Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 8

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Atlanta at Boston
The Hawks look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games in Boston. Atlanta is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4)

Game 801-802: Indiana at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 123.492; Orlando 111.281
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); Under

Game 803-804: Oklahoma City at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.461; Charlotte 112.080
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+14 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Atlanta at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.106; Boston 120.945
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Under

Game 807-808: Washington at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.934; Brooklyn 119.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Memphis at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.297; Cleveland 122.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 811-812: Dallas at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.392; Detroit 114.104
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Utah at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.544; Chicago 122.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 815-816: Philadelphia at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.176; Miami 122.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+13); Under

Game 817-818: Portland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.035; San Antonio 125.215
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 206
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+12); Over

Game 819-820: Phoenix at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.557; Sacramento 117.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7); Under

NHL

Edmonton at Nashville
The Oilers look to build on their 5-2 record in their last 7 games against Nashville. Edmonton is the pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+150)

Game 1-2: Ottawa at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.067; NY Rangers 10.975
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 3-4: Winnipeg at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.465; Florida 10.546
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-115); Under

Game 5-6: Edmonton at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.728; Nashville 10.210
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+150); Over

Game 7-8: Chicago at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.578; Colorado 10.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Calgary at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.812; Anaheim 11.982
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+140); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Indiana State vs. Evansville
The Sycamores look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 neutral site games. Indiana State is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Purple Aces favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2 1/2)

Game 825-826: Rutgers at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.623; Seton Hall 62.357
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-3 1/2)

Game 827-828: Miami (OH) at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 829-830: Kent State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 55.509; Akron 67.890
Dunkel Line: Akron by 12 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Akron by 8 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-8 1/2); Under

Game 831-832: Columbia at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 50.962; Harvard 60.144
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 9
Vegas Line: Harvard by 8
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-8)

Game 833-834: Cornell at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 44.407; Dartmouth 50.354
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 6
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 1
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-1)

Game 835-836: Pennsylvania at Brown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 48.599; Brown 50.462
Dunkel Line: Brown by 2
Vegas Line: Brown by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+4)

Game 837-838: Princeton at Yale (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.597; Yale 55.351
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 3
Vegas Line: Princeton by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+4 1/2)

Game 839-840: Drake vs. Creighton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 59.302; Creighton 65.265
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 841-842: Indiana State vs. Evansville (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 59.433; Evansville 60.184
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 1
Vegas Line: Evansville by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2 1/2)

Game 843-844: Missouri State vs. Wichita State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.340; Wichita State 62.533
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 845-846: Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.261; Northern Iowa 61.802
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+1)

Game 847-848: Youngstown State vs. Wright State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.652; Wright State 53.027
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+4)

Game 849-850: Illinois-Chicago vs. WI-Green Bay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 48.844; WI-Green Bay 57.852
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-4 1/2)

Game 851-852: UL-Monroe vs. Western Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.257; Western Kentucky 53.903
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-11 1/2)

Game 853-854: North Texas vs. UL-Lafayette (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.298; UL-Lafayette 47.879
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+2 1/2)

Game 855-856: Troy vs. Florida Atlantic (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.876; Florida Atlantic 52.226
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-2)

Game 857-858: Loyola-Marymount vs. Santa Clara (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 50.536; Santa Clara 59.807
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 859-860: San Diego vs. BYU (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 52.755; BYU 60.384
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 861-862: Georgia Southern vs. Wofford (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 48.300; Wofford 49.818
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wofford by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+3 1/2)

Game 863-864: Furman vs. Samford (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 35.021; Samford 47.249
Dunkel Line: Samford by 12
Vegas Line: Samford by 8
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-8)

Game 865-866: NC-Greensboro vs. Chattanooga (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 49.503; Chattanooga 42.486
Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 7
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 3
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (-3)

Game 867-868: The Citadel vs. Western Carolina (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 41.320; Western Carolina 50.918
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-8 1/2)

Game 869-870: Siena vs. Marist (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.203; Marist 48.122
Dunkel Line: Marist by 5
Vegas Line: Marist by 6
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+6)

Game 871-872: St. Peter's vs. Fairfield (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.581; Fairfield 49.961
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+9)

