Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Steve Janus

Cincinnati +11

This is a solid spot to jump on the Bearcats as a double-digit road underdog, as they catch Louisville in a good spot. The Cardinals are coming off a huge 58-53 road win over Syracuse on Saturday and could find themselves struggling to get motivated on such a short notice against a very hungry Cincinnati team. Louisville could also be looking ahead to Saturday's regular season finale against Notre Dame, as they haven't forgot about that 101-104 5OT loss at Notre Dame back in early February. The Cardinals are an impressive 13-1 at home this season, but they are just 5-9 ATS at home. Cincinnati is a respectable 8-4 S.U. & ATS on the road and are simply catching too many points in a game involving two very good defensive teams.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Dave Price

Denver Nuggets -10

This may seem like a lot of points, but the Hawks find themselves in a tough spot. This will be their third road game in four days and their sixth in 10 days. This stretch would be tough enough to tackle at home, let alone on the road with all the travel mixed in. I think it's safe to say the Nuggets, who have had the last two days off, will be the fresher team. In addition to Atlanta's level of fatigue, it will likely be hard for the Hawks to bounce back emotionally from last night's heartbreaking loss to the Lakers. They battled their way back from 16 down only to come up a point short. Denver has been deadly at home where it has won 10 in a row by an average of 11.5 points. It has also won 5 straight at home versus the Hawks. Atlanta has struggled against explosive offensive teams this season, going 0-7 ATS versus teams that average 103.0 points or more per game. Lay the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Jeff Alexander

Cleveland Cavaliers +3

It's going to be tough for the Knicks to pick themselves back up off the floor after blowing a 16-point lead in yesterday's loss to the Heat. The Knicks are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss. While this will be New York's third game in four days, the Cavs have had two days of rest so they should be the fresher side. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. The Knicks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland. Bet the Cavs.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Dennis Macklin

North Carolina A&T -2

Kinda slim pickins on an abbreviated Big Monday card so we'll head to the extra board for a MEAC matchup between Savannah State and North Carolina A&T. Both teams are mid-table and not likely to make any noise in their tournament where NC Central or Norfolk State should prevail. Savannah State (-6) won the first go around 56-49 two weeks ago despite turning the ball over an incredible 27 times. Maybe it's not that incredible as the Tigers lead the nation in turnovers giving it away on 28% of their possessions. At 17-12, SSU must have some players or the MEAC must be way down. The 14-15 Aggies are having a disappointing year considering they brought back a team with four starters that ranked No.7 in the country in terms of returning experience. Tonight is senior night for the A&T guys and thinking that the homies will come up with a top effort and cover this small number in their final game in front of the home folk. North Carolina A&T 58-50.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Don Best Consensus

Hawks at Nuggets
Pick: Over

The over is 7-3 in Atlanta's last 10 games vs. NBA Northwest opponents. Over is also 11-2 in Denver's last 13 home games, 20-6 in Denver's last 26 overall games. In the head-to-head battles between the Hawks and the Nuggets, the over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Dave Essler

Texas +2

It's always hard to fade a team in their last home game, even a team like Texas with hardly any upper-classmen. I do realize that Baylor still has SOME NCAA Tournament aspirations, but in reality finishing up at home against Kansas, a likely loss, with a .500 record and no good road wins, isn't going to do it. And the fact that Baylor has only beaten TCU and West Virginia (barely) on the road really makes me question why they are favored, so we will gladly take the possession. If Texas wins this game they have a chance to win two consecutive games for the first time since December, and one of THOSE wins was at home over North Carolina, so they've got the capability to beat anyone in Austin. They took Baylor of overtime in Waco, and the Bears went to the line an astonishing 45 times, to less than 20 (if memory serves me correct) and on the road, almost no matter how well they play, the home team IS going to get more calls. In the previous game, Texas actually dominated inside, so if it weren't for the FT's there's simply no way Baylor would have won THAT game, let alone here. Texas had more assists (consider it was Pierre Jackson, too) and as many rebounds. Point being, this is not as much about revenge than it is a simple matter of Texas not only knows how to play Baylor, but feels they should have already beaten them. In the Longhorns last home game, they came back from a million down to beat Oklahoma State in overtime, so regardless of what the score is throughout this game, the Longhorns' confidence should be high. Texas does have the size to compete with the Bears, and Baylor's interior defense is simply soft, IMO. Texas has the 3rd and 4th ranked defensive efficiency numbers in the Conference with respect to three and two point FG %, and has played the third toughest Big-12 SOS as compared to Baylor's 9th toughest. That in and of itself is enough for me to take a home underdog.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Charlie Scott

Cincinnati vs. Louisville     
Play: Over

Big East games on Big Monday had a run of Unders until last Monday.I like playing Over low Totals with 2 Teams that will run when they have the opportunity and each have capable scorers. This Total should be 126-127 Minimum.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Harry Bondi

