Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UTEP vs. Southern MissFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UTEPFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In this battle of number 2 versus number 3 seed, these teams have each clinched a post-season appearance but understand this is an elimination game for their NCAA hopes. In an earlier meeting played in Hattiesburg, home-standing S Miss got the victory 45-39, despite UTEP getting the cover with their preferred tempo, with a far superior defense. Though UTEP got the cover in that game, I believe they eat the whole pie today. S Miss runs deep and loves a fast pace. In a top play winner for us yesterday, they demolished UAB shooting 53% from the field, knocking down 9/22 threes’, owning the boards with a +11 margin. But true to their season form they committed 15 turnovers. It will be the Golden Eagles’ undoing today as every possession will matter in this contest. Under veteran HC Floyd, a young UTEP team is playing its best ball of the season; not only are they defensively tenacious with numbers of 60/41, but they are playing with the confidence that comes from winning. Since mid-February, they are 5-2 SU but 7-0 ATS with their only losses at S Miss and by 2 at home to Memphis. In a game where it’s a matter of tempo and each team playing with need, must favor the better coach, the defense, and the slower tempo.

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Colorado State vs. UNLVFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Colorado StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Even if Colorado State lost Dorian Green this team does not give up and I think 4.5 points is a lot to work with and gives us crazy good value for the match up where each team won at home during the regular season as a -4, but Colorado State won ATS for both and I expect them to do that here again today. Colton Iverson is a fearless leader and I expect them to continue to play well as they search to get into the NCAA Tournament.

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Memphis vs. DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DenverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Denver Nuggets are red hot right now, winners of 10 straight, but they face another hot team tonight, with the Memphis Grizzlies in town. The Grizzlies are winners of 14 of their last 15 overall. Memphis is coming off a big win in L.A. over the Clippers on Wednesday, while the Nuggets are coming off another blowout win at home over the Knicks.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1: Fatigue - The Grizzlies are on a West Coast road trip, playing their third straight game away from home, and this will be their third game in four nights. Playing in a 3-in-4 situation isn't easy at the best of times, but it may prove to be particularly tough in the high altitude of Denver. Another concern for Memphis will be the health of star PF Zach Randolf, who played on back-to-back nights after returning to the lineup from injury. Randolf did not show any signs of rust against the Clippers, but Memphis might not want to push it with Randolf logging heavy minutes tonight.
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2: Recent History - Denver isn't just winners of 10 straight overall, they are also perfect against the spread, covering the points in each of those victories. They have a home record of 29-3, and they have won 14 in a row in Denver.
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3: X-Factor - Good teams in the NBA have two or three players that are capable of being the deciding factor on any given night. Denver has an embarrassment of riches, and they have a long list of such players, not just the starters but well into their bench as well. It could be the "Manimal" Kenneth Faried, it could be Iggy, Wilson Chandler, Ty Lawson, Gallinari or Andre Miller. I expect depth in scoring to be one of the X-Factors for the Nuggets tonight.

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Detroit vs. EdmontonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit is 12-10-5 overall, but just 3-6-2 on the road. It's coming off three straight losses, and will definitely be looking to get untracked against a team it's enjoyed plenty of success against. The Wings have played the Oilers twice so far in this strike-shortened season, winning 2-1 at home on February 9th, before it won 3-0 in Detroit once again, on March 7th. Most recently Detroit fell 5-2 at Calgary. Kind of a disappointing result when realizing that the Wings actually held a 38-22 edge in shots: ''That was a disturbing loss, because all we had to do was continue to do things right, and you win the game,'' Red Wings coach Mike Babcock said after. ''Whether we don't have the maturity as a group, or the stick-to-it-ness, there is no sense in what happened here.'' Edmonton is 10-11-5 overall and 4-4-2 at home. The Oilers have won two straight, including a 4-0 effort at Colorado on Tuesday. Two days earlier they won 6-5 at Chicago. This situation definitely points to a higher-scoring game. The Wings are hungry to break out of a slide, and the Oilers are eager to keep the momentum rolling. While the first two games of this season series went under the posted number, I firmly believe this one will go the other way.

