Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Memphis at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 12-0 ATS record in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. Denver is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5)

Game 801-802: New Orleans at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.174; Washington 120.220
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4); Under

Game 803-804: LA Lakers at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.166; Indiana 127.279
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 10; 190
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Charlotte at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 103.752; Toronto 114.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 12; 194
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+12); Over

Game 807-808: Phoenix at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 109.967; Atlanta 120.240
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Minnesota at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.907; Houston 125.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+14 1/2); Under

Game 811-812: Orlando at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 109.330; Oklahoma City 123.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+16 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Cleveland at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 114.682; Dallas 123.795
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 9; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); Under

Game 815-816: Miami at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.913; Milwaukee 119.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5 1/2); Over

Game 817-818: Memphis at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.799; Denver 132.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 195
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Under

Game 819-820: Chicago at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.152; Golden State 117.781
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4 1/2); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Indiana vs. Illinois 
The Hoosiers look to take advantage of a Illinois team that is coming off a 51-49 win over Minnesota yesterday and is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Indiana is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9)

Game 821-822: Boston College vs. Miami (FL)  (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 60.746; Miami (FL) 70.439
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-7 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: NC State vs. Virginia (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.885; Virginia 69.485
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: NC State by 2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 825-826: Maryland vs. Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 61.400; Duke 76.255
Dunkel Line: Duke by 15; 135
Vegas Line: Duke by 13; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-13); Under

Game 827-828: Florida State vs. North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 62.569; North Carolina 68.756
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 6; 146
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8; 142
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+8); Over

Game 829-830: Indiana vs. Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 77.505; Illinois 66.260
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 11; 135
Vegas Line: Indiana by 9; 139
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); Under

Game 831-832: Michigan vs. Wisconsin (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 70.269; Wisconsin 68.820
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3 1/2); Over

Game 833-834: Nebraska vs. Ohio State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 60.289; Ohio State 74.598
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 112
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 13 1/2; 119
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-13 1/2); Under

Game 835-836: Iowa vs. Michigan State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 69.175; Michigan State 72.342
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3; 130
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+5); Over

Game 837-838: St. Louis vs. Charlotte (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 69.829; Charlotte 52.334
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 17 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 11; 126
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-11); Over

Game 839-840: LaSalle vs. Butler (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 62.329; Butler 66.074
Dunkel Line: Butler by 3 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 132
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1); Under

Game 841-842: St. Joseph's vs. VCU (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 61.999; VCU 70.407
Dunkel Line: VCU by 8 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: VCU by 7; 133
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-7); Over

Game 843-844: Massachusetts vs. Temple (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.848; Temple 65.620
Dunkel Line: Temple by 6; 145
Vegas Line: Temple by 5; 149
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-5); Under

Game 845-846: LSU vs. Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 60.721; Florida 77.720
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 125
Vegas Line: Florida by 15; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-15); Under

Game 847-848: Tennessee vs. Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 67.601; Alabama 62.593
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5; 126
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2; 118
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1 1/2); Over

Game 849-850: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 60.341; Kentucky 68.751
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 6 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-6 1/2); Over

Game 851-852: Missouri vs. Mississippi (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 71.536; Mississippi 64.376
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7; 147
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-4 1/2); Under

Game 853-854: UTEP vs. Southern Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 60.188; Southern Mississippi 61.927
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3); Over

Game 855-856: Memphis vs. Tulsa (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.195; Tulsa 54.087
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 13; 133
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11 1/2); Under

Game 857-858: Kent State vs. Akron (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 58.437; Akron 58.834
Dunkel Line: Even; 142
Vegas Line: Akron by 4; 136
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+4); Over

Game 859-860: Western Michigan vs. Ohio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 52.769; Ohio 60.057
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 7 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Ohio by 6; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-6); Under

Game 861-862: Syracuse vs. Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 68.500; Georgetown 73.787
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 5 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2); Over

