Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, June 4

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, June 4

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Minnesota at Kansas City
The Twins look to take advantage of a Kansas City team that is 1-10 in its last 11 home games. Minnesota is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120)

Game 901-902: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 15.542; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 14.554
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+155); Over

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 13.962; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.503
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-205); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-205); Under

Game 905-906: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.816; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.169
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-170); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.812; Atlanta (Minor) 14.755
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Skaggs) 16.462; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.545
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.541; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.942
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Under

Game 913-914: Cleveland at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 14.155; NY Yankees (Phelps) 15.731
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Under

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.584; Detroit (Sanchez) 15.757
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over

Game 917-918: Texas at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Grimm) 15.437; Boston (Dempster) 17.061
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 15.677; Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.775
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 16.766; Houston (Harrell) 15.303
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-170); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago White Sox (Peavy) 13.357; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.396
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 6
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-150); Over

Game 925-926: Oakland at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 14.327; Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.267
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Over

Game 927-928: Chicago Cubs at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Feldman) 16.130; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.992
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Under

Game 929-930: Toronto at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Johnson) 14.610; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.035
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over

NHL

Chicago at Los Angeles
The Kings look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 home games against a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Los Angeles is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-135)

Game 9-10: Chicago at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.472; Los Angeles 12.679
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 3
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-135); 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-135); Under

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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NY Mets vs. WashingtonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Washington -1.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Good luck trying to figure out the New York Mets. After sweeping the Subway Series against the Yankees, they went to Miami and got swept themselves by the terrible Marlins.  They stay on the road to start the week in the Nation's Capital and I feel the result will be a bad loss to the disappointing Nationals.  Take note I am playing the Nats on the Run Line (-1.5) in this one.
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Mets starter Jeremy Hefner has not experienced much success in 2013.  He owns a 1-9 TSR & 4.50 ERA. That lone victory did come in his last start, against the Yankees.  But that also means he's winless in the Senior Circuit. He's never had much luck vs. Washington, that's for sure.  He has a 0-4 TSR vs. the Nats and a 5.57 ERA.  Earlier this year, he lasted only four innings in a 7-6 loss.
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Washington's Jordan Zimmerman has not lost at home this season, going 5-0 in five starts w/ a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP.  Though he received a no-decision (in a 2-0 loss) earlier in the year, he's always pitched well against the Mets, turning in a 3.05 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 12 career starts.  Zimmerman has a 24-6 TSR in night games the last two seasons.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas vs. BostonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BostonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rangers swept the Red Sox earlier in the year in Arlington, but tonight I look for a little payback in Beantown. I like the fact that the Red Sox had Monday off, which allows them to avoid the letdown factor after playing the Yankees.  This is a big statement series for the home team, who is trying to re-establish itself in the American League pecking order.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1. Revenge - Last month, things did not go well for Boston in Arlington as they lost three games by a combined score of 16-4.  Now, at Fenway, it's time for a little payback. Texas has won 11 of the last 14 meetings overall and 10 of 13 here in Beantown. But, check this out.  The Red Sox are a perfect 4-0 this season when playing with revenge for a 3-game sweep!
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2.  Grimm on the road - Rangers starter Justin Grimm has a 4.94 ERA in five away starts.  He allowed 10 hits the last time he pitched on the road, but fortunately was facing Seattle.  A similar effort tonight and he won't be as lucky.
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3.  X-Factor - The Rangers have lost three straight on the road.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego vs. LA DodgersFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: LA DodgersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Dodgers host the Padres in Game Two of this southern California series Tuesday night when Ted Lilly matches serves with Clayton Richard at Dodger Stadium.  Lilly toes the slab knowing he is 8-1 with a 2.75 ERA in his career team starts against the Padres. On the other side of the coin, Richard is in struggling KW form with 16 strikeouts and 18 walks in his seven starts this season.  Richard is also 0-3 with a 9.56 ERA in his away team starts this season and just 1-3 in his last four team starts in this park.  With that we'll stay at home with L.A. in this contest tonight.  We recommend a 1-unit play in the Dodgers.

