Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

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Carolina at WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina travels to Washington tonight in a battle of Southeast division foes. The story here is the breakout game from Alex Ovechkin, where he netted a hat trick and an assist in a 5-1 win over New Jersey Saturday night.  Is this the spark the star forward needed to turn his and Washington's season around?  Any time you give a goal scorer like Ovechkin confidence it could spell disaster for opponents.  The Capitals have won four of their last six games and did it with the NHL's second best power play which scores at a 28.8% clip.  They should have plenty of special teams chances tonight against a Carolina team ranked 24th on the PK killing off just 76.8% of its penalties.  Despite a decent start, Carolina has lost three of its last four games and comes into Washington tonight without a lot of depth.  The Jeff Skinner injury has really kept them from being as offensively explosive as they are capable of and throw in the injuries to Gleason, McBain, and Pitkanen and the Hurricanes have been shorthanded from the better part of February.  These are two teams that have been headed in different directions of late which puts us on the home side.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

David Banks

Chicago Bulls -7

The Chicago Bulls (32-24, 24-32 ATS) are actually facing a team that they have proven they can score against when they host the Cleveland Cavaliers (18-38, 28-27-1 ATS) at the United Center in Chicago, IL on Tuesday night at 8:05 ET in a game carried on NBA TV. The Bulls rank 28th out of 30 NBA teams in points scored overall this season and they have actually shot the ball worse at home, accounting for their modest 15-13 straight up and abysmal 7-21 ATS record in the Windy City. Chicago also scored just 72 points at Oklahoma City Sunday, but it has looked like the Bulls of old when facing the defensively challenged Cavaliers this year.

In fact, the Bulls have dominated the Cavaliers for several seasons now, going a perfect 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings and 7-0 ATS in the last seven matchups. Yes, much of that was with Derrick Rose in the lineup, but Cleveland is one of the few teams that Chicago has continued to flourish against even without Rose, who has stated publicly that he "would not mind" sitting out this entire season as he recovers from his torn ACL suffered in the first game of last season's playoffs. The Bulls are 3-0 vs. the Cavs this year, averaging a whopping 109.3 points in those three triumphs while winning by an average of +21.7 points! This is from a team averaging 92.5 points for the year. Furthermore, Chicago is averaging an atrocious 90.9 points on just 42.6 percent shooting here at home this season, and yet in the only home meeting with Cleveland, the Bulls obliterated the Cavs 118-92 while shooting 53.7 percent (44-for-82) from the field, playing at a pace more closely associated with a team like Houston than with Chicago, which ranks 27th in the league with a pace rating of only 92.0 possessions per game. Moreover, the first time these teams met this season in Cleveland way back in November, the Bulls shot what is still an NBA season-high 63.8 percent (44-for-69) in a 115-86 blowout. Unfortunately for the Bulls' sake, they cannot face Cleveland every game!

The Cavaliers have topped 100 points in three straight games and they have one of the more exciting young players in the NBA in Kyrie Irving, but they have been unable to solve the stiff Chicago defense this season, averaging a measly 87.7 points in the three meetings. The Cleveland defense on the other hand has not been able to stop anyone, with the normally poor shooting Bulls included. That is because the Cavaliers are allowing 101.2 points per game while ranking dead last in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at a generous 47.7 percent and 28th out of 30 teams in three-point defense at 38.1 percent. As poor as those numbers are, the Cavs have actually been slightly worse on the road allowing 102.0 points per game on an atrocious 48.5 percent shooting, and they are surrendering 49.1 percent shooting over the last five games.

The Cavaliers are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games vs. divisional opponents. The Bulls are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

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Florida delivered a dominant revenge performance against Arkansas over the weekend, through they failed to cover in that game. The Gators are clearly the top team in the SEC at 12-2 in conference play, holding a two game cushion over Kentucky and Alabama with four games to go. A big game with Alabama is up next which could make the season's lone meeting with Tennessee a game that is overlooked in between two huge games. Tennessee has quietly pushed its way on to the NCAA Tournament bubble with five straight wins in conference play and despite 10 losses; a high quality non-conference schedule keeps the Volunteers in play. Tennessee is 11-3 S/U at home this season and all four of the losses for Florida have come away from home. The overall road schedule for Florida has been exceptionally weak, losing in every true road games against a quality team with only minor wins over Florida State and Texas A&M standing out as decent road wins. This will also be a third road game in the last four games for the Gators and this is a season making opportunity for Tennessee with its lone chance against the likely SEC champion and a potential NCAA Tournament #1 or #2 seed. Tennessee won both meetings with the Gators last season and Florida has covered just seven times in the last 22 meetings of this series. The statistics for Florida are impressive but Tennessee is a deep team that rebounds well and will limit the outside shooting opportunities for the Gators. Look for the Volunteers to keep this game tight in what should be the biggest game of the season in Knoxville.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Brad Wilton

Tuesday night's free play will be to ride the Tigers of Memphis as they look for their 19th straight win at the expense of the Xavier Musketeers.