Game 863-864: Notre Dame vs. Louisville (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 67.466; Louisville 76.542
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9; 120
Vegas Line: Louisville by 8; 123
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-8); Under

Game 865-866: Iowa State vs. Kansas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 67.110; Kansas 75.523
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 8 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Kansas by 6; 143
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-6); Under

Game 867-868: Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 69.083; Kansas State 67.459
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Pick; 132
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State; Over

Game 869-870: Arizona vs. UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 65.965; UCLA 64.614
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 142
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4); Over

Game 871-872: Utah vs. Oregon (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 55.804; Oregon 64.965
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9; 122
Vegas Line: Oregon by 7; 125
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-7); Under

Game 873-874: Texas State vs. New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 52.761; New Mexico State 60.975
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 8; 146
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+9 1/2); Over

Game 875-876: TX-San Antonio vs. TX-Arlington (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 47.626; TX-Arlington 55.743
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 9; 122
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 5; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-5); Under

Game 877-878: New Mexico vs. San Diego State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.566; San Diego State 66.053
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 1 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-1 1/2); Under

Game 879-880: UNLV vs. Colorado State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 69.194; Colorado State 65.715
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 3 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: UNLV by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 881-882: Cal Poly vs. Pacific (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 54.273; Pacific 57.597
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 3 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Pacific by 2; 120
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-2); Under

Game 883-884: UC-Irvine vs. Long Beach State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 55.846; Long Beach State 53.621
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 2; 139
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 1; 134
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1); Over

Game 885-886: North Dakota vs. Weber State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 48.160; Weber State 59.543
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 11 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Weber State by 9 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-9 1/2); Over

Game 887-888: Northern Colorado vs. Montana (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 47.011; Montana 57.836
Dunkel Line: Montana by 11; 132
Vegas Line: Montana by 9; 135
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-9); Under

Game 889-890: Prairie View A&M vs. Jackson State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View A&M 36.919; Jackson State 44.538
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 7 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Jackson State by 4; 132
Dunkel Pick: Jackson State (-4); Under

Game 891-892: Alabama A&M vs. Southern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 37.184; Southern 50.816
Dunkel Line: Southern by 13 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Southern by 12; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern (-12); Over

Game 893-894: Bethune-Cookman vs. Morgan State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 45.991; Morgan State 52.541
Dunkel Line: Morgan State by 6 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 5 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (-5 1/2); Under

Game 895-896: Delaware State vs. North Carolina A&T (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 44.162; North Carolina A&T 46.477
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 2 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 4 1/2; 110
Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 897-898: SE Louisiana vs. Stephen F. Austin (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 44.349; Stephen F. Austin 60.257
Dunkel Line: Stephen F. Austin by 16; 119
Vegas Line: Stephen F. Austin by 14 1/2; 115
Dunkel Pick: Stephen F. Austin (-14 1/2); Over

Game 899-900: Sam Houston State vs. Northwestern State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 47.216; Northwestern State 55.103
Dunkel Line: Northwestern State by 8; 133
Vegas Line: Northwestern State by 7; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (-7); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Mexico vs. San Diego St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San Diego St. FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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San Diego State won 55-34 at home over New Mexico on January 26th, before New Mexico won 70-60 over SDSU on February 27th.
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San Diego State is is coming off a 73-67 win over Boise State on the 13th. Jamaal Franklin had 19 points and eight boards; Xavier Thames had 18 points; Chase Tapley had 17, and four steals: "The game plan going in was just pressuring the ball more and getting into them," said Tapley after. "We got a lot of deflections that led to fast breaks. That's what we need to do for 40 minutes; we can't do it for 20. But I liked our new concept, pressuring the ball and getting them out of their comfort zone on offense." .
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New Mexico is coming off a 59-46 win over Wyoming on the 13th. Tony Snell had 15 points.
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Statistical Analysis
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Note that San Diego State has won 91 straight games that it's led with five minutes remaining.
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Note that New Mexico led start to finish in its win over Wyoming.
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Pick Analysis
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Two very evenly matched teams, and each comes into this contest with considerable momentum. But after watching the Aztecs' impressive defensive performance last time out, I believe they'll pull off the victory tonight, and win the season series. Consider a second look at the underdog in this Mountain West Conference semi-final tournament game!

