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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, May 10

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, May 10

MLB Predictions

Athletics / Mariners Under 6.5

Oakland enter's this series 18-18 on the year and 9-10 on the road. They've lost 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games while scoring just 8 runs over their lat 4 games. Seattle is 16-19 on the year and 9-8 at home and they are entering this series after splitting two games with Pittsburgh and then a day off yesterday. The Mariners are 27th overall in runs scored this year with 120 in 35 games (just 3.43 runs per game). While the Athletics lead the majors with 179 runs scored they are off to a slow start in May hitting just .218 as a team (26th). The Mariners are dead last in the MLB with a .199 team batting average so far in May. The A's will send Dan Straily to the mound for his 4th start of the year. He is 1-0 with a 5.94 ERA, .250 OBA and 1.20 WHIP. He has had some tough luck and given his OBA, WHIP and strikeout to walk ratio of 21:4 he hasn't been pitching too poorly. Last year over 7 starts with Oakland he was 2-1 witha 3.89 ERA. Seattle has Hisashi Iwakuma on the mound who is 3-1 on the year with a 1.61 ERA, .168 OBA and 0.76 WHIP. He has given up 1 or fewer earned runs against in 5 of his 7 starts (the other two were 2 and 3 earned runs against). In three home starts he is 1-0 with a 0.48 ERA, .143 OBA and 0.59 WHIP. The UNDER is 7-3-2 in the Mariners last 12 games as a home favorite, 3-0-1 in Iwakuma's last 4 home starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall. The UNDER is also 8-3-1 in these two teams last 12 meetings in Seattle. I like this starting pitching match up and these two teams aren't hitting the ball right now. Even with a lower total I like the value on the UNDER as this should be a low scoring ball game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, May 10


San Antonio at Golden State
Pick: Golden State -2.5

It took them 31 games to get it right, but the Golden State. Warriors broke a 30 game road losing streak at San Antonio in Game Two to even the series at one. The Spurs have to feel fortunate to be heading to Golden State tied in the series, as it took a miraculous late comeback in Game One to pull off a double-overtime win. No team has been getting the money like Golden State, who has covered 11 straight games. That has proven indicative of things to come as teams on an eight or longer game ATS winning streaks in the playoffs are 17-4-3 ATS over the last 24 occurrences. It goes deeper than that, however, as the Warriors have left the Spurs with no answers trying to cover all the shooters for Golden State. Each of the top seven scorers for Golden State is averaging 46% or more from the field. San Antonio caught a break facing a depleted Lakers team in the first round, as they have played poorly down the stretch finishing the regular season a woeful 3-15 ATS in their last 18. Play on Golden State.

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