Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 28

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 28

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Miami at Indiana
The Heat look to follow up their 114-96 win in Game 3 and take advantage of an Indiana team that is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games following a double-digit home loss. Miami is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2)

Game 515-516: Miami at Indiana (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.726; Indiana 122.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2); Under

NHL

San Jose at Los Angeles
The Kings look to close out the series and build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 home games versus the Sharks. Los Angeles is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150)

Game 67-68: San Jose at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.941; Los Angeles 11.807
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 3
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

NY Yankees at NY Mets
The Yankees look to build on their 6-1 record in Hiroki Kuroda's last 7 starts as a road underdog. The Yankees are the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120)

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 15.087; Toronto (Morrow) 16.259
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Over

Game 953-954: Colorado at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.928; Houston (Lyles) 13.778
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gomez) 15.169; Detroit (Porcello) 16.593
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under

Game 957-958: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.240; Washington (Karns) 15.075
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: NY Yankees at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.455; NY Mets (Harvey) 14.618
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 961-962: Cleveland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.026; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.733
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-155); Under

Game 963-964: Philadelphia at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.009; Boston (Dempster) 14.398
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over

Game 965-966: Miami at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Slowey) 13.236; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.016
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Under

Game 967-968: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lyons) 14.176; Kansas City (Santana) 14.750
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.090; Milwaukee (Figaro) 13.269
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Over

Game 971-972: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 15.716; White Sox (Sale) 13.923
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Over

Game 973-974: San Francisco at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Kickham) 15.191; Oakland (Parker) 16.556
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under

Game 975-976: San Diego at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 14.402; Seattle (Maurer) 15.895
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

Game 977-978: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Blanton) 16.344; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.310
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles DodgersVlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Los Angeles AngelsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Angels send Joe Blanton to the mound against the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium Tuesday evening in this cross-town Interleague rivalry matchup in the City of Angels, the Halos will do so knowing Blanton is in strong KW form with 20 strikeouts and 3 walks in his last four starts. He is also 6-2 in his career team starts against the Dodgers. With the Angels 10-3 their last 13 games in this park, look for more of the same this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on the Angels.

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Jim Feist

Minnesota vs. Milwaukee
Play: Over 9

Reason: Milwaukee is a great hitter's park and a pair of young pitchers square off. The over is 13-3 in the Twins last 16 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Minnesota goes with lefty Scott Diamond (3-4, 4.96 ERA) who is 0-2 with an 8.62 ERA his last three starts. Diamond hasn't had a quality start in any of his last three games. He faces as a Milwaukee offense that is 12th in batting average and 13th in slugging. The over is 10-4 in the Brewers last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter. And the over is 7-1-2 in the Brewers last 10 interleague home games. Play the Twins/Brewers over the total.

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Art Aronson

Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox    
Play: Chicago White Sox -1½

Edwin Jackson (1-7, 6.11 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Jackson gave up four runs off six hits over three innings, lucky to have his start cut short due to rain vs. the Pirates on Thursday. Jackson draws a tough matchup in Chris Sale (5-2, 2.53 ERA) who missed his last start due to a tender shoulder (he did however make it though a bullpen session on Sunday without any issues). The southpaw has been particularly sharp of late, going 4-0 with a minuscule 1.18 ERA while holding opponents to a 1.53 average of his last five starts (Sale has struck out 38 batters over 38 frames of work in that span). While both clubs have struggled at the plate this season, for this particular selection I'm concentrating solely on the starting pitching. I believe the clear talent discrepancy on the mound demands us to take a second look at the White Sox on the "run line" in this matchup.

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Jeffrey Brandes

Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays    
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1½

Pitchers:
MIAMI MARLINS: KEVIN SLOWEY (R) ERA: 3.30 W/L: 1-5
TAMPA BAY RAYS: JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) ERA: 5.37 W/L: 2-2

Miami's KEVIN SLOWEY is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with an 8.53 ERA during that span. Slowey was pulled after five innings during his last outing on Wednesday due to a strained lat muscle.

The Devil Rays JEREMY HELLICKSON had a quality start last out giving up 2 runs in 8 innings. He gave up just 4 hits but got a no decision for his efforts. Lifetime he's 15-12 at Tropicana Park and figures to add to the plus side of that today. The money line is -207 so we'll take the run line here at the most generous odds.

