MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

MLB Weather Report

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (+100, 7)
Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 10 mph. The Mets were 8-21 SU (straight up) when wind blew out to left field in 2012.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals (-119, 7.5)
Skies will be mostly cloudy and temperatures will be in the high-60s. Winds will blow out to left field at 11 mph. The over was 8-4 in 2012 when wind  blew out to left field.

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins (+127, 8)

There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast and temperatures will be in the mid-70s. Winds will blow in from right field at 14 mph. The under was 3-0 in 2012 when wind blew in from right field.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

Sunday Night Baseball: Braves at Tigers
By Steve Merril

Atlanta Braves at Detroit Tigers (-140, 7.5)


Doug Fister has been great early for Detroit. The righty is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA, delivering three straight quality starts. He had his shakiest start to open the season, giving up three runs and six hits in five innings of work against the Yankees. Fister then allowed just three earned runs over his next three starts against Toronto, Seattle, and the Angels. Fister has displayed sufficient control, yielding only a total of six free passes in those four outings. The Detroit starter made three starts last year against the NL, giving up just three earned runs and 15 hits.


Mike Minor is 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA on the year and he’s coming off a solid outing in Colorado against the Rockies. Minor has already had a taste of interleague play, losing to the Royals at home despite giving up just one run and five hits in six innings. Minor's control has been fantastic this season, walking just three batters, while striking out 21.


The Braves are nowhere near full strength, especially in the offensive lineup where they are without Jason Heyward and Brian McCann. Both hope to be back in May as Heyward deals with an appendectomy and McCann a shoulder ailment. On the pitching side, they are without Jonny Venters and Brandon Beachy. Venters hopes to return in May from an elbow injury, while Beachy could be out until late June due to Tommy John surgery. Detroit's injury report is a lot better, although Justin Verlander's cracked skin injury on his pitching hand may bear watching. We shall see if it crops up again making things more difficult for him. Octavio Dotel is on the DL with right elbow inflammation, while Phil Coke has a groin strain.


Braves are 8-1 in their last nine Sunday games.
Braves are 4-1 in Minor's last five road starts.
Tigers are 48-21 in their last 69 Sunday games.
Tigers are 10-4 in Fister’s last 14 starts.


B.J. Upton 0-for-5 vs. Fister
Ramiro Pena 1-for-2 vs. Fister

Prince Fielder 3-for-3 vs. Minor
Omar Infante 4-for-12 vs. Minor

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

Three Big-Name Pitchers Vying For First Wins Sunday

Here is a look at three starting pitchers that are trying to notch their first wins of the season on Sunday.

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (0-3, 5.40 ERA)

Hamels is off to an especially slow start. He yielded 13 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings pitched in his first two starts. Things have gotten significantly better for the southpaw, however. Over his last three starts, he has gone 21 innings and given up just six earned runs. In his last outing versus the Pirates on April 23, Hamels went eight innings in a tough 2-0 loss. The Phillies are in New York to finish their series with the New York Mets on Sunday. Hamels was 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in four starts against the Mets in 2012.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (0-2, 5.52 ERA)

The 2012 American League Cy Young winner is coming off of his deepest start of the young season. Price went eight innings in a 4-3 loss against the New York Yankees on April 23. He has started five games and the Rays have lost all of them. The velocity on his fastball is down three mph to 92.5 compared to last season. The Rays close out their series with the Chicago White Sox Sunday at U.S. Cellular Field. Price went seven strong innings in his lone start versus the Sox in 2012. He gave up two earned runs en route to the victory.

Phil Hughes, New York Yankees (0-2, 5.14 ERA)

Hughes is another starter is slow of the gate in 2013. He lasted just seven innings in first two starts this season, but is looking to build on a pair of good outings. Hughes is coming off two no-decisions where he went seven innings. He surrendered two earned runs and six hits on 109 pitches in both starts. Hughes will go up against R.A. Dickey on Sunday as they close out their series versus the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. Hughes was 2-2 with a 5.73 ERA versus the Jays in 2012.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Philadelphia at NY Mets

The Phillies and Mets meet in the finale of this three-game series at Citi Field with a pair of lefties on respective mounds. Cole Hamels (0-3, 5.40 ERA) toes the rubber for Phillies looking for his first 'W' of the season with Jon Niese (2-1, 3.81 ERA) taking the ball for Metropolitans. Hamels off three quality starts including an 8 inning 2 run effort last time out gets a well deserved 'W' in this one. The southpaw owns a sparkling 4-0 TSR on the road following a Super Quality Start (>7In, <3R). Look for Phillies to improve it's 8-3 mark running the bases in Mets back yard, move to 4-1 vs Mets with Hamels and Mets to fall to 1-4 trying to avoid a sweep w/Niese.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 28

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

It would be too cliché – and almost cheesy – if we suggested ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball game between the Atlanta Braves and Detroit Tigers might be a "preview to this year's World Series."