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Heat at Milwaukee BucksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Miami HeatFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The good news for Milwaukee fans is that their Bucks are currently in the 8th position in the Eastern Conference playoff race and in great shape to reach the post-season for the first time since 2010. The bad news is that if they remain in that spot, they will have to take on the Heat in the first round So now is the time to put together a couple of winning streaks in order to move up and draw the Pacers or Knicks instead. Management did their part at the trade deadline by picking up sharpshooter J.J. Redick from Orlando without giving up much, and the Bucks have responded after it looked like things were slipping away during a 1-7 skid that surrounded the All-Star break. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, this game falls in a dreaded scheduling spot: the 5th game in 7 nights. On top of that, the Heat should come in seething for payback, after the Bucks crushed the defending champs by 19 at the Bradley Center in December. That fact pushes us to revisit the amazing Heat stat mentioned earlier in the newsletter: Miami is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the LeBron James era when avenging a same-season loss of 13 or more points, including 6-0 SUATS when Miami owns a win percentage of .657 or more on the season. We’ll toss out that pre-New Year's loss as a serious aberration from the normal course of events and note that Milwaukee is just 4-20 SU and 7-16-1 ATS at home in this series when its win percentage is .535 or less. Despite the emergence of shot-blocker extraordinaire Larry Sanders and ball-hawkers Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings – which has made Milwaukee one of the league’s better defensive units – a tired Bucks squad is set up to get run over by the LeBron Train here.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Miami.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee BucksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Milwaukee BucksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami has that win streak, so the home crowd and players will be fired up with the champs in town. A bad Philly team played the Heat like it was Game 7 of the Finals the last game and here's a Milwaukee team that is already motivated, sitting with the No. 8 seed in the East. The Heat is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. the NBA Central. The Bucks have great guard play, are a strong rebounding team (a Miami weakness) and rank 12th in points scored. The Heat is 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meeting between these teams. Play the Bucks!

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Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Jersey vs. PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Including yesterday's complimentary winner on Minnesota, I'm now 11-2 the last two days & 13-3 the last three.
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Here's another reasonably priced favorite which I feel has a solid shot at cashing.
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These teams just met two days ago, at New Jersey. The Devils won that one by a score of 5-3.
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The Devils are now 3-0 in the season series. However, a closer look shows that all three of those games have been played at New Jersey.
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This evening, the revenge-minded Flyers finally get a chance to play on home ice. Remember, the Devils also knocked them out of the playoffs last season. They'll be looking to "settle the score" and I expect a highly motivated effort.
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After Wednesday's loss Philadelphia's Scott Hartnell had this to say: "This one hurts. It stings. You can use any adjective you want, but tomorrow is a new day. We have to come to the rink with a new attitude and get through this ..."
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While the Devils have been tough to beat at New Jersey, they're an ugly 4-9 (4-6-3) on the road. They've been outscored by an average margin of 3.2 to 2.1, when playing away from home.
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On the other hand, the Flyers are 8-5 (8-4-1) on home ice. They've outscored opposing teams by a 2.9 to 2.7 margin, here at Philadelphia.
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While they've now lost six straight at New Jersey, the Flyers are a respectable 12-6 the last 18 times that they were a host in this series.