Game 873-874: Tennessee State vs. Belmont (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 54.305; Belmont 63.841
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 875-876: Eastern Kentucky vs. Murray State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 55.912; Murray State 54.117
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 877-878: Buffalo at Bowling Green (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.923; Bowling Green 56.785
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 4
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-3)

Game 883-884: Stetson vs. Florida Gulf Coast (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 51.929; Florida Gulf Coast 53.251
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 8

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary vs. AnaheimFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Flames are in Anaheim on Friday to take on the Ducks, and their starting goalie Miikka Kirprusoff is back between the pipes, after missing time due to an injury. He looked sharp in his return to the lineup, stopping 32 of 33 shots in a 4-1 win over San Jose on Wednesday.
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Kiprusoff will have to be at his best as the Flames will try to get a win in Anaheim, where they have lost 14 in a row.
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The Ducks have also been getting great goaltending, from both Jonas Hiller and Victor Fasth. Hiller stopped 18 shots in a 2-0 shutout victory over Phoenix on Wednesday. Hiller is 4-0-0 with a 2.40 GAA in his last four home starts versus Calgary. Fasth is 9-1-1 with a 2.08 GAA this season.
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These teams have played low scoring games, going under the total in seven of their last nine meetings in Anaheim.
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The Flames have struggled without their veteran goaltender, but they should be a tougher team to beat with Kipper back between the pipes. I expect to see a tight checking, hard fought defensive battle between these two Western Conference rivals, as the Flames will be desperately trying to claw their way back into playoff contention.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Texas vs. Louisiana-LafayetteFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Louisiana-LafayetteFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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This is the opener for the 2013 Sun Belt Conference championship.
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North Texas is coming off a 74-50 win over Arkansas State on February 28th. Alzee Williams had 19 points, while Jordan Williams added 12.
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Lafayette is coming off a 71-63 win at LA Monroe on the 2nd. Shawn Long had 17 points and 10 boards. Alan-Michael Thompson and Bryant Mabamalu each had 13.
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Statistical Analysis
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In the win over LA Monroe, Louisiana would go 50% from behind the arc (8 of 19); this would prove to be the difference, and I believe this team carries that accuracy and momentum over into this one.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams have played two games this year. Lafayette won 80-76 in North Texas on December 1st, before destroying the Mean Green 105-74 on its home floor. Long had a double-double in that one as well with 23 points and 13 boards. Mabamalu had 18. This is simply a bad matchup for North Texas, which allowed Lafayette to shoot almost 63% from the floor in the second half. Ultimately though, I feel that the Ragin Cajuns will have last seasons disappointment square at the front of their minds. Louisiana swept UNT during the regular season, only to then drop a 65-62 decision to the Mean Green in the quarterfinals of the tournament. I believe all the pieces are in place for another Louisiana Lafayette rout in this series. Consider a second look on the Ragin Cajuns!