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Texas State vs. New Mexico St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New Mexico St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Looking for Cinderella in March?  That slipper doesn’t fit better than it does for 12-21 Texas State, which has already won twice at the WAC Tourney and dumped heavily-favored Denver in a quarterfinal shocker on Thursday. But despite the peculiarities of this far-flung conference, can’t see the Bobcats advancing much further, especially since their size disadvantage was exploited so ruthlessly in a pair of double-digit NMSU regular-season wins, when the physically imposing Aggies dominated the glass by a combined 75-51 over the two games.  It would help NMSU if menacing-looking 6-5 F Tyrone Watson (who scored double digits in both games in his recent return to active duty after a suspension related to choking and stomping a fellow student—we told you he was menacing—now iffy with an ankle that kept him out of Thursday’s quarterfinal) is available.  But the Ags functioned well minus him in February and did again vs. Idaho on Thursday when 6-4 skywalking wing Daniel Mullings exploded for 23 points.

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Iowa St. vs. KansasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Iowa St.FOR REE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cyclones defeated Oklahoma Thursday, and they will face Big 12 rivals Kansas in the quarterfinals in Kansas City Friday. These two teams have played a couple of tight games earlier this season, but the Cyclones lost both of those both on their home court, as well as at Kansas.
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They went down fighting though, sending each of those games to overtime, only to lose in the extra frame.
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While Kansas has won nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, they haven't been able to cover the points in a lot of those victories. The Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Jayhawks. Iowa State has also covered the number in six of it's last eight games overall.
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The Jayhawks have won eight of their last 10 overall, and they have covered the spread in eight of those previous 10 games as well. If you take away their home games however, we see a totally different trend emerge. Four of their last 10 game were on the road, and they lost two of those four, failing to cover in each of those losses. The other two games were both close, each of those requiring overtime to decide a winner.
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The Jayhawks didn't have any trouble with Texas Tech playing at a neutral site, but the Red Raiders are bottom feeders in the Big 12. We should see the Cyclones give them all they can handle today, and we will be getting plenty of points considering the previous two meetings between these teams each went to overtime.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Miami -7.5 over Boston College: The Eagles have played very hard this year and have pulled some upsets along the way and they are off a big 20 point win over Georgia Tech, after trailing 15-0 in the game, but this is a Miami that is rested and should be rejuvenated after slumping a bit down the stretch. For Boston College it was a one player show for them yesterday, and Hanlan not poured in 41 points then Boston College would probably not be in this game. You can't expect the Kid to have the same kind of performance vs a much tougher Miami defense in this one and they will need the whole team to keep it close. In the two meetings this year Miami held BC to just 54.5 ppg on 41.1% shooting and they should keep them in that range again here. Miami is not a deep team, but they got the rest they needed and should come out and try to make a statement here with a huge win over a team that may be just a bit flat after their big come from behind win yesterday.

