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NBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, June 1

NBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, June 1

MIAMI (77 - 19) at INDIANA (59 - 39) - 6/1/2013, 8:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 53-45 ATS (+3.5 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 54-42 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 92-77 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 11-10 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 13-8 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Miami is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami at Indiana
Miami: 32-16 ATS off a home game
Indiana: 19-8 Over playing with same-season revenge

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, June 1

Heat at Pacers: What Bettors Need to Know

Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (2.5, 182)

Heat lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

LeBron James has not gotten much help from the rest of the “Big Three,” but he hasn’t really needed it. James and the Miami Heat will be looking to close out the Eastern Conference finals when they visit the Indiana Pacers for Game 6 on Saturday. James went for 30 points in Game 5 and took over in the second half after the Heat had fallen behind. Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh combined for 17 points on 6-of-15 shooting.

James outscored the Pacers 16-13 in the third quarter and added eight rebounds and six assists. “That’s LeBron showing his greatness and making it look easy,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said. “…His engine in the third quarter was incredible. He was tireless, he was making plays on both ends of the court, rebounding, covering so much ground defensively and then making virtually every play for us offensively. It’s really remarkable.” Paul George had 27 points and 11 rebounds for Indiana but could not drag the team back by himself in the fourth quarter after James had given the Heat a double-digit advantage.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami is one win away from a third straight trip to the NBA Finals and has not dropped back-to-back games since January. The Heat were able to correct huge deficiencies on the glass and in points in the paint in Game 5, and will need to avoid falling into a hole in those areas again when the series shifts back to Indiana for Game 5. Udonis Haslem had his second strong supporting performance of the series with 16 points on 8-of-9 shooting in Game 5 and Chris Andersen continued to provide the Heat with some toughness on the interior, though his shove to Pacers forward Tyler Hnasbrough’s chest is sure to draw some scrutiny from the league. But James was head-and-shoulders above the rest and seemed to control every aspect of the game during the decisive runs. “That’s what I came here for,” James said, “to be able to compete for a championship each and every year. I’m one step away from doing it again.”

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana counts on its size advantage on the frontline to lead the way, as it has in each of the Pacers’ two victories in the series. While George, Roy Hibbert and David West combined for 66 points, the rest of the lineup managed just 13 in the 90-79 setback. The starting backcourt of George Hill and Lance Stephenson was especially disappointing with a total of five points. Stephenson picked up two quick fouls on James in the first quarter and was in trouble the rest of the night, preventing him from crashing the paint and doing some damage on the glass. George was the only Indiana player to knock down a 3-pointer, and the starting five combined for 14 turnovers. “(The Heat are) one of the best teams that this league has ever seen and we’re enjoying competing against them,” Pacers coach Frank Vogel said after Game 5. “We know we can beat them, but we’ve got to play better than we did tonight.”


* Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss.
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 14-2 in Pacers’ last 16 games following a loss.
* Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win.


1. Andersen remains perfect from the field at 15-for-15 in the series. He has not missed a shot since Game 4 of the semifinals at Chicago but will be suspended for Game 6 for his shove of Indiana's Tyler Hansbrough in Game 5 on Thursday night.

2. Stephenson is 10-for-39 in the series outside of Game 4, when he went for 20 points on  9-of-15 shooting.

3. Wade has failed to reach 20 points in 12 straight games.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Saturday, June 1

Heat at Pacers, Game 6
By Brian Edwards

For the first time in these playoffs, Indiana (59-39 straight up, 53-45 against the spread) will face elimination when it hosts Miami on Saturday night in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference finals.

Most betting shops have installed Miami (77-19 SU, 54-42 ATS) as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 182. Gamblers can take the Pacers to win outright for a +120 return (risk $100 to win $120).

For first-half wagers, the Heat is favored by one with a total of 90.5.
For the first 24 minutes of Thursday’s crucial Game 5, Indiana was in control. The Pacers were continuing to beat Miami on the boards and get scoring production from their ‘bigs,’ who have had their way in the lane for most of the series.

In a guest appearance on sports radio in Louisville earlier Thursday, I explained that Miami’s only hope was for LeBron James to absolutely dominate. I further noted that the Pacers were the better team, but the Heat had the best player.

With Miami trailing by six in the opening minute of the third quarter, James took over and showed why he’s the best player in the world today. Following a pair of free throws from Dwyane Wade, James scored on a layup. After a bucket by Udonis Haslem, James made a sweet dish to Haslem in transition for an easy dunk.

And just like that, the Heat were in the lead. Haslem would stay hot for the rest of the third quarter, while James added a dunk and a pair of jumpers. Miami was up 70-57 going into the final stanza.

When Indiana momentarily sliced the deficit to eight at 72-64 with 9:46 remaining, Miami responded with a 9-2 run that included a trey from Ray Allen. The Heat wouldn’t let the Pacers get closer than 11 the rest of the way in a 90-79 win as a 7.5-point home favorite.

The 169 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 185-point total. The ‘over’ had previously hit in every game of the series and nine of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

James finished with 30 points, eight rebounds, six assists, two steals and one blocked shot. He was efficient as usual, making 13-of-26 shots from the field. Haslem erupted for 16 points on 8-of-9 shooting from the floor. Mario Chalmers added 12 points and six assists, while Wade tallied 10 points, six boards and four dimes.

Paul George had another stellar performance for the Pacers, producing 27 points, 11 rebounds and five assists while draining 11-of-19 attempts from the field. Roy Hibbert had 22 points, six rebounds and a pair of blocked shots, while David West finished with 17 points and eight boards.

These teams have met at Indiana four times this year. The Pacers are 3-1 both SU and ATS in those four encounters, with last Sunday’s 114-96 loss in Game 3 serving as the lone defeat.

Chris Bosh’s disappearing act in the series continued in Thursday’s Game 5. Although Bosh did collect a series-high five rebounds, he scored only seven points. He is averaging just 3.6 rebounds per game in the East finals.

The ‘over’ is 49-44-3 overall for the Heat, 25-21-1 in its road assignments. Meanwhile, the Pacers have watched their totals produce an overall wash (48-48-2). However, they have seen the ‘over’ go 5-1 in their last six games. The ‘over’ is 26-22-1 in Indiana’s home games this season.

Bettors should keep an eye on the news over the next 24 hours because there is a possibility that Miami Chris ‘Birdman’ Andersen could be facing a suspension. He went after Tyler Hansbrough in Game 5, shoving him from the blind side when he mistakenly thought ‘Psycho T’ had given him a bump moments earlier.

The updated series price at is Miami -950, Indiana +675 (risk $100 to win $675). The website's updated future odds have the Heat as the -240 'chalk,' while the Spurs and Pacers have +180 and 20/1 odds, respectively.

Sportsbook also has proposition bets galore for Saturday's Game 6 in Indianapolis. For instance, gamblers can wager on the player to score the first points of the game. James is the +350 'chalk,' with the next-shortest odds belonging to Hibbert (6/1), George (6/1), West (7/1) and Wade (7/1).

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

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