Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Memphis at Oklahoma City
The Grizzlies look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and take advantage of a Thunder team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games. Memphis is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2)

Game 709-710: Indiana at New York (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.902; New York 127.172
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 13 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

Game 711-712: Memphis at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 127.485; Oklahoma City 126.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2); Over

NHL

Montreal at Ottawa 
The Canadiens look to bounce back from their 6-1 loss in Game 3 and build on their 8-3 record in their last 11 games after giving up 5 goals or more in the previous game. Montreal is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+125)

Game 17-18: Montreal at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.996; Ottawa 10.972
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+125); Over

Game 19-20: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.738; NY Islanders 11.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 21-22: Chicago at Minnesota (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.292; Minnesota 10.808
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175); Under

Game 23-24: Vancouver at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.956; San Jose 10.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+145); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Arizona at LA Dodgers
The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a Dodgers team that is 1-6 in Josh Beckett's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Arizona is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115)

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 15.704; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.773
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+100); Over

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.991; Cubs (Wood) 14.879
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); N/A

Game 905-906: Miami at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Sanabia) 14.593; San Diego (Stults) 15.768
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Under

Game 907-908: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 15.958; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 14.537
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Over

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.801; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.287
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 14.524; Cleveland (McAllister) 16.376
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.159; Baltimore (Chen) 15.037
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Over

Game 915-916: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 15.875; Boston (Dempster) 16.241
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.676; Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 14.879
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Over

Game 919-920: LA Angels at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 13.749; Houston (Lyles) 12.463
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-180); Under

Game 921-922: Seattle at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Harang) 15.008; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 16.127
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 17.202; Washington (Zimmermann) 16.087
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Over

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 15.163; NY Mets (Harvey) 14.641
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+145); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Grimm) 14.906; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.449
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Under

Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.583; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.426
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Over