Second straight February these non-conference teams will face one another, as Xavier dropped a 72-68 decision last season, but did cover as the +5 point road dog in Memphis.

Deja Vu tonight, as Xavier is once again a +5 point dog, but the problem is, this year's Musketeers team is just 15-11 and are fresh off blowing a 13-point home halftime lead against VCU over the weekend in a 4-point loss.

I have a feeling the Musketeers will be a little deflated after that setback, and the fact the Tigers have covered in 4 of their last 5 wins tells me they are peaking right now.

Memphis has not lost a true road game this year, going 7-0 straight up going 5-2 against the spread in those 7 wins.

Playing the Tigers to extend their winning streak with the comfortable road win.

2* MEMPHIS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Jeff Benton

For Tuesday, freebie on Tennessee plus the points at home versus Florida.

I am guessing the Vols are getting this many points partly because they are fresh off Saturday's four overtime road win at Texas A&M, but I think this is just too many points for the Gators to lay on the road tonight.

Florida has dropped their last pair against the spread, and is on a 2-5 overall spread slide their last seven games.

Tennessee has been just the opposite, as their current five game win and cover streak has the Vols Big Dance dreaming, especially if they can extend that streak to six in a row tonight.

Don't laugh, with series wins in the last pair and six of the last ten straight up, have to give the points and the Volunteers a real shot to stay close, especially in Knoxville where they have won five of their seven SEC games this year.

Take Tennessee to put up a fight with the points tonight as your Tuesday freebie.

1* TENNESSEE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Brett Atkins

Wright State is much better than the team we saw lose 70-58 to Evansville at home

in the final BracketBuster. And even though the Raiders have lost two of three now, I'm still stuck no the team that is 9-5 in league play and on the brink of a 20-win season. Just two more wins until they get there, and my free pick is on them getting their 19th victory tonight.

This is a huge revenge  game for Wright State, you see. The Raiders had swept the season series three years in a row before losing to Illinois-Chicago at home, 55-49, back on Jan. 26.

Wright State couldn't get their offense on track, and trailed 26-14 at halftime. The Raiders shot just 2-of-19 from 3-point range in the game, and it's near impossible to have just as bad a game. And even though these two are tied for last place in the Horizon League in scoring with 61.9 points per game, the Raiders rank first in scoring defense (58.6). I'm confident we're going to see that stringent D tonight.

Lay the single road point in this one tonight.

2♦ WRIGHT STATE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Craig Davis

Tuesday night's comp play is Minnesota as the home underdog versus #1 Indiana.

I realize this isn't a popular pick, but with games coming up against Ohio State and Michigan, we might catch the Hoosiers in a bit of a "look ahead" spot here tonight.

Don't get me wrong, I don't believe Tom Crean has been preaching anything but "focus on the Gophers" since their last game, but the kids are human and they know what lies ahead should be tougher than what's in front of them tonight.

Having said that, Minny plays a lot better at home than they do on the road, and if you remember the last time these two teams met, the Gophers feel like they figured out the Hoosiers in the second half and nearly stormed all the way back from a HUGE deficit to win... or at least be in the position to win at the end.

Indiana was ranked 5th and the Gophers 8th the last time these two met at the end of January in Bloomington. Minnesota was 15-1 at the time and had just destroyed Michigan State the previous week... so they were riding high coming into that game.

Well Indiana led at one point, 47-21 and the game looked like it was going to be a laugher. Minnesota smothered the Hoosiers with defense and three-point shooting in the second half, but came up short in an 88-81 loss. What they did in the second half, though, has to be a shot in the arm of confidence, knowing they can play with this team.

With the crowd behind them, they have a shot to beat anyone in the country at home... despite their last two horrendous, double-digit losses at Iowa and Ohio State.

Don't be surprised if the Gophers pull the upset, but I'm happy enough just taking the points in this one.