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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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White Sox vs. MarinersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: White SoxFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We lost with the White Sox last night with a premium play but will come back with them tonight for a smaller play. Chicago is in a massive funk as it has lost seven straight games and the offense has done nothing to help as it has scored a total of just 11 runs over this stretch.  Many will be riding this streak thinking that the offense continues its slide and while it won't be easy to come out of it, the White Sox have a ton of value here with Jake Peavy on the hill. He is having a solid season with a 3.62 ERA and 1.10 WHIP through 10 starts. He has tossed seven quality outings and while he is coming off his worst start of the season, his previous two non-quality performances were followed up with two gems, both leading to Chicago victories. Peavy is 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in three career starts at Safeco Field. The Mariners snapped their two-game skid with the victory last night but the offense managed only four runs which was the 14th time in their last 18 games they have scored four runs or fewer. Felix Hernandez has been awesome once against with the exception of a couple bad outings as he has a 2.38 ERA on the season in 12 starts. He has not done as well at home though as he has a 3.18 ERA, which is still solid, but Seattle is just 1-3 in his four home starts and going back to last season, it is 1-7 in his last eight home starts.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cubs vs. AngelsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CubsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This price might be reflective more of the reputation of Angels starter Jered Weaver than anything else. But let's remember that Weaver has had just one start back from his broken elbow and is on a pitch count that likely gets him out of the game after the 6th inning in any scenario tonight. Moreover, his Angels team has lost 6 of 8, including an inexplicable four straight at home  vs. the Astros, and the offense conked out with just 16 runs scored in the last seven games.  The Halos thus bring zero momentum into tonight's game vs. the Cubs and their undervalued starter Scott Feldman, who has a solid 2.82 ERA and allowed two runs or fewer in 8 of his last 9 starts.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh vs. AtlantaFORFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pirates have been involved in their share of low-scoring games this season, particularly of late, as the winning team has scored two runs or less in three of their last seven games, with the Buccos going 2-1 in those contests.
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Likewise, the Braves have seen the winning side score three runs or less in three of their last six games.
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After the opener featured nine runs in a Braves rout last night, I expect tonight's game to be played much closer to the vest.
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Jeff Locke gets the nod for the visiting Pirates. He's quietly been getting the job done all season, recording a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 64 innings of work. It's not as if he's been getting it done with smoke-and-mirrors either, having allowed only 49 hits and five home runs along the way. It is worth noting that three of those home runs came against the same Braves he'll face tonight, back on April 18th in Pittsburgh. However, he's really settled down since that early season outing and I expect him to pitch a much better game tonight at Turner Field. Note that the Braves aren't exactly locked in against lefties right now, hitting a collective .172 while averaging only 2.2 runs per nine innings against them over their last 10 games.
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Mike Minor should be a legitimate Cy Young candidate for the Braves given his early season numbers. Minor has posted a 2.48 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 72 2/3 innings pitched, striking out 66 and walking only 14. That's not to mention the fact that he's allowed only seven home runs and none in his last three starts. Minor hasn't given up more than two earned runs in a start since way back on May 3rd against the Mets. He was rocked for seven earned runs over 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Pirates last season and as a fierce competitor, I'm confident we'll see him lock in with a much better performance tonight.
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The two bullpens have been among the best in baseball this season, with the Pirates relief corps posting a collective 2.67 ERA and the Braves 'pen countering with a 2.73 ledger. Both have been lights out over the last five and 10 games as well.
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Despite what we saw in the opener of this series last night, the 'under' remains a solid 6-2 in the last eight meetings in this series, with all six of those 'under' results totaling six runs or less. Expect a similar story to unfold at Turner Field on Tuesday.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago vs. SeattleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: SeattleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Jake Peavy (6-3, 3.62 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Peavy gave up six runs off eight hits, striking out three and walking none in an 8-3 blowout destruction to the Cubbies on Thursday. It was the 32-year olds shortest outing of the season. So is it time to hit the panic button if you're a Peavy fan? Obviously not. However, his last performance is a little disconcerting and it certainly doesn't get any easier throwing opposite the M's Felix Hernandez (6-4, 2.38 ERA) who went eight commanding frames vs. the Friars on Thursday, ultimately holding the Padres to a single run off three hits. The White Sox come into this series on Monday night having lost seven straight away from friendly confines. One player to keep your eyes on over the next couple of games in this series is Seattle's Kendrys Morales, who is hitting .411 with seven doubles, three home runs and 14 RBIs over his last 13 games overall and who has an even better .444 average over his last 10 vs. the ChiSox. As good as Peavy has been this year, I simply feel that he's not even close to being in the same class as "The King" and believe you'd agree that this mid-sized price on the clearly superior starter is a very intriguing, and dare I say, inviting one.