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Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees vs. New York MetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: New York YankeesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I think the Yankees have a decent chance to bounce back after losing the first game last night. The Yankees have a winning record on the road even with injuries to key players like Jeter, ARod and Texiera. Both starting pitchers (Kuroda for the Yankees and Harvey for the Mets) have ERA's in the 3.50 range in their last 3 starts and both teams are 7-3 when they start. I think we see a 3-2 type of game on Tuesday. Take the NYY for one unit as our free baseball pick.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1½FOR  FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We have some nice value on the run line here and home favorites in this range are 46-9 the last 10 seasons if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 10 or more runs, vs an opponent that scored 5 or more runs in a road dog loss if they were +140 or higher. The Rays are 12-3 at home after a home game where they scored 10 or more runs. Tampa is scoring 6 runs per game vs National League teams and score 5 runs per game at home. Miami has lost 6 straight and 15 of 20 vs winning teams. Miami gets in no ones way on the road scoring just over 2 runs per game. Tonight they have K. Slowey going and he has struggled of late with an 8.52 era in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts here he has allowed 9 runs in 12 innings. Tampa has Hellickson going and he has not been great this season, but they have won 3 of his 4 home starts. Look for Tampa to take another.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee BrewersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Minnesota TwinsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It has paid to fade Milwaukee in this month of May, as the Brew Crew has now lost 19 of its last 24 and has scored just 21 runs over its last 8 games after Monday's 6-3 loss to the Twins, who enjoyed facing a fellow straggler after a difficult scheduling stretch the preceding few weeks. Now Minnesota gets another crack at a fading Brewers team possibly minus star OF and former NL MVP Ryan Braun (thumb injury) and forced to give Alfredo Figaro, who couldn't notch a win in five decisions for Orix in the Japan League last season, his first starting pitching assignment if 2013. Admittedly, it's a bit of a tough sell at the moment on Twins starter Scott Diamond, who has struggled lately but interestingly has curiously pitched better on the road (3-0, 2.19 ERA) than home at Target Field. But noting Milwaukee's 4-17 record against portsiders like Diamond, it looks like it's advantage Minnesota once again. Play Twins on Money Line

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
Pick: San Diego PadresFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Padres got destroyed by the Mariners in the series opener. This one was over in a hurry, as Clayton Richard had a really bad first inning and from there it was all Aaron Harang, as the Seattle veteran hurler tossed his best game in years.
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The San Diego bats will have a good chance of warming up some tonight. Brandon Maurer just doesn't look ready for a regular spot in a big league rotation off what I've seen. The consistent command just isn't there for Maurer. He isn't getting hitters to swing at balls outside the strike zone, and he can't overpower batters in the strike zone.
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Edinson Volquez will be on the mound for the Padres tonight, so it's not like the road team is a sure thing to lock down the Mariners tonight. There isn't much positive to say about Volquez at this point. He's actually getting worse, as his velocity continues to drop along with his K rate. Combine that with the fact Volquez still walks way too many hitters, and the potential for damaging big innings is pretty scary.
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We should get a look at a pair of first-time 2013 starters tonight. Yasmani Grandal is finally back from his suspension for the Padres, and that's a significant boost for the San Diego offense. Meanwhile, I'm expecting Nick Franklin to be starting at 2B for the Mariners. Franklin might end up in a platoon at the outset with Carlos Triunfel. The Mariners finally decided it was time to option Dustin Ackley, who looms as a monster flop after being a #2 overall pick a few years ago.
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I don't see much to choose from on the mound tonight, as neither pitcher inspires even mild confidence. But the Padres getting Grandal back is a big plus offensively, and while neither of these teams will be a playoff contender, I have the Friars as the better team. That means there's a little value on the road side at this number, so I'll opt for the Padres as tonight's free play.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Twins won last night in the series opener in Milwaukee, handing the Brewers their third consecutive loss. Milwaukee will be in tough again at home tonight, as they turn to their bullpen to fill a spot in the rotation.
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Alfredo Figaro will make his first start of the season, he's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA over the last three seasons. The Twins will be getting their first look at Figaro, but an early exit seems probable, as the Brewers will likely lean on their bullpen tonight.
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Scott Diamond will be on the hill for the Twins, and he's winless in his last three starts. Diamond (3-4, 4.96 ERA) hasn't had much luck, having to face both the Tigers and Red Sox twice in his last five starts. He was able beat them both on the road, where he has better numbers this season. All three of his wins have come on the road, going 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA.
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Joe Maurer was 3-for-4 with a home run last night, and he's been having another excellent season for the Twins, batting .339. He will get a look at some of Milwaukee's lesser known pitcher's tonight, and he's likely to be a factor once again.
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The Twins come in with an experienced starting pitcher that has been very good on the road this year, while Milwaukee is pulling Figaro out of the bullpen, yet we are getting Minnesota as a dog. Well worth a shot on the Twins on the road tonight.

