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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 9

MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 9

MLB Weather Report

A light schedule in the major leagues but there could be rain in Boston and Colorado Thursday. Here is a look at the notable weather around big league parks.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets (-105, 7.5)
Forecasts are calling for a 20 percent chance of rain by game time.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants (-115, 7.5)
Wind will blow out to center field at 10 mph.

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox (-155, 9)
Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of showers by game time.

New York Yankees vs. Colorado Rockies (+115, 9.5)
Afternoon forecasts are calling for a 30 percent of showers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals (+120, 7.5)
Wind will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 9

Three Pitchers With Good Value On The Road Thursday

It will be a moderately quiet day around the major leagues with just 10 games on the board Thursday. But it proves to be a day that features some starting pitchers who have had more success away from home than they have in the familiar confines of their own park.

Here is a look at pitchers with solid performances as the visitor and provide a valuable spot bet opportunity.

Jeff Locke, Pittsburgh Pirates (3-1, 3.21 ERA)

The disparity between Locke's success at home and away is eye-opening. The lefty is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, but is 2-1 with a vastly superior 1.89 ERA on the road. Locke has no earned runs in 13 innings over his last two road starts at Philadelphia and at St. Louis.

The Pirates travel to Citi Field to face the New York Mets Thursday.

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (1-4, 4.34 ERA)

Hamels' early season struggles have been well documented, but he's put together some pretty good starts recently. The recent success includes a 5-1 win at Citi Field versus the Mets. Hamels is 1-1 with a respectable 3.71 ERA away from Philly. The southpaw is 0-3 and has a 4.71 ERA in Philadelphia's Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies open a four-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday.

Bartolo Colon, Oakland Athletics (3-1, 3.62 ERA)

The veteran righty is having a fairly good year all around in 2013. But a closer look reveals much more solid numbers pitching on the road. Colon has a 2-1 record with a 2.95 ERA away from Oakland and a 1-0 record and 4.26 ERA while pitching on home turf. He has given up just six earned runs in 18 1/3 innings pitched in his three road starts this season.

The A's have an afternoon meeting at Progressive Field versus the Cleveland Indians Thursday.

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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks

Southpaw hurlers match up at Chase Field when D'Backs lefty Patrick Corbin and Phillies southpaw Cole Hamels head to respective mounds. Corbin the top hurler on Snakes staff is undefeated at 4-0 (5-0 TSR) with a sparkling 1.80 ERA, 3.2 SWR, 1.08 WHIP. Tough going against D'Backs and Corbin. But, take away Hamels first two disastrous starts the lefty heads to the mound with a 2.20 ERA, 2.7 SWR, 0.94 WHIP and is off a sparkling eight innings of 4 hit 2 run ball striking out six while walking none. Philadelphia 6-2 w/Hamels following a start in which the hurler put up a super quality start (>7 In, < 3R), including a perfect 5-0 on the road are worth a second look. Expect Hamels to improve his 10-1 streak in May team starts, 17-3 mark last twenty in May including 7-1 on the road.

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MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

LAS VEGAS -- Ryan Vogelsong had better think of something fast to start getting hitters out because tonight, he’ll lead his San Francisco Giants at home against a red-hot Atlanta Braves squad in a battle between two first-place teams.

The Giants have won three of Vogelsong’s (1-2, 7.20 ERA) six starts this season, but nothing has come easy. He’s given up 28 earned runs in 25 innings pitched, a far cry from his epic playoff performance last season, when he gave up only three runs in four starts, all Giants wins.

In his last start, Saturday night against the light-hitting Dodgers, he allowed seven runs in 4 2/3 innings. That tied the most runs the Dodgers had scored all season, and L.A. tacked on two more after he left, but the Giants came back to get a thrilling 10-9 win.

Vogelsong’s already given up eight home runs, and tonight, there should be a few more added to that total – the Braves lead the majors with 47 blasts.

The Braves are fresh off becoming the first visiting team to win a series in Cincinnati this season and have hit .288 with eight home runs and 32 runs scored over their past five games. All at once, players that were struggling – like like Dan Uggla, Freddie Freeman and Andrelton Simmons – have found themselves in a groove and have to be salivating at Vogelsong’s season stat-line.

Going for the Braves tonight will be Julio Teheran (1-0, 5.08 ERA), who had his last start skipped because of rain, a convenience for the team because he has struggled. However, the Braves have won all five of his starts, and he has shown a knack for getting out of jams. In his last start against the Nationals, he gave up 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings, but yielded only two runs in a 3-2 win.

The common ground for both of tonight’s pitchers is that their games seem to go OVER the total more than most. Four of Teheran’s five starts, and five of Vogelsong’s six, have gone OVER.

The Braves have gone OVER in their past five games overall, as well as eight in a row on the road. The Giants have gone OVER in three of their of their last five games, and for whatever its worth, they have also gone OVER in seven of their last eight Thursday games.

We like the Braves and Giants to go OVER 7.5 runs tonight and have a small lean on the Braves as well. The Giants are a tough team at home, having won 12 of their 18 games there this season, but the Braves are 11-8 on the road.

Thanks, Angel Hernandez

We don’t want to get into all the wrongs of umpire Angel Hernandez’s blown call last night at Cleveland, where a two-out, game-tying home run in the ninth inning by Oakland’s Adam Rosales was ruled a double. We’ve all seen the replay, and it is astounding how an umpiring crew could get it so wrong twice, live and in replays.

But the bigger deal here in Las Vegas, besides the implications on Oakland futures bets, is for bettors who played the OVER and Oakland last night. The total was 8.5, and a 4-4 tie would have meant a certain winner for OVER bettors since the ninth run would have eventually occurred. The A’s would have also had a substantial advantage in that situation, not only with momentum, but with an edge in bullpens after Cleveland’s closer got tagged.

If you happened to play the UNDER and the Indians, of course, Hernandez made the right call.

Thursday’s selections:

Braves/Giants OVER 7.5 (+105)

Braves (Teheran) +108 at Giants

Tigers (Fister) -125 at Nationals

Royals (Guthrie) +107 at Orioles

Season to date record: 60-45 (+1678)

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