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Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 11

Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 11

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Spurs look to bounce back from their 136-106 loss to Portland on Friday and build on their 13-4-1 ATS record in their last 18 games following a SU defeat by more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2)

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.170; Philadelphia 112.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5); Over

Game 503-504: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.951; San Antonio 130.862
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 204
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2); Under

Game 505-506: Detroit at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 108.627; Utah 118.990
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 10 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 507-508: Denver at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.996; Phoenix 118.557
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 9; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+9); Over

Game 509-510: New York at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.402; Golden State 117.781
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Boston at Ottawa
The Senators look to build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 home games. Ottawa is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+130)

Game 51-52: Boston at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.757; Ottawa 12.348
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+130); Over

Game 53-54: Calgary at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.620; Los Angeles 12.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-210); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga 
The Bulldogs look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 neutral site games. Gonzaga is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 7.  Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5)

Game 511-512: James Madison vs. Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 513-514: Western Kentucky vs. Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 515-516: Central Michigan at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.103; Buffalo 58.284
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 11
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2)

Game 517-518: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 40.566; Eastern Michigan 47.524
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 7
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+8 1/2)

Game 519-520: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 46.961; Bowling Green 51.705
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7)

Game 523-524: St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 69.025; Gonzaga 75.956
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7; 134
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-5); Under

Game 525-526: IPFW vs. South Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 527-528: North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 529-530: College of Charleston vs. Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 531-532: Manhattan vs. Iona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 541-542: Savannah State vs. MD-Eastern Shore (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 46.420; MD-Eastern Shore 35.739
Dunkel Line: Savannah State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Savannah State by 12
Dunkel Pick: MD-Eastern Shore (+12)

Game 543-544: Morgan State vs. South Carolina State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 53.488; South Carolina State 37.442
Dunkel Line: Morgan State by 16
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (-13)

Will update later

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New York Knicks at Golden State WarriorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Golden State WarriorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Warriors host the Knicks in a non-conference clash Monday night, Golden State will take the floor looking to avenge an earlier loss this season at Madison Square Garden, while returning home off a disappointing 10-point home loss to Milwaukee Friday night. Meanwhile, New York begins the first of a 5-game west coast road swing off a 23-point home win over Utah. With the Warriors 16-10 ATS against Eastern Conference competition this campaign, including 4-0 ATS when off a SUATS loss against a foe off a SUATS win, look for the Warriors to improve to 7-1 ATS in this series as they get their revenge here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Golden State.

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Rob Vinciletti

Eastern Michigan -8½

Eastern Michigan is 8-2 ats vs losing teams of late and has covered the last 3 when playing with 1 or less day of rest. Against tams that scored less than 65 per game they have won and covered 3 of the last 4. They are also 6-2 ats off a conference loss. Tonight they take on a Northern Illinois teams that is 0-5 straight up and ats vs opponents that average 64 or less points per game. When playing fellow losing teams they are 1-7 ats. In the series they lost both games this season to Eastern Michigan. However its not that they lost, but how they lost. Both losses were by double digits 12 and 17 point decisions. In those games NIU was held to under 25% shooting twice, one of the time shooting just 13% and scoring 25 points, which is unheard of. I look for another Double digit win here for Eastern Michigan.

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Gonzaga -5½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While it can be difficult to beat a team three times in the same season, I believe Gonzaga is up to the challenge. The Bulldogs two wins in the regular season over St. Mary's are nice, but this is the one that really matters to them. Gonzaga lost 74-78 in overtime against the Gaels in last year's WCC Championship Game. The key here is that Gonzaga has been getting better and better, which was evident in the most recent meeting between these two teams. After narrowly escaping with a 83-78 home win over the Gaels, Gonzaga went on the road and easily beat St. Mary's 77-60. The Gaels may be able to keep this one close early, but I look for Gonzaga to take control in the second half and win this game by double-digits.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Manhattan vs IonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Considering how miserably they've shot the basketball through the first two games of the MAAC Tournament, it's kind of amazing to see Manhattan still alive. Not only that, the Jaspers are now a mild upset away from punching a ticket to the Big Dance. There are going to be a load of Cinderella stories over the next handful of days, and some remarkable story lines have already been written. But I see the clock clanging midnight for Manhattan here (I know it's supposed to be the clock striking midnight, but if you've watching this team play, you'll agree clanging is probably a better word.) Iona is equipped to handle pressure they will see from the swarming Manhattan defense, the Gaels should be able to draw plenty of fouls and with the memory of a loss to this team in the last meeting, I can't see any way Iona takes this for granted. Nothing would shock me as far as Manhattan is concerned at this point. They are somehow winning games in about the ugliest fashion I have ever seen. But unless Iona has a bad game or Manhattan suddenly figures out how to make a shot every now and then, I just cannot envision the upset taking place. Iona minus the points to advance to the Dance tonight.