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Ray Monohan

Toronto Blue Jays -105

The Blue Jays stomped on the Braves last night at Rogers Centre and I like their chances to do so again on Tuesday night.

Starter Brandon Morrow has one of the best arms in the game and even though he struggles with consistency I would take him over Braves starter Paul Maholm everyday of the week and twice on Sunday.

Toronto also mashes at home and has the lineup to tear apart lefties with all of their righthanded power hitters like Jose Bautists and Edwin Encarnacion.

They seemed to have parlayed Sunday's emotional win against Baltimore into a mini run and it will continue tonight.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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KANSAS CITY -106 over St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1st 5 innings. The Royals have lost six in a row and nine of its past 10 games but they are often leading after five innings so that’s the way we’ll play this one. Ervin Santana is posting the best skills he has shown since 2008. Santana has struck out 52 batters while issuing just nine walks in 62 innings. His strikeout rate surge is supported by a 10.6% swinging strike rate and there is more to like about his profile. Santana has a 52% groundball rate over the past month, covering five starts and over that same span he has delivered a nifty 17% line-drive rate. At home, Santana’s ERA is at an elite 2.68 and many of these Cardinals hitters have never seen him before. This wager however, is more about fading a Cardinals rookie that was pressed into emergency status as a starter when Jaime Garcia was lost to a season-ending injury last week.
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Tyler Lyons threw a 7-inning, four-hit, one-run gem against the Padres in his major-league debut but one start does not make a career and his minor-league numbers and skills leave plenty to be desired. Lyons was originally drafted in 2009 by the Yankees in the 10th round, (315th overall) but they chose not to sign him. In 2010 he was again drafted in the 10th round (289th) by the Cardinals. Lyons comes at hitters with a three pitch mix, a fastball in the 87-90 mph range, a below average change up, and a plus curveball, his go-to pitch. Lyons has always showed plus control of his pitches while spotting them well. While he is not a strikeout pitcher, his curve has helped him in the lower levels but with only one plus offering it will be hard for him to translate that to this level. While he prevents hitters from reaching by way of the walk, the amount of hits he allows (9.4 h/9 career) has driven his WHIP to a below average 1.30. Lyons does not have the strongest of arsenals and his career 4.30 ERA in the minors will attest to that. In eight starts for Memphis (AAA) this season, Lyons was tagged for 56 hits and 23 earned runs in 46 innings for an ERA of 4.47. Lyons is not and may never be major-league ready and these Royals are more than capable of putting up a crooked number against him. 
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MILWAUKEE -1 +122 over MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There’s a reason the Twins recently lost 10 games in a row and have the second worst record in the AL thanks to the Astros move to the junior circuit. Minnesota’s starter’s maybe the worst group of starters in the history of this league. Each pitcher that takes the hill is worse than the last guy and Scott Diamond is no different. Diamond has put together a few good games this year (4 quality starts in 8 attempts) but that was at the start of the year when hitter’s weren’t too familiar with him. These major league batters study pitchers like a law student studies their bar exam and now the league has caught up to this imposter. Diamond has thrown three disaster starts in a row in which he’s been tagged for 26 hits and 15 runs over his past 15.2 innings. In 45 frames overall, he has struck out just 21 batters. He’s only walked 10 batters and yet he still can’t get batters out. Diamond’s poor control in previous seasons allowed hitters to wait on pitches to hit so any control regression will wreak more havoc on his ERA. Diamond's skill set lends itself to polarizing results in that either he maintains control and gets lucky or a few more balls find holes (or the fences) and he's back in the minors by June. If Scott Diamond were on any other team, he would be a mop-up man because he has horrible skills and when he does well, it’s pure luck.
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The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-9 at home against southpaws and they have the major’s worst mark against left-handed starters with a W/L record of 4-17. That’s actually an incredible stat when you consider that the Brewers hit lefties (.262) better than righties (.255). It strongly suggests that a correction in their record against lefties is forthcoming. Alfredo Figaro is another long reliever who has flashed rotation-worthy skills with 21 K’s and just six walks in 26 frames in relief this year. Figaro also has a rock-solid 51% groundball rate. He has an elite 95.1 mph average fastball velocity. Figaro was one of Detroit's top 10 prospects several seasons ago but several injuries sidetracked him and he spent the previous two seasons in Japan. Figaro has paid his dues and if he can maintain his ground ball tilt, he could stick in a starting role because there are opportunities waiting in the Milwaukee rotation. Figaro may not shine here but we’re not counting on him to, as this one is all about fading Scott Diamond.

