Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 24

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 24

Harry BondiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LA SALLE (+4.5) over MississippiFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We've gone 3-0 here in the FREE PICK page during the Big Dance and today we'll go with a dog catching an inflated price. Mississippi has been on an incredible run, following a shocking upset over Florida in the SEC Championship with a first-round upset over Wisconsin. But now the Rebels are the favorite, instead of being in their preferred role of the underdog. Ole Miss has been carried this year by the SEC's leading scorer, Marshall Henderson, but a one-man act can only take a team so far. Look for the Explorers to limit Henderson, keep this one close throughout and walk away with the upset victory.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 24

Bryan Power

La Salle vs. Mississippi
Pick: Mississippi

In addition to going 4-1-1 Saturday, I also nailed a free play on Michigan State, and I'll stick with the NCAA Tournament in this space for Sunday as I'm going with Ole Miss to cover against LaSalle in the rare 12 vs. 13 (seed) matchup. Prior to Ohio University turning the trick last year, teams seeded 13 or lower typically don't experience a lot of success in the Round of 32.  There has never been a 15 seed to advance to the Sweet 16 while only two 14 seeds have done it, the last coming all the way back in 1997.  Harvard really struggled against Arizona yesterday, never coming close to covering, and keep in mind they were getting several more points than LaSalle, a 13-seed, is here.  Last year saw Ohio become just the FIFTH 13-seed to make a Sweet 16 appearance. Typically, the 12 seeds have dominated this pairing, going 8-2 straight up all-time with one of those losses obviously coming last year with Ohio over South Florida.

For the 1st game and a half, LaSalle was shooting out of its mind in the NCAA Tournament.  But then the second half happened against Kansas State, and I'm beginning to have my doubts about the Explorers.  They ended up shooting only 42% for the game after hitting 63% against Boise State in an opening round contest.  Playing a third game since Wednesday certainly does not help LaSalle's chances here.  Meanwhile, Mississippi shot just 38% and still won comfortably against Wisconsin on Friday.   The Rebels seem to be peaking right now (5-0 ATS L5!) and I'll side with them here.

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Teddy Covers

Portland vs. Oklahoma City
Pick: Oklahoma City

The Thunder have spent the season hammering teams like Portland at home.  The results don’t lie.  The Thunder are 26-12 ATS this year when laying -8 or higher, blowing out the teams they are supposed to blow out.  The Thunder also are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 tries at home against opponents with a .400 or lower winning percentage on the road, like the Blazers squad they’ll face today.

Portland, on the other hand, is in a lousy spot today.  The Blazers are playing the final game of a grueling five game, seven day road trip.  This is not a ‘dig down deep’ spot for the road underdog – they’ve won SU at Atlanta and Chicago in their last two games, making it a successful cross country journey regardless of today’s outcome.

OKC has dominated this series, winning each of the last six meetings between these two teams while going 4-1-1 ATS.  Three of the last four wins against Portland have been blowouts by 14 points or more.  And let’s not forget that with the lowest scoring bench in the league, the Blazers aren’t primed to rally from behind if things get ugly here……which I suspect they will!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 24

Hollywood Sports

Washington at New York
Prediction: Under

New York (15-13-0-2) looks to rebound from their 3-1 loss to Florida on Thursday -- and they have seen the Under go 15-5-8 in their last 28 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-2 in the Rangers' last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Washington (14-16-1-0) has won two in a row after the 6-1 win at Winnipeg on Friday. This is the Capitals fourth game since Tuesday -- and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 four-in-six situations. Additionally, while the Rangers are 10-6-0-1 at home this season, Washington has seen the Under go 14-4-3 in their last 21 games on the road. Expect these complementary team trends to continue in this one by taking the Under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 24

Jeff Alexander

Charlotte Bobcats +17

This Miami team is tired. This will be its 5th game in 8 days and it's had to expend a lot of energy in its last 3 games to erase double-digit deficits. The Heat have another game tomorrow against an Orlando team that nearly ended their streak Mar. 6 so they will be looking to win this game while using as little energy as possible. The Bobcats have played Miami tough this season, losing the prior meetings by 13 and 5. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10 points or more. Bet the Bobcats.

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Cajun Sports

Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns    
Play: Brooklyn Nets   

The Phoenix Suns qualify in two systems that tell us to Play AGAINST them on Sunday night in their game versus the Brooklyn Nets. We want to Play AGAINST NBA home teams with no more than one day’s rest after an eleven or more point loss where they scored at least sixty points while shooting less than forty percent from the field and sixty percent from the line. These play against teams are 11-32 ATS since 2005. We want to Play AGAINST NBA teams during the regular season at home with less than two days rest when they are coming off a loss by more than ten points in which they shot less than forty percent from the field as long as they were not a double-digit dog in that loss. These play against teams are 10-26 ATS.

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