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Jimmy Boyd

Washington Nationals -182

The Nationals will have one of their best pitchers on the mound when Jordan Zimmermann faces the struggling New York Mets. Zimmermann has a 2.37 ERA this season and an 8-3 record in 11 starts. He has been lethal at home going 5-0 in 5 starts with a 1.50 ERA and a 09.44 WHIP. He is facing a Mets team that is batting .217 over their past 7 games averaging 3.4 runs per game in that span.

Washington should have no problems breaking out of their offensive funk today when they face the Mets’ Jeremy Hefner. The Mets are -19 in Hefner’s 10 starts this season. When playing on the road Hefner has a 5.67 ERA and his only win in that span came back in may against a Yankees team that has been plagued by injuries. The Met’s offense already has trouble scoring runs but against Zimmermann they should really struggle. Washington takes this game with ease today.



New York Yankees -140

The Cleveland Indians are really struggling right now. They have lost 10 of their last 14 games and were smoked by the Yankees last night in a 4-7 loss. Scott Kazmir has been horrible on the road going 0-2 with a 6.87 ERA in his 4 road starts this season. David Phelps will get the start for the Yankees today. New York is 4-2 in Phelps’ six starts and he has been solid allowing only 2 home runs in 6 games and has 28 strikeouts in a total of 33 innings pitched. Phelps is 2-1 in his last three starts and he should have no problem picking up another win today against an Indians team that is batting .240 over their past 7 games. The Indians are 0-6 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record and they are 0-4 in their last 4 games against a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Yankees are 6-0 in Phelps’ last 6 starts during game 2 of a series and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. These trends combine for a perfect 20-0 record in favor of the Yankees today.

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Rocketman

Oakland @ Milwaukee
Play On: Oakland -113

The Oakland A's travel to Milwaukee to take on the Brewers on Tuesday night. Oakland is 24-10 this year after a win. Oakland is 19-6 this year against a team with a losing record. Oakland is 12-5 this year after 3 or more consecutive wins. Milwaukee is 10-24 this year after a loss. Milwaukee is 2-7 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Milwaukee is 13-24 last 3 years and 1-6 this year in inter-league play. Oakland has won 10 of their past 11 games overall. Oakland is 6-1 their last 7 games overall where they are allowing only 2.7 runs per game. Oakland is 4-1 this year in inter-league play where they are scoring 6.2 runs per game. Milwaukee is allowing 6.1 runs per game their past seven games overall and 5.9 runs per game in inter-league play. Kyle Lohse is 1-6 overall this year and 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA his last 3 starts. Lohse is 1-3 with a 5.54 ERA overall vs Oakland in his career. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland tonight!

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Jeffrey Brandes

Washington Nationals -1½ +107

Pitchers
NEW YORK METS: JEREMY HEFNER (R) ERA: 4.50 W/L: 1-5
WASHINGTON NATIONALS:JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) ERA: 2.37 W/L: 8-3

For the Mets, JEREMY HEFNER went 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA in three starts against the Nats last season and lasted just four innings, allowing three runs, for a no-decision in his lone start against Washington this season.

Although he's coming off of a poor start in his last, the Nationals' JORDAN ZIMMERMANN has been their most consistent starter. Some more good news for this game is that outfielder Jayson Werth is expected to be back in uniform for the Nationals in today's series opener. In 27 games with the Nationals prior to his injury, Werth was hitting .260 with four homers and 10 RBIs.

Key Trends:
Washington is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing NY Mets
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
NY Mets are 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

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Freddy Wills

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox    
Play: Boston Red Sox

Ryan Dempster has not been himself lately posting a 2.18 WHIP and a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts combined. However, he is still striking out over 10 batters per 9 innings and facing the Texas Rangers for the first time in his career without Adrian Beltre and Ian Kinsler could be a great time to get back to consistent quality starts and that is what I think will happen on Tuesday. Dempster has struggled with control with over 4.5 BB's per 9 innings which is not like him. Facing the Rangers who are 17th in BB's should help and for what it is worth the Red Sox bullpen has a 1.99 ERA over their last 10 games. Starting a game in June should also help as he has a 2.43 ERA over the last three years covering 14 starts in June. It will also help that his offense is red hot.

The Red Sox will face off against Justin Grimm who has struggled on the road against mediocre competition and now he'll face the Red Sox ranked #1 in OPS vs. RHP and are scoring 7.78 runs per 9 over their last 10 games combined with a .328 average. Texas is also 6-20 in their last 26 road games as a dog up to +150 while Boston is 16-5 in their last 21 home games as a favorite -110 to -150, making that a 36-11 trend in favor of the Red Sox.