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati RedsSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Cincinnati RedsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta's dream season behind Kris Medlen in 2012 is coming back to earth this year as he enters tonight's fray just 2-4 in his team starts, including losses in each of his last three games. We'll continue to fade him in opportune situations and tonight is one. Cincinnati's Homer Bailey in in commanding KW form with 25 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last four starts. He is also 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA in his career team starts in this series. With the home team 6-0 in Bailey starts this season, look for Medlen's woes to continue tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Cincinnati.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Tigers vs. Washington NationalsSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington NationalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Tigers fit a negative system that has cashed 10 of times playing against road dogs off a road favored win by 5 or more runs at -140 or higher, vs an opponent like the Nationals who return home off a road win. Washington has tore up American League teams scoring over 8 runs per game and hitting .352 During Inter league play. They are 4-1 in May and take on a Detroit team that has lost both times as a short road dog. Zimmerman makes the start for Washington and he has slightly better numbers this year that his Counter part Annibal Sanchez. The Nationals have the 3rd Best Home era in the league. Look for Washington to take the Opener.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Tampa Bay RaysFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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JA Happ (2-2, 3.98 ERA) gets the call for the visitors. Happ is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up two runs and three hits over 3 2/3's innings of work vs. the Red Sox on Thursday; he struck out two and walked seven on 95 pitches. The southpaw has now walked nine opponents in his last 9 2/3's frames of work. Unfortunately a date vs. the Rays is not what the doctor ordered for Happ, and while past failures don't necessarily mean one will falter again in the future, it's still significant to note that he is 0-1 and has given up nine runs in 9 1/3's frames of work in his last two starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Rays counter with Roberto Hernandez (1-4, 5.28 ERA); Hernandez was actually putting together a great start vs. the Royals on Thursday, but it was cut short due to rain; he'd give up one run and three hits over three innings of work, striking out two and walking one off 42 pitches. It was unfortunate for the Rays' veteran, but he'll now look to get untracked at home where he's 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA in his two starts thus far. I had the Rays last night and that of course did not end too well for me. The Blue Jays were down 7-0 and got a two out, two run home run in the top of the ninth inning to win 8-7. With that victory, Toronto stopped a five-game slide to the Rays and an 0-8 streak at Tropicana Field. "It's a difficult loss, no question," said Rays' manager Joe Maddon afterwards. "But it's about how we react tomorrow." Good news for Rays fans today is the expected return of second baseman Ben Zobrish and shortstop Yunel Escobar. The Rays haven't dropped two straight at home in this series since 2008 and I simply don't foresee that happening today. Expect the Jays to make an immediate return to mediocrity after the improbable come back last night and for Hernandez to outduel his counterpart. Consider a second look at the home side in this one.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore OriolesSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Kansas City RoyalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Even after Monday's 2-1, rain make-up game loss to the White Sox, the Royals remain one of the surprises of the MLB season at 17-11. One reason for their revival has been an improved pitching staff benefiting from ex-Rays James Shields and Wade Davis as well as ex-Angel Ervin Santana, who has perhaps pitched better than any while recording a 1.20 ERA in his last four starts. Unfortunately, Santana's most-recent effort on Thursday vs. Tampa Bay was rained out after he pitched four scoreless innings, but he's back on the mound tonight at Camden Yards. Meanwhile, Birds starter Wei-Yin Chen is off a career-worst outing last Wednesday at Seattle, allowing five runs and eight hits over just 4 IP in an 8-3 loss at Safeco Field. The lefty was also knocked around in his last matchup against Kansas City, yielding a career high-tying seven runs and nine hits over 4 2-3 innings of an 8-2 loss last Aug. 9.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore OriolesSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Kansas City RoyalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Kansas City Royals are off to a terrific start and there are some legit indicators that say that this might not be just an early season fluke. There certainly has to be some apprehension at how well this team will hold up as the games become bigger later in the campaign, but right now the Royals are making believers out of many observers.
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The big key for the Royals has been the tremendously improved starting pitching. James Shields has been everything KC hoped he would be as the ataff anchor. Jeremy Guthrie has picked up where he left off late last season. And then there's Ervin Santana. He was basically given the heave-ho out of Anaheim following his less than stellar 2012 season. His arrival in KC was mostly greeted with little more than a shoulder shrug, with the thought being that his upside might be as an innings eater toward the back of the rotation. Santana has clearly been far more than that through the early going, however, and right now he's pitching at an exceptionally high level.
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There's no way of knowing whether or not Santana can keep this up. History says he probably won't and will revert to his erratic career form at some point. But for the time being, Santana is about as go with as it gets. As for this evening, bear in mind that Santana has had trouble in this ballpark, and he has been very prone to the long ball against the likely lineup he's going to face.
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Wei-Yin Chen gets the call for Baltimore tonight, and the lefty has not pitched as well as the 3.50 ERA might indicate. If there's one red flag to isolate on, it's the extreme fly ball rate, which is currently at an alarming 54%. Chen's peripherals are mostly mediocre, and he's going to be facing a Royals lineup that is scoring plenty against southpaws. Also, the probable KC starters are 14/38 vs. Chen, with three long balls.
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The Royals are smacking lefties around, especially on the road. The Orioles do their best offensive work at home against righties. The bullpen edge definitely belongs to the Orioles. But with Santana pitching at such a high level and my belief that Chen can be had, I'm putting the biggest weight tonight on the starting pitching and that will have me siding with the Royals.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick: Arizona DiamondbacksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Aging Josh Beckett has lost his fastball, winless on the year (0-4) with a 5.24 ERA). Dodgers pitcher Josh Beckett endured his shortest outing on Wednesday night against the Rockies. He allowed five runs (four earned) on five hits over four innings of work in the 7-3 loss. He doesn't get any help for this LA offense that is 28th in run scored and slugging. The Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Diamondbacks are 12-3 in the last 15 meetings, including 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis vs. Chi. CubsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: St. LouisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After a one-game interleague interlude, where they surprisingly defeated the Texas Rangers here at the Friendly Confines, the Chicago Cubs return to Senior Circuit action Tuesday night as they start a brief two-game set with long-time rival St. Louis.  Admittedly, I lost my free play going against the Cubbies yesterday. Needless to say, I expect a much different result here.....
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Lance Lynn gets the start for the Redbirds tonight.  He's 4-0 all-time in four starts vs. the Cubs w/ a 2.96 ERA and lately has been simply phenomenal, going 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA his last three starts overall.  In six starts this season, he's 5-0 with a 2.765 ERA. Over the last two seasons, Lynn owns a team start record of 17-1 against NL Central opponents. So what I'm saying is to expect a quality start here from Lynn.
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Prior to beating Texas yesterday, Chicago had lost four straight.  They were swept over the weekend here at home by Cincinnati. St. Louis has won six straight, including their first-ever four-game sweep in Milwaukee over the weekend.  The Cards are 20-12 L32 vs. the Cubs.

