NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 21

NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 21

Mid-Season Surprises
By Bruce Marshall
VegasInsider.com

After a brief review of the some of the NHL underachievers in our last update, we take a quick glance at the other side of the spectrum and teams that have proven pleasant surprises thus far.

Although few are shocked that Chicago has emerged as an apparent serious contender, not even Bill Murray could have envisioned his beloved Blackhawks having avoided defeat in regulation time through the first month of the season. And not many Chicago fans expected such stellar work from goaltenders Corey Crawford (1.65 GAA) and Ray Emery, who have combined for a 1.82 GAA in the first 15 games of the season. Crawford, in particular, has raised his game, not coincidentally with rumors of possible Blackhawks interest in available Canucks GK Roberto Luongo. Emery has also been up to the task, as he was on Sunday between the pipes for a game against the visiting Cup holder Kings, a game in which Chicago prevailed 3-2 with Crawford temporarily sidelined (more below in the Ticker notes).

Goaltending has been mostly a sore spot for the Hawks since Antti Niemi abandoned the Windy City for San Jose following the Stanley Cup season of 2009-10, so Crawford's emergence is a very big deal for a team that seems to have all of the other pieces in place for another Cup run, including young stars winger Patrick Kane and center Jonathan Toews, who comprise two-thirds of one of the most-lethal lines in the league. The availability of winger Marian Hossa, back at full strength after being KO'd by that hard hit from the Coyotes' Raffi Torres in the playoffs last spring and on his usual scoring trajectory with six goals and 12 points in 15 games, has been another plus.

It's no surprise that Chicago is now listed as the favorite to lift the Stanley Cup; the Hawks are being quoted at 6/1 or thereabouts to win the title as we move into late February.
   
Giving chase to Chicago is surprising Anaheim, which continues its own remarkable start to the campaign and sits on 23 points thru 15 games, trailing only the Hawks in the West. We talked late last week about the emergence of GK Viktor Fasth; since then Fasth has won again (at Nashville) and has improved his record to an amazing 8-0-0, with a 1.78 GAA. Only the aforementioned Ray Emery (in his Ottawa days) and Bob Froese (from his early days with the Flyers in the '80s) have ever won their first eight starts as goalies in the NHL. Fasth's success and 93.3% saves suggest that former first-stringer Jonas Hiller, who has struggled in limited work early this season and now battles a lower-body injury, will proceed in a backup role until further notice.

But the Ducks, left at the starting gate and too far out of the playoff mix to make a postseason run after former Caps HC Bruce Boudreau was hired to replace Randy Carlyle in early December last season, have not put themselves in the same hole this term with their 11-2-1 start. Their ability to win shootouts (four of 'em) has been a plus that might be hard to sustain, but Boudreau is getting contributions from a variety of sources (13 different Anaheim players have already scored this season prior to Monday's game vs. the Blue Jackets). Bobby Ryan and Daniel Winnik each have scored five goals to lead the team, but contributions have been widespread, with 2007 Cup holdovers Ryan, fellow winger Corey Perry, center Ryan Getzlaff, and the ageless winger Teemu Selanne (tops on the team with 15 points in 14 games!) all in productive form, while vet center Saku Koivu provides an important pivot point in the middle of the Selanne-Winnik line.

Meanwhile, raise your hand if you expected surprising Carolina to break so quickly from the gate. The Hurricanes are keeping on the heels of East leaders Pittsburgh and Boston, thanks to surprising and unexpected success away from Raleigh, as Carolina was 4-0-1 its last five away prior to Monday night's game at Montreal. Moreover, the Canes have been lethal, scoring a whopping 20 goals in those last five road outings.

Star center Eric Staal's team-high eight goals and nine assists have all come during his current 11-game point streak. And production from unlikely sources such as defenseman Joe Corvo, who had keyed the recent Carolina surge with five points in four games since being a healthy scratch for three straight contests Feb. 2-7, has further fueled the uprising for Kirk Muller's troops.

Adding Eric Staal's younger brother, star defender Jordan, in the offseason from the Penguins, has also been a plus; Jordan Staal can control the puck along boards and win puck battles, and he also leads the team with 10 assists in the early going. Another offseason addition, ex-Cap Alex Semin, is the ultra-skilled right winger the Canes have needed for a long time. Semin's presence has also bolstered the line featuring Eric Staal, who is getting great benefit from Semin's ability to control the puck, making it harder for defenders to concentrate upon the multi-skilled Eric.

