 6-1 this season.
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Also, Philadelphia is 0-5 as a ROAD FAVORITE after a win in which they allowed six or fewer hits, losing by an average of 4.8 runs per game.
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Cliff Lee had a quality start at home in his last outing, going seven and two-thirds without walking a batter. This has not been a good spot to invest in him, as the Phillies are 0-6 as a favorite with Cliff Lee when he is off a home start in which he did not walk a batter, as long as he was not a 200-plus favorite in that start.
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Finally, it is worth mentioning that Milwaukee is a perfect 6-0 as a home dog when they lost by one run in extra innings in their starter’s last start.
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There is no doubt in anyone’s mind – including the linesmakers -- that the Phillies have the better starter going here. However, the Phillies should have trouble scoring runs here and the price is right to make a play on the Brewers.

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Andrew LangeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland at ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This may be the easiest free play write-up in history in part because we are going back to the well with another Jarrod Parker/Chris Sale under the total bet. On Sunday those faced off in Oakland with a total of 7 – both teams barely got to seven hits as the A's won 2-0. Everyone knows how dominant Sale has been but Parker has quietly returned to last year's stellar form. Over his last four starts, he has allowed only 17 hits and six earned runs in 27.1 innings to go with a 21/6 K-to-BB ratio and 1.98 ERA. Obviously Cellular Field plays a bit smaller than Oakland Coliseum, however I still see two pitchers trending in a positive direction and facing two sub-par offenses. Get this one before it goes to 7.

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MLB Predictions

New York Yankees -151

No normal write up for the 2 unit tonight, but the Yankees are 35-25 on the season and 16-12 on the road while the Mariners are just 26-35 and 15-14 at home. New York took the first game of the series 6-1 last night and have won 4 straight games scoring 23 runs over those 4 wins. The Mariners are 2-4 over their last 6 and send Jeremy Bonderman to the mound who gave up 9 hits and 7 earned runs in his only start of the season on the 2nd of June in just 4.2 innings of work. The last season he was in the Majors (2010 with Detroit) he went 8-10 with a high 5.53 ERA. Hiroki Kuroda is on the mound for New York and he is 6-4 on the year with a 2.59 ERA. The Yankees are 5-2 in Kuroda's last 7 starts as a favorite, and 6-2 in his last 8 starts vs the AL West. T he Mariners are just 6-14 in their last 20 overall and 3-14 in their last 17 games as an underdog. Take New York tonight laying the chalk.

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Jeff AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago White Sox -126FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The White Sox lost the first game of the series 5-4 in extras, but they are an impressive 23-11 since the beginning of last season when out for revenge for a 1-run defeat to an opponent. Chicago stands a better chance tonight with Chris Sale on the hill. The Sox have won all 4 of his home starts this season while he's posted an ERA of 1.47. They are 14-3 in his last 17 home starts. Oakland's Jarrod Parker (4.90 ERA) hasn't been as sharp as Sale. The Athletics are 1-4 in Parker's last 5 starts as a road underdog.

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Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco Giants +121FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona's Pat Corbin has been terrific, but I can't pass up the defending champs with their ace on the hill at this price. Besides, the Giants have had some success against Corbin, as evidenced by his 4.45 ERA in 5 starts against them. Compare that to Cain, who has a 3.47 ERA in 29 starts against Arizona. The Giants are 6-1 in Cain's last 7 starts, 12-4 in his last 16 starts as a road underdog, 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus the Diamondbacks and 6-2 in his last 8 road starts against them. Also, the Giants have won 7 of their last 8 in Arizona.

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