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Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Memphis at LA Clippers
The Grizzlies look to bounce back from their 112-91 loss in Game 1 and take advantage of a Clippers team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a victory or more than 10 points. Memphis is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+5 1/2)

Game 717-718: Chicago at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.087; Brooklyn 124.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 10 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Memphis at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 123.757; LA Clippers 126.972
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 185
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+5 1/2); Over

NHL

Phoenix at Detroit
The Coyotes look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 2-1 loss to Vancouver and is 1-7 in their last 8 games after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Phoenix is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130)

Game 51-52: Winnipeg at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.135; Buffalo 11.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+100); Under

Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.942; Ottawa 11.647
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

Game 55-56: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.102; Detroit 11.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130); Under

Game 57-58: Anaheim at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.984; Edmonton 10.644
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-125); Under

Game 59-60: Chicago at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.690; Vancouver 12.749
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-120); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Atlanta at Colorado
The Rockies look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 1-7 in Mike Minor's last 8 starts in Game 1 of a series. Colorado is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105)

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 16.547; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 15.471
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.371; Washington (Haren) 15.729
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.456; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.935
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+140); Over

Game 957-958: Atlanta at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.768; Colorado (Francis) 16.994
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Under

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.987; San Diego (Marquis) 15.380
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 16.397; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.382
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 963-964: Oakland at Boston (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 16.376; Boston (Doubront) 16.086
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over

Game 965-966: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 14.628; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.502
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Under

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.362; Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.737
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.404; White Sox (Axelrod) 15.067
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Under

Game 971-972: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.065; Houston (Peacock) 13.775
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-175); Over

Game 973-974: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.938; LA Angels (Blanton) 15.534
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 975-976: Miami at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 13.407; Minnesota (Correia) 15.688
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150); Over

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis Cardinals -105FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dan Haren continues to be a fade candidate for the Nationals as they open up a three-game set against Shelby Miller and the Cardinals. Haren has been terrible in three starts this season, allowing almost two hits per inning and five home runs in 13.1 innings of work. Haren has only issued one walk this season, but he's finding out the hard way how difficult it is to live in the middle up the plate and up in the zone throwing in the high 80s. Of the balls put in play off of Haren, just 25.9% of them have been ground balls, which indicates a lack of command and a lot of pitches up in the zone. The Cardinals lineup is full of aggressive hitters who are going to take their cuts, which should hurt a pitcher like Haren who is always around the zone. The key guys in the Nationals bullpen have struggled as well and that bullpen could be called upon early if Haren is ineffective.
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Shelby Miller has been very impressive in his first three starts, racking up 18 K in 18.1 innings of work. Nationals hitters have not faced Miller and that should work to his advantage because there's a limited amount of video on him and a catcher like Yadier Molina, who knows the Nationals hitters well, will be ,and has been, a great asset to the young pitcher. One of the big keys for Miller is that he has limited walks and has shown great composure with runners on base.
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The Nationals have lost six of their last nine and have struggled offensively over that span. With Miller pitching far better than Haren at this point, getting the Cardinals as a slight dog is a good value for this matchup.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago vs. CincinnatiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We want to play the over for teams like the Reds, off a home favored win at -200 or higher in their last game if they scored 10 or more in the win and the opponent is coming off a road dog loss where they scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and the total is 8 or less. These home favorites are 8-1 to the over since 2004. The Reds average 5.7 runs at home and over 6 runs vs left handers. Mike Leake will make the starts for the Reds and he has flown over in 7 of 8 April home starts the past few years. T. Wood goes for Chicago and he allowed 7 runs in 5 innings in his lone start here vs the Reds. The Cubs follow him up with a weak bullpen era at 5.19. Look for both offenses to score and push this one over the total.