Ohio State -13.5 over Nebraska: The Cornhuskers played well at home this year, but away from their friendly confines they were just 4-11 and were outscored by 12.1 ppg. In their 7 Big 10 road losses this year they were outscored by 19.1 ppg, and hey did lose to the Buckeyes by 26 on the road. The Huskers are off a big upset win over Purdue yesterday. while the Buckeyes come in rested and ready to make a run at the Big 10/11/12 tournament Title. The Buckeyes have been dominant down the stretch, especially defensively, allowing just 54.2 ppg in their last 5 games and that is not good news for a Husker squad that has averaged just 55.6 ppg away from home this year. The Buckeye offense has not been great this year, bu they have averaged 67.4 ppg in their last 5 games and Nebraska's defense has been erratic, allowing 70+ points in 5 of their last 8 games. he Huskers just won't nearly put up enough points to keep his one close. I smell a blowout here.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LaSalle +117 over Butler
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The Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York will be the site of this Atlantic-10 Conference semi-final between the well-known Butler Bulldogs and the much lesser known LaSalle Explorers. This is the time of year that thousands of casual bettors reload their betting accounts in preparation for next week’s main event. The Bulldogs are the most overrated mid-major team in the country in relation to other mid-major programs because of their back-to-back runs to the national championship game in 2010 and 2011. The oddsmakers have set a price here to attract plenty of action on the favorite and they are going to get it but not from us.
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Butler hasn’t defeated a top five A-10 school since they won over Temple way back on January 26th. Since then, they’ve played four games against teams above them in the Atlantic-10 standings and lost them all. On January 23rd, they lost to these same Explorers. Meanwhile, the Explorers have wins over Butler, VCU and Villanova. Their 11-5 conference record is the same as the Bulldogs’ conference mark. La Salle hasn't been invited to the Big Dance since 1992. They are right on the bubble now. A win here would go a long way towards solidifying a birth in next week's festivities and you can expect all focus from LaSalle to be on this, its most important game in a very long time. Butler is already in with 25 wins on the season.
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Georgetown -2 -110 over SYRACUSE
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The Orange get the benefit of playing in front of a partisan New York crowd at Madison Square Gardens but that provides us with a better number than if the game were played at a more neutral site. Jim Boeheim's squad is still considered to be one of the dozen best teams in the country. We’re not buying that for a second on a Syracuse team that had lost seven of 12 games before defeating Seton Hall in the season finale. Four of Syracuse’s five victories during that span were against teams that aren't going to the Big Dance.
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Georgetown has one of the most versatile players in college basketball in Otto Porter Jr. and in two games, Syracuse has shown they can’t stop him or even contain him. Hoyas coach, John Thompson III is one of the best at exploiting weaknesses and making the opposition pay for not being able to matchup. This is a Georgetown team that, while developing an offensive identity, already had a defensive identity. The Hoyas do not beat themselves, you have to beat them and Syracuse has not come close to proving they can compete with this foe no matter what floor they play on.
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Colorado +172 over Arizona
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The GM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas will be the site of this quarter-final, PAC-12 matchup and while the 4½-points being offered may look appealing, we like the Buffaloes enough to play them outright. Money was to be made betting against Arizona throughout the course of the Pac-12 season. The Wildcats are still mired in a long-term 7-14 ATS slump, including a 2-8 ATS mark on the road. Arizona is a decent team but the Wildcats are continually priced incorrectly, largely due to its #18 ranking and at early-season one-point (lucky) wins against Florida and San Diego State which anointed this team as an elite-level squad. We aren’t fooled.
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Colorado is a real matchup problem for the Wildcats. In the first meeting of the season between these two on January 3 in Arizona, the Buffaloes lost in OT. When the teams met in Boulder on February 14, Colorado exacted revenge with a 71-58 victory. One could argue that the Buffaloes were the better club in both matchups, especially in the second game. Now Colorado comes into this one with plenty of hot shooters, including 6’5 guard Spencer Dinwiddle, who has gone off for 20 points or more in five of the schools’ last eight games. The Wildcats are in the field of 68 at the main event. Teams that have their tickets punched already often relax at these rather meaningless conference tournaments. To qualify for the upcoming tourney, the Buffaloes have to win the Pac-12 tournament. They opened the tourney with a win over Oregon State yesterday and suddenly two more wins after this one seems attainable. A more focused team in a favorable matchup certainly has a solid chance to pull off the upset.

