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PGA Memorial Tournament Betting News and Notes

PGA Memorial Tournament Betting News and Notes

Alf Musketa

Matt Kuchar vs. Adam Scott
Play: Matt Kuchar

This event is known as Jack's tournament. The Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide Insurance is held at Muirfield Village Golf Club, in Dubln, Ohio. It is owned and designed by the great Jack Nicklaus and also this year Muirfield will host the 2013 President's Cup. The par 72 layout will measure at peak 7,352 yards. It has large wide fairways and super-fast lightning greens that will run 12.5-13 on the stimpmeter.
Matt Kuchar should have won the Crowne Plaza Invitational this past week. He had a one shot lead going into the final round. He played solid golf down the stretch but Boo Weekley hit every fairway and green and basically put on a ball striking clinic to win the tournament. Matt's second place finish was his fifth Top 10 of the season. At the Memorial, Kuchar was T2 last year, T8 in 2011, T5 in '10 and T10 in '09. To say he has been knocking on the door to win this event is an understatement.
Adam Scott is the Masters champion. And with that honor comes much pressure and time consuming commitments. Scott has played in just one event since then, The Players Championship where he finished T19. He has taken another two weeks off and will play this week and not play again until the U.S. Open. Obviously Scott's motivation is now the majors. His history here at Memorial has not been good lately. He had a T46 finish last year, did not play in 2011, T33 in 2010 and he missed the cut in 2009.
Kuchar has a scoring average of 70.54 in this event. Scott has a scoring average of 71.92 and much worse in his last three attempts. With almost a stroke and a half advantage per round plus Kuchar has played in the last three events on the PGA Tour in a row, we'll side with the better current form player and better recent history on our side in this matchup. The line on this contest should be Kuchar -125 in my opinion.

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Re: PGA Memorial Tournament Betting News and Notes

PGA Tour Odds and Picks
By: Rick Herron

LAS VEGAS -- Last week, Boo Weekley shot a final-round 66 to beat Matt Kuchar by one shot and win the Crowne Plaza Invitational. Weekley missed a four-foot putt for birdie on 14 on Sunday (and another one on 17) but still managed to get his first win in five years.

While he has never been known as a great putter, sometimes his ball striking is so good that he can overcome his jitters on the greens.

This week, we move on to the Memorial Tournament at the house that Jack built.

Building Muirfield Village was a dream for Jack Nicklaus. The course was dedicated on Memorial Day, May 27, 1974, with an exhibition match between Nicklaus and Tom Weiskopf. Nicklaus shot a 66 that day, which stood as the course record until 1979.

While the first Memorial Tournament was played in 1976, this venue has been host to the 1987 Ryder Cup, the 1992 U.S. Amateur and the 1998 Solheim Cup. The Presidents Cup will be held here this September.

The golf course will play about the same as last year when Tiger Woods won his fifth Memorial, but the clubhouse has been completely renovated since last summer, bringing it up to date and keeping Muirfield Village at the top of the list of golf resorts.

Woods is the favorite this week and does have three other top fives here, but we can’t use him at odds of 9-to-4 or +225. That is just too short a price even with the year he has had.

So we are going to look elsewhere for the winner, and we have a group of guys at very nice prices we think have a good shot.

MATT KUCHAR (20-1) It’s hard to argue with the year Kuchar has had. He won the WGC-Match Play, finished second last week at 13-under par and has three other top 10s this season while earning over $3 million dollars. Not bad for the end of May. He is a threat every week.

JUSTIN ROSE (25-1) Rose just likes this golf course. He was the winner here in 2010 and has been in the top 15 on this layout four other times, including a tie for eighth last year. On the year, he has played in seven PGA Tour events and has two top fives. He will be in the hunt on Sunday.

KEEGAN BRADLEY (30-1) Bradley took the week off last week after finishing second at the Byron Nelson. He does not have a win this season, but it’s still been a good year as he is ninth in FedExCup points. He is also a golf historian and would like nothing more than to get a win in front of Jack.

GRAHAM DeLAET (80-1) He finished tied for 22nd at Colonial and has been in the top 25 seven times this year with three top 10s. He is long off the tee, ranking sixth in driving distance and second in greens in regulation. He has proven he belongs, and this could be the week he breaks out at 80-to-1.

Our matchup play of the week is Keegan Bradley (+105) over Brandt Snedeker. Snedeker has not played as well since he sustaining an injury early in the year.

This is a huge tournament with a great field on a fantastic golf course, and it’s always a fun one to watch.

Next week, it’s the FedEx St. Jude Classic in Memphis, and then we move on to the U.S. Open at Merion in Ardmore, Pa.

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Re: PGA Memorial Tournament Betting News and Notes

The Memorial Tournament: Golf Betting Preview and Picks
By Matt Fargo

The PGA Tour heads north to Dublin, Ohio and Muirfield Village Golf Club for the Memorial Tournament.

This is the final tuneup for most prior to the U.S. Open in two weeks as a majority of players will be taking next week off. This is the “Course that Jack Built” and Nicklaus has been the host of this event since 1976. Even though his tournament has not gotten as big as he had always hoped, there is usual a very strong field.

Seven of the OWGR Top 10, 23 of 30 and 35 of the Top 50 are in play this week as well as nine of the Top 10 in the FedEx Cup Standings. Tigers Woods (+240) is the huge favorite to defend his title. He has won here five times and has already won four times on tour this year, including his last start at THE PLAYERS Championship.

Justin Rose (+2,500) is having a great season even though he has yet to win. He has three Top 10s including two Top 5s and, while he’s coming off his first missed cut of the season at THE PLAYERS Championship, he has had ample time to rest. He won this event in 2010 by three shots over Rickie Fowler, thanks to a Sunday 66 and followed that up with a solo eighth last year.

Luke Donald (+3,000) missed the cut at the BMW PGA Championship last week but that could work in his favor. He has been out of the Top 25 only once on American soil this year and has done well at Muirfield, finishing 12th in 2012, T7 in 2011, T14 in 2009 and T6 in 2008 - his last four starts there. His last big win in the U.S. was the Accenture Match Play in 2011 so he’s due.

Jason Day (+4,000) is having a solid season as he has yet to miss a cut and has four Top-10 finishes, including a solo third at the Masters. Playing against marquee competition does not faze him. He took the week off after the Nelson and, while his best finish here is a T27, times have changed, He now lives in the area and he is a member at Muirfield, so his course knowledge has only gotten better.

Because of all the big names in the field, Rickie Fowler (+5,000) is getting excellent odds that would make for a huge payday. Admittedly, he’s off his game but it’s interesting to note that when he won the Wells Fargo last year, we wasn’t playing particularly that great either. That was the third of three straight Top 5s before a T52 at the Memorial. But prior to that, he finished T22 and solo second.

For the long-shot pick, we will go with Matt Every (+10,000). He’s been all over the map this year but he has two things going for him: After a missed cut at the Byron Nelson, he logged a season best T4 at Colonial last week, so his recent form is half of the strategy for a long-shot pick. The other thing we like about Every is course success. He finished T6 in his first start at Muirfield last year.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the Memorial Tournament (all for one unit)

Justin Rose (+2,500)
Luke Donald (+3,000)
Jason Day (+4,000)
Rickie Fowler (+5,000)
Matt Every (+10,000)

2012 Record to date after 36 events: +51.6 Units
2013 Record to date after 20 events: -4.4 Units

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