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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26

Sunday Night Baseball: Braves at Mets
By Steve Merril

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-123, 8)


Shaun Marcum has not been what the Mets have hoped for so far. He is 0-5 with a 6.59 ERA in six starts for New York. The righty has allowed two runs or less just once this season, and that came in Miami when he only went an inning and two thirds. It doesn't matter whether he pitches at home (13 ER allowed in three starts) or on the road (8 ER allowed in three starts). Marcum picked up a no-decision against Atlanta back on May 3 after giving up three runs and six hits in just over four innings. The one good positive is that Marcum has had good control walking one batter or less in four of his six starts.


Julio Teheran is 3-1 with a 3.99 ERA for the Braves. He's coming off a win over the Twins on Monday after throwing a career-high 123 pitches. He has walked just two batters over his last five starts. The Braves’ hurler hasn't faced the Mets since 2011 when he saw them twice in a row over an eight-day span. The righty allowed five runs and nine hits in eight total innings pitched against New York. Teheran hasn't been fazed away from home lately, allowing just six total runs in Arizona, San Francisco, and Colorado.


The Mets’ injury list is considerably shorter than the Braves' list and only features injuries to New York's pitching staff. First and foremost, the Mets don't have Johan Santana who is out with a shoulder injury and will not be available this season. Frank Francisco and Scott Atchison are dealing with elbow ailments as well. The Braves’ bullpen is also banged up as they lost Jonny Venters and Eric O'Flaherty to Tommy John surgery with those injuries coming within a week of each other. Jordan Walden, Brandon Beachy, and Luis Ayala are also out.


*Braves are 10-3 in their last 13 Sunday games
*Braves are 7-1 in Teheran's last eight starts
*The under is 11-2 in the Mets’ last 13 Sunday games.
*Mets are 1-4 in Marcum’s last five starts


B.J. Upton 8-for-23 vs. Marcum
Dan Uggla 1-for-10 vs. Marcum

Ruben Tejada 0-for-4 vs. Teheran
Lucas Duda 1-for-4 vs. Teheran

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

The Yankees taking the first two in this series count on C.C. Sabathia (4-3, 3.43 ERA) as they go for a rare sweep at the Trop. Tough spot, the New York lefty has not faired well in Tampa sporting a 4-11 team start record with both Yankees/Cleveland and has a dreadful 1-8 TSR at Tropicana Field with New York. Rays, home-field dominance over Yankees taking a hit this weekend but still 14-5 last 19 hosting New York counter with Alex Cobb (5-2, 273 ERA). Rays with Cobb have an excellent shot at avoiding the sweep. The hurler undefeated in four trips to the mound is off back-2-back quality starts allowing 2 runs over 12 2/3 innings of work. Consider Rays knowing Cobb is 3-0 w/ 1.85 ERA in five home starts (4-1 TSR) including a win over Yankees. Adding fuel, Rays are 8-1 as a favorite w/Cobb and a solid 13-5 at home facing a left-handed starter.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

The Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals have met 2,137 times throughout each of their storied histories with St. Louis holding a slight 1,076-1,043 advantage.

Sunday's game is small in scope given that history, but we have one of the better pitching matchups between the two teams. Shelby Miller vs. Clayton Kershaw might not ever reach the level of Bob Gibson vs. Sandy Koufax, but it's definitely up there with John Tudor vs. Orel Hershiser.

Miller (5-3, 1.74 ERA) and Kershaw (5-2, 1.35 ERA) enter today's contest as two of only six starting pitchers in baseball with an ERA less than 2.00, with Kershaw's 1.35 ERA leading the way. We've had a few hyped pitching duels this season, but since this is late May, given the credentials each pitcher has, it wouldn't be a bold statement to say this is the best pitching matchup of the young season.

The Cardinals are 6-3 behind Miller this season, and in the three combined losses, St. Louis provided only two runs of support. Miller has allowed only 11 earned runs all season.

Before their last starts, Miller and Kershaw were tied for the best ERA in baseball, but Miller gave up three runs at San Diego in a 4-2 loss. Miller had allowed only one run in his previous three starts.

Kershaw is putting up even more dominant numbers. He's allowed just three earned runs over his last five starts (39.2 innings). Still, the Dodgers have compiled a pedestrian 6-4 record behind Kershaw, but he'll be going for a season-best third straight win today.

The one thing bettors have relied on more than anything else with Kershaw is his games will stay UNDER the posted total. Eight of his 10 starts have stayed UNDER, including his last five. The combined score over his last five games has been 10-6, a tally so low bettors feel they should get some kind of bonus for staying well below the number.

Miller's success staying UNDER the total has been almost as good. The Cardinals have stayed UNDER in seven of his nine starts, including his past four.

Miller's UNDER success is graded even higher than Kershaw's when considering the Cardinals (31-17) can actually score some runs and hit the ball consistently, which is why they are in first-place of the NL Central and the Dodgers (20-27) are last in the NL West. Only the Marlins have scored fewer runs than the Dodgers (161).

When breaking down the matchup, we thought the total in the game should have been 6 UNDER -130, and when it came 6.5 flat, we immediately felt there was value. We also like Kershaw to get his third straight win, which would give the Dodgers their fourth series win in their last five on the season.

Mets' misery with Marcum to continue

Shaun Marcum, once considered one of the bright young pitchers in the game, can't seem to get anyone out -- at least when it counts. The Mets have lost five of his six starts this season and are on a five-game losing streak as they attempt to avoid a sweep against the red-hot Braves, winners of eight straight games. Julio Teheran comes off his best outing of the season against the Twins, and Atlanta has won in seven of his eight starts in 2013.

Sunday selections:

Dodgers (Kershaw) -140 vs. Cardinals

Dodgers/Cardinals UNDER 6.5 (-120)

Braves (Teheran) -127 at Mets Pirates (Rodriguez) +115 at Brewers

Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 10 (-110)

Indians/Red Sox OVER 10 (-105)

Angels (Williams) -120 at Royals

Season to date record: 95-82-1 (+1475)

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