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Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee BrewersFOR SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Take: Texas RangersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Texas Rangers will look to send the Brewers to their sixth straight loss when the two teams meet tonight at Miller Park in Milwaukee. The Rangers come into the game off a 9-2 loss to the Cubs on Monday where we had Chicago as our Free Play while the Brewers enter the contest after being swept at home by the Cardinals over the weekend. Texas will send Justin Grimm to the hill tonight and surprisingly, he’s been pretty good for the Rangers this season. He has posted a 2-1 record with a 2.28 ERA in 4 starts this season. He has struck out 24 batters in 23.2 innings pitched and is keeping the ball in the yard, allowing just 2 long balls in his 4 starts. Grimm will be opposed by Wily Peralta, who despite a 2-2 record has been awful for the Brewers this season. He has an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.67 in his 6 starts this season and opponents are hitting a robust .307 against him so far. He comes into the game off his worst start of the season as he allowed 6 runs and 11 hits in just 4 2/3 innings of work while taking a loss to the Cardinals. As bad as his overall numbers are on the season, he’s actually been worse at Miller Park as he has an ERA of 7.52 in 4 home starts this season. The Rangers, who will be playing in their third city in three days, have actually been very good in the spot they are in here tonight against the Brewers. They are 21-6 in their last 27 inter-league games against teams with a losing record at home and have won 6 straight games when their opponent scored 2 runs or less in their previous contest. The Brewers, who some had picked to win the NL Central have really struggled out of the gate. They are just 5-12 in their last 17 games when listed as an underdog and they have lost 7 of their last 10 inter-league games against teams with a winning record. Pair that with the fact that the Rangers have dominated the National League, winning 12 of 16 and we’ll lay the small price with them on the road to get the win.

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Arizona vs. Los AngelesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A pair of pitchers looking for their first win of the season take the mound in Los Angeles on Tuesday night. Brandon McCarthy is 0-3 with a 7.22 ERA in six starts. McCarthy has allowed 14 of his 29 runs in his last three starts. Carl Crawford has seen him the most and has 5 hits in 18 at-bats. The Dodgers have gone Over the total in the majority of their home games this season and despite their injuries, they still have the talent to put up runs. The Arizona bullpen has converted less than 50% of their save opportunities. Josh Beckett is 0-4 with a 5.24 ERA in six starts. The righty has been shelled to the tune of 14 runs and 20 hits in his last 15 innings. Beckett did lose to Arizona earlier in the year allowing six hits in just over eight innings. Paul Goldschmidt (2-7), Miguel Montero (2-7) and Cliff Pennington (4-8) have good numbers against the Dodgers’ pitcher. Arizona is hitting .259 against right-handed starters this season. The Dodgers’ bullpen has an ERA approaching 5.00 and a losing record as a unit. These two teams should put up runs against struggling pitchers so we recommend playing this game Over the total.

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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado -110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Yankees are in for culture shock having not visited Coors Field since 2007. New York is missing six regulars and Travis Hafner, one of their few good remaining hitters, is relegated to pinch-hitting because there is no DH at National League parks.The Yankees' offense is just mediocre these days averaging less than 4.5 runs per game. They face southpaw Jorge De La Rosa, who had strung together four quality starts until losing to his nemesis, the Dodgers, during his last start. De La Rosa is 0-8 versus the Dodgers. New York is starting Hiroki Kuroda, who has been a model of consistency. The right-handed Kuroda, though, really struggled at Coors when he pitched for the Dodgers going 1-2 with a 6.85 ERA. The Yankees' middle relief and setup spots are vulnerable due to injuries. Colorado is 10-3 at home when facing a right-hander.