The Flyers beat Buffalo the last time that they played here, moving to 3-1 their last four on home ice. Consider Philadelphia.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Southern Miss -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SO. Miss is an incredible 16-0 vs teams who average 65 or less points per game and 7-3 the last 10 vs winning teams. They have won 5 of 7 vs teams ranked between 50 and 100 in the RPI Scale and take on a UTEP Team that is 0-6 vs teams ranked in the top 50 RPI. Look for SO. Miss to pull away late in this one and advance to what appears to be the much anticipated rematch with Memphis.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa State vs KansasFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Iowa StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Revenge is often a very overrated handicapping factor. But there are times when it's the ultimate overriding emotion. Tonight's Iowa State-Kansas clash fits the latter category. In the first meeting this season between these two, Iowa State appeared to have it won until the Jayhawks got a banked trey at the end of regulation to force overtime. KU then wiped out the stunned Cyclones. But that occurrence pales in comparison to the rematch. Iowa State was flat out robbed by some of the worst officiating ever seen, and it took the 'Clones some time to get over that injustice. Today, Iowa State gets one more chance to get a little satisfaction. The big rally to overtake Oklahoma yesterday removes the pressure, as the Cyclones are now a lock for the NCAA Tournament. That makes this what amounts to a collection of personal vendettas, and I'm expecting a massive effort from the underdog today. Kansas is not about to roll over and make it easy for the Cyclones, but I have to back Iowa State plus the points to at least get the cover this time.

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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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La Salle +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Team possessed here @ 2:30..yes we will stand in front of Butler... La Salle is a hot and focused ball club.... These Explorers punch in @ (21-8, 11-5 A-10) AND ARE SUPER COACHED. La Salle shoots the 3 ball & defends the three point field goal percentage defense @ (.303). In addition, the Explorers come in with a 3.17 turnover margin, good for 22nd nationally. Power rated @ - 4.5 points ...

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PORT PORT SPORTS

*2 UNITS* ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI (+9.5)
The Illinois win yesterday over Minnesota was ugly to say the least. Minnesota essentially gave that game away, being up 3 with a minute left and the ball and then turning it over with 14 seconds left. They then promptly gave up the winning shot with a second left. Ouch. Worst part was the Gophers were held with 0 FG and only 2 points (made FT's) over the final 6 minutes of the game. Two points! The down side to that is, the Gophers also lead by 3 points at that 6 minute mark and the game ended the way it did. Although Illinois played tough down the stretch, literally if you saw the game, it was ugly. But saying that, Illinois wasn't scoring at all themselves, as they had 0 points in a span from just under 6 minutes in the game to 47 seconds left in the game. But Illinois was talented enough to make the upset happen and they seem to have come to play in this tournament. They most likely won't beat Indiana but even the histort between these two teams suggests it will be close. I'm sure we've all seen by know how Illinois ran that perfect inbounds play down the middle of the floor with something like a minute left on the clock to upset Indiana 74-72 in their only season meeting, but 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams have been decided by 3 points. Illinois is also actually 7-3 ML in the last 7 meetings between the two schools, but they were usually the better team in that span. Indiana is 4-2 ATS in the L6 meetings, posting a 1-1 ATS record when playing as the favorite. This game should also have quite a bit of scoring as Indiana should control the pace for most of the contest. In neutral court games this season they have hit for 44% of their 3's, while allowing over 41% to their opponents. Illinois should come out with a little edge in this one picking up the momentum from yesterday, but in the end we see this more in like the 6-point range. Illinois could also come out shooting hot, so look forward to this one hitting the OVER early and often too. Surprisingly, Indiana has posted a dismal 1-5 ML record in their L6 games to kick off their Big Ten Tournament with almost all of those losses against the either Penn State or Northwestern. Illinois hasn't been all that better going 3-5 ML in their L8 BTT games and haven't fared all that well in the second round, since they lost in the championship to Wisconsin in 2008. The Hoosiers were also 1-2 ATS in neutral court games, while the Illini were 4-2 ATS in their 6 neutral court games including yesterday's tournament opener. Also, just to note, both teams played Butler on a neutral court. Indiana lost a heartbreaker in OT, 88-86, playing as a -10.5 favorite. The Illini destroyed the Bulldogs, 78-61, as a -2.5 favorite. Take that for what you will. But definitely take the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI to COVER the near double-digit spread here.......