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Jim Feist

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies
Pick: Atlanta Braves

Arguably the two best teams thus far in the NL matchup here at Coors Field on Monday as the Rockies host the Braves. Atlanta has started the season 13-5, though they did lose Sunday at Pittsburgh, 4-2. In fact, the loss was the third straight for the Braves after starting the season 13-2. Meanwhile, the talk in the NL West has been all about the defending champion Giants and rebuilt Dodgers. So the Rockies occupying first place right now has many people shaking their head. The Rockies were a perfect 8-0 at home this season until they lost Sunday to the Diamondbacks, 5-4. Still, Colorado has won nine of their last 10 games overall. Jeff Francis will try and keep the home record spotless today. Francis is 1-1 this season but does have a high 8.25 ERA. Mike Minor will toe the rubber for the Braves with a 2-1 mark and 0.95 ERA. Minor is 1-0 in two games against Colorado in his career with a 6.00 ERA. Now that Colorado has lost a home game, I look for that to continue here on Monday. We get a very good team with a very good pitcher as a dog and that's too much to pass up on. Take the Braves in a nice dog role.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay RaysSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New York YankeesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Matt Moore is impressing onlookers with that sparkling ERA and a spectacular early season K rate. No doubt about it, the Rays southpaw is loaded with talent and he has the stuff to be a big winner at this level. But Moore still has one nagging problem, and that's his poor control. So while there are some sensational numbers on the Moore chart, there's also that 5.5 BB rate. For those who might argue that he's thriving despite all the walks, I'll counter with some evidence that suggests he's also getting really lucky. Moore has benefited greatly from a ridiculous .175 BABIP and that's why he owns the nifty 97% strand rate so far. There's going to be a correction on those numbers, and when they happen, those BB's are going to start turning into runs.
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CC Sabathia is not blowing away batters with overpowering stuff. The velocity is not returning to its prior level. In fact, Sabathia clocked in with career low levels in his last start. Big CC has also had less than spectacular stats at this site, where he's just 3-5 lifetime. So I can completely understand why some bettors are convinced that Sabathia is getting lined on past performances rather than what he's doing right now. But the charts I put the most focus on tell me that the Yankees lefty is still pitching at a high level. Enough so that according to my numbers, CC ought to be the small chalk tonight.
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My philosophy on baseball is rooted more in determining value more on what is likely to happen moving forward rather than analyzing on what has already taken place. Obviously, this does not always work. But my contention is that the value is realized more in this manner than any other. Moore is the favorite over Sabathia tonight based on non-metric stats accrued so far this season. Off those numbers, Moore indeed rates being favored. But the columns I use tell me Moore is a candidate to regress and that Sabathia's well documented decrease in velocity is getting overrated. Therefore, this looks like a good spot to take rather than lay and I'm going with the underdog Yankees to get past the Rays tonight.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo SabresFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Winnipeg JetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Still all to play for with Winnipeg, which is off a 5-0-1 homestand and remains in the mix for one of the final East playoff berths, battling the Rangers (currently a point ahead in the 8th spot) and Southeast Division leader Washington three points ahead) entering the final week. Meanwhile, Buffalo will be home for the playoffs for the fourth time in six years after getting blown out 8-4 on Friday by the Rangers. The Jets have beaten the Sabres five straight, holding Buffalo to one goal in each of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 win Feb. 19 and a 4-1 victory April 9. Sabres GK Ryan Miller has had his problems lately, allowing four goals on 14 shots on Friday vs. the Rangers before being pulled; he has a 4.24 GAA over his last four starts and a 3.06 GAA while losing his last four versus Winnipeg. The Jets likely go in the nets with with Ondrej Pavelec, who is 5-0-1 with a 2.26 GAA over his last six and has a 1.00 GAA while winning his last five starts versus Buffalo.

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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yankees / Rays Over 7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Matt Moore is living up to his great potential this season, but I see a slight regression occurring. CC Sabathia remains good, but no longer is dominant. Neither pitcher has a good history against the team he is facing in this matchup.
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So I don't believe it's too much to ask the Yankees and Rays - both of whom are hitting well - to score at least three runs apiece in this game, which at worst would get at least a push on this low American League total.
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The Yankees are missing some key sticks, but still have managed to sock 21 homers, bat .293 and average 5.9 runs during their last 12 games. Tampa Bay is swinging the bats well, too, scoring six or more runs in four of its last five games.
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Many pitchers don't like throwing at Tropicana Field. Sabathia is one of them. He's 1-4 with a 4.01 ERA in his previous eight starts at Tropicana Field. Evan Longoria is batting .359 against Sabathia.
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Moore has a 5.06 career ERA in four starts versus the Yankees. He allowed 11 runs in 9 1/3 innings during two September starts against the Yankees last year. The Yankees are 7-1-1 to the over in their last nine road games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Cajun Sports

St Louis vs. Washington
Play: Under 8

The Washington Nationals have posted a mark of 0-10 Under coming off a game in which they were shutout and allowed fewer than nine runs to their opponent in that contest. Play the Under

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Memphis/ Clippers Over 181.5: I had the over in the first game and it was an easy winner and I expect another easy one today. The Clippers at home should be able to dictate the pace just like the first game and that means an uptempo game. Their home games this year have averaged 197.5 ppg and they have put up 104.3 ppg at home. Memphis allows just 89.5 ppg overall, but 92 ppg on the road and their road games have averaged 185.5 ppg. This is supposed to be a defensive series, but I feel that the games played at LA will be higher scoring. They have the athletes to run on Memphis and that should continue to be their gameplan as we get at least 190 points scored in this one.

