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NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

INDIANA (54 - 34) at NEW YORK (58 - 31) - 5/7/2013, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 50-38 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MEMPHIS (60 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (65 - 24) - 5/7/2013, 9:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games this season.
MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points this season.
MEMPHIS is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-8 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-9 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
13 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Indiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road   
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 8 games
New York is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 15 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Memphis's last 20 games when playing Oklahoma City   
Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

Indiana at New York
Indiana: 16-6 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
New York: 1-9 ATS at home revenging a loss as a favorite

Memphis at Oklahoma City
Memphis: 14-5 ATS after playing as an underdog
Oklahoma City: 12-26 ATS off a win by 3 points or less

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

Tuesday's NBA Playoff Action: What Bettors Need to Know

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks (-6, 183)

Indiana leads series 1-0.

The New York Knicks had a hard time dealing with the physical play of the Indiana Pacers in Game 1. If the Knicks hope to avoid dropping two straight at home to begin the series, they will need to figure out a way to counter that rugged presence when they host the Pacers in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Tuesday. New York squandered home-court advantage in the series in Game 1, when Paul George locked up Carmelo Anthony.

George got Indiana through the first round on the offensive end and scored 19 points in Game 1 against the Knicks, but his big contribution came on defense. The All-Star forward harassed Anthony and J.R. Smith into bad shots and made sure their charges into the lane went through center Roy Hibbert. The rough play jacked up the foul total for both teams, and the Pacers were able to make their big run in the third quarter when Anthony went to the bench with foul trouble. New York’s star came alive in the fourth quarter, but the deficit proved too great.

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana did exactly what it needed to do in winning the first game, setting itself up for at worst a 1-1 draw heading back home for Game 3. The Pacers had trouble when the Atlanta Hawks went to a bigger lineup in the first round but brought plenty of toughness to counter Kenyon Martin and Tyson Chandler in Game 1 against the Knicks. Hibbert proved to be the key, clogging the middle of the lane and staying straight up when challenging shots at the rim to avoid foul calls. Indiana forced New York to play at its pace and George held Anthony to 5-of-17 and Smith to 0-of-7 shooting when he was matched up against the Knicks’ top scorers.

ABOUT THE KNICKS: Anthony was 10-for-28 overall in the contest and is shooting 31.8 percent in the last four playoff games. He mentioned after Game 1 that his ailing left shoulder had bothered him during the contest but declined to use the Pacers’ physical play as an excuse. “The physicality of this game didn’t do nothing to me, to us,” Anthony told reporters. New York’s big problems were on the glass, where they were outrebounded 44-30, and in the paint. The Knicks prefer to play smaller, with Anthony at the power forward spot and a trio of guards. That leads to a difficult defensive match for Anthony on Pacers forward David West, who scored 20 points in Game 1.


* Pacers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in New York.
* Underdog is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.
* Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Knicks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.


1. The Knicks are 0-5 all-time when losing Game 1 of a series at home. The last time they lost a Game 1 at home was to the Pacers in the 1995 Eastern Conference semifinals.

2. Indiana G Lance Stephenson grabbed a career-high 13 rebounds in Game 1.

3. New York F Amar’e Stoudemire (left knee) is targeting Game 3 for his return. He has been out since March.

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder (-2.5, 186)

Oklahoma City leads series 1-0.

Kevin Durant refused to let Oklahoma City lose the opener and the Thunder look to take a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinal series when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. Memphis led most of the contest and took a nine-point lead into the final quarter but Durant capped a 35-point, 15-rebound effort by hitting the go-ahead shot with 11.1 seconds left in the 93-91 victory. The Grizzlies attempt to bounce back from the agonizing loss.

Memphis had won four consecutive postseason games by double digits and carried the flow of play for most of the opener. But Oklahoma City’s rally and some sloppy Memphis possessions down the stretch allowed the Thunder to squeeze out a victory. “It was a game that I think that we all think we should’ve won,” Grizzlies forward Quincy Pondexter said afterward. “We were right there in it and they really did a great job of executing down the stretch.” Durant received offensive support from guard Kevin Martin (25 points) and the Thunder actually outrebounded the Grizzlies 43-41. The free-throw line was also a deciding element as Oklahoma City went 22-of-25 while Memphis struggled to 14-for-24.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Two turnovers in the final 18 seconds did in Memphis in the opener despite the fact Pondexter had a chance to force overtime when he was sent to the free-throw line to attempt three shots with 1.6 seconds left. Point guard Mike Conley had a subpar game and his 5-of-15 shooting line marked the fourth time in five games he has shot below 40 percent. Power forward Zach Randolph fell two points short of his fifth straight 20-point outing while notching his third double-double in five games and center Marc Gasol had his second double-double of the postseason but the inside presence wasn’t a difference-maker despite Oklahoma City post starters Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins combining to make only 2-of-16 shots. Pondexter provided a boost off the bench with 13 points and hit three of Memphis’ seven 3-pointers.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Martin has back-to-back 25-point outings after being largely disappointing over most of the first-round series with the Houston Rockets. He is 6-for-10 from 3-point range in the two games while helping make up for the scoring void caused by the loss of Russell Westbrook (knee) for the postseason. “It was just moving without the ball, guys getting screens and guys finding me,” Martin said after Sunday’s victory. “We’ve got a nice little flow going right now. We’re just making an extra effort to get everyone involved.” Durant has been stellar with four games of 35 or more points over the last five outings. He is averaging 32.9 points in the postseason despite hitting just 27.3 percent of his 3-point attempts.


* Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.


1. Durant has scored 20 or more points in 33 consecutive playoff games.

2. Memphis SF Tayshaun Prince suffered a hip injury during Game 1 so Pondexter may again receive extended minutes.

3. Thunder G Derek Fisher was fined $5,000 by the NBA for flopping in Game 5 of the first-round series against the Houston Rockets.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

2013 NBA Playoffs

Carmelo Anthony is 35-95 (36.8%) from floor in four games vs Indiana; JR Smith is 15-51 in three losses vs Pacers, 12-21 in two New York Ws. Eight of last 11 Knick games stayed under the total; 11 of last 15 Indy games went over. Pacers won last two away games after losing previous four on road, all by 10+ points. NY is 9-4 vs spread in last 13 games as a home favorite, winning 12 of last 14 at home SU. Indiana's bench was -9 in game 1, but played only 39:00. Hibbert's presence as shot blocker is keeping Knicks away from baskets, and their two gunners haven't shot well against the Pacers this season.

Memphis won four of last five games, losing by hoop here in Game 1, as Martin scored 25 points (+14) off bench, giving OC a scoring threat to compliment Durant. Last three Memphis-OC games were decided by a total of three points; Griz' 14-24 from foul line in last game wasn't good. Grizzlies are 4-1-1 against the spread in last six games as an underdog. Westbrook is out for this series, which puts onus on vet PG Fisher and BC alum Jackson, who had only one turnover in 31 minutes in Game 1. 17 of last 21 Thunder games stayed under the total. Five of last seven Memphis games went over.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

Tuesday Playoff Tips
By Kevin Rogers

The home teams split on the first day of second round action, as the Thunder rallied past the Grizzlies, while the Knicks were tripped up by the Pacers. These series won't be wrapped up fast, but both Memphis and New York don't want to fall behind 2-0. We'll begin in the Big Apple, as Indiana seeks its third straight playoff road victory.

Pacers at Knicks (-6, 183)

After Miami fell to Chicago last night, Indiana and New York must feel a little better about themselves heading into Game 2. The Pacers are playing with confidence following consecutive road wins, which includes a 102-95 triumph on Sunday as five-point underdogs. The Knicks didn't shoot well, starting with their top two guns, Carmelo Anthony and J.R. Smith.

Anthony's high-volume shooting was displayed on Sunday, making just 10-of-28 attempts from the floor for 27 points, while Smith hit 4-of-15 shots off the bench for 17 points. Indiana's Paul George continued his solid postseason play by slowing down Anthony on defense, while putting up 19 points before fouling out. After grabbing a six-point halftime lead, the Pacers held the advantage throughout the second half, as the 'over' of 181½ cashed easily.

The Knicks opened up as a -185 series favorite, but that has shifted in Indiana's favor now (-155). New York moved to +135 in this 1-0 hole, which means the Knicks would have to win at least one game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, as the Pacers are 3-0 so far in the postseason at home.

New York allowed at least 100 points for the first time this postseason, this coming after the Knicks limited the Pacers to less than 80 points in the first two home meetings. Indiana has won six of its last 10 away contests, while covering five of its past eight in the role of a road underdog. The Knicks aren't used to losing at home, but New York bounces back by owning an 8-3 SU/ATS record off a defeat at Madison Square Garden.

Grizzlies at Thunder (-2½, 186)

Oklahoma City is figuring out life without Russell Westbrook, winning three of five games since the All-Star guard suffered a knee injury in Game 2 of the first round. The Thunder rallied past the Grizzlies in the semifinals opener, 93-91, but Memphis took home the money as 3½-point road underdogs. Kevin Durant's game-winning jumper lifted OKC to its third home playoff win in four tries, but the Thunder is just 1-3 ATS at Chesapeake Energy Arena.

Following Quincy Pondexter's buzzer-beating three-pointer to end the third quarter, the Thunder mounted a comeback by outscoring the Grizzlies, 29-18. Durant put up a game-high 35 points, while Kevin Martin stepped up off the Thunder bench to score 25 points on 8-of-14 shooting. The OKC frontcourt was clearly bothered by Memphis' strong frontline as Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins combined to shoot 2-of-16 for just seven points.

Memphis needs to improve its free-throw shooting in Game 2 after converting just 14-of-24 from the charity stripe. Pondexter missed two of three free throws that could have tied the game late in regulation after getting fouled on a three-point shot, but the lone made foul shot guaranteed a cover for Memphis backers who had the Grizzlies at +3. The series prices have obviously changed after Game 1, as the Grizzlies are +140 to win four of the next six contests.