*2 UNITS* NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK MONEY LINE (-120)
This team is good and could be a force to reckon with come tournament time. Virginia is also a tough team, but the Wolfpack should have enough firepower to outlast them here and NC STATE could be a sleeper pick to get to the ACC Championship game, we think. Virginia has owned this series for the most part, taking 5 out of the L6 meetings between the two schools and posting a 7-3 ATS record in the L10 overall. On the flip side, NC ST has covered in each of the L2 meetings with a win on the road in Virginia last season. Virginia comes in off an OT win over Maryland to end their season, while NC STATE was an easy play we should have been on, as they absolutely destroyed Virginia Tech in their tournament-opener. The Wolfpack have found their groove as of late too, going 5-1 ATS in their L6 games as a favorite and they are 20-2 ML overall this season when they are playing as the fave. 20-2!! They are 1-5 ML in their 6 games as the underdog. The Cavaliers are an average 2-3 ML when playing as the underdog. NC STATE was also 3-1 ML when playing on a neutral court this season and they outscored their opponents by an average score of over 7 points. Virginia on the other hand was 0-2 ML and 0-1 ATS as they lost by two points to Old Dominion as a -14 point favorite and they lost by 6 points to Delaware without even a spread being issued on the game. Virginia has also posted a weak 1-4 ML record in their L5 games of an ACC Tournament. They are an even worse 1-5 ML in their L6 opening games of the tournament and they were bounced out of this very same tournament in the first round last season by this NC STATE team. Go with the NC STATE WOLFPACK on the MONEY LINE in this one.......


BUTLER BULLDOGS (-1)
Alright, I really hate to even recommend a play with almost 80% of the public on it and as much as I love La Salle this season, I just can't see them pulling this one off. Butler has a pretty impressive resume on a neutral court this season (surprise, surprise) and their domination of anything tournament related is too good too pass up. For starters, Butler is 3-1 ML on a neutral court in 2012-13, with their only loss coming against Illinois, while beating the likes of Indiana (88-86 in OT); North Carolina (82-71) and Marquette (72-71) - all 3 tournament headed teams. This one is mostly likely a 1-point spread for a couple reasons. One La Salle beat Butler by 1 point at home earlier this season, and secondly, La Salle pretty much needs a win and they are in the big dance. If they lose, they are sweating it out like we will be during this game. The Bulldogs also come into this one 19-4 ML in their L23 postseason tournament games since the 2009-2010 season. This team hasn't been the same usual Butler team we have all come to expect, as they have struggled to go 4-3 ML in their L7 games overall. La Salle comes in completely out of whack after their season-ending blowout loss at the hands of St. Louis and they will have to shake off the rust of the long 5 day layoff they have had. They were disappointing as an underdog this season, producing a measly 1-5 ML record when getting the points. The Explorers were also an even more disappointing 0-3 ATS when playing the underdog in a game with a spread of +1 - +1.5, while Butler when 1-0 ATS and ML in games with a 1 - 1.5 spread, although they too were the underdog in that one. La Salle could be without a big center (S. Zack) for this one and he is a productive member of the paint provided 6.5 PTS / 6.5 REB a game. He was absent for their last two games and it was evident in the rebounding department, as La Salle was outrebounded 60-41 in those 2 games. That too most likely won't work against Butler, as they have dominated teams for the most part when they outrebound them, posting a 21-5 ML record in their 26 games this season in which they have outrebounded their opponents. Butler should be fully healthy, fully charged and looking to exact revenge on this talented La Salle team. Run with the BUTLER BULLDOGS on the SPREAD here today.....


TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS MONEY LINE (-125)
The Vols should have more than enough to outlast this Alabama squad that has been going backwards as the season has progressed. These two teams split their two meetings this season by a combined 4 points with Alabama's win holding more of the weight. Tennessee won by 1 point on their home court in their last meeting (54-53) so this one should be another battle. If this game has an OVER/UNDER above the 130 mark, also jump on the UNDER and this one should easily coast to victory and these two teams should most likely get no higher than the low 60's each. Tennessee is rolling right now too, having won 9 of their L10 games straight up and they were 7-3 ML and ATS this season in all games with a spread of 2.5 points or less. They were 1-1 as a -1.5 favorite. Alabama was 2-1 ML and ATS in that same spread situation, but they were 0-1 ML when playing as the underdog. Run with the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS to WIN on the MONEY LINE in this battle.......

*0.25 UNITS* ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI MONEY LINE (+420)

*0.25 UNITS* (PARLAY) / PAYOUT APPROX 11-1

(ILLINOIS (+9.5); NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK MONEY LINE (-120); TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS MONEY LINE (-125); UNDER TENNESSEE/ALABAMA)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Tony George

North Carolina St. -1.5

Like NC States offense and the revenge factor here. Virginia a giant slayer expecially at home but just 2-6 ATS last 8 on Nuetral site games. Short and Sweet today gents, very pressed for time.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Syracuse vs. GeorgetownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It seems very fitting that Syracuse and Georgetown meet for one last time before the Orange bolt to the ACC next season. Syracuse is coming off a big win against Pittsburgh Thursday, almost blowing a big lead in the process, but it was a much needed win for the shaky confidence that has seemed to engulf this team down the stretch. The Panthers defense did not do a very good job against the Orange perimeter shooting as they were 12-19 from long range but Syracuse cannot rely on that again considering it was a combined 5-32 (15.6 percent) in the two meetings against the Hoyas this season. Still, we can expect a much better effort tonight. Brandon Triche had his second solid game of the tournament as he continues to pick up the pieces from a terrible stretch to end the regular season while James Southerland looks extremely comfortable back in the city he grew up in. After losing four of five games to end the regular season with all four losses coming against NCAA Tournament bound teams, Syracuse got some of that momentum back that was present for much of the season and it will be out for some payback on Friday. Georgetown toyed with Cincinnati before pulling away down the stretch and it will look to continue the domination of Syracuse after winning the first two meetings by a combined 33 points. If only it were that easy. The Hoyas are catching the Orange at the wrong time in my opinion and as much flak as head coach Jim Boeheim has taken this season and some of it rightfully so, he has thrived in these situations, going 9-2 ATS revenging a loss of 20 points or more. Additionally, the underdog has covered five of the last six and we can expect that to continue as the public will be all over the short favorite.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois +9½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois in their last tourney game against the Minnesota Golden Gophers, were behind 49-46 with just under a minute left. Then suddenly the Illini pushing into a gear that I have not seen from them all season, found the stamina and will to come out of this with a win, and move on to play a Indiana team, that they matched up well against in their last meeting in Assembly Hall where Illinois pulled off the upset. Im going to ride the momentum of this young but talented Illinois team here today, and partially dismiss a revenge minded Indiana squad, that has more to worry about then avenging that above mentioned reg season defeat.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa State +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both meetings went into overtime this year. I think we see another close game today between Bill Self's Kansas squard and Fred Hoiberg's Iowa State club. ISU shoots 3's well so let's hope that the Cyclones can make a few and stay within the number in the Big 12 Tournament game set for Friday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando Magic +16.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando has been struggling for most of the season, but they have a winning road record against the spread. The oddsmakers may have overcompensated for the Magic’s recent struggles. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Orlando when they have lost two of their last three games, but they are playing on two days of rest. This system is 28-8 (78%) over the last five seasons.
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Orlando is 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Northwest division teams. Oklahoma City on the other hand is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 against Southeast division teams. The Magic have played well against good teams this season. They are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Heat -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Heat won't get caught overlooking the Bucks. First off, the winning streak has kept them interested even against lesser competition. Secondly, it's likely the Heat will face the Bucks in the first round of the playoffs so they'll be looking to send a message. Thirdly, Miami took an embarrassing 19-point loss in Milwaukee in December the last time these two met. LeBron James and company have not forgotten about that loss and will be out for their revenge. The high total suggests oddsmakers are expecting Miami to show much better in Milwaukee this time around. Consider that the Heat are 7-0 ATS this season in road games when the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. They have won these contests by an average score of 105.7 to 91.7. It is also worth noting that Milwaukee is 1-11 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games when the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bucks are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take Miami.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

MATT RIVERS

Friday's free play is the Boston College Eagles plus the points as they take on Miami-Florida.

