Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

David BanksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics -2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Boston Celtics (31-27, 25-30-3 ATS) are looking to strengthen their playoff positioning as they pay a visit to the struggling Philadelphia 76ers (23-35, 37-31 ATS) at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA Tuesday night at 7:05 ET on TNT. The Celtics are currently the seventh seeds in the Eastern Conference, 1 games ahead of the Milwaukee Bucks, who hold the eighth and final playoff spot, and more importantly eight games ahead of these 76ers in ninth. Philadelphia is showing no signs of a team that wants to make the playoffs, as the Sixers have lost eight of their last nine games.
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Boston in finally in a favorable scheduling spot after a recent road trip vs. the Western Conference that saw the Celtics play five road games in seven days, and to show the heart that this veteran team has, it actually won the final game of that compressed trip in overtime at Utah last Monday! Now this is only their second game since then as they beat the Golden State Warriors back home in Beantown 94-86 on Friday. Instead of falling apart when it was learned that Rajon Rondo would be lost for the season, the Celtics  have actually rallied and risen in the conference standings by going 11-4 both straight up and ATS since he went down. Boston has averaged 99.3 points per game while allowing just 94.5 over those last 15 games without their All-Star point guard, both improvements over where they were with him as they are now averaging 96.1 points and allowing 95.9 over the entire season. This is also a big game for Boston as it has tougher games vs. Indiana, Atlanta and Oklahoma City following this one, so the Celtics would love to knock the 76ers further back in this head-to-head battle as they may have a tough time extending their lead in the coming games.
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Then again, the Sixers seem to be more prepared to "earn" a lottery pick instead of a playoff spot! The 76ers out the brakes on a seven-game losing streak vs. the Warriors on Saturday, but they then returned to their brutal offensive form, shooting 38.8 percent from the floor in a 90-87 loss at Washington on Sunday. Philadelphia is ranked second to last in the NBA in scoring at 92.0 points per game, a mere 0.1 point better than the Wizards in 30th, and the Sixers are 23rd in shooting percentage at 44.0 percent. Granted they rank a good seventh in points against at 95.7 per game, but even that is a drop off from the great defense Philadelphia played last season, when it ranked third in the NBA in points against at a tiny 89.4 per game, trailing only Chicago and these Celtics. Furthermore, when the 76ers scored 104 points in their win over the Warriors Saturday, it marked the only time in the last 14 games that they have reached the century mark and they are averaging a dreadful 86.2 points per game in the other 13 contests!
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Besides their aforementioned 11-4 ATS run without Rondo, the Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams with winning straight up records.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Bob BalfeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Celtics -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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You have to ask yourself who is the better team here? It clearly is Boston. They have not really been slowed down since Rondo went out and its almost as if the Sixers have to play a perfect game to register a win. This Philly team has been blown out by the NBA’s worst teams. Take Boston
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Notre Dame -10FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. John’s has beaten Notre Dame the last two games. This is a game in which Notre Dame and its veteran team will be ready to play in. This is their last home game of the year and I just do not think St. John’s is experience or good enough on the road to win this game. They might hang for a while, but Notre Dame will make that big run and totally put St. John’s out of it. Take the Irish.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

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Ohio State vs. IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Ohio StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio State wants to play a little spoiler here tonight against Indiana who looks to clinch an outright Big Ten Championship. Ohio State should be in this game and I think the spread is just a little bit exagerated because of how Indiana has played at home and how much they beat Ohio State by on the road. However, Indiana had one of their better shooting nights shooting 53.1% on the road. Ohio State is one of the better defenses in the country ranking 43rd in 2 point defense. Indiana can easily stroke the three, but in the end I don't think it will be enough to cover the 8 points against a team of equal talent level. Indiana is also looking ahead to their Michigan rematch.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois vs. IowaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IowaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The betting markets seem to think that Illinois has turned the corner after reeling off six wins in their last seven games.  I’m not buying that argument.  Let me break down those six wins right here.
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First, the Illini positively stole one at home against Indiana when DJ Richardson got hot down the stretch as the Hoosiers blew a 14 point second half lead.  Then they faced Minnesota when the Gophers were in the midst of their awful mid-season slump.  Then came one good win, a home blowout over Purdue.  Their last three victories have come against the three weakest teams in the conference (Penn State, Northwestern and Nebraska), and two of those three were tight – they barely squeaked past the Nittany Lions and had to rally from behind in the last six minutes on Senior Day to beat the Cornhuskers.
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So for all of their recent success, Illinois’ recent hot streak has been more about their schedule, a lucky win and a ‘right team at the right time’ situation.  Yet the pointspread here reflects enormous respect for the Illini, especially when we consider that Illinois is coming off an emotional senior day win, has failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games, riding a long term 9-21 ATS run against Big 10 competition.
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Iowa is deep, with nine players averaging at least 15 minutes.  They have a strong homecourt edge, 14-2 SU at Carver-Hawkeye Arena this year including each of their last five (4-1 ATS), the lone losses coming in tight games against elite foes Michigan State and Indiana.  A weaker Hawkeyes team than this one knocked Illinois out of the Big 10 tourney on a neutral floor last March.  I expect another Iowa victory over Illinois tonight.