3♦ MINNESOTA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Chris Jordan

My free winner for tonight is going to be on the Indiana Hoosiers, laying points inside Williams Arena in Minneapolis, to the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Admittedly, I thought about using Indiana as a premium selection, after all, it's covered four of its last five trips to The Barn.

But, you see, I was one of the very few advocating how good the Golden Gophers are this season two months ago. Cracks me up everyone jumping on them now, bunch of johnny-come-latelys who are riding coattails. Minnesota is well-coached team, one that nearly erased a 23-point deficit on the road in mid-January during a visit to Bloomington, Indiana.

But even though the Gophers look like a safe bet to make next month's dance, I'm not sure they make out that sweetened round without a true point guard, inconsistent outside shooting and a suspect bench. I mean, sure, they cracked the Top 10 at one point this season, but when the competition elevated in conference play, they've suffered their lumps.

And right now they look like a team lacking confidence, and I think Tubby Smith's tongue-lashing proves there is frustration with the team right now.

I'm going to take a shot here, laying the touchdown sans an extra point to a beleaguered basketball team that might lose this one by 10 tonight.

All Hoosiers.

2♦ INDIANA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Scott Delaney

My free winner for tonight is going to be on the Memphis Tigers, as they open a three-game road swing in Cincinnati, and lay the points in their non-conference clash with the Xavier Musketeers.

Memphis (24-3, 13-0 C-USA), which moved up to No. 19 spot in the current AP poll, comes in to this game riding an 18-game win streak. The Tigers haven't lost since Dec. 15, when they fell to No. 6 Louisville.

So even though Xavier (15-11, 8-5 A-10) has won three of its last five games, I don't think this is the right time to step out of conference. Besides, Memphis brings a perfect 7-0 road record into tonight's game. It is the nation's only team with an undefeated road record. Actually, the last time the Tigers dropped a road game was at Southern Miss on Feb. 1, 2012, as they hold the nation's current longest road win streak at 11 straight.

Memphis has also covered five of seven on the road and is on a 4-1 ATS win streak overall, while the Musketeers are suffering through a 1-5 ATS slide versus non-conference teams.

Lay the road chalk.

1♦ MEMPHIS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

We won with our Triple Confirmed Plays Yesterday.

UNDEFEATED77'S TRIPLE CONFIRMED PLAYS
with an extra bonus confirmation on each one today.

----------------------------------------------------------------

JOE WIZ FREE PLAY
Under 199 L.A. and Charlotte.


Jim Feist FREE SERVICE PLAYS
Bobcats/Clippers under the total.


DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
L.A. CLIPPERS 107, Charlotte 87  = 194


Game 515-516: Charlotte at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 109.586; LA Clippers 123.328
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+16); Under


======================================
======================================


Jack Jones
15* Chicago Bulls -6.5


DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index
CHICAGO 99, Cleveland 89


DUNKEL INDEX
NBA
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7)


Dave Price
Chicago Bulls -6.5

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

John Ryan

Nebraska at Wisconsin
Prediction: Under

The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 100 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a?35-12 ATS UNDER mark for 75% winners since 1997. Play under the posted total with home teams where the total is 129.5 or less off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival and is now facing an opponent off an upset win as a home dog. Nebraska is a struggling anemic offensive team, but they do play a solid defense. However, they pack the paint mostly in a 2-3 zone, and as a result, they do not get many steals. They average just 5.1 steals per game and that ranks 313th in the nation. Wisconsin is 54-26 UNDER (+25.4 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals per game on the season since 1997. This is in large part attributed to the fact that Wisconsin will work the ball around the 2-3 looking to get one of the top of the key defenders out of a position and then attack the paint. If double teamed, the perimeter will be wide open. However, Wisconsin has been largely inconsistent from the perimeter this season. Bottom line is this will be a grinding slow-paced style of Big Ten basketball game. Take the UNDER

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Undefeated77 wrote:



We won with our Triple Confirmed Plays Yesterday.

You might be the only one who knows how to use Dunkel.  smile

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Joe Gavazzi

Xavier +5

I am eager to go against a Memphis team who has a commanding three game lead in the watered-down CUSA. While the Tigers enter a bit over-confident with their 18 game win streak, Xavier has been toiling against superior opposition in the vastly underrated A10. After leading much of the game on Saturday, Xavier fell on this floor, 75-71, to VCU. It dropped the Muskies record to 49-8 SU at the Cintas Center L3+Y. In so doing, it sets up a strong revenge scenario as X gets their payback from a hard-fought 72-68 loss at Memphis last year. This would have been a stronger play if not for the fact that Xavier lead guard, Dee Davis, will most likely miss tonight’s game with concussion like symptoms.