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Peter's vs. FairfieldFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: St. Peter'sFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Peters' brand of tedious basketball doesn't get featured often on the highlights shows.  But the Peacocks usually don't lose touch with the opposition because of their slowdown preferences for HC John Dunne, and let's not forget that the Jersey City Jesuits won this Metro-Atlantic Tourney two years ago. The X-factor in all St. Peter's games is always G Desi Washington (14.7 ppg), a Delaware State transfer who blew hot and cold much of the campaign but does have a pair of 20+-point efforts in two of his last four games.  Mostly, however, we reject the idea of a confidence-shaky Fairfield side laying nearly double digits to anyone.  Regional sources say HC Sydney Johnson has been guilty of overcoaching the Stags, who too often look tentative on the attack end as they wait for instructions from their coach.  Fairfield also enters Springfield with absolutely zero momentum after three straight losses to close the season, and tallying only 47 ppg in those outings.  Not your prototyical, reliable favorite.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary vs. AnaheimFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary is 9-8-1-3 overall this season. The O/U for the Flames is 11-8-2 overall, and 4-4 on the road. Most recently the Flames are coming off a dominant 4-1 win over the Sharks on Wednesday. Goaltender Miikka Kiprusoff had 32 saves: "I felt that (Kiprusoff) was solid right from the get-go,'' Flames' coach Bob Hartley commented afterwards. "He was seeing all the pucks and that's such a good feeling for guys on the bench, for coaches, and probably for fans.'' Anaheim is 16-3-0-3 this season. The O/U for the Ducks is 10-10-2 overall, including 3-6-1 at home. After back to back 5-4 loss to the Coyotes, Anaheim exacted some revenge in a decisive 2-0 win over Phoenix on Wednesday. The Ducks have won ten straight at the Honda Center: "We were mad that we gave up four goals the last two games and we know solid defense is going to win you more than just games," Ducks' coach Bruce Boudreau said afterwards. "It's going to win division titles and championships." Goaltender's Viktor Fasth is 9-1-1 with a 2.08 GAA this season, while Jonas Hiller has won five straight at home and is 4-0-1 with a 2.14 GAA in his last five. Hiller is also 4-0-0 with a 2.40 GAA in Anaheim vs. Calgary. Three of these teams last five in the series have gone under the posted number, and I fully expect this strong trend to continue here. These teams played to a rare high-scoring affair on January 21st, when Anaheim won 5-4 in Calgary. Expect a much tighter game this time around. Play on the under.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah Jazz at Chicago BullsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With Catherine Zeta-Jones inspiring us at the Oscars with her performance of All That Jazz from the movie Chicago, how could we not take a side in tonights Jazz/Chicago contest And that?s lucky for all of us as our database found numbers too hot to ignore. For starters, the Bulls are a fast and loose? 19-3 SUATS in their last 22 Friday night brawls, including an impeccable 10-0 ATS this season alone. More so, the Jazz  normally reliable as visitors  have struck a bad chord on the road this season, going 1-13 SU and 1-12-1 ATS versus .466 or greater opposition. Worse, they have never been able to paint Chi-town, posting a 1-7 ATS log in the United Center when they own a win percentage of less than .630. So given their bad harmony on this floor, theres really only way to look. Well lay the reasonable spot as the Bulls improve to 5-1 ATS after squaring off with the Spurs. We recommend a 1-unit play on Chicago.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento KingsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM   
Play: Sacramento KingsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We are playing against Phoenix here as we note that road teams that scored 80 or less at home are 0-10 ats vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a road dog of 10 or more and had no prior rest coming into that game. The Kings have double revenge which also included home loss revenge. Phoenix is 0-3 straight up and ats on the road with a total of 205 to 210. Look for the Kings to serve it up tonight. Take Sacramento.

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Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando MagicFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indiana Pacers are in a classic look ahead situation vs the Magic tonight as they get ready to face the Miami Heat on the weekend. Unknown to many pundits is the new look Orlando lineup, that is beginning to become more cohesive, and ultimately dangerous for those who don't give them their full attention. I'm betting Pacers bettors are in dangerous territory laying points on the in this spot.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pennsylvania at BrownFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BrownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is not a bad spot for my old neighborhood team. Brown is riding a nice little winning streak after a road sweep last weekend. The Bears would also like to make amends for the first meeting this season with the Quakers. Penn had it rolling that night and got the blowout 71-48 win. Meanwhile, Penn is in a potential flat spot here. They already hammered this team once and the Quakers are also off a thrilling upset win against Harvard. The Quakers are not good enough to coast against anyone, and my belief is that the hosts are going to want this one just a little more. The numbers doesn't indicate much, so for me it's just a situational play where the intangibles should at least favor the home team. The foul shooting could be an issue if it's tight late, but I'm going to hope that doesn't turn into a determining factor and I'll side with Brown minus the points.

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Jim Feist

Kent State vs Akron
Pick: Under

Akron (24-5, 14-1 MAC) is the third team in the last 30 years to repeat as regular-season champions. Overall, 12 teams have won back-to-back regular-season crowns in the MAC's 65 years of basketball and this is their regular season finale. The Zips got here with great defense, on a 12-5-1 run under the total. Kent State comes to town 2-5 SU in their last 7 road games. When these teams met earlier in the season Akron shot 37% and won, while Kent shot 35% at home. The under is 4-0 in the Zips last 4 home games and 11-5-1 under the total following a win. Play Kent State/Akron under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 8