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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit TigersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Pittsburgh PiratesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After taking two of three in Milwaukee, the Pirates dropped their series opener in Detroit on Monday but they are in good position to get it back tonight. Pittsburgh is an impressive 31-20 on the season and while it has been awesome at home, its 13-11 road record is still very respectable. Both road losses on this trip have been by just one run and the Pirates look to continue winning behind Jeanmar Gomez. They are a perfect 5-0 in his five starts and while he has not tossed a single quality outing, he has pitched good enough to keep the offense alive. Overall he has a 2.75 ERA in those five starts along with five relief appearances. He has struggled against Detroit throughout his career when with the Indians but a new team means new opportunities. The Tigers have won six of their last seven and coupled with the Indians recent slide, they have built a 2.5-game lead in the American League Central. They have been cruising at home but the pitching situation puts them at a disadvantage here. Rick Porcello is coming off a poor start against the Twins but the offense bailed him out with seven runs to back him up. Overall he has a 6.28 ERA through eight starts and while he is 1-0 at home, the Tigers are 2-5 in his last seven starts against teams with a winning record.

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Steve MerrilFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee BrewersSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Minnesota TwinsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Brewers limp to the finish of a 2-game home series with the Twins on Tuesday night. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, and Corey Hart are all banged up. It showed on Monday when they managed only 3 runs against Kevin Correia whose ERA was near 7.00 on the road. Scott Diamond is 3-4 in eight starts for Minnesota, but he has not lost in four road starts this season while sporting a 2.19 ERA in those games. Diamond beat the Brewers in Milwaukee last year after giving up 3 runs and eight hits. He'll face a Milwaukee team that is hitting right around .235 in their last eight games and they are just 4-17 versus left-handed starters. Minnesota's bullpen has an ERA under 3.00 on the road. Alfredo Figaro is making his first start of the season. The righty has recorded no- decisions with a 3.46 ERA in 15 appearances. Figaro is starting in place of Hiram Burgos and he will be able to only go five or six innings at most. The Brewers’ bullpen has a losing record and eight blown saves with half of those coming at home. Minnesota’s offense perked up a bit after a rough end to their series in Detroit. This is a unit that has been able to hit average pitching, and Figaro is the perfect opponent for them. We’ll recommend playing the Twins in this game on Tuesday night.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. Tampa BayFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Tampa Bay -1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After winning with the Rays yesterday, I'm recommending a play on the run line (-1.5) here as they should sweep the hapless Marlins with little difficulty.  You have to figure that Miami's historically bad offense producing six runs is about a once a week occurrence at best, so they fact they still lost yesterday doesn't bode well for them tonight.....
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I went into greater detail about just how bad Miami's offense has been this season in yesterday's analysis. Just to rehash the key points, they are on pace to be the 1st team in over 40 seasons to average less than three full runs per game.  Going into yesterday, they had been averaging 1.9 runs over an 18-game span while barely batting over .200 as team.  They rank last in just about every offensive category in all of baseball.  At 13-39 overall for the season, they are off to the worst start of any team in eight seasons and the worst start of any National League team since the '87 Padres.
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The fact Kevin Slowey and his 8.52 ERA L3 starts toes the rubber tonight doesn't help the Marlins either with that odeous offense. Tampa Bay is now 6-1 in Interleague play this year, averaging 6.6 runs per game. They have scored a total of 18 runs the last two games, which is more than Miami has scored in its last six games combined. Rays roll here, winning by multiple runs.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chi. Cubs vs. Chi. White SoxFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Chi. White SoxFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I'm taking the White Sox over the Cubs Tuesday night as I look for Chris Sale to do to the Cubs what Jeff Samardzija did to them on Memorial Day; that being shut them over nine innings while allowing only two hits for the game.  Unlike yesterday, the Cubs do not have the kind of starter that can lead them to victory here, especially going up against Sale.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  Sale - The White Sox ace is working on a 23-inning scoreless streak, and hasn't allowed in a run in either of his last two starts. Both were 3-0 wins over the Angels and after tossing a complete game, one-hitter on May 12th here at home, he went 7 2/3 innings five days later, giving up only three hits.  The Cubs are not a potent lineup, especially against left-handers as they average just 2.6 rpg.  Sale has not lost at home all season, going 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA in four starts.
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2. Edwin Jackson - The Cubs counter with Jackson, who is having the opposite type season of Sale with a 6.11 ERA in 10 starts, going 1-7 (2-8 TSR). He is 1-4 with a 6.60 career ERA vs. the White Sox, a team he also used to pitch for.  Jackson is coming off his shortest outing of the year so far, lasting only three innings while allowing four runs.
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3. X-Factor - Even with yesterday's victory, the Cubs are just 29-69 as a road underdog since the start of last season.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 28