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Jim Feist

Knicks at Warriors
Pick: Under

The Golden State Warriors seem to be sputtering of late, losing six of their last eight games and covering just 1 time in the last six and just four times in the last 17 games! The offense has been missing also, scoring 97 or fewer points in five of the last six games and six of the last eight. The Knicks have been up and down with the scoring, totally 113 in their win over the Jazz last time out. However, before that game they broke the century mark in just two of their previous 11 games. The Knicks have gone UNDER in five of their last six games. Injuries have played a part on both teams. Forward David Lee has been nursing a injured knee. Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony also has knee problems and both players are questionable for today's contest. The Knicks are already without forwards Amar'e Stoudemire (knee) and Rasheed Wallace (foot) who are both out. Looking to play UNDER here on Monday, especially if Anthony is out. Neither team will look to push the pace in this one. Take the UNDER.

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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pistons +9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Jazz aren't playing well enough to lay this many points even to a weak foe such as the Pistons. Utah is 1-7 in its last eight games. The Jazz just finished an 0-4 road trip that ended at New York this past Saturday. This is their first home game in 10 days so their minds might be distracted.
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This marks Utah's third game in four days and fourth in six days. The Jazz have been a strong home team, but are just 3-3 during their past six at EnergySolutions Arena. Utah also might be missing underrated Paul Millsap, who missed the Knicks' game this past Saturday with a sore knee. He's a game-time decision.
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The Pistons shouldn't lack for motivation. They were embarrassed, 129-97, by the Clippers last night in Los Angeles. Both Greg Monroe and Jose Calderon expressed frustration with the loss with Monroe saying his team played with no effort. That's a strong criticism that should light a fire. The Pistons also have revenge for blowing a 15-point lead in a 90-87 home loss to Utah.
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Detroit is 3-3 in its last six road matchups defeating Milwaukee, Charlotte and much-improved Washington. The Pistons, when motivated and catching a less-than-elite foe in a slump and in an unfavorable situational spot, can hold its own. Note, too, that the Jazz are just 1-6 ATS the past seven times when facing an opponent with a winning percentage below .400.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami (OH) vs. Bowling GreenFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Bowling GreenFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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Miami Ohio is coming off a 58-54 loss at Ohio on the 9th. Will Felder had 20 points; Jon Harris had 13 points and nine boards.
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Bowling Green is coming off a 76-65 win over Buffalo on the 8th. Jordan Crawford had 26 points.
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Statistical Analysis
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Note that Miami Ohio is just 8-21 SU overall, and a dismal 3-13 away from friendly confines.
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Note that Bowling Green is only 13-18 SU overall, but there's no doubt that it's a "different" team in front of the home town crowd, going 11-4.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams split the season series, with each team winning on its home floor. I believe this strong trend continues here. The RedHawks have lost nine straight. Bowling Green enters the MAC Tournament opener off a convincing effort. I simply can't see Miami Ohio matching the production of the Falcons on the offensive end (BGSU has scored 94 points in the paint over the past two games). The Falcons have also outrebounded five of their last six opponents, and are +52 during the six-game stretch. Consider laying the points on the "better" team!

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary vs. Los AngelesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When we think of these two teams, we think of hard-hitting, great goaltending, low-scoring affairs. That hasn't been the case so far this year. Calgary is 9-10-4 overall, and 3-5-2 on the road. The Flames' O/U is 12-9-2 (Calgary has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four). LA is 13-8-2, and 8-2-1 at home. The Kings' O/U is 10-8-5 (five of LA's last five have gone over the posted number). Four of these teams last five have gone under the number, but I believe this trend gets bucked tonight. In fact, when these clubs got together on March 9th, the Kings skated away with a 6-2 victory in Los Angeles. Two nights later these Western Conference foes are ready to do it all over again. I believe the table is set for another high-scoring shootout. Play on the over.