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Pacers +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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NY wants the refs to call some fouls.  Boo Hoo..Play better!  JR Smith is thug who has inconsistent interest in games.  Mello struggled and waited for calls he did not get in the last game all the while forcing shots.  The entire universe thinks NY just simply bounces back, but their issues are more than skin deep.
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DID YOU SEE WHAT BOTH DOGS DID LAST NIGHT?  Laying big points this deep into the playoffs is DOOM...you better have good reasons for doing so, and bear in mind Indiana is one of the worst road teams in the playoffs and they dominated NY, in NY, in Game 1.  Too many points again, this will not come easy for NY.  Mello cannot do it all. Pacers have better team concept and better coaching in my opinion.

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Chicago White Sox +1½-170FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago will visit the Mets for the first time in history on Tuesday, playing the first of two inter-league games in New York. The Mets lost to the Braves on Sunday, and they have just two wins in their last nine games overall.
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They will have high expectations today, with 24 year old Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey (4-0, 1.56 ERA) has been brilliant all year, winning his first four starts, and yet to suffer a defeat. He really hasn't been that sharp his last two times out though, despite putting up what appear to be good numbers.
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He allowed just one run on seven hits, while walking a pair over 5 1/3, in a 4-3 extra-innings loss to the Fish. Miami didn't do themselves a lot of favors, as they had plenty of chances to score a few runs, but left runners stranded on base all night. In the end, the bullpen failed to close the door twice, once in the bottom of the ninth, and again in the 15th.
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The White Sox send Hector Santiago to the mound, and he's worked primarily out of the bullpen. Santiago (1-1, 2.29 ERA) won his only previous start, allowing one run on two hits over five innings in a 3-1 game against Texas. He's had five career starts, going 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA.
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Both young pitchers have put up impressive numbers, both with a relatively small sample size. I have noticed some troubling signs that could be of concern for Harvey though, and the Mets bullpen leaves a lot to be desired.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

MATT RIVERS

Tuesday comp play is on the visiting Mariners with Harang to spring the upset at PNC Park against the Pirates and McDonald.

Aaron Harang knows both the Pirates and PNC Park from his days pitching in Cincinnati for the Reds, and while Harang is just 1-3 with an ERA over 8, a trip back down "memory lane" could be just what the tattooed righty might need to build off his first win of the season over the Baltimore Orioles.

Pittsburgh comes into this one off back-to-back weekend losses at home to Washington, and starter James McDonald is just 2-2 with a 5,76 ERA this season, so it is not like the M's bats are likely to get shutdown this Tuesday evening in the Steel City.

Good value backing the M's here, so back'em over the Bucs.

1* SEATTLE

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Wunderdog

Chicago at Minnesota
Pick: Chicago -165

The Minnesota Wild broke out of a five year drought without recording a playoffs win, as they won Game Three and now trail Chicago two games to one. Chicago has been lethal in this spot, as during the regular season they failed to record a win in consecutive games just four times, so I expect their resolve to be intensified for Game Four tonight. Minnesota not only recorded their first playoffs win in five years, but the last three times they have recorded a win in the playoffs, each game required overtime, and their margin for error remains razor thin. The Blackhawks are 38-13 in their last 51, and 7-1 in their last eight after scoring 2 or less in their previous game. The Wild has struggled vs. the elite as they are just 1-7 in their last eight against a team over .600. Game four goes to Chicago.