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Philadelphia vs. NY RangersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: NY RangersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These teams have split two meetings this year, with Philadelphia winning 2-1 at home on January 24th, before the Rangers returned the favor, winning by an identical score just five days later. Philadelphia has struggled mightily on the road this year, going 4-8 thus far. Conversely, the Rangers are 8-4-1 in New York. Both teams come into this game with momentum. Philadelphia has won five of seven, while New York has won two straight. The Rangers power-play is starting to click, having gone 3 of 8 over the past two games. If history is any precedence, then the Rangers have to be loving their chances tonight, as they've taken five straight in these series at home. One player you'll want to watch tonight is the Rangers' Rick Nash, who has two goals and two assists over two games since returning to the lineup from injury. I believe the home side is definitely worth the price of admission, as its strong home winning streak continues in this series continues.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri -9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Think Mike Anderson, the Arkansas coach is looking forward to this game?  Ouch!  Not only did he leave Mizzou on bad terms last year on the midnight express so to speak, his Razorbacks beat Mizzou in a thriller a few weeks ago, with some very crappy calls going his way at home in that one to secure a win.  Missouri undefeated on their home floor (16-0) and they have had this one circled and this is senior night and this group wants badly to beat their old coach, on one of the strongest home floors in the nation and keep up the RPI for a higher seed in the Big Dance.
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This is a crucial game for Mizzou on numerous levels, and the way Arkansas plays little defense on the road and has MAJOR issues scoring on the road, and Mizzou's scoring at home, this game is going to get ugly in my opinion.  Mizzou has not only beat good teams in here, but beaten some of them badly.  Mizzou leads in all stat categories that count - Points scored - Points allowed - Free throws - Steals - FG% and rebounding.  Did I mention Arkansas is 1-8 on the road in the SEC?  I do not like laying big numbers this time of the year normally over 7, but for a free play I think Mizzou wins this by double digits.  The Zou will be rockin tonight, have no illusions.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

King CreoleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Eastern Michigan +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We submit to you that the WRONG team is favored in tonight's game from the MAC Conference. Despite the fact that the Eagles are on the road, they should be a -2 to -3 point FAVORITE... according to our current College Hoops power rankings. We have NO problem grabbing a basket or two against the clear-cut 2nd WORST team in the Conference. Central Michigan is asked to win tonight's game (as a fav) when they IN FACT have gone 2-12 SU in conference play since January... and 2-9 ATS in their last 11. Give the road EAGLES credit for at least going 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games... including a perfect 4-0 ATS vs any opponent off a SU win.
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16-7-1 ATS so far THIS season: All Conference underdogs of < 10 pts playing off BB SUATS wins, with the last as a conference Underdog (EASTERN MICHIGAN) versus any opponent off a SU win (Central Michigan). These teams have gone 11-2-1 ATS on the ROAD... and a PERFECT 5-0 ATS when playing 'into' Revenge (EAGLES beat the Chippies 58-52 back on Jan. 15th).
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In fact, BOTH of these teams are playing of Conference UNDERDOG wins in their last game. In that case, the ROAD DOG is the the play.
5-0 ATS this season: All Conference road dogs off a SU conf DOG win (EAGLES) vs any opponent also off a SU conf DOG win (Chippewas).