Notable Hot Starters:
Ricky Nolasco (1-2, 22.1 IP, 0.99 WHIP, 2.01 ERA)
Matt Moore (2-1, 14 IP, 0.93 WHIP, 1.29 ERA)
Jeff Locke (3-0, 18.1 IP, 1.04 WHIP, 0.00 ERA)
Mike Minor (3-0, 20.1 IP, 0.79 WHIP, 1.77 ERA)
Luis Mendoza (0-3, 16.2 IP, 1.68 WHIP, 2.16 ERA)

Notable Cold Starters:
Chris Tillman (2-1, 15.2 IP, 1.60 WHIP, 6.89 ERA)
Lucas Harrell (1-2, 14.1 IP, 1.81 WHIP, 6.28 ERA)
Clayton Richard (0-3, 15.1 IP, 1.83 WHIP, 8.80 ERA)
Josh Johnson (1-2, 13.2 IP, 1.90 WHIP, 7.90 ERA)
Tim Lincecum (0-3, 16.1 IP, 1.78 WHIP, 8.27 ERA)
Kyle Lohse (0-3, 16.1 IP, 1.65 WHIP, 6.61 ERA)

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Rob Vinciletti

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies    
Play: Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies fit a fabulous system that has won 22 of 29 times times and plays on home favorites off a home favored win at -140 or higher if the total was 8 or less and is 8 or less tonight and our team won by 5 or more runs and had 10 or more hits, while their opponent is off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits with 1 or less errors. Miami is 15-42 long term in June and has a hideous 5.14 Road bullpen era. This game is a rematch from May 3rd with Ricky Nolasco and J. Pettibone, where the Phils won 4-1. Nolasco has lost his last 3 vs the Phillies and is 1-5 on the road. Pettibone is 4-1 at home with a 2.97 era and went 6 solid in that May 3rd game going 6 innings and allowing just one run. Look for the Phillies to keep the Marlins on ice here tonight. Take Philadelphia.

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Ray Monohan

Detroit -145

You can either bet into streaks or against them and tonight I am going against the grain so to speak. SP Matt Moore of the Rays has yet to lose a game this season with an 8-0 record (the team is 10-1 when he starts).

However, he pitched just one inning in his last start and tonight faces the Detroit Tigers featuring one of the best lineups in the Majors. For Detroit, SP Anibal Sanchez's peripherals are awesome thought he just hasn't been as luck in the win column (just 5-5).

He is dynamite at home with an ERA of 1.70 and backed by the better lineup the Tigers should hand Moore his first loss. There should be some entertaining battles between Moore and other worldly 3B Miguel Cabrera.

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Jim Feist

Oakland Athletics at Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

Start of a 7-game road trip this week for the Oakland A's. Milwaukee is not an easy park to pitch in and Oakland starter A.J. Griffin (4.04 ERA) has been slumping, with a 5.71 ERA his last three starts. Griffin has allowed 11 runs over his last 17 1/3 innings. The Brewers are 86-42 in their last 128 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers continue to struggle on the road but play their best baseball at home. Starter Kyle Lohse doesn't walk anyone (11 in 59+ innings), a must in this park.

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Dave Cokin

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees
Pick: Cleveland Indians

The Yankees have been one of the bigger surprises this season in the minds of many analysts. At the very least, they've gotten the max out of what they've had to go with for two months when considering the injury issues that have wreaked havoc with the Yankee roster.

Among those surprises has been David Phelps. He's a grinder, who despite some pretty good minor league numbers, has never really been thought of as a full-time starting pitcher on a high level team. But Phelps delivered some impressive starts for the Yankees and he's just one of the reasons this team has done as well as it has to date.

Unfortunately for Phelps, reality appears to have set in and hitters are starting to knock him around. He's not facing a great offense tonight, at least against righties, but I can see the Indians putting together some hits and runs tonight for as long as Phelps is around.

Scott Kazmir will throw for the Tribe this evening, and while the veteran lefty is hardly a stalwart starter, he's probably giving the Indians more than expected. Kazmir has a decent chance to succeed tonight against a Yankees lineup that has not hit lefties very well, especially at home.

This is one of those games that has coin flip written all over it. The pitching metrics for the two starters are very close. The same can be said for the offenses. Yet the line on this game is nowhere close to pick 'em. That means we're looking at substantial value with the underdog with this game being priced where it is, and I'll therefore tab the Indians as the way to play tonight.