It very well could be with the signs each team has shown, but we wouldn't even be discussing this if an entirely new concept of interleague play in April wasn't happening right now.

It’s hard to know exactly how to actually feel about these new baseball revelations. Think about it. Who are we to be so blessed with five generations of families never seeing interleague play in April? The concept is awful in terms of being the one American sport that has had its basic rules of play stay the same. Change is good only in certain instances, and baseball isn't one of them.

Does this mean, because nothing is sacred, we'll soon be seeing the designated hitter in National League parks? Why not? We already had the Cincinnati's historic opening day disturbed by Sunday Night Baseball and international play. Further stripping away tradition, an AL team, the Angels, was the first visitor to Cincinnati in 2013.

Whatever the case might be, Bud Selig will surely pat himself on the back and tell us how he's taken baseball to unseen levels financially, as if he had something to do with the internet and cable television. By Selig's quick change-of-thought-process on the rules -- while going for the dollar signs -- there surely has to be a place for change in the rules about those who, say, for on baseball.

Pete Rose has nothing to do with tonight's game, except for the purposes of correlating an eagerness by Selig to change baseball rules. It's OK for baseball to offer interleague games, which does take away some mystique of the World Series, but only if it means more revenues. And it has been widely proven that interleague baseball games sell more tickets and concessions than straight league play against regularly known and seen opponents.

If there were just a way to create more interleague games, baseball could flourish like never before.

The bottom line: If rules can change for money, they can change for an all-time great who isn't in baseball's Hall of Fame because he had a betting problem. If we can get by the last two decades of baseball's pumped-up era without any asterisks associated with its most storied records, we should be able to place one of the best competitors ever – the all-time hit leader – into his rightful place.

Back to tonight’s game.

The Tigers will send Doug Fister (3-0, 2.00 ERA) to the mound in an attempt to sweep the Braves, a team that has lost seven of its last 10, but still remain 2.5 games ahead of the Nationals in the NL East. Left-hander Mike Minor (3-1, 1.80 ERA) will try to stop the bleeding for the Braves.

Unfortunately for Minor, he can only control what comes out of his left arm. Other than Chris Johnson (.380) and Justin Upton (12 HRs), the Braves hitters haven't been too social lately. Between Jason Heyward (.121), B.J. Upton (.151), Dan Uggla (.167) and Andrelton Simmons (.227), the Braves have almost half of their lineup virtually killing any rally before it starts.

Minor has allowed only five earned runs in four starts this season, but we can't back him here with the way the Braves are/aren't hitting. And then when looking at the Tigers, who are batting a league-best .279 as a team – including Torii Hunter at .380 – and giving their bullpen some defined roles, they’re just in a better situation.

Minor doesn’t have a lot of experience with the Tigers hitters, but Prince Fielder is 3-for-3 against him. B.J. Upton is the only Braves player with at-bats against Fister, going 0-for-5.

This is a situation of just riding the team playing well against a team struggling. The Tigers, laying up to -135, look to be a fairly decent play tonight.

Cleveland totals up and down

Betting the totals on Indians games this season has been a disaster because they're all over the place. They’ve been spilt right down the middle with the total going 9-9-1. In 12 of those games, the Indians scored three runs or fewer, but have scored five runs or more on six occasions. The point is you’d have to be crazy to suggest they'd score any amount of runs because they've been so inconsitent at the plate.

But we think Sunday’s game will produce an UNDER at Kansas City. Justin Masterson (4-1, 1.85 ERA) makes his sixth start of the season and will be looking for his fifth win. After getting roughed up for four runs against Boston -- his only loss of the season -- Masterson came back strong at Chicago, limiting the White Sox to two runs in seven innings.

The total staying UNDER looks even better when checking out his opponent, Jeremy Guthrie (2-0, 3.86 ERA). Three of his four starts have gone OVER the total, but we should be looking at a pitchers' duel today.

Sunday’s selections:

Tigers (Fister) -130 vs. Braves

INDIANS/Royals UNDER 8.5 (-110)

Season to date record: 43-28 (+1665)

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