Proceeding forward, Muller is going to need more consistency from his special teams, as both the power play and penalty kill have been middling at best. And he'll need better work from goalie Cam Ward, who was instrumental in the Hurricanes' Cup win back in 2006 but has been laboring with a 3.22 GAA in his first ten games this season. His improvement will be key, although useful veteran backup Dan Ellis is proving a handy second option in goal, with a 3-1-0 mark, 1.75 GAA, and 94.3 save percentage in the early going. In upcoming games, Muller could be tempted to use more of Ellis, which might not be bad thing. Stay tuned for further developments.

Following is a quick personnel/injury "Ticker" update from around the NHL...

CHICAGO...Keep tabs on key defender Johnny Oduya, who suffered a possible concussion on Sunday vs. the Kings and is questionable for Tuesday's game vs. Vancouver. As is the aforementioned GK Corey Crawford, dealing with an upper-body injury that might jeopardize his status for that early-season showdown vs. Vancouver, which did beat the Hawks in a shootout at Rogers Arena back on February 1. Ray Emery, in the nets for the 3-2 win vs. the Kings on Sunday, starts again if Crawford can't make the post.

MONTREAL...Don't worry if you don't see GK Carey Price or defender P.K. Subban in the lineup for Les Habitants on Monday vs. the visiting Hurricanes; both had been temporarily knocked out with a bad case of the flu over the weekend, but any absences are likely to be short-lived. As is that of winger Max Pacioretty, suffering from an upper body injury and a nasty cut that knocked him out of the Saturday game vs. the Flyers but who is not expected to miss much, if any, ice time beyond perhaps Monday's game vs. Carolina. Not so lucky is promising rookie winger Brendan Gallagher (five goals), KO'd by a concussion in last Saturday's win over the Flyers and out indefinitely. The Canadiens, however, seemed to have turned the corner after bottoming out in a recent 6-0 home loss to the hated Maple Leafs, completing a brief but ineffective barren stretch in which they allowed 12 goals in three games. Since the loss to Toronto, Montreal has allowed just four goals while winning three in a row prior to the visit by Carolina on Monday night.

PHILADELPHIA...Sources say that center and team captain Claude Giroux read the riot act to the troops after their uninspired 4-1 loss on Saturday at Montreal. Giroux was also addressing himself, with a minus-6 rating and mere 10 points through 16 games after finishing third in the NHL last season with 93 points. He's not the only Flyer who has struggled, as those ranks would also include winger Max Talbot, who has no goals after scoring a career-high 19 last season; defenseman Braydon Coburn, whose -9 rating is among the league's worst; and center Sean Couturier, who had 27 points as a rookie last season but had no goals and a mere two assists over the past eight games prior to Monday's game against the Islanders. Although maybe something that Giroux said happened to work, as the Flyers looked like a different team in the Presidents Day matinee at the Nassau Coliseum, burying the host Islanders 7-0. It was a good time for the Flyers to run into the Isles, who have now lost 14 of their last 15 at home vs. Philly. And the Flyers are an overwhelming 29-3-1 their last 33 vs. the Islanders after the rout that featured a couple of overdue goals from Giroux and four assists from winger Jakub Voracek. Flyers coach Peter Laviolette was also undoubtedly pleased with the performance of GK Ilya Bryzgalov, who had been extremely erratic all season but who stepped forward with his first shutout win of the season on Monday. There's still work to be done, as the Flyers had been allowing a hefty 3.5 goals pg on the road prior to Monday, but a settled Bryzgalov could solve some of Laviolette's GK headaches and suggest better things to come in Philly.

ST. LOUIS...The Blues looking for some help in goal, with Jaroslav Halak slowly recovering from a groin strain and Brian Elliott having lost all confidence after repeated shellings and one of the worst GAA marks (3.57) in the NHL, as well as a dreadful .791 save percentage on a recent winless four-game homestand. Blues HC Ken Hitchcock has turned to young Jake Allen, a 22-year-old rookie who was recently recalled from Peoria of the AHL. Allen posted a 2.58 GAA in winning all three games on the Blues' recent road trip, capped by a 28-save performance Sunday in a 4-3 shootout win over Vancouver, temporarily plugging what had become a gaping hole in the St. Louis defensive dike. The power play continues to work for the Blues, converting a league-best 34.6% with the man advantage, and young Swedish center Patrik Berglund is already on 8 goals. St. Louis will be moving forward, however, without useful vet winger Jamie Langenbrunner, who is now out for the season after undergoing surgery on an injured hip.