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SC Live Dogs

Baltimore -1.5

Why we like the Orioles RL on Tuesday at -110...the Astros have been playing their best ball of the season up to date where they have won their last 6 of 8 games going into Colorado and Los Angeles. A few of the reasons that we will fade them on Tuesday is because they will be making the trip from LA to Houston where they are 9-21 on the season as well as over their past seven games during their winning streak, they still only managed to score an average of 4.3 rpg which is right on par to where they have been all season long. The Orioles will be coming into Tuesdays game playing some good ball of their own winning their last 4 of 5 games against the Nationals and Tigers at home where they averaged 4.9 rpg over their last seven games. On the season, the Orioles are 5-2 when playing after a day off, which plays even better for them as they were able to have an extra day in Houston on Monday before the Astros even got there. The Orioles will be pitching Chris Tillman who comes into this game with a 4.26 era on the season but his numbers are a bit strange where he his predominately better on the road than he is at home. Tillman has a 3-0 road record to match his 2.59 road era where he has allowed just 2 HRs in 24 innings, compared to the 14 total HRs that he has allowed all season. Tillmans last two road starts came against the above average offenses of the Angels and Blue Jays where he allowed a total of 3 runs through 13 innings on 2 BBs and 10 Ks. The Astros will be pitching Lucas Harrell who comes into this game with a 5.37 era and unlike Tillman is predominately worse at home than he is on the road. Harrell has a 2-4 home record to match a 7.15 home era where he has allowed 44 hits on 6 HRs through 34 innings compared to the 8 HRs that he has allowed all season. Harrells last home start came on May 25th against the A's where he allowed 6 runs through 1 inning on 6 hits, 3 BBs and 1 K. The Orioles come in with the bullpen edge as they are well rested and have a 4.22 road era compared the Astros home bullpen era of 5.64. A trend to keep in mind is that the Orioles are 17-12 in road games while the Astros are 9-21 in home games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, June 4

BRETT ATKINS

This one is all about Michael Wacha, the right-handed rookie taking the mound for the Cardinals tonight. I felt bad for this kid last Thursday when the bullpen cost the kid a win in his Major League debut, despite him making a nice first impression.

Wacha retired the first 13 batters he faced while scattering a mere two hits over seven innings, and did not issue one walk. Tonight he is going to be looking to get things done himself - whether or not he can go the distance remains to be seen - but once he leaves the game, the bullpen won't be inclined to allow the Snakes back in the game.

Meanwhile, the run should be aplenty, as Arizona is recalling Tyler Skaggs from Triple-A Reno to start. He started Game 1 of last Monday's doubleheader, and yes, he held the Rangers to three hits over six shutout innings. But then the southpaw was sent back to Northern Nevada. That has to play mind games with this kid.

Take the Cardinals, who will roll to the easy win.

2* ST. LOUIS -1.5

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, June 4

JEFF BENTON

Tuesday freebie is the Rangers over the Red Sox.

Division leaders clash in the first of three tonight at Fenway Park, and with the Rangers track record against the Red Sox, have to side with Texas as the small road underdog tonight.

Texas has already swept a three game set off Boston this season, as they have run their series winning streak to five in a row, and eight of the last ten overall versus the BoSox.

Rangers rookie Justin Grimm is riding a personal three game winning streak that has seen him limit the opposition to 7 runs his last 19 innings of work.

Boston will go with Ryan Dempster who did some time in a Texas uniform last season. Dempster has struggled this year for Boston with a 2-6 record, and an over 4 ERA. Of late he has allowed 17 earned runs to score in his last 19-plus innings worked.

With Texas showing some nice series domination over Boston, I say side with the small road pup in this one.

Texas the call.

4♦ TEXAS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, June 4

BRAD WILTON

Tuesday comp play winner is the Under in Pittsburgh-Atlanta.

Prior to last night's Over, the Pirates and the Braves had combined to hold Under the total in 3 in a row and 6 of their previous 7 series meetings.

Look for the Under trends to resume tonight with Jeff Locke and Mike Minor on the mound.

Locke comes into this start with a 5-1 season record, and an ERA of 2.25. Over his last 19-plus innings of work, he has not allowed an earned run to cross the plate.

His counterpart Mike Minor is 7-2 with a 2.48 ERA for the year, and he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 starts.

Each of Locke's last 3 starts have ended up Under the total, while 2 of Minor's last 3 have ended up on the low side of things.

Pittsburgh has only been able to score 8 runs in this last 5 games, and 5 of those runs came on Sunday afternoon in their series-finale win over Cincinnati.

Low scoring affair tonight at the Ted.

Pirates-Braves Under the total.

3♦ PITTSBURGH-ATLANTA UNDER

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