ORLANDO (+9.5) over New Orleans

We hate to bet bad teams but we love to bet value and that is what we have with Orlando tonight. As bad as the Magic are, there is no way they should be almost 10 point underdogs to New Orleans. We had the Hornets over Detroit as your FREE play winner last Friday because the hornets were undervalued but the market has overreacted to the Magic's recent struggles. Hornets are still not at full strength with Anthony Davis still out and Jason Smith also out with a torn labrum in his right shoulder. Take the points with Orlando.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Bob Balfe

Cincinnati +10

I have been very high on this Cincinnati team. They have a good backcourt and can rebound the ball very well. That is a perfect recipe for winning in March. This is the game that will determine if they are ready to make their run and make some noise in the NCAA Tournament. I think this is too many points this late in the year. The Bearcats could really use a quality win on the road and will keep this game close. Take Cincinnati.


Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5

Miami got a big win yesterday, but they did not look sharp. Its tough to keep winning when you set a franchise record of consecutive wins in a row. Teams go through their ups and downs during the season. I think the best thing for Miami would be to lose this streak soon and get back to normal. Lebron James will have his knee examined and I think tonight would be a great game for the Heat to sit him to get some rest. Winning streaks are great for fans and sports center, but in reality teams just want to be healthy going into the playoffs. This is a good money line play right now at +425. If Lebron does end up playing you can always bet the other side, but this line will drop if he is ruled out. Take Minnesota.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Chris Jordan

My free pick is on an easy college basketball total for tonight, as I love the Over in the Big 12 showdown between Baylor and Texas.

Anyone else see how tough-luck the Baylor Bears lost the other day, to the Kansas State Wildcats? If you didn't, read up on it. It was quite excruciating, and them Bears are going to be fired up for this game in Austin, Texas against the Longhorns.

And while Baylor (17-12, 8-8 Big 12) is barely clinging to its fading tournament hopes, and knows damn well it must come out of the Frank Erwin Center with a win to stay in the selection committee's discussion, the Longhorns (13-16, Big 12 5-11) would love nothing more than to win on Senior Night and close the regular season home slate with a monumental win.

Thus, we're going to see both teams going at it strong, offensively.

I know this has easily been coach Rick Barnes’ worst season at Texas, so it's easy to assume the Longhorns will be at their best tonight. They come in Over runs of 4-0 at home and 11-3 against winning teams. The Bears, they've gone over in 12 of 15 with a suitcase in hand.

Finally, the Over is on a 7-2 run in this series.

2♦ TEXAS

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Scott Delaney

My free pick is on a Big East Rivalry taking place in Louisville, but I'm not messing with either Cincinnati or Louisville. Not when both are treating this as a must-win game.

A win for Cincinnati, currently 50th in the Ratings Percentage Index, would be go a long way toward solidifying a tournament berth. Though it's not necessarily a must-win situation, the Bearcats might as well get their reservations set with a win. And the only way to seize control of the Cardinals, are by going in with guns ablazing.

Cincinnati's Sean Kilpatrick (17.7 points per game) is one of the best players in the nation, and can easily take over a game - I've seen him do it personally. He'll be a thorn in Louisville's side all game, and will be the key component in forcing this into an upper-tempo game.

The 'Cats have no choice. See, while Louisville's league-leading offense has been a driving force for much of the season, its defense has been a main focal point during the team's recent surge. Thus, if Cincy wants to come away with a win, offense is key.

And the Cardinals will no how to answer with their explosive game.

Take this one over the posted number, as they're in for a shootout.

2♦ OVER Cincinnati at Louisville

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

NHL Predictions

Devils / Maple Leafs Over 5

This will be the first meeting between these two teams this year. Last year they faced each other 4 times with each team winning twice (road team was 4-0). In those 4 meetings we saw totals of 8, 5, 7, and 7, with the OVER going 3-1. The OVER is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings overall dating back to the final meeting of 2011. The OVER is 3-1 in the Devils last 4 games as they've given up 16 goals during that span (4 per game) with Martin Brodeur out with an injury. The Maple Leafs have scored 11 goals over their last 3 games, with three straight OVERs (totals of 6, 7, and 9). I think the oddsmakers are being generous here giving us a total set at 5, and I will take the OVER.