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WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn at PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Brooklyn -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last season the Philadelphia 76ers were a playoff team. They thought they could live without Andre Iguodala, but they have now seen what an integral part of this team he was. The Sixers are just 1-11 in their last 12 games and lost yesterday at Orlando. They have taken on the look of a team that is just playing out the string. Brooklyn has begun a long needed run as they have taken their last three in resounding fashion. The Nets have won those last three by an average of 16.3 ppg and appear to be a team ready to go on a long run. They have played well on the road of late as they are 5-1 ATS in their last six. The Sixers have struggled mightily without rest, where they are a woeful 6-20 ATS in their last 26. Play this one on Brooklyn.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver vs. PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I used the Suns Saturday night (a 10* release) as they upset the Rockets here at home. I followed that with a 2-0 Sunday sweep in the NBA and finished 7-2 this weekend in hoops.  Back to this game, while Denver is a stronger opponent than Houston, I still feel the road team is overvalued here and I'll take the points as Phoenix looks to spring a second consecutive home upset......
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The Nuggets have won eight straight and have covered the spread in the last five.  They have averaged 111.3 PPG during the win streak and have emerged as a dark horse NBA Finals candidate, though we know the reality is they won't get there.  With back to back home games coming up against more marquee opponents, New York and Memphis, don't be surprised to see the Nuggets overlook tonight's matchup.  The Knicks represent a shot to play former teammate Carmelo Anthony while Memphis is the team they're battling with for home court advantage in the first round.
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While Denver may have won four in a row on the road, they still have a losing record away from home on the season and are giving up 104.3 points per game. This includes a 110-100 loss here in Phoenix early in the year.  As I mentioned in my writeup Saturday, Phoenix is a far more competitive team here at home where they've basically played .500 ball all season.  I think they can easily stay within the number tonight.  Laying this many points on the road, for any team, is dangerous territory.

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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Marys at GonzagaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: St. MarysFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We would have liked a higher line in this one, and if we had we would have likely released St. Mary's as a premium selection. But we still feel there is line value for an underrated St. Mary's team that is playing with double-revenge from two losses against the Zags this season, and we feel they have a shot to win this game outright, or at least keep this one close down to the final moments of the game. St. Mary's fell apart at home against Gonzaga, but they played very well on the road where they lost by just five points despite a poor shooting effort both from beyond the three-point arc and at the free throw line. Gonzaga couldn't have had an easier path to the finals, playing just once and that was against the worst of the WCC (Loyola Marymount) that was playing their fourth game in as many days. They didn't even play that well, winning by just one point at halftime before fatigue set in and the Zags pulled away in the second half. St. Mary's has another crack at the top-ranked team in the country, and after beating Gonzaga last year in this tournament, they play them down to the wire again this year.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah Jazz -9½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA. They are 22-8 straight up at home and are facing a Detroit team that is really struggling right now having lost 8 of their last 9 games. Detroit has been horrible on the road with an 8-23 record allowing 101.2 points per game.
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The Detroit Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against teams with a winning home record. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against Western Conference opponents. Utah is coming off a bad loss to New York and they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after a loss by 10 or more points.
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The Pistons have a long history of under-performing against Utah. They are 3-13 ATS in the last 17 head to head meetings between these teams. Utah finally received a day of rest after a four game road stretch and now it is Detroit who will be going through that same kind of agonizing run. The Pistons are playing in a back to back game after getting crushed by the Clippers last night. The well-rested home team is the smart play in this matchup.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Mary's +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The St. Mary's Gaels are gong to be highly motivated for a victory tonight against arch rival Gonzaga in the WCC Championship Game. Not only do they want to erase any doubt about getting into the NCAA Tournament, the Gaels really want payback tonight.
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Gonzaga has won both regular season meetings with St. Mary's. The Bulldogs won 83-78 at home in their first meeting on January 10th before embarrassing the Gaels on the road 77-60 on February 14th. There's no question that St. Mary's has a sour taste in their mouths from those two defeats, so I look for them to dig down deep tonight in the 3rd and final meeting.
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This play falls into a system that is 41-14 (74.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on neutral court teams as an underdog (ST MARYS-CA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.
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Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. Randy Bennett is 25-15 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of St. Mary's. Bet the Gaels Monday.

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Joe Gavazzi

Northeastern -2

Down 10 in the 2nd half, JMU rallied for a 58-57 mini-upset over Delaware to reach the CCT final. They were led by the trio of Nation, Moore, and Davis who combined for 42 points. But that comeback paled in comparison to that of #1 seed Northeastern, who rallied from being down 28-4 in first half to win at the buzzer, 69-67 vs perennial colonial champ George Mason. The Huskies have been a different team since the return of Lee in late December. He teams with Smith as the best guard tandem in the Colonial. Just 5-5 SU in non con play, they exploded for a 14-4 SU record in the Colonial, winning seemingly every close game with their senior guards controlling the action. Along the way, was a narrow 66-64 decision against these Dukes on Feb 20th. We have backed them with great success all season long, particularly away from home, where in league play they are 8-2 ATS.