Pass NBA

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SPORTS WAGERS

New Jersey +135 over PHILADELPHIA

After the Flyers lost 5-2 in New Jersey on Tuesday, Ilya Bryzgalov had this to say, “I'm just tired of losing ... tired of losing. I have no emotions, nothing to say. Another disappointing loss.” That’s pretty much the sentiment of the entire Philadelphia team as its playoffs chances look dimmer with each passing game. With four losses in its past five games, Philly is 11th in the East and overall, they have fewer points than Columbus. With a defense that is out of position and slower than most, the Flyers offense simply can’t compensate. Ilya Bryzgalov’s save percentage has dropped to .898 and the defense keeps hanging him out to dry. The Flyers, demoralized and playing with very little confidence will now step on the ice again against a team they cannot beat.

New Jersey has defeated Philly in seven straight games while scoring three or more in each one of those victories. In two games against the Flyers this season, the Devils have scored five goals each time. New Jersey comes in back on track, having won three of four with only loss over that span occurring against the Canes in a game they outshot Carolina 34-22. Momentum, talent, confidence, offense and defense all favor the visitor. Throw in the psychological edge the Devils have and the generous offering and it becomes a must play.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa Hawkeyes +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Iowa Hawkeyes have inched closer to making the NCAA Tournament thanks to a great run to close out the season. I look for them to likely upset the Michigan State Spartans tonight in the Big Ten Tournament, but I'll take the points for some added insurance.
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Iowa has won three straight and four of its last five games overall while going a perfect 5-0 ATS in the process. Its only loss came at Big Ten champ Indiana 60-73 as a 13.5-point underdog. All four of its wins during this stretch have come by 8 points or more, including three by double-digits.
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Michigan State clearly showed its vulnerability down the stretch this season. It lost three of its final five games with both of its wins coming at home over Wisconsin and Northwestern. The Spartans beat the Hawkeyes 62-59 on January 10th in their lone meeting during the regular season, which clearly places Iowa in revenge mode. It has improved by leaps and bounds since that defeat.
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The Hawkeyes are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall. Iowa is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games following a win. The Hawkeyes are an incredible 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. They have played their best in the biggest games, and this certainly classifies as one of them as they will be fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives. Bet Iowa Friday.

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Steve Janus

Iowa State Cyclones +5.5

There's no team in the country that Iowa State wants to beat more than the Jayhawks. Kansas escaped with a 97-89 win at home thanks to a fluke 3-pointer at the buzzer to send the game into overtime. They then received a very controversial call at Iowa State that allowed them to once again steal a win in overtime. The Cyclones match up extremely well with Kansas, which is why the Jayhawks have had so much trouble against this team. Not only do I think Iowa State will cover the spread, I expect them to win this game outright.

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Bob BalfeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas Mavericks -7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas is starting to play much better and will be facing a shorthanded Cavs team tonight. Cleveland is a bad basketball team to begin with and Dallas needs a big easy win to make a playoff run. With Kobe injured for the Lakers that last spot is within reach for this team. Take Dallas.
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Georgetown -2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I am shocked Syracuse won yesterday, but then again it was against Pitt who always chokes in big games. Georgetown is a much more complete team and I believe this line is set low because people are going to back Cuse mainly due to history. Georgetown had not problem with this team a few days ago. What has changed? Take Georgetown.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Wunderdog

Memphis at Denver
Pick: Denver -5

It is hard to ignore what is happening in Denver, as the Nuggets have been playing at a blistering pace. The Nuggets are now on a 10-game winning streak, and at the same time are 9-0-1 ATS. Denver has just three home losses on the season, and have scored 100+ in 24 of their last 25 games. Memphis has played well themselves, but are simply running into a team that is even hotter, and overall more talented, with a huge home-court advantage. The Nuggets have been especially focused against a team with a winning road record as they are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 against them. This has never been a comfortable place for Memphis who is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 trips here. Take the home team to extend their streak.