Los Angeles Kings -149

If you can remember back to January we had the Kings at home vs the Predators as our GOW pick. The Kings outshot Nashville 24-14 and out chanced them by a ton, yet they fell 2-1 in a shootout. These two teams met again in February with Nashville winning 3-0 at home despite being outshot 32-14. Since those games the Kings have been on a quite a roll, including winning 7 of their last 9 games overall. The Predators have lost 2 straight and 4 of their last 5 games overall. In Nashville's 4 recent losses they've managed just 2 goals combined. Los Angeles has won 4 straight home games to improve to 5-1-1 on the season at home. The Predators are 4-6-2 on the road and have lost 5 straight road games. The Kings are coming off a rough loss in Vancouver, but they are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a loss of 3+ goals and playing at home tonight should give them an extra boost. The Kings are winless against Nashville this season despite out playing them heavily. With the way things are going for each team right now I like Los Angeles to come out on top in front of their home crowd tonight. Take the Kings.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Ian Cameron

New Jersey at Toronto
Play: Toronto

The New Jersey Devils are struggling in all phases right now. They’ve allowed four goals or more in three of their last four games and they’ve scored two goals or less in three of those games as well. The Devils are 1-6 in their last seven games and they’ve yet to win a game since Hall Of Fame bound starting goalie Martin Brodeur went on the IR with a back injury. Johan Hedberg who has started every game so far in place of the injured Brodeur has allowed 19 goals in his five starts. There isn’t a single aspect of New Jersey’s game right now offensively, defensively or in goal that is playing at a high level and I think they will be in tough spot to snap their losing streak tonight in Toronto.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been a surprise story this season with a solid 13-9 record. The Leafs have enjoyed three days off since their last game which was a road win in OT against the New York Islanders. Toronto also won their only game this season following a 3+ days of rest situation. After starting the season poorly at home, Toronto has put together a 3-1 home record in their last four home games. They enters tonight’s game averaging 2.91 goals per game compared to New Jersey’s 2.48 goals scored per game and for all the accolades the Devils receive for being a rock solid defensive unit, it is actually the Leafs who have yielded fewer goals on a per game basis. Toronto is allowing 2.5 goals per game which is slightly better than New Jersey’s 2.52 goals allowed per game. The Leafs have an unblemished 7-0 record facing teams with a losing record this season as they’ve shown an ability to beat the teams they should.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

DENVER -10 over Atlanta: The hawks are off a tough 1 point loss to the Lakers and that has them in a bad situational spot as hey must now travel to the altitude of Denver with no rest.  Playing in Denver is no picnic anyway even if you have rest as the Nuggets are 25-3 on the year at home and have outscored their opponents by 9+ ppg. The Denver offense has been putting up points in droves of late, averaging 112.8 ppg in their last 5 games and they average 108.9 ppg at home. Atlanta had averaged 106.3 ppg in their first 3 games of this road trip, but the trip may be taking it's toll as they have put up just 92.5 ppg in their last 2 and that offense should also suffer here as well with them playing a back-to-back. They have played pretty good defense on the trip, but this tired team will not be able to stop the hot Denver offense is this one. I expect Denver to flirt with a 20 point win in this one.

3 UNIT PLAY

Golden State/ Toronto Over 203.5: These teams met back in January, in Toronto and 216 points were scored in that game. Now the scene shifts to Golden State, where games on averaged are much higher scoring than Toronto home games so we should easily get at least 204 points in this one. The Raptors have allowed 104 and 103 points in their last 2 games (Regulation) on the road and The Warriors have averaged 102 ppg at home for the year. Overall this year Toronto has allowed 102.7 ppg on the road. The Raptor offense scores pretty well on the road (97.2 ppg) and Golden State has struggled on defense of late, allowing 106 ppg in their last 10 games. The Warriors need this game in the worst way and that should motivate them to run, run and run some more, making this a very fast paced game, which should put up around 210 points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Kansas/ Texas Tech Under 140.5: These teams met back in January and just 108 points were scored. The Red Raider put up just 46 points in that home game and now they are on the road where the score just 57.5 ppg on the year, including just 55.8 ppg in their last 6 away from home. Making matters worse for this offense is the fact that they will be taking on a Kansas defense that has allowed just 59.6 ppg on a mere 33.6% shooting at home for the year. No way the Red Raiders put up more than 55 points in this one. Kansas does average 78.9 at home and Texas Tech allows 73.6 ppg on the road, so I really don't expect more than 80 from the Jayhawks, especially once they get a big lead and with having a road game vs Baylor on deck they should call off the dogs midway through the 2nd half.   80-55 sounds about right for this one.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, March 4

Andre Gomes

NY Knicks -3

This is a back to back game for the Knicks, who faced Miami at home yesterday on an 1PM EST game. However, only Carmelo Anthony played more than 40 minutes, while four of their players were on the court for about 35 minutes. Cleveland's defense simply doesn't exist nowadays and their interior defense is very fragile, especially with Tyler Zeller out tonight, while their perimeter defense isn't much better. The Knicks will struggle in defending Kyrie Irving, but he is returning tonight from injury and he can't do everything on his own. Dion Waiters and Tyler Zeller won't play tonight, so Wayne Ellington and Marreese Speights will start tonight, leaving the Cavaliers's bench with no second unit whatsoever. Even though the Knicks aren't on a great spot tonight, they shouldn't have problems in beating the Cavaliers, who won't have any kind of depth tonight. I'll be taking the Knicks tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Online
220920 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45502
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
287403
Average Posts Per Hour:
5.8
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3696
Newest User:
Brandon Blair
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2639

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com