2 UNIT PLAY

Chicago/ Brooklyn Under 183.5: Game 1 of series was higher scoring than most expected, but allot of that was the energy that the Nets played with and the tempo they made the game into. That is not really their style of play and I expect this game to revert back to the lower scoring game that it was supposed to be in game 1. The Bulls played horrible defense in that game and you can bet that Coach T will have them ready to play at that end of the floor. This is a bulls team that ranked 3rd in scoring defense (92.9 ppg) a nd 9th in defensive FG% (44/3%), yet the Nets continued to get easy basket after easy basket. The Bulls WILL play much better defense in this one. The Bulls offense struggled vs the Nets defense in the opener, but I don't expect them to push tempo vs them here. That will only encourage the Nets to run as well. I really look for the Bulls to slow it down and get into a halfcourt game with the Nets here. The Nets really had it go their way, but I attribute most of that to the emotion of having a home playoff game in the first year in their new stadium. I expect this game to settle down into the lower scoring affair that should have happened in game one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Art Aronson

Pittsburgh at Ottawa
Play: Over

These teams have played twice this season: Pittsburgh won 2-1 in Ottawa on January 27th before also winning 4-2 at home on February 13th. The O/U is 7-3 the last ten in this series and because of the situation that each team finds itself in coming into this contest, I'm definitely expecting tonight's game to follow suit. Pittsburgh is 34-10-0 overall and 17-5-0 on the road. It's won six straight, most recently a 3-2 win at Boston on Saturday (note that while the Pens have seen the total go 21-22-1 overall, it's 12-9-1 on the road). Ottawa is 23-15-6 overall and 15-4-3 at home. It's coming off a 4-1 setback to Toronto on Saturday (note though that it wasn't for a lack of trying, as Ottawa would direct a season high 50 shots on a net in the setback). The Pens have clinched the top seed in the Conference, but the Sens are in a dog fight still for one of the two remaining spots (note though that Sens goaltender Craig Anderson has lost four of his last five to the Pens, posting an extremely pedestrian 3.54 GAA in the process). I anticipate a fast-paced high-scoring shootout.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Winnipeg vs. BuffaloFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Winnipeg needs this game to stay alive.  Buffalo's season is all but over. That's what this Monday night matchup in the Eastern Conference boils down to from where I sit. The Jets have the unique opportunity of having two chances to make the playoffs as they are chasing not only the Rangers, who occupy eighth place, but also the Capitals who are in 1st place of the division. They are three points back of both.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  Head to Head - The Jets have owned the Sabres the last two years, winning five straight against them.  This includes 2-0 this season with wins of 4-1 and 2-1.  Incredibly, Buffalo has scored just one time in each of those five losses while Winnipeg has outscored them 15-5. Goaltender Ondrej Pavalec has been stellar in net against the Sabres, winning five straight starts and posting a 1.00 GAA.  He is 5-0-1 his last six starts overall. Even if Winnipeg goes with Jhonas Enroth, this play is still on though.
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2. Goaltending - While Winnipeg has gotten great play in net lately, Buffalo has not as former Olympic star Ryan Miller is really struggling of late.  He was pulled in Friday's 8-4 loss to the Rangers after allowing four goals on 14 shot attempts.  Including that loss, Miller now has a 4.24 GAA his last four starts. He's also lost four in a row to Winnipeg.
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3. X-Factor - Though on the road, the Jets will be the more motivated team tonight.  They are fighting to get into the playoffs, a rarity for this franchise dating back to its time in Atlanta.  They are 5-0-1 the last six games, albeit all those came on home ice.  But look for them to pick up a critical road win here.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Anaheim vs. EdmontonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: EdmontonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Oilers lost at home to the Ducks last night, and they have now lost seven of eight overall. Edmonton got off to a good start to the game, with Taylor Hall opening the scoring in the first minute. The Ducks scored with less than 5 seconds remaining in the first period though, and it all went downhill from there.
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The Ducks went on to win 3-1, clinching home ice in the first round of the playoffs in the process. These two teams will meet again tonight, just 24 hours later in the same building. I'm expecting the Oilers to come out playing hard, looking to avenge last night's loss in front of their home fans.
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Edmonton carried the play in the first period of last night's game, but the Ducks rallied back. Anaheim should be primed to suffer a let down though, playing their second game in as many nights.
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Tonight's game means a lot more to these young Oilers and their fans than it does to the Ducks, and I expect Edmonton to take advantage of this revenge situation.
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The Ducks have won 10 in a row in Edmonton, but I expect that streak to come to an end tonight.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Here's a rare chance for the Twins to beat up on a team actually worse than them.  Actually, fair is fair.  Minnesota is playing well right now.  Sunday's 5-3 win at Chicago was the team's fourth in a row as they've taken advantage of some time off and a light schedule due to poor weather.  I lost going against them yesterday, but that was all I lost on a 5-1 Sunday (went 11-2 this weekend).
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Helping matters for the Twins tonight is that they have Kevin Correia pitching.  In three starts so far, he's yet to allow more than three earned runs and has gone at least seven innings each time out.  He'll face a terrible Marlins lineup that won't like hitting in the cold surroundings of Target Field.
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Cold or warm weather, the Marlins offense stinks right now.  They have the fewest home runs (6) in baseball and are last in team batting average and slugging percentage.  They are tied for the worst OBP in MLB.  They were just swept in Cincinnati, and while they did manage six runs in Sunday's series finale, the team is still barely averaging more than two full runs per game this season.  Miami is 2-8 on the road so far.  You can't like their chances against a Twins team that's gotten hot all of a sudden.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle at HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seattle is a road favorite with King Felix Hernandez on the hill, but they are not a good road team at 3-7. Even King Felix isn't getting it done, with the team 1-3 in his four starts. His ERA is better at home than on the road, which was the case last year, and the last three years he is just 18-19 away from home. That's because this Seattle offense is terrible at 26th in runs scored, 28th in on-base percentage and ranked 29th in slugging and batting average. The Mariners are 0-5 in their last five road games,  1-9 in Hernandez's last ten starts and 5-13 in Hernandez's last 18 starts during game 1 of a series. Houston has a better offense at 15th in runs score and 12th in slugging. Starter  Brad Peacock has fanned 15 in 13+ innings while allowing only 11 hits. Houston is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with Seattle and the Mariners are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Houston. Play the Astros.

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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay RaysSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Tampa Bay RaysFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that the Rays will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a?33-13 mark for 72% winners since 2007. Play on AL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) that are below average hitting teams batting <=.265 and facing an excellent starting pitcher posting an ERA <=3.20 and with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season. TB has done well against starters like the Yankees Sabathia noting they are 23-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when facing a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. I really like Matt Moore, who will be the starter the Rays tonight. He is 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA and a 1.056 WHIP, walking 11 batters, striking out 20 spanning 18 innings of work. His control is a concern, but it is not extreme wildness. He is just missing in those situations and the added movement of his pitches simply makes him that much more difficult to hit. Batters, rarely, can sit on a fastball against Moore. He can throw a wicked 2-seamer on a 2-0 count that will ride in on the hands of the batter creating a weak ground out or possible double play. Take Moore and the Rays.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland A's +115FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Oakland A's will be trying to stop their three game losing streak as they travel to Boston to take on the Red Sox. The Red Sox will also be trying to get back on track as their seven game winning streak came to a halt yesterday as they dropped both games of their double header to the Royals.
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Oakland sends AJ Griffin to the mound who has been solid to start the season, throwing 20 innings while giving up just five runs on 16 hits and a single home run. He has started twice against Boston and given up just 3 runs in 13 innings.
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Doubront on the other hand has been a little lucky so far to escape with a 4.50 ERA since he's given up 13 hits and four walks in 10 innings. He has two starts against the A's and has given up 10 runs in seven innings.
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The A's are scoring 8.5 runs and hitting .336 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 6.1 runs per game on .284 hitting on the road. I like Oakland to pick up the win here today.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Big Kat SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore Orioles -115FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Baltimore Orioles will look to continue their offensive surge when they welcome the Toronto Blue Jays to town to start a 3 game set at Camden Yards. The O’s have scored 90 runs in their 18 games this season and are just 2-3 in one run games, which was an area last season that made them a surprise entrant in the AL Playoffs. Chris Tillman will get the start on the hill tonight for Baltimore. The 25 year old has struggled a bit this season as he has walked 8 batters in 14 innings to go along with 11 runs. Tillman is a control pitcher and everything we’ve read out of Baltimore states that he had a good bullpen session this week, keeping the ball down in the zone the entire time. Tillman will be opposed by JA Happ, who will take the mound for the Jays. Happ was a key piece in the Roy Oswalt to Philly from Houston trade but it seems as if the 30 year old hit his ceiling when he was with the Phillies. He is just 33-42 since being shipped out of Philadelphia and his 14-5 record before the deal can probably be chalked up to a potent Phillies offense at the time (see Vance Worley for another example of this). Happ is 2-1 this season but his above 5 ERA and less than 2:1 K/BB ratio are a bit alarming. Toronto struggled over the weekend with the Yankees and we look for that to carry over into Baltimore this evening. Neither starting pitcher has been great this season but the Orioles are playing the better baseball of the two teams and we think they have an advantage on the pitching rubber. This number was about 25 cents lower than we made it so the Orioles at home -115 or so will be our Free Play this evening.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

MLB Predictions

Oakland Athletics +122

Neither of these two teams had great weekends, although both have had good starts to their seasons. The Oakland A's were swept in Tampa Bay this weekend, but are still 12-7 on the season and 6-3 on the road. Boston dropped both games of a double header yesterday to go 1-2 over the weekend vs Kansas City, but they are 12-6 on the season and 5-4 at home. Tonight's starter for Oakland is A.J. Griffin who is 2-0 on the year with a 2.25 ERA, .222 OBA and 1.15 WHIP. Last year he was 7-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 4-1 with a 2.90 ERA on the road. Felix Doubront is the starting pitcher for Boston and he has two starts so far going 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA, .325 OBA and 1.70 WHIP. He has lasted just 5 innings in both starts. Last season he went 11-10 with a 4.86 ERA, .259 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. His ERA at Fenway was a high 5.33 last season with batters hitting .278 against him. Take note that these two teams met 9 times last year, and Oakland went 8-1 in those games. That includes a game where Griffin and Doubront squared off and Oakland won 7-1. The A's are 15-2 in Griffin's last 17 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 road starts. They are also 7-0 in their last 7 vs a left handed starter, which isn't too surprising if you look at their Major League best .407 OBP vs lefties. The Red Sox are just 6-20 in their last 26 vs AL West opponents and 1-5 in Doubront's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. I'll take Oakland at a nice price with a favorable pitching match up.


Texas Rangers +102

Two of the AL West's top teams will square off this week for their second series of the year. The Rangers enter 12-6 on the season and 5-4 on the road, and swept Seattle at home over the weekend. The Angels are coming off a sweep of their own vs the Tigers to improve to 7-10 on the year and 5-4 at home. These two teams met 3 times in Texas, with the Rangers taking 2 of the 3. Rangers starter tonight, Derek Holland, pitched in one of those games with the Rangers winning 3-2. Holland is 1-1 on the season with a 1.64 ERA, .171 OBA and 0.77 WHIP. In his last outing he went 7 innings giving up just 2 hits and 0 walks with 6 strikeouts. Despite being 1-1 Holland has been one of the best American League starters to date. In 2012 he was 6-3 with a 3.65 ERA on the road. The Angels send Joe Blanton to the rubber who is 0-3 on the season with a 8.59 ERA, .377 OBA and 2.05 WHIP. He has given up 26 hits in 14.2 innings of work, lasting 5 or less innings in all three starts. Last season he split time with the Dodgers and Phillies and had a 10-13 record with a 4.71 ERA. Take note that the Rangers are 35-17 in Holland's last 52 starts. They are also 5-2 in Holland's last 7 starts vs the Angels. Tonight we have one of the best AL starters so far against one of the worst. Give me Texas with Holland on the mound as an underdog.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, April 22

Larry NessFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee vs. San DiegoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Milwaukee Brewers opened the 2013 season 2-8 but after a 6-0 homestand (3-0 sweeps of the Giants & Cubs), will take a seven-game winning streak into tonight’s game at San Diego. The Padres are 5-13 overall, including a sad-sack 1-5 at home, where they’ve lost FIVE in a row after winning their home opener back on April 9. Kyle Lohse will get the nod for the Brewers. He went 16-3 with a 2.86 ERA in 33 starts for St Louis last season but sat around all winter without a job until Milwaukee called and gave him a three-year, $33 million contract in the last week of spring training. "I did everything in my control to get ready for this," he said. "I went out there and threw to college kids, and I know it's not the same as big league competition, but I was out there doing the same thing I always do to get ready." Clearly, Lohse kept himself sharp, as he’s opened with a 2.70 ERA in three starts, issuing one walk over his 20 innings. He’s yet to earn a win (0-1 / team is 1-2) but one can hardly blame his pitching for that. I like his chances here vs a San Diego lineup which is batting just .243. Jason Marquis goes for the Padres and he’s been a pleasant surprise, posting a 2.41 ERA in his three starts to open 2013 (he's 1-1 and the team 1-2). However, he’s 5-11 with a 5.45 ERA vs the Brewers in 20 career starts (teams are 7-13). Lohse gets his first win of 2013 in this one.

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