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MLB Predictions

Cleveland Indians -103

The Indians took game 1 of this series last night by a score of 7-3. They improved to 15-14 on the season and 7-7 at home. They have now won 7 of their last 8 games overall. The Oakland Athletics have dropped 3 of 5 but are still 18-15 on the year and 9-7 on the road. Take note that the Indians have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 averaging 7.75 runs over their last 8 games. The A's have slowed down offensively scoring 16 runs over their last 5 games. Oakland sends southpaw Tommy Milone to the rubber tonight and he is 3-3 on the season with a 3.69 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.18 WHIP. He is coming off a 10 strike out performance on Wednesday but he gave up 4 earned runs on 7 hits to take the loss (his third straight). The Indians will counter with Zach McAllister who is 2-3 on the season with a 3.30 ERA, .231 OBA and 1.20 WHIP. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in all 5 of his starts this year, and is 2-1 at home with a 2.95 ERA. Note that the Indians bats are heating up right now hitting .311 over the first week in May which has lead to a ton of runs being scored. With a fairly even pitching match up tonight I will go with the home team with the hot bats at a great price.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Minnesota Twins lost Game 1 of this series in Boston last night in extra-innings by a score of 6-5. The Twins came back to tie the game in the top of the ninth, only to go on to lose it in the 11th. They will try again at Fenway today, with Scott Diamond facing off against Ryan Dempster.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1: Pitching - Dempster had a solid outing in his last start, allowing one run on four hits over six innings in a 3-1 win over the Blue Jays. Of course the Jays aren't scaring a lot of pitchers lately, and Dempster was lucky he didn't get punished for handing out three walks. In fact he's walked nine over his last three starts.
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Diamond (2-2, 3.97 ERA) allowed just two runs on four hits in a 6-2 win over the Tigers in Detroit his last time out. The Red Sox will be getting their first look at the 26 year old, and they might not like what they see. He's 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA away from Minnesota this year.
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2: Hitting - While the Red Sox haven't seen Diamond, the Twins have seen the veteran Dempster. Jamey Carrol is hitting .429 against him in 14 career at bats.
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3: X-Factor - The Red Sox bullpen has been terrible lately, and they almost blew last night's game against the Twins. Dempster doesn't often go deep into games, so the bullpen should be a factor tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

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Texas vs. MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rangers saw their three-game winning streak come to an end in a make-up game against the Cubs in Chicago last night, scoring only two runs in the process. It may surprise you to find out that they've actually been struggling offensively on the road for much of the season, hitting just .247 as a team while averaging only 3.6 runs per nine innings.
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The Brewers have always enjoyed a solid edge at Miller Park, but they're coming off five straight losses here, falling to 9-10 on the season. Still, they're hitting .275 as a team here, averaging well north of five runs per nine innings.
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While Milwaukee has dropped five in a row, it's worth noting that the last four came against a team that's had its number, the St. Louis Cardinals. The Brew Crew faced tough pitching matchups in all four games (vs. Westbrook, Miller, Wainwright, and Garcia), only favored once in those four tilts. The fact that they were swept wasn't shocking news.
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Justin Grimm takes the ball for the Rangers tonight. The second-year hurler has been outstanding in the early going, posting a 2-1 record to go along with a 2.28 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. He's posted a perfect 2-0 team record in two road starts, but it's worth noting that those came against two light-hitting teams in the Mariners and Twins. I saw some signs of regression from Grimm in his last outing, a 3-1 loss to the White Sox at home. Grimm matched a career-high with nine strikeouts, but also walked four and gave up three earned runs over 6 2/3 innings. Grimm is a solid prospect, but as far as I'm concerned he's been pitching a little over his head this season, and should come back to earth tonight.
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Wily Peralta will counter for the Brewers. He was rocked for six earned runs on 11 hits over 4 1/3 innings in his last start. He had been pitching fairly well prior to that, giving up only 11 hits and five earned runs in 12 2/3 innings over his last two outings. Peralta has already been on the mound for a win over the defending champion Giants this season (even though he didn't pitch well in that start), and tossed beauties at home against the Braves and Mets last season. All told, the Brewers are 4-3 in Peralta's seven career starts here at Miller Park.
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While Milwaukee's bullpen has struggled this season, it's not as if the Rangers relief corps has been lights out either. In fact, over their last 10 games, the Rangers 'pen has recorded a 5.16 ERA.
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Look for the Brewers to slug their way to a victory on Tuesday, snapping their long losing streak in the process.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, May 7

Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels -173FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Angels have struggled on the road where they are 4-11, but the Astros are 4-12 at home and find themselves at a disadvantage in terms of the pitching matchup. The Halos are 4-0 in C.J. Wilson's last 4 starts. He hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in any game during this stretch. It is also worth noting that the Angels are 6-1 in Wilson's last 7 road starts dating back to last season. He has typically been sharp versus Houston. In fact, his teams are 5-0 all-time in his starts versus the Astros. He has a 2.94 ERA in these games. The Astros are 8-32 in Jordan Lyles' last 40 starts and 2-17 in his last 19 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200. Take the Angels.

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