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta Braves +100FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We are getting a lot of value on the Braves today due to a few injuries in the bullpen. That should be a non-issue today when the Blue Jays sent Brandon Morrow to the mound. Morrow has a 5.50 ERA and a 2-3 record in his 9 starts this season. He has given up 11 home runs in 9 games and that is big trouble considering Atlanta is one of the best teams in the league when it comes to hitting the long ball.
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The Braves will have a consistently solid Paul Maholm get the start today. Maholm has a 3.52 ERA this season with a 1.223 WHIP. He has the luxury of getting run support from a Braves team batting .261 over their past 7 games and averaging 5.1 runs per game in that span. The Braves have won 8 of their last 10 games and while Toronto has won four of their last 6, the Jays are 14-27 over the last two seasons after hitting a mini-streak like this. They don’t have the talent or depth to go on a long winning streak and it will show today as the Braves pick up a win in a blowout.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 28

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta at TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Toronto -115FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Toronto Blue Jays were supposed to contend in the rugged AL East, but they started the season in a team offensive slump. It got so bad, that in late April the lineup had not a single hitter over the .250 mark. That has changed, and so has the win column, as the Jays are 9-5 over their last 14 games, producing 90 runs in the process, or 6.43 per contest. The Braves came out smoking at 12-1, but have since been a less than .500 team. That is despite the fact they have had an eight game winning streak in the stretch. That leaves Atlanta just 10-19 in their other 29 games outside the hot start and eight game win streak. The Braves have lost six straight interleague road games, while the Jays are on a 6-0 run in interleague home games. Take Toronto.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 28

MLB Predictions

Minnesota Twins +111

The Twins took yesterday's meeting with Milwaukee 6-3. That moves Minnesota to 20-28 on the season (11-15 on the road) and drops Milwaukee down to 19-30 on the year (12-16 at home). The Brewers are just 7-20 in their last 27 games overall. The Twins will have their southpaw Scott Diamond on the mound for tonight's game. He has had his struggles lately against some of the best lineups in the American League (Baltimore, Boston, and Detroit) which has brought his stats to 3-4 with a 4.96 ERA, .302 OBA and 1.48 WHIP. He is a solid 3-0 on the road with a 2.19 ERA, .227 OBA and 0.97 WHIP though, and that has included some good hitting teams as well (Detroit twice, Boston, and the White Sox). Milwaukee will use a reliever in a spot start here tonight. Alfredo Figaro will get the start and he is 0-0 with a 3.46 ERA through 15 relief appearances. Figaro has been a starter in Japan for the past few years, but before that in 2010 over 23 starts in Triple-A he went 10-6 with a 4.14 ERA. Take note that the Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning % below .400 and they are 5-2 in Diamond's last 7 road starts. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games, 1-6 in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record, and just 1-10 in their last 11 games as a favorite. It also doesn't help Milwaukee that Ryan Bruan may be sitting out again tonight with an injured thumb. Given the pitching match up and the struggles Milwaukee are going through right now I like the underdog price we are getting on Minnesota.

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