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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MISSOURI -10 over Arkansas: (Google News Play) The Razorbacks have been impressive at home, pulling upset after upset, but on the road this tea has struggled mightily. The Hogs are 1-8 away from home and that includes a 17 point loss at Florida, an 18 point loss at Vandy, a 21 point loss at woeful South Carolina, a 12 point road loss at Ole Miss and an 18 point loss at Texas A&M. Out of those teams the only Florida is a better team than Missouri and the Tigers beat them on this floor. The Tigers are 16-0 at home and have won 6 of their last 7 SEC home games by DD, plus we note that 8 of Missouri's 9 SEC wins overall have been by at least 13 points. Overall Missouri has outscored their opponents by 18.5 ppg at home, while the Hogs have been outscored by 11 ppg on the road. The Hogs score 80+ points at home, but on the road this offense goes into a funk, having scored just 59.8 ppg on 38.7% shooting, while Missouri allows 62.3 on just 37.5% shooting at home. That will make it very hard for Arkansas to put up enough points to keep this one close, especially since they allow 70.8 ppg on the road and Missouri scores 80.8 ppg at home. This one should not be close at all.
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INDIANA -8 over Ohio State:  Im looking for a DD win by the Hooisers here. The Hoosiers are 17-1 at home and have outscored their opponents by 26.6 ppg on this floor this year. The Buckeyes have been a solid team at home, where they are 15-2, scoring 73+ ppg, but on the road this team is just 4-5 and are scoring 63 ppg on 41.4% shooting. That won't get it done here, especially vs an Indiana team that allows just 58.7 ppg and scores 85.3 ppg on their home floor. Indiana has a road date vs Michigan on deck, but I do not expect a look-a-head here. This is their last home game of the season and a win in this game will give them the outright Big 10 regular season title. That's a ton of motivation for this team and they should once again have a very good showing at home and win this one by at least 12 points.
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NOTRE DAME -9.5 over St Johns: Google News Play Can there be a team more motivated tonight than the Irish? Fist off ND is seeking revenge for an earlier loss to the Redmen. Next we note that this is senior night and they will be fired up for Jack Cooley's last home game, and finally a win here by the Irish will put them in a tie for 4th place in the Big East, which means they have a good shot at the double bye for the tourney. The Irish will be taking on a struggling St Johns squad they has lost 5 of their last 7 games, with 4 of those 5 losses being by DD and to make matter worse for this team they did suspend leading scorer for the remainder of the season last Friday. Too much going against the Redmen and they will not nearly have enough to stay within the Fired up and fully motivated Irish in this one.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ole Miss -5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Ole Miss Rebels have a lot to play for tonight as they are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament. That's especially the case after an ugly road loss at Mississippi State over the weekend. However, that defeat has them undervalued and highly motivated for a victory when they return home tonight.
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I like Ole Miss' chances of bouncing back with a blowout victory tonight over Alabama considering how well it has played at home all year. The Rebels are 15-1 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 19.9 points/game. Alabama is just 4-7 in true road games this year.
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Home-court advantage has been pretty big in this series between Ole Miss and Alabama. The home team has won 10 of the last 12 meetings. Ole Miss is 12-3 in its last 15 home meetings with Alabama dating back to 1997.
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The Rebels are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. The Crimson Tide are 1-9 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Alabama is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a S.U. loss. The Crimson Tide are 0-8 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons. Alabama is 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Bet Ole Miss Tuesday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clemson -4.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Motivated by 4 consecutive defeats, and further fueled by a 7-point loss in the season's first meeting, expect Clemson to take care of business on senior night. Boston College upset Virginia Sunday, but that game was at home and it caught the Cavs at a good time - they were off a win over Duke. The Eagles haven't been nearly as competitive on the road where they are on a 0-7 slide and have lost these games by an average of 12.3 points. Boston College has especially struggled at Clemson. The Eagles are 0-5 in their last 5 road games in the series with these losses coming by an average of 15.2 points. Lay the points.

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Jeff AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa -4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hawkeyes are 14-2 at home on the season and have won their last five at home by an average of 11.6 points. Iowa covered the spread at Indiana in its last game but lost by 13 points. This is significant because the Hawks are 6-0 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season and 10-2 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Iowa is also an impressive 9-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Lay the number.

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