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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 4

MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 4

MLB Weather Report

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (+115, 7)
There's a 20 percent chance of rain at Wrigley.

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (+125, 7)
The wind will blow in from center field at 12 mph.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (-132, 8)
There's a 100 percent chance of precipitation as rain showers are in the forecast in Atlanta.

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (NA)
There's a 30 percent chance of rain in Kansas City

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers (-142, 9.5)
The wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph. The under was 5-2 in 2012 in Arlington when the wind blew out to right field.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants (NA)

The wind will blow out to left field at 11 mph. The Giants were 3-0 at home in 2012 when the wind blew out to left field.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 4

Three Big Winners, Three Big Losers Pitching on Saturday

Here's a look at three starters on Saturday who have made $1,360 for bettors this year, and three who have cost $1,300.64:

Money winners:

Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (3-0, 1.91 ERA, $518.21 in five starts)

Corbin has been stellar and his bullpen has been just as helpful. Corbin has allowed only seven earned runs in five starts, while Arizona relievers have given up only three runs after Corbin left the mound.

Kevin Correia, Minnesota Twins (3-1, 2.23 ERA, $337.23 in five starts)

Correia and the 12-12 Twins have cashed three times as heavy underdogs this season against the more public Rangers, Angels and Tigers. He's given up only nine runs in five starts and has walked only five batters.

Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (1-0, 5.08 ERA, $504.56 in five starts)

The Braves are 5-0 when Teheran is pitching, and his high ERA has made him an underdog three times, cashing twice against Washington at +126 and +115. Atlanta's bats have given Teheran an average of 6.2 runs of support in his starts.

Money losers:

Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals (1-4, 3.13 ERA, -$459.84 in six starts)

The only win on the board for the Nationals with their ace on the mound came on opening day against the lowly Marlins, when Washington was a -249 favorite. The Nats are giving Strasburg only 1.8 runs of support, below its 27th-ranked average of 3.48 runs per game.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (1-2, 5.21 ERA, -$427.01 in six starts)

Price has given up six home runs in April and 16 in all of 2013. The bats are struggling for him as well, producing only 3.6 runs per game in his starts, compared to the team's 4.19 season average.

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (1-3, 4.78 ERA, -$413.79 in six starts)

Hamels has improved from his early-season struggles. He has a 2.33 ERA in his last four starts. But the struggling Phillies have provided an average of only 2.25 runs in those starts, below the team's season average of 3.69 runs per game.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 4

MLB: Streaks, Trends, Notes

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Two hurlers going in opposite direction match up at Petco Park when D'Backs Patrick Corbin and Padres'  Clayton Richard head to respective mounds. Corbin the top hurler on Snakes staff is undefeated at 3-0 (5-0 TSR) with a sparkling 1.91 ERA, smart 3.57 SWR, 1.06 WHIP and 17.80 Batter-Out-Rating per nine innings. On the other mound, struggling Richard is winless at 0-3 (0-5 TSR) with a hefty 7.94 ERA, putrid 0.76 SWR, 1.93 WHIP and 6.72 BOR/9. Throw out historical trends that tell us Padres are on a 7-1 streak vs D'Backs w/Richards, Arizona 0-2 vs San Diego w/Corbin. Home teams with a starter that can't get guys out (BOR < 10) are a horrendous 26-72 (-$5887) losing by 3.4 runs/game. Have the home team send out a southpaw that can't get guys out (BOR <10) they become 7-23 (-$2215) outscored by an average 3.7 runs/game. On the other side of the equation, road teams with a starter that gets guys out (BOR >15) are 106-65 (+$5471) outscoring host teams 4.2 to 2.6. Have the visitor send out a lefty that gets guys out (BOR >15) they win at a 68.4% clip (39-18) outscoring opponents 4.2 to 2.5 stuffing +$2414 into betting accounts. We're recommending a play on Arizona.

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