SAN JOSE...What's wrong with the Sharks? The talk of the league along with Chicago in the first two weeks of the season when breaking from the gate with seven straight wins, San Jose instead enters the week in the throes of a mysterious 7-game losing streak (with three of those in shootouts that at least salvaged a point for Todd McLellan's troops). Problem areas have been easy to identify, especially on attack, where goals have dried up after San Jose scored 23 of them in the first five games; the Sharks have tallied only 12 in their last nine games thru Feb. 18, with Patrick Marleau's blazing start (nine goals in the first five games!) now a distant memory with only one goal in the last nine. Marleau and Joe Thornton amassed 14 points over the first six games, but have combined for only two points the last eight. Goalie Antti Niemi has also conceded some egregious goals in recent outings. And at the midpoint of difficult six-game road trip (next stop Tuesday at St. Louis), not sure the Sharks can turn things around quickly.

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 21

Hot teams
-- Hurricanes won five of their last seven games.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Maple Leafs won six of their last eight games.
-- Flyers won last two games, scoring 13 goals.
-- Ottawa won its last two games, 3-1/2-1.
-- Montreal won its last five games, outscoring opponents 15-5.
-- Bruins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won its last two games, scoring 10 goals, after losing previous six games.
-- Dallas Stars won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Jets lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Devils lost three of their last four games.
-- Sabres lost four of last five games; they fired their coach yesterday, a guy who had been their coach since 1997.
-- Florida lost its last five games, shut out three times.
-- Rangers lost two of last three games, scoring six goals.
-- Islanders lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jackets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Detroit lost its last four games, giving up 16 goals.
-- Canucks lost last three games, all 4-3 games.
-- Oilers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost five of six on road.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Winnipeg-Carolina games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New Jersey-Washington games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Toronto's last ten games.
-- Five of last seven Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight New York-Ottawa games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Islander-Montreal games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1 in Bruins' last six visits to Tampa Bay.
-- Last five Columbus-Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Vancouver-Dallas games.
-- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Edmonton games.

Series records
-- Jets won three of last four visits to Raleigh.
-- Devils won last four games with Washington, allowing seven goals.
-- Sabres lost five of last six visits to Toronto.
-- Flyers won five of last seven games against Florida.
-- Rangers won seven of last eight visits to Ottawa.
-- Islanders won four of last six games against Montreal.
-- Home team won last eight Boston-Tampa Bay games.
-- Blue Jackets lost ten of last eleven visits to Detroit.
-- Dallas Stars won four of last five games against Vancouver.
-- Oilers lost ten of last twelve games against Minnesota.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 21

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto   
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Toronto is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games on the road   
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Florida
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. WASHINGTON
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Washington   
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Carolina
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina   
Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road   
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

7:30 PM
COLUMBUS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Columbus is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit   
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Columbus

7:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. MONTREAL
NY Islanders are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Montreal
NY Islanders are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games   
Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

7:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. OTTAWA
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa   
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games

8:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. DALLAS
Vancouver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Vancouver is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas   
Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Vancouver
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. EDMONTON
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton   
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Edmonton's last 19 games
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

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WINNIPEG (6-8-0-1, 13 pts.) at CAROLINA (8-5-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 7-5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (9-3-0-4, 22 pts.) at WASHINGTON (5-9-0-1, 11 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 71-50 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 25-11 ATS (+12.2 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 50-35 ATS (+10.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-26 ATS (-15.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-4 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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BUFFALO (6-10-0-1, 13 pts.) at TORONTO (10-7-0-0, 20 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 240-173 ATS (+36.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 41-26 ATS (+69.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
TORONTO is 32-49 ATS (+85.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 147-145 ATS (-55.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-7-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)

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FLORIDA (4-7-0-4, 12 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (8-9-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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NY RANGERS (8-6-0-1, 17 pts.) at OTTAWA (9-6-0-2, 20 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 20-6 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 16-5 ATS (+9.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 8-7 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 8-7-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (6-9-0-1, 13 pts.) at MONTREAL (11-4-0-1, 23