This is just too many points to give to the streaking Eagles, as Boston College roughed up Georgia Tech by 20 in yesterday's opening round, as they ran their winning streak to an impressive 4 in a row, and 5 of their last 7 overall.

BC has also covered 3 in a row, and 6 of their last 8 when listed as the underdog.
As for Miami, the Hurricanes have struggled against the spread down the stretch, as Jimmy Larranaga's team is just 2-3 straight up their last 5 games, and just 2-5 against the spread their last 7. It is clear the linemakers have caught up to the Hurricanes as we get set for the madness to begin.

The Canes have won the last 6 series showdowns, but are only 4-3 against the spread the last 7 times the schools have met.

Expect Miami to advance, but don't look for this one to be any cake-walk.

BC plus the points.

2* BOSTON COLLEGE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

JEFF BENTON

Your Friday freebie is the Lobos of New Mexico in their semifinal contest against San Diego State.

Love the way the Wolves are playing right now, as they have lost just once in their last nine games straight up, and they have also been money for their backers in five of their last seven.

As for the Aztecs, they were able to avenge their regular season finale loss to Boise State in the opening round, but Steve Fisher's team is just 4-4 straight up their last eight, and 1-4 against the spread their last five. That does include a 10-point loss to New Mexico at the Pit back on February 27th.

In all, the Aztecs are on a 1-3 straight up and against the spread slide the past four series meetings with the Wolves.

Gotta go Lobo in your first Mountain West semi on Friday night!

3* NEW MEXICO

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 15

BRAD WILTON

NBA Friday night free play is the Orlando Magic plus the points at Oklahoma City.

I realize the Thunder just destroyed the Jazz on Wednesday night, and I realize the Magic are not exactly "world beaters", but I can easily see Oklahoma City not take this game very seriously, and see them leave plenty of open door space for the Magic to magically find the back-door.

Orlando has been able to cover 3 of their last 5, and 5 of their last 9 overall against the spread, and they did compete the other night at home when former player Dwight Howard came calling.

No chance the Magic pull off the outright win, but they have covered 4 in a row on the road, and as I said the mighty Thunder can win this game in their sleep, it is just that -16 1/2 points or so in an awful lot to ask them to cover especially after they just won by 23 on Wednesday.

I will take my chances and take the Magic plus the points.

2* ORLANDO

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Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Syracuse at GeorgetownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This not one of Jim Boeheim's elite teams at Syracuse (25-8) this season. The Orange struggle in their half court offense given their 46.0% effective field goal percentage in conference play (10th in the Big East). Syracuse's opponent's eFG of 45.6% is pretty good -- but as 4th best in the Big East, their defense is not as stout as it has been in the past few seasons. But what remains the same for this Boeheim team is their sacrificing boxing out their opponents in lieu of setting up baskets in transition. The Orange are 13th in the Big East by allowing their conference opponents to pull down 36.6% of their misses. What is particularly worrisome about this Syracuse team is that while they are outscoring their Big East opponents by +0.18 Points-Per-Possession at home, their net scoring efficiency plummets to -0.03 PPP when on the road. That is an ominous metric when considering that the Orange have failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games played on a neutral court. Additionally, Syracuse have failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Georgetown (25-5), on the other hand, has covered the point spread in 9 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Hoyas also play very well on the road as evidenced by their impressive +0.08 PPP on the road against Big East opponents. Georgetown typically matches up well against the Orange as they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in this series. With the Hoyas have the X-Factor in superstar Otto Potter, lay the points with Georgetown.

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