New Orleans -2½

In this matchup, Brooklyn has clearly struggled in this series. They have won just 2/9 recent games in the series, dropping the last four at this site. Do not expect things to get much better for this visitor tonight. High-scoring guard Johnson (foot) is expected to miss his third straight game. In the previous game without him, Brooklyn lost 76-72 at home to Memphis. Without Johnson, they shot less than 30% from the field, a league low for the season. As I have told you before, under dogs following a home loss in which they scored fewer than 80 points, are a 79-43 ATS play against. The Hornets had a hard start at home this year, beginning 3-13 SU. Since that time, however, they have turned things around, winning 7/11. That included a confidence building 110-95 Sunday victory against woeful Sacramento. Yet the win keys a situation that finds competitively priced home teams of +3 to -3 following a 15 point victory to be 42-17 ATS against a visitor who just played a game in which neither team scored 90 or more points. Expect the series history to continue for a revived NO team facing a Nets team without one of their leading scorers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Larry Ness

Golden State vs. Indiana

Pick: Indiana

Golden State lost a season-high six straight games from Feb 5-19 but visits Indiana tonight on a three-game winning streak after beating the Suns and Spurs at home, then ending a five-game road losing streak Sunday afternoon in Minnesota with a 100-99 win over the T-wolves. The Warriors came back from 16 points down in the first quarter for just their FOURTH road win in 14 games. Jarrett Jack (13.8-6.0 APG) posted team highs of 23 points and eight assists off the bench and David Lee (19.2-11.0) recorded his league-leading 36th double-double with 22 points and 13 rebounds. The Pacers returned from the All Star break to go 3-0 SU and ATS. Indiana is 23-5 SU (18-10 ATS) at home on the season, including 18-2 over its last 20, going 14-6 ATS. The Pacers likely won’t catch the Heat for the East’s best record but it’s my opinion they’ll hold off the Knicks, Hawks, Nets and Bulls for the No. 2 seed. Danny Granger sat out the team’s first 55 games this season but was on the court for the first time this season Saturday night in Detroit. He played just under 20 minutes off the bench and tallied just two points on 1-of-10 shooting. "He was rusty, but that's to be expected," head coach Frank Vogel said. "That's why we aren't throwing him out there for 40 minutes. He's been a lot better in practices, but this was his first time at game speed in a long time." Indiana has developed a great chemistry without Granger and Vogel has to be careful how he eases the team’s All Star back into the rotation. George (17.6-7.9-4.0) has been a revelation this year, Hill (14.6-4.0-4.9) has taken over “big time” at the point with Collison gone, plus West (17.2-7/6), Hibbert (9.9-8.1) and Stephenson (8.4-3.8) have all done their jobs. Indiana leads the NBA in points allowed (89.4 PPG) and defensive FG percentage (41,3%). This has been a home-dominated series with the visiting team losing NINE of the last 10 meetings. More importantly, the Warriors have lost 10 of their last 11 at Indiana, including five straight while allowing an average of 114.2 PPG. lay the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Teddy Covers

Wright St. vs. Illinois-Chicago
Pick: Under

We don’t see many college basketball totals lower than 115.  When we do see one as low as the total tonight in the Wright State at Illinois-Chicago game, it’s this low for a darn good reason.

The Flames and Raiders are the two lowest scoring, slowest paced teams in the Horizon League.  And they both rank among the Top 3 teams in the conference defensively as well.  So when these two teams meet, we can expect low scoring, slow paced affairs, like the 55-49 grind-it-out game they played in Cleveland last month.

Don’t expect tonight’s rematch to be any more uptempo than the first meeting was.  Wright State is playing without leading scorer Cole Darling; their best offensive creator. The Raiders next two leading scorers – Reggie Arceneaux (returning off a multi-week concussion absence tonight) and Miles Dixon – have both shot less than 38% from the floor for the season.  Don’t expect any sort of offensive explosion from the Raiders here.

