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NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26
NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26
MIAMI (75 - 18) at INDIANA (58 - 37) - 5/26/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 52-43 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 52-41 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
INDIANA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 11-7 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI vs. INDIANA
Miami is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Miami
Indiana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Miami at Indiana
Miami: 9-1 ATS off 3+ Overs
Indiana: 3-11 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26
Heat at Pacers: What Bettors Need to Know
Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (1.5, 182.5)
Best-of-seven series tied 1-1.
The Indiana Pacers had to answer a lot of questions about Roy Hibbert’s time on the court after getting edged out in Game 1. Hibbert was on the court for all the key moments of Game 2, and as a result the Pacers will host the Miami Heat on Sunday with the series knotted at a game apiece. Indiana deployed its large frontline on both ends of the floor in Game 2 and got 29 points from Hibbert while David West made the key defensive plays.
LeBron James scored 36 points for the Heat but got sloppy at the end, leaving passes too close to the long arms of West on consecutive possessions in the final minute with Miami down a point. Those marked two of James’ five turnovers in the contest. “Very disappointed in my judgment and my plays down the stretch,” James said, “but I‘ll make up for them.” The Pacers came within a last-second layup of taking Game 1 in overtime and will carry plenty of confidence back into their own building, where they have gone 6-0 this postseason. “This whole team is showing great desire and heart and belief,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel said. “They believe they can win this series, and they’re giving it all their might.”
ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami was once again outrebounded by the Pacers, who were able to control the pace for most of the first two games by controlling the glass. Chris Bosh hit a pair of 3-pointers in Game 2 but had only five boards, giving him seven through the first two games. Heat coach Erik Spoelstra even resorted to bringing in seldom-used center Joel Anthony for a few minutes late in the second quarter just to get some size on the floor and give James a break from defending bigger players. Miami still held a four-point edge midway through the fourth quarter and had a pair of chances to tie or take the lead in the final minute before James turned it over. “The first one was a little careless on my part and David West got a hand on it,” James explained to reporters. “And then the second one I saw Ray (Allen) wide open once again and I was careless once again.”
ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana forward Paul George is becoming a bigger star with each passing game. George (22 points) was not the leading scorer in Game 2 but he again made James work on the defensive end and provided one of the highlight plays with a monster dunk near the end of the third quarter. James followed that with a buzzer-beating 3-pointer, and the two All-Stars shared a hand slap on their way back to the respective benches. But the Pacers have proven to be much more than one player, and Hibbert and West on the inside have taken turns bumping and bruising James and Bosh. George Hill hit four free throws in the final minute after missing three earlier in the game and Lance Stephenson once again displayed toughness on the boards and in guarding Dwyane Wade on the perimeter. “We haven’t done anything yet,” Hibbert said. “We won one game.”
* Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.
* Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Heat’s last six overall.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
1. Miami is shooting 30 percent from 3-point range in the series, with Ray Allen (1-for-6) and Shane Battier (0-for-6) struggling the most.
2. Stephenson’s 20 rebounds are the most for any player through the first two games.
3. Indiana reserve F Sam Young suffered a sprained left ankle in Game 2. He is day-to-day.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 26
Heat at Pacers, Game 3
By Kevin Rogers
Things are getting interesting in the Eastern Conference Finals after Miami sailed to an 8-1 record in the first two rounds of the playoffs. Following a buzzer-beating victory to steal Game 1, the Heat couldn't capitalize in a four-point defeat in Game 2 to send the series back to Indiana tied at 1-1. The Pacers were in this spot last postseason, but the confidence level has definitely changed this time around.
Indiana finished off Miami, 97-93 to even up the series at one game apiece on Friday night to cash as 7½-point road underdogs (+300 on money-line). Paul George continues to ascend towards superstar status for Indiana, scoring 22 points, while Roy Hibbert owned the paint with a 29-point, 10-rebound effort. The controversy surrounding the conclusion of Game 1 involved Hibbert being taken out of the game on the final possession, resulting in an easy lay-up by LeBron James. In Game 2, Hibbert clogged the lane on both sides, while knocking down 10-of-15 shots from the field.
The Heat had plenty of problems shooting the ball in Game 2, hitting 46% of their shots, as Miami didn't help itself from the line with eight missed free throws. Past Chris Andersen's 7-of-7 showcase in Game 1, the Miami bench did very little to assist James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh. In Game 2, Miami's reserves put up 19 points on a dreadful 6-of-17 shooting from the floor. Past James' 36 points, Wade and Bosh combined to score 31 points, but Miami needs more contributions moving forward to avoid a potential upset at the hands of Indiana.
The 'over' cashed in each of the first two games, in spite of the extra five minutes played in the series opener. The late desperation three-point heave by George in the final seconds of Game 1 pushed an almost no-doubt 'under' into an 'over' victory, capping off a 105-point second half. In Game 2, the two squads combined for 100 points in the opening half, needing just 83 points in the second half to cash 'over' tickets. A 50-point third quarter solidified the 'over,' while the Heat scored just five points in the final six minutes of regulation.
Miami has now cashed the 'over' in five of the last six playoff games, but Erik Spoelstra's team is 2-1-1 to the 'under' on the road in the postseason. All four of the Heat's wins on the highway against the Bucks and Bulls came by double-digits, while Miami covered each time in the 'chalk' role of at least seven points.
The Pacers have yet to lose at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this postseason, posting a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS ledger. Five of Indiana's six home victories came by at least 11 points, while busting the 106-point mark four times. Even though the Pacers lost twice at home to the Heat in last season's second round, Indiana got revenge with two underdog triumphs at the Fieldhouse over Miami this season.
The Heat hasn't lost many games this season (18), while losing consecutive contests just three times. Since falling at Portland in January, Miami has compiled a 7-0 SU/ATS record off a defeat, including five road victories. In the two visits to Indiana this season, the Heat's offense went cold by scoring only 77 and 89 points.
VegasInsider.com's Chris David breaks down Game 3's opening number, "I'm a little surprised Miami only opened as a one-point favorite, but the number is based on perception and a lot of folks are buying the Pacers right now, especially with the Heat mired in a 0-3 ATS skid. Even though the series is tied 1-1, the Heat should've been sent out at 2½ or three-point road favorites. I'm firmly aware that Indiana has been perfect in the playoffs at home, which is solid. However, Miami is 4-0 on the road in the playoffs and it's won and covered all four by double digits, which is a helluva lot more impressive in my opinion."
From the totals perspective, David says to go the opposite way with the series shifting to the Hoosier State, "The 'over' has cashed in the first two installments, but if you handicap totals on pace, then you should lean 'under' for Game 3. Neither team is pushing the tempo, but they've both been aided by a ton of free throws. I expect that number to decline, yet most would expect the Heat's three-point shooting to improve. During the season, Miami shot close to 40 percent from distance and it's only 30 percent (12-of-40) in this series, which includes a 1-of-6 performance from Ray Allen, the best NBA three-point shooter of all-time."
Game 3 tips off at 8:30 PM EST on Sunday night, as the game can be seen nationally on TNT.
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