Westbrook's injury has slowed down the pace for the Thunder, as OKC is 4-1 to the 'under' in five games since his absence. The Grizzlies hit the 'under' for the first time in four road postseason contests on Sunday, while Memphis improved to 8-1 ATS the last nine games overall. The Thunder is 6-1 ATS the previous seven games off a non-cover at home, including a 3-0 ATS record in the postseason.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 7

NBA Playoff Point Spreads and Picks
By: The Linemakers

The Knicks came into the NBA playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. Since the postseason began, though, they nearly choked away a 3-0 lead against the Celtics and then were dominated at home in Game 1 of their second-round series against the Pacers.

Although they emerged victorious in Game 1 against the Grizzlies, the Thunder may be on a similar path. It took them six games to put away the Rockets after building a 3-0 lead, and they barely got past Memphis on Sunday.

Pacers-Knicks and Grizzlies-Thunder both resume tonight. The Linemakers on Sporting News analyze the action and offer some picks:

Pacers (54-34 SU, 47-41 ATS) at Knicks (58-31 SU, 49-38-2 ATS)

Oddsmakers made adjustments to both the point spread and the series price after Indiana’s thorough Game 1 win. The expectation is that New York will bounce back and perform better in Game 2, so the Knicks are a 6-point favorite on Tuesday, up from the 5-point spread on Sunday.

The series price, however, moved in the Pacers’ favor. Indiana, a dog to win the series heading into it, is now a -155 favorite to advance to the Eastern Conference finals. Additionally, the teams’ odds to win the East flip-flopped: the Pacers went from 10-to-1 to 7-to-1; the Knicks went from 7-to-1 to 10-to-1.

After 197 points were scored to put Game 1 OVER the total of 181.5, the number shifted to 184.5 for Game 2.

Knicks coach Mike Woodson, on the other hand, says he’s not making an adjustment to his starting five, despite his small lineup getting outmuscled and outrebounded, 44-30, in Game 1. Carmelo Anthony will continue to play power forward, where matches up against the bigger and more physical David West.

While some of Anthony’s teammates expressed concern with the pounding he took, Melo was making no excuses

"For the most part, everything came down to effort yesterday," he said. "In our minds, we cannot get outworked like we did (Sunday) and that will be the adjustment."

Woodson said the loss "had nothing to do with who started at the 4 or the 5. Melo's played big guys all year. Last I checked, statistics-wise we've been pretty damn good this year with Melo playing at the 4 spot, so I don't see any reason to change at this point right now.

The defense of Paul George was also a big factor in the game. Melo shot 10-for-28, and J.R. Smith shot 4-for-15. When guarded by George, the two were 5-for-24.

The Linemakers’ lean: We liked the Pacers in Game 1 and cashed that ticket. We didn’t see anything on Sunday that makes us feel differently about Game 2, when Indiana will actually be getting another point. We’ll back the Pacers again tonight.

Grizzlies (60-29 SU, 52-35-2 ATS) at Thunder (65-24 SU, 52-35-2 ATS)

The Thunder won Game 1, 93-91, but failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites. In fact, the Grizzlies had a chance to tie the game when Quincy Pondexter was fouled on a 3-point attempt with 1.6 seconds left. Pondexter missed the first of three free throws and intentionally missed the third.

Kevin Durant was huge in the win, tallying 35 points, 15 rebounds and six assists, and hitting the winning shot with 11 seconds to go.

"The smaller fraternity of guys that are elite, special, greatest ever is in those situations, they can get the shot that they want," Thunder guard Derek Fisher said. "No matter what the defense does, they are going to get to the spot on the floor they want to get to."

The Game 2 betting line was adjusted in the Grizzlies’ favor, as OKC is laying 2.5 points Tuesday night.

The thought here, though, is that there’s been too much of an adjustment to Thunder lines in response to Russell Westbrook's absence. If the power ratings hold when the series heads to Memphis, the Grizzlies will be about a 6-point favorite at home. Seems like too many to us.

In terms of the total, OKC is playing at a different pace without Westbrook. But even before his injury, they were an UNDER team. They’re 38-49-2 O/U on the season, and nine of their last 10 have stayed UNDER. And while five of Grizzlies’ six games against the Clippers in the first round went OVER, the totals in those games were pretty low, and Memphis is 36-52-1 O/U on the year.

The total for Game 2 was tweaked slightly, from 186.5 to 186.

The Thunder are now 12-to-5 to win the West; Memphis is 9-to-2.

The Linemakers’ lean: While the 2.5 points feel pretty cheap, if you can get -140 or less, consider a play on OKC on the money-line.

But even if the Thunder take a 2-0 lead tonight, we’re not counting the Grizzlies out of the series. They’ve proved themselves resilient, winning four straight against the Clippers after dropping the first two. If you still like them to get to the conference finals, they can be had for about +155 now, and you could even wait and get them at around +200 if they lose Game 2.

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