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Wofford/ Georgia Southern Under 114: Wofford's game's have been extremely low scoring of late, averaging just  109 ppg in their last 5 games. Both teams slow the pace and Wofford can't score as they average 57.6 ppg overall and 55.1 ppg when away from home. Georgia Southern has averaged just 54.5 ppg in neutral site games and just 59.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall. With this being a tournament game both teams should really play it close to the vest, giving us a game with no more than 110 points being scored.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pacers/Magic UNDER 187½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers are 18-8 to the under when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Indiana is not a team that is going to light up the scoreboard when they are playing on the road. They average a mere 89.3 points per game. Their defense however is spectacular holding opponents to 90.4 points per game allowing just over 42% shooting from the field.
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The Magic are also a team that rarely light up a scoreboard. They are scoring 95.4 points per game at home, but they will struggle to reach that season average against the Pacers who have gone under the total in three of their last four games. With Danny Granger out the Pacers will try to win this game with a strong defensive performance. The Magic are not a good team so keep this a low scoring affair should be simple for Indiana.

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NellyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics - over Atlanta HawksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta sits just ahead of Boston in the Eastern Conference standings but it is clear at this point which team will be ahead in that race by seasons end. Since losing to the Hawks in overtime in late January, Boston is 13-4 including going 8-0 at home with only one ATS loss. The Celtics have gone through a grueling schedule in the last three weeks with seven of the last eight on the road yet Boston enters this game on a four game winning streak. Atlanta managed to win Wednesday night against the struggling 76ers but that snapped a 3-game losing streak and this will be a challenging travel set-up, heading back on the road after playing six in a row on the road before Wednesday's home game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams and the Hawks have often struggled against quality teams. Atlanta is just 11-17 ATS vs. winning teams including only 5-9 ATS on the road in those match-ups. Boston has played a daunting scheduled with 31 games against winning teams and they have acquitted themselves well in those games. Given how well Boston has played at home this is a short spread for the home favorite, especially considering Atlanta may have some travel headaches with another major winter storm hitting the northeast.

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WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto at Los AngelesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Toronto +7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Toronto Raptors have turned things positive since acquiring Rudy Gay. Gay has been responsible for a few buzzer beaters, and the Raptors have been a .500 team since he arrived. The Lakers have the talent, at least on paper, but guess what? That talent has led them to also being a .500 team at 31-31. The margin on paper simply has not translated to the same margin on the floor, so the Lakers continue to play overlays by the oddsmakers. The Raptors have become a viable road team at 7-3 ATS in their last 10, while the often no-show Lakers are a dismal 19-40-1 ATS in their last 60 vs. a losing team. Take the points in this one and play on Toronto.

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Wofford/ Georgia Southern Under 114: Wofford's game's have been extremely low scoring of late, averaging just  109 ppg in their last 5 games. Both teams slow the pace and Wofford can't score as they average 57.6 ppg overall and 55.1 ppg when away from home. Georgia Southern has averaged just 54.5 ppg in neutral site games and just 59.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall. With this being a tournament game both teams should really play it close to the vest, giving us a game with no more than 110 points being scored.

Belmont -11 over Tennessee State: Not only is this a conference tourney game but a revenge game, as Belmont's last loss was to the same Tigers. Belmont is 14-2 on the year within the OVC and 11 of those wins have been by 11 or more. When this team wins they win big. They have outscored their opponents by 13.4 ppg on the year overall and have outscored OVC opponents by 15.7 ppg on the year. Belmont is also on 5 days rest, while Tennessee State played last night. Both teams can score a ton, but Belmont has a huge edge on defense, as they have allowed just 56.2 ppg in their last 4 games and 63.6 ppg overall, while Tennessee State has allowed 79.8 ppg on their last 5 games and 70.7 ppg overall. Revenge, rest and the better overall team playing to move on in the OVC Tourney. Look for Belmont to roll here.