UIC leading scorer point guard Gary Talton, has gone ice cold from three point range, just 5-29 from downtown over the past month.  Like Wright State, Illinois-Chicago’s scorers don’t connect at a high percentage from the floor – four of their top six healthy scorers shoot less than 40% from the floor.  Expect points to be at a premium from start to finish!  Take the Under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

King Creole

Wis.-Milwaukee +14.5

It's REVENGE time for the double-digit dog PANTHERS ion Tuesday in Horizon league Conference play. We'll start our query by looking at each team individually... then we'll query the conference... and finally, we'll check out the REVENGE situations for THIS season.

WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE is 27-13 ATS when playing with same-season single Revenge ('SSR1') in their Horizon League history. That includes 10-2 ATS in the last 4 years as underdogs of > 2 points.

Wisconsin-Green Bay is 1-6 ATS as favs of > 2 pts off a SU loss when playing INTO 'SSR1'.

In this particular conference:
HORIZON LEAGUE big underdogs of +13 > points (WISC-MILW) playing with 'SSR1' have gone 9-1-1 ATS in the last 4 seasons.

So far in the 2012 / 2013 season:
12-3-1 ATS this year: All conference underdogs playing with 'SSR1' and off BB SU wins (WISC-MILW) versus any opponent off a SU loss (Wisc-GB). these teams have gone a PERFECT 5-0-1ATS if they were an underdog (or 'pick) in their last game (WISC-MILW).

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Andre Gomes

Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5

Even though they lost one more time, Minnesota showed some good moments of basketball against Golden State on their last game. Their problem keeps being their poor decisions down the stretch and especially the fact that they can't hit a 3 pointer to save their lives, something that puts them as the worst 3pts shooting team in the league by far. The good news is that Ricky Rubio is looking amazing lately, as he is looking far more explosive and his overall numbers have improved in both ends of the floor. Over the past five games, Rubio has averaged 14.2 points, 9.2 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 4.6 steals per game. The Wolves have been +17 in Rubio's 174 minutes of floor time during this span and -23 in the 66 minutes where he was at the bench. Nikola Pekovic is also looking better physically, after being banged up for a lot of time, while Andrei Kirilenko has also returned at the lineup after an injury. Thanks to all of this, the Wolves are now a more competitive team lately.

Phoenix is coming from a home loss at San Antonio, but they showed more effort in that game than in their previous contests. They never surrendered even though they were down in the score early on the second quarter and that's already something new and good for them. Phoenix's current top goal is to develop young players. The Morris Brothers played almost 20 minutes each and they brought a lot of energy to the team. They combined 5 offensive rebounds, more than the whole team of the Spurs had in that game, while Coach Hunter is rewarding the players who play hard on the court and not players like Michael Beasley, who was on the court for just 3 minutes against the Spurs!

For this game, we have two teams in different levels right now. Minnesota is now more healthy with Ricky Rubio, Nikola Pekovic and Andrei Kirilenko and so, they feel that they can win games, while Phoenix is currently living with a lot of uncertainty in the rotations. They have now the 3rd worst record in the league and so, I wouldn't be surprised if they enter in tank mode for the rest of the season. Mostly thanks to the defensive aggressiveness from Rubio and Kirilenko, Minnesota is now forcing and creating a lot of turnovers, with an opponent turnover rate of 16.05% on their last 10 games! If they had that number as their season average, they would be #1 in the league! This aggressiveness will be important for tonight, as Phoenix's offense has no flow whatsoever lately and they have been very turnover prone, with 18.2 turnovers per game over their last 9 games! Therefore, we have a great edge favoring the Wolves's defense tonight.

Minnesota's main problem on defense has been on the perimeter, but Phoenix's offense is the second worst 3pts shooting team in the league, only in front of Minnesota. With an healthy Ricky Rubio on the floor, Minnesota's offense is actually looking good. There are passing lanes and floor spacing, with Rubio always finding a way to feed Nikola Pekovic and Derrick Williams down low, while Andrei Kirilenko's Point Forward skills give the Wolves another good passing option. Note that against the Warriors, all the Wolves's starters ended the game with a positive net +/- team numbers and they actually hit 33 of their 67 shots, while their bench scored just 11 points and shot 4-18 FG! Of course, Golden State has Jarrett Jack and Carl Landry coming off the bench and that gave them a huge second unit edge over Minnesota, but Phoenix doesn't have such quality players coming off the bench! Minnesota is a way better team than Phoenix right now and so, they don't deserve to be underdogs in here. Therefore, I'll be taking the Wolves tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Wisconsin/ Nebraska Under 113.5: Talk about some low scoring games. These teams have met 3 times in the last year and a half and the most points scored in those games was 104 points and 2 of those failed to reach 100 points. Just some pathetic offense when these teams meet. Most of that bad offense comes from Nebraska as they have failed to score more than 45 points in any of these games and they may have a problem topping that in this one, especially since Wisconsin allowed just 51.2 ppg on 37.2% shooting at home. On the road the Huskers have averaged just 55.1 ppg and they have shot just 28.5% from long range and under 70% from the charity stripe on the road this year. Now at home the Badgers defense the arc very well, allowing just 29.7% from long range and they also defense the FT line well at home (Still wondering how that stat is relevant LOL), allowing teams to convert just 64.3% from the charity stripe. Nebraska on defense has been pretty good this year as they are 89th in defensive efficiency and they have allowed just 62.7 ppg on the year and in a slow paced game they should be able to hold the Badgers to the low 60's at best.  62-45 sounds about right for this one.


