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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 23

MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 23

MLB Weather Watch

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins - Game one (-148, 7.5)
The wind will blow out to center field at 12 mph. Skies will be mostly sunny with temperatures in the mid-30s.

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins - Game two (-125, 7.5)
Temperatures will move into the high-30s for game two. Winds will still blow out to center field at 13 mph.

Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox (-117, 9)
Winds will blow in from center field at 14 mph, with a 64 percent chance of rain.

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers (-172, 7.5)
A 60 percent chance of rain with possible thunderstorms are in the forecast. The winds will blow in from center field at 11 mph. The Tigers were 4-1 in 2012 when the wind blew in from center field at home.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (-158, 8)
A 27 percent chance of rain with possible thunderstorms are in the forecast. Winds will blow in from right field at 13 mph.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets (+132, 6.5)
Winds will blow in from center field at 12 mph. Temperatures in the low-50s.

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox (-114, 8)
A 50 percent chance of rain is expected in Chicago. Temperatures will be in the low-40s. Winds will blow out to right field at 16 mph.

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies - Game one (n/a, n/a)
Skies will be cloudy with freezing temperatures in the low-30s.

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies - Game two (-113, n/a)
Temperatures for game two will be similar to game one. There will be a 20 percent chance of snow.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 23

Tuesday's Streaking and Slumping MLB Starting Pitchers


Carlos Villanueva, Chicago Cubs (1-0, 1.29 ERA)

Villanueva has been effective since making the transition to the National League. But the righty has only one win to show for three quality starts against top-notch opponents. Villanueva has yielded just three earned runs in 21 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves, San Francisco Giants and Texas Rangers.

Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (2-0, 1.42 ERA)

The Diamondbacks are 3-0 in Corbin's starts. The rookie has only been touched up for three earned runs in 19 innings of work against the Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees.


Jason Vargas, Los Angeles Angels (0-2, 6.75 ERA)

Vargas has been awful since making the move from Seattle to Los Angeles. The lefty has yet to complete six innings in each of his first three starts and has surrendered 10 earned runs over his last two outings. Vargas is 4-6 with a 4.48 ERA in his career versus the Rangers.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (0-1, 6.26 ERA)

The Rays’ ace is winless in his first four starts and was touched up for five earned runs in his last start against the Baltimore Orioles. The lefty owns a career 3.77 ERA against the Bronx Bombers – his second-highest mark against any AL opponent.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 23

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers look to halt a four game slide when they open a three game set at Comerica Park against A.L. Central leading Kansas City Royals. Tigers sending Max Scherzer (1-0, 2.84 ERA) to the hill should feel pretty good about their chances. The hurler received a no-decision in his last start, but his eight innings of one-run ball with 12 strikeouts provides a solid glimpse that he's primed to handcuff Royals and get his team back on the winning track. Tigers were 10-5 off a loss with the right hander last season and are on a 4-0 streak vs Royals w/Scherzer. If that were not enough, Royals are 1-3 opening a road series, Tigers are 2-0 opening a series at home, 3-0 at Comerica Park off a loss the previous game, 8-1 at home last nine vs Kansas City. Thinking Total - The 'Under' is 7-2 in Scherzer's last nine vs. Royals, 4-1 in Scherzer's L5 opening a series, Royals are on a 5-2 'Under' stretch, 10-4-1 'Under' L15 facing a right-handed starter.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, April 23

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

LAS VEGAS -- Bettors have a dilemma to deal recently whenever Clayton Kershaw goes to the mound. There is no disputing that Kershaw is one of the best pitchers in the game, but between his prices being too high and the Dodgers not hitting, Kershaw has been a pass for many his last two times out.

Because he’s so freakishly good, though, bettors have a tough time going against him. Sure, +200 and above sounds appealing, but it’s hard to pull the trigger against Kershaw even at those juicy prices. It’s one thing to say Kershaw might lose, but it’s an entirely different story to go to the bet window and wager that Kershaw will lose. Kershaw is one of the most respected pitchers in Las Vegas.

Those confident that the Dodgers bats would again not come through – and that opposing hitters would be able to get to Kershaw – have been paid quite well. In his last start, the Padres were +230 as they were looking to complete a three-game sweep at Dodger Stadium. Kershaw served up three home runs, and the Padres won, 7-2.

On April 12 at Arizona, Kershaw finally looked to have an affordable price (-150), but the Dodgers didn’t score any runs and lost, 3-0. In his previous two starts, he had to shutout the Pirates, 1-0, and Giants, 4-0, to get wins. In the Giants game, he had to supply the offense with a tie-breaking home run of his own.

So the -140 odds on Kershaw (2-2, 1.88 ERA) today at Citi Field may seem cheap, but it comes with baggage – the Dodgers’ hitters. The good news is that the Dodgers scored seven runs Sunday, matching a season high, and avoided a sweep by beating the Orioles, 7-5. They are now collectively hitting .256.

Perhaps the best news of all if you’re looking for value on Kershaw tonight is that Matt Kemp is finally starting to hit. He still doesn’t have a home run this season, but he did go 3-for-5 on Sunday, matching his Saturday output, and his average has soared to .235. If Kemp’s recent efforts are any indication that he’s bouncing out of the slump, the Dodgers will start winning in bunches.

His first home run will come soon, maybe even tonight against Jonathon Niese (2-1, 3.80). The Mets lost their first game behind Niese in his last start, 11-3, at Colorado, but Niese gave up only three of the runs in six innings. He’s a good pitcher having a steady season thus far, part of the reason Kershaw is only -140.

We’re going to play the guessing game tonight and predict the Dodgers will hit and that Kershaw finds himself in cruise-control mode with a lead. Sometimes you have to sell yourself into a bet. The Dodgers sound good tonight.

Tuesday's play:

Dodgers (Kershaw) -140 at Mets

Season to date record: 36-21 (+1660)

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