Illinois State/ Northern Iowa Under 134: MVC tourney games seem to trend to the Under and I will go that way here. These teams just played each other and 152 points were scored in that game, but I expect the defenses to adjust for this one. The Under is 7-3 the last 10 meetings, with just 2 of those games putting up more than 134 points. The Panthers allowed 72 points to Illinois State in that last game, but prior to hat they had not allowed more than 65 points in any of their previous 12 games, allowing just 56.3 ppg over that stretch. Illinois State is one of the faster paced teams in the nation and they do score 75.4 ppg on the year, but I don't see them cracking 65 points in what should be a much slower paced game than the last one. The panthers have needed a strong defense this year, because their offense struggles, averaging just 64.9 ppg overall and 63.1 ppg when away from home, plus they have put up just 54 ppg in neutral site games this year. The Panthers should be able to slow this pace on offense, while their defense does the rest in keeping this one in the 120's.

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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Citadel at Western CarolinaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: CitadelFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that the Citadel will lose this game by fewer than eight points. SIM shows solid projections that WC will shoot less than 46% and will have between 34 and 39 boards. In past games, the Citadel is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. WC has been a money burner noting they are 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season. WC head coach Hunter has not done all that well against inferior type teams noting he is just 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a bad team with a win percentage of 20% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games have been completed. Take the Citadel and also consider adding a 2* amount using the money line looking for the SU upset win.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana State vs. EvansvilleFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Indiana St +3½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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In this 3:30 tip the Purple Aces of Evansville enter as a hot team behind high scoring gun slinger, Colt Ryan. They have won 4 consecutive games and covered five consecutive games. The last of those was an 84-68 home court regular season ending romp over this IN St team. Clear edge to the Sycamores in this right back revenge game. While the Aces have been surging to the finish line, Indiana St has closed on a 1-5 SU, 0-6 ATS slide. Five of those were in the role of favorite. Today they return in the more comfortable role of underdog where they have already defeated MISS, Miami Fla, and in league play, N. Iowa, Creighton, and Wichita ALL AS UNDERDOG. Key to this winner is the return of Gonzaga transfer Arop who has been suspended during the latter part of Sycamores losing streak. With him in the lineup, IN St is the better team and gets this outright win.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis vs. ClevelandFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MemphisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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How much longer can the Cavs keep this up, particularly with Kyrie Irving at less than 100%? The team won in come from behind fashion Wednesday, upsetting the Jazz as a home dog as Irving continues to play through a knee injury.  He scored 11 points in the final five minutes against the Jazz, rallying his team back from a 12-point deficit. Call me crazy, but I don't see the Cavs continuing to win...
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Memphis is a team that continues to win.  They are 10-1 their last 11 games with the only loss coming at Miami.  Yet, they did struggle Wednesday vs. Portland as they too had to rally back from a double digit deficit.  But there are several signs that the Grizz will bounce back her. Namely, a 15-7 ATS mark this season when coming off a game where they failed to cover the spread.  They are also 18-7 ATS vs. the Eastern Conference.
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Now, I am aware the Grizzlies have not had much luck in Cleveland over the last decade. But keep in mind most of those results are a product of the Cavs having LeBron James at the time.   This will be Memphis' first time playing in Cleveland since November of 2010, the first month of the first year the Cavs were without James.  Memphis has since won all three meetings against the Cavs, including an 84-78 victory earlier in this year.

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Larry NessFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana vs. OrlandoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What happened to the Pacers on Wednesday? They entered the fourth quarter of their home game with the Celtics leading by 10 points but suddenly went ice-cold. Indiana shot 4 for 20 from the floor in the fourth and didn't score after taking a nine-point lead with 4:36 remaining! After all that, they still had a chance to force overtime but Kevin Garnett found a wide-open Jeff Green under the basket for a layup with 0.5 seconds left, handing the Pacers an 83-81 defeat. It was just the second time in 24 games that Indiana, second in the league in scoring defense at 89.5 PPG, lost when allowing fewer than 87 points. "As a group we just didn't have that rhythm," said forward David West. "We were careless with the ball and we just didn't make some plays we were supposed to make." The Pacers visit Orlando tonight and should remember losing 97-86 in their last visit to “Disney World” on Jan 16. In that one, the Pacers were an abysmal 2-of-17 on threes, while the Magic nailed 12-of-21 from beyond the arc. However, let’s note that since that win, the Magic are a hard-to-believe 3-21 SU. I realize this is a ‘heavy’ number to lay on the road but the Pacers are 9-2 ATS this year as a road favorite and 16-6 ATS off a SU loss. Lay it!

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