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Sean Murphy

Manhattan vs. Iona
Pick: Manhattan

I'll gladly grab the points with a Manhattan squad that enters the MAAC championship game playing its best basketball of the season. This isn't necessarily a bad matchup for the Jaspers, as they've split four meetings with the Gaels since the start of last season. In their most recent meeting, Manhattan pulled out a 74-73 upset win in double-overtime. Since that loss, Iona has gone 5-0-1 ATS, but that doesn't even begin to match the poinstpread success the Jaspers have enjoyed since the start of 2013. They've gone an incredible 15-4 ATS over their last 19 games overall, and roll into Monday's game riding a five-game ATS winning streak. This is a team that has certainly bought into everything that coach Masiello has sold them, and is quite simply brimming with confidence right now. That's not to say that the Gaels aren't confident as well. They made it to the Big Dance last year, and return a number of key cogs from that team, so they're obviously expecting to walk away victorious tonight. I simply feel that they're running into a super tough defensive opponent, and one that should give them fits for 40 minutes, maybe more if their last meeting was any indication. The MAAC has been wide-open in recent years, and there's just not enough separating these two teams at this stage of the game to warrant a four-point spread in a neutral court.

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Jesse Schule

Calgary vs. Los Angeles
Pick: Los Angeles

The L.A. Kings will host Calgary tonight, just two days after blowing out the Flames by a score of 6-2 at the Staples Center on Saturday. As I search for any reason to expect a different result in this game, I simply draw a blank.

The Flames should be motivated to avenge that loss, and get a win in order to help them get back on track and back in the hunt for the playoffs, but the reality is, this team is on the verge of a complete collapse.

It is plain as day to everyone in the league, with the exception of Flames GM Jay Feaster, that it's time for Calgary to start rebuilding. This team simply doesn't have what it takes to make the playoffs, and they are sitting by watching their assets depreciate as they waste away in the bottom of the Western Conference.

One of the only reasons that Calgary managed to stay competitive over the past few seasons, was the stellar goaltending of Miikka Kiprusoff. The veteran netminder has returned from injury, but he's allowed 10 goals in two starts, and was pulled early in the third period after allowing six goals to the Kings on Saturday. Joey MacDonald hasn't been very solid either, allowing 11 goals over his last three starts, losing two of the three.

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Teddy Covers

New York vs. Golden State
Pick: Golden State

This is the mother of all good spots for Golden State tonight.  The Warriors are in short turnaround revenge for a hard fought, spread covering loss at Madison Square Garden on their most recent road swing.  And Golden State is coming off back-2-back home losses, their first back-2-back losses at home all year.

For a team fighting to end their playoff drought, tonight’s game brings a particular sense of urgency.  Warriors head coach Mark Jackson: “I believe in my guys. We'll be fine, but we have to respond." Leading scorer Stephan Curry: “We're just not showing up right now. Individually everyone has to step up and just play better."

Golden State should get a major boost with the expected return of All Star big man David Lee – the NBA’s leader in double doubles this season -- back to the lineup today after missing Saturday’s loss to Milwaukee.  Lee’s quote understates the urgency of this same for Golden State: “If I can walk, I’m going to play.”

Meanwhile, the betting markets expect Carmelo Anthony to suit up for the Knicks tonight after he’s missed each of the last three games with knee troubles.  New York has no similar sense of urgency, coming off a 27 point blowout over Utah, with marquee matchups against Denver, Portland, the LA Clippers and Utah ahead on this road trip.

And with ‘Melo expected back, we can look forward to the standard NBA model of the rest of his team letting down their guard with their star back on the floor.  It’s certainly worth noting that New York lost SU to Chicago as chalk the last time Carmelo returned to the lineup and lost SU as chalk to Portland the time before that….. Take the Warriors.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 11

John Ryan

Manhattan College at Iona
Prediction: Iona

The simulator shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by five or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an incredible 24-2 ATS mark for 92% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a favorite and after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. Moreover, Iona is a solid 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss to the current opponent since 1997. These two teams have played each other twice this season and Iona has failed to cover in both. Manhattan defeated them at home 74-73 with Iona failing to cover as 2 ? point favorites February 15. Iona defeated Manhattan 78-70, but failed to cover installed as 13 12/ point favorites January 6. The disparity on offense is huge with Iona ranking first in the nation averaging 81.3 PPG and Manhattan ranking 328th scoring 58.3 PPG. Although the previous two games have been close, I feel that the Iona defense, which ranks 332nd allowing 76.2 PPG is playing far better right now than that stat reflects. I look for Iona to run Manhattan off the court.

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