Wake Forest/ Florida State Under 139: Wake has had some high scoring games this year, but allot of that has been due to some bad defense. I don't feel their defense will hurt us in this one. Florida State has struggled on the offensive end of late as they have averaged just 61.5 ppg in their lats 10 games. I just dont see them breaking out vs a Wake defense that has allowed 73.6 ppg on the road. Wake has really struggled to score on the road this year, where they average just 63.3 ppg on 40.4% shooting and FSU has been decent on defense at home, allowing 68 ppg on their own floor. With two struggling offenses I just don't see how this game comes all that close to 140 points. Low 130's at best here. 


Memphis/ Xavier Under 133: Memphis' last 5 games have averaged 154 ppg, but those games were in in Conference USA , where the games are higher scoring. This is a game vs Xavier and the A-10 and I feel the Musketeers will slow the game down enough for this one to stay under the total. Xavier is 286th in the nation in tempo and they also play excellent defense, allowing just 61..8 ppg on 40.5% shooting overall, including allowing just 60.9 ppg on 39.5% shooting at home. Memphis is one of the better scoring offenses in the nation, but this team also plays excellent defense, allowing 64.4 ppg overall and 62.7 ppg on the road. Both teams are ranked 86th or better in defensive efficiency, plus we have 2 teams that shoot under 70% from the FT line and 2 teas that defense the arc very well. This game should see neither team putting up more than 65 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Chicago/ Cleveland Under 187.5:  The Bulls are having an awful time scoring of late, as they have averaged just 81.8 ppg in their last 5 games. At home they have struggled to score all year, putting up just 90.9 ppg, with their home games averaging just 180.7 ppg. The Cavs offense has picked up of late, averaging 103 ppg in their last 5 games, but it will be very hard for them to come close to that number vs  a Chicago team that allows just 88.8 ppg at home. Defense hasn't been a problem for Chicago all year as they have allowed just 91.2 ppg overall, including just 84.2 ppg in their last 5 games. Chicago's home games have been ugly low scoring games and I expect the same here. The Bulls slow down the pace at home and rely on their tough defense to win games. That should happen here giving us a game that may not reach 180 points. 


New Orleans/ New Jersey Over 185: The Nets last 5 games have averaged 198.4 ppg (Regulation) and that is still with a game vs Memphis that put up just 148 points. This game will not be that ugly or not nearly as low scoring. New Orleans has picked up the pace of their offense of late and it has helped them average 100.2 ppg in their last 8 games. Defensively they have allowed 95+ points in 6 of their last 8 games, while allowing 100 ppg in their last 4 games. The Nets put up 72 points in their last game, but they had averaged 104.3 ppg in their previous 4 games (during regulation). This is an offense that can put up some points and should tonight vs the Hornets, especially after such a horrible showing offensively in their last game. I look for both teams to push tempo a bit here and get us into the 190's.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 26

Brandon Lee

Tennessee +8.5

Florida is getting too much respect on the road against a Tennessee team that is playing its best basketball of the season. The Volunteers come into this game on a 5-game winning streak that includes three road wins and two double-digit victories at home. Tennessee is a very respectable 11-3 at home this season and you can expect the home crowd to give the Volunteers plenty of energy against a top ranked team like the Gators. Florida is nearly unbeatable on their home floor, but they have had their struggles on the road. In their last three road games they have lost at Missouri and Arkansas, with the only win coming against a bad Auburn team. Tennessee should be able to keep it close and cash in on this large spread. Take the Points!

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