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Harry Bondi

SYRACUSE (+2) over Georgetown

The Hoyas absolutely embarrassed Syracuse just six days ago, laying down a 61-39 whooping on Senior Day. In that game, the Orange shot a dismal 1-for-11 from three-point land and just 31% overall from the field, a full 14 percentage points lower than their season average. Playing with double revenge, we don't expect Syracuse to shoot that poorly again, especially since they will be extra motivated to make a title run in what will their final appearance in the Big East Conference Tournament. Jim Boeheim is 9-2 ATS the last 10 years when revenging a loss of 20 points or more to an opponent and that trend rings true again today. Take the points!

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Alf MusketaFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago at Golden StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Golden StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It is almost impossible to invest in a team that is in a slump like the Chicago Bulls. They have lost four of their last five games and the Golden State Warriors look to make it six straight road losses for the Bulls. Sure, you may declare that most of those road losses were due to their strength of schedule and a run versus top teams like Oklahoma City, Indiana, San Antonio and the L.A. Lakers. However their last loss was embarrassing.
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Losing to the Sacramento Kings is one thing, but 121-79 is ridiculous and might be saying that their team simply didn't put out an effort that night or took a night off. But the Bulls have been sliding down the Eastern Conference ladder for many weeks losing seven of their last 11 games. They are one more loss from falling to seventh place in the conference.
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If I could point to one stat that determines the outcome of an NBA game, I'll take shooting percentage almost every time. And Chicago has been horrendous at putting the ball in the basket. They shot 38 percent from the field against the Kings and under 40 percent in each of those five road loses. Not having Kirk Hinrich (questionable for tonight's game), Rip Hamilton or Taj Gibson in the line-up, all of whom are injured, is not helping the Bulls put points on the board and perhaps also the anticipation of Derrick Rose returning is hindering the team's focus.
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Golden State is 2-0 versus Chicago at home in the last two years, and they have won 10 of their last 13 home games. I made the line Warriors -7 and would lay -6 or less in this contest.

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Andrew Lange   

Missouri vs. Mississippi
Play: Mississippi

When people think Ole Miss they think an underachieving squad that recently did the unthinkable and lost to woeful Mississippi State. But this is a squad that still won 23 games and went a respectable 12-6 in SEC play. Are there flaws? Absolutely. But I like the fact that rather than pack it in the Rebels beat Alabama and went on the road and roughed up LSU following the embarrassing lost to rival MSU. Missouri played a tougher SEC slate than Ole Miss but at 11-7 in league play, the Tigers also have flaws most notably performing well away from home against quality competition. I'm whipping the slate clean with the underdog and giving them a shot to stick around and potentially pull off the upset.

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Teddy Covers 

Cleveland at Dallas
Play: Cleveland

Dallas is in a very tough scheduling spot this evening.  They played their guts out last night against San Antonio but came up a single point short, a hard fought defeat for a shorthanded team right now. 

It doesn’t look like the Mavericks are going to have starting forward Shawn Marion on the floor again this evening, and starting center Chris Kaman is a major question mark after twisting his ankle last night.  Last night’s loss dropped the Mavs into a tie with Portland in the West, both teams three games out of the final playoff spot. 

For a sub .500 team like Dallas, it’s hard to picture them coming with maximum intensity here on the second night of back-to-backs.  And we certainly shouldn’t forget that the Mavs have lost two of their last three at home in SU fashion, while the lone home win during that span came by only four points.

Cleveland notched a victory without injured point guard Kyrie Irving against Washington earlier this week.  And the Cavs have been cashing winning bet after winning bet as a road underdog, including SU wins at Portland, Toronto, Orlando and Chicago, as well as a pair of pointspread covering losses in four point defeats at the hands of the Heat and Raptors in their last seven tries on the highway.   The Cavs lost by only three on their lone visit to Dallas last year and a similarly tight game tonight would be no surprise for this bettor!

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Tony Karpinski

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State    
Play: Oklahoma State 

Neither team has an amazing big man to crush the boards, but OSU rebounds the ball slightly better, which will keep things moving. Which they have to do, as well as they need to stay aggressive. Oklahoma State has a bigger squad on the floor most times; they bring some beef, especially with their solid guard, Le'Bryan Nash. And with Nash playing how he has been, I anticipate big things from him and the defense and rebounding to be the difference.

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Miami -7.5 over Boston College: The Eagles have played very hard this year and have pulled some upsets along the way and they are off a big 20 point win over Georgia Tech, after trailing 15-0 in the game, but this is a Miami that is rested and should be rejuvenated after slumping a bit down the stretch. For Boston College it was a one player show for them yesterday, and Hanlan not poured in 41 points then Boston College would probably not be in this game. You can't expect the Kid to have the same kind of performance vs a much tougher Miami defense in this one and they will need the whole team to keep it close. In the two meetings this year Miami held BC to just 54.5 ppg on 41.1% shooting and they should keep them in that range again here. Miami is not a deep team, but they got the rest they needed and should come out and try to make a statement here with a huge win over a team that may be just a bit flat after their big come from behind win yesterday. Yes


Ohio State -13.5 over Nebraska: The Cornhuskers played well at home this year, but away from their friendly confines they were just 4-11 and were outscored by 12.1 ppg. In their 7 Big 10 road losses this year they were outscored by 19.1 ppg, and hey did lose to the Buckeyes by 26 on the road. The Huskers are off a big upset win over Purdue yesterday. while the Buckeyes come in rested and ready to make a run at the Big 10/11/12 tournament Title. The Buckeyes have been dominant down the stretch, especially defensively, allowing just 54.2 ppg in their last 5 games and that is not good news for a Husker squad that has averaged just 55.6 ppg away from home this year. The Buckeye offense has not been great this year, bu they have averaged 67.4 ppg in their last 5 games and Nebraska's defense has been erratic, allowing 70+ points in 5 of their last 8 games. he Huskers just won't nearly put up enough points to keep his one close. I smell a blowout here.


Tulsa/ Memphis Over 137.5: Tempo will be key here and both teams do play an uptempo style. Memphis check in averaging 75.1 ppg on the year, including averaging 78.4 ppg in their last 10 games. Memphis is 24th in the nation in pace and 76th in offensive efficiency. This very good offense will take on a Tulsa defense that has not played well of late, allowing  70+ points in 8 of their last 9 games, giving up 73.9 ppg (Reg) over that stretch. In the lone meeting between these teams, Tulsa allowed 94 points to the Tigers. Offensively the Golden Hurricanes have been very solid down the stretch, putting up 74.8 ppg in their last 5 games. They are also an uptempo team, ranking 84th in the nation in tempo. Memphis is a good defensive squad, but in a high tempo game they can give up some points and I expect this to be a high tempo game. Tulsa has more than enough offense to hit the high 60's while Memphis should be good for 75+ of their own. I look for this one to be played in the mid 140's.


Oklahoma State/ Kansas State Over 133: These teams played twice this year with 146 and 140 points being scored in those games. Oklahoma State has put up 70+ points in 5 of their last 6 games and they have averaged 76 ppg in their last 4 games. Oklahoma State on defense has not been great of late as they have allowed 68.2 ppg in their last 5 games and Kansas State did score 73 and 70 points vs them in the two meetings this year. In winning 8 of their last 7 games Kansas State has averaged 73.4 ppg and they have scored at least 66 points in 9 of their last 11 games. They should be good for at least that much vs this struggling OSU defense. Kasnas State has played great defense this year, but have struggled vs good offenses this year, allowing 67+ points to OSU twice, Iowa state and Kansas, and they can be inconsistent as well, allowing 68 to TCU and 69 to Texas, which are not good offensive teams. Should be a good game, and maybe a foul fest at the end as well. I look for each team to put up at least 67 points in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Don Best Consensus

Magic at Thunder
Pick: Over

Over is 13-3 in Orlando's last 16 vs. Western Conference. Over is 5-0 in Orlando's last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Both teams allow about 100 ppg so we like it over .

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