Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Duke vs. LouisvilleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Over 137FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these coaches have a history of playing deep into the tournament, so neither team should be excessively tight in this game. Louisville is the #1 see overall, and has played like it thus far with three easy wins. They get a lot off their pressure defense, but I think a lot of that will be negated by the Duke backcourt with Sulaimon, Curry, Thornton and Cook keeping control of the ball. The quartet of guards has 382 assists to just 202 turnovers on the season. Duke turns the ball over just 10.4 times per game on the season. And, this team shoots the ball better than any team Louisville has seen this season. The top three Blue Devils scorers all shoot 46% or better on the season. Duke also has five players that hit better than 38% from beyond the arc - something Louisville has not seen all season. Duke isn't as good defensively as they have been in the past having allowed seven teams in ACC play to top 70 on them. Most of those were the good teams in the league, so I expect this one to play a lot higher scoring than what most think. Louisville has now gone OVER nine straight times on a neutral court and seven straight OVER overall. Take the OVER.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Louisville -3.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cardinals have shown why they are the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament. They won their first two games against North Carolina A&T (79-48) and Colorado State (82-56) by a combined 57 points.
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Louisville went on to beat Oregon (77-69) in the Sweet 16 in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score would indicate. It jumped out to a 24-8 lead and never looked back against the Ducks.
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While Duke has posted three straight double-digit victories, I look for its guards to struggle with Louisville’s press. Having only one day to prepare for it is simply not enough, which is why I like the Cardinals to advance to the Final Four for a second straight year.
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The Cardinals have forced 20 or more turnovers in five of their last eight games overall. Their defense has been playing at a very high level over the past month, which is a big reason why they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
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Duke is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Louisville is 15-3 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons. This trend just goes to show how the Cardinals' style is so tough to beat in these tournament games. Bet Louisville Sunday.

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Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan vs. FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Billy Donovan's Florida Gators matchup well against No. 4 Michigan. This tenacious Gators group are very capable of pressuring Wolverines point guard Trey Burke into rushing his shots, and are more than capable of out muscling forward Mitch McGary in the paint! The Gators ability to to play zone, and to adjust their defense will be the difference maker today!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Louisville -3.5 over Duke: Gonna go with the team that I felt has been the best team in the nation down the stretch. Louisville has been a very dominant down the stretch, going 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS since their loss to the Irish. They have outscored their opponents by 17 ppg during the win streak and have held 11 of those opponents to 61 points or less. Duke has not been as impressive down the stretch. Duke Has gone 6-2 SU in their last 8 games, but just 4-4 ATS, while losing to Virginia on the road and Maryland in the ACC tournament, plus they struggled with Albany in their opening game of the NCAA Tournament, in those last 8 games. Lets also note that despite the fact that Duke beat Louisville earlier in the year, they are still 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs the Big East. The Offenses can put points on the board, but I feel that Louisville has a decided edge on defense. Louisville's defenses is number 1 in the country in terms of efficiency. Duke's is 17th, but they do allow 7.2 ppg more than the Cardinals do. Both teams are 9-1 in neutral site games this year, but Duke has allowed 64 ppg in those games, while the Cardinals have allowed just 58.1. Away from home this year Duke has allowed 70 ppg on 47% shooting, while the Cardinals have allowed 60.2 ppg on 37.9% shooting when taking to the road. The Cardinals have the clear edge on defense and that defense has carried them for much of the year and it will do so again here. Late FT's has Louisville pulling away for a 7-10 points win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas vs. HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 8½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that more than nine runs will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ‘OVER’ record for 74% winners since 1997.  Play Over with all teams against the total (TEXAS) and was a good team from last season winning between 54% to 62% of their games and playing a terrible team from last year that win <=38%. This marks the last season that Houston will be in the National League and it will be potentially one of the worst victory laps in the history of MLB. They have some talent led by Carlos Lee and starting pitcher Wandy Rodriguez, but generally this team is a barely above the Triple-A level of play. Texas will have a potent lineup again and are contenders in the AL West, which will be the most highly contested division in baseball this season. Harrison starts for Texas while Nurd Norris will start for Houston. Norris is one of the under rated players on the Astros. He is a strikeout starter, who will post solid season stats, but his win-loss record will suffer due to poor defensive play and/or poor offensive production. However, I am focused on tonight’s game and I Bellevue the hitters on both clubs will get to both starters. Take the ‘OVER’

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Michael AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto vs WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Washington Wizards have been a different team at home than on the road, and they'll aim for their seventh straight victory at Verizon Center when they host the Toronto Raptors tonight. The Wizards are coming off consecutive road losses to Oklahoma City and Orlando, but they're riding their longest home winning streak since a 10-game run in 2006-07. The Raptors are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference while Washington is 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami/ San Antonio Under 198; Gonna go right to the big one and normally in big games you tend to see a lower scoring game. That hasn't happened that much in this series of late, but I feel it will today and it all starts with defense. Miami has struggled some with their defense in the first half of games, but this team has made the Adjustments and have been light's out at the end of the floor in the second half. Overall the heat are 7th in points allowed (95.5 ppg), while allowing just 94.9 ppg on the road. Granted the Spurs average 105.6 ppg at home, but not today as this Heat defense is just too locked in. The Heat average 99.4 ppg on the road, but I don't see them putting that up here vs a Spurs team that allows just 94.2 ppg on their home floor. We know that these teams have the ability to score a ton, but defense will win this game and that has me expecting no more than 190 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 31

NHL Predictions

Dallas Stars +101

The Los Angeles Kings are 19-12-3 on the year, but just 7-8-2 on the road this season.  They are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss last night in Minnesota, and will be playing in their 4th straight road game tonight.  It will be a quick turn around for the Kings with last night’s game an 8:00 PM EST start and today’s a 6:00 PM EST start.  The Kings had played three playoff teams this week leading up to this game (Chicago, St Louis, Minnesota) and tonight’s game in Dallas seems to be a let down spot for the Kings.  Dallas is 16-14-3 on the year, and 8-7-2 at home.  They are coming off a 5-3 home win vs Minnesota, making them 3-1 in their last 4 games.  One of those wins was a 2-0 victory in Los Angeles.  The Stars are actually 2-0 against the Kings this season with both games being played in Los Angeles.  Dallas is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings with the Kings.  This should be a good spot for the Stars behind Kari Lehtonen who had a 40 save shutout last time these two teams last week.  I’ll take the Stars as home underdogs vs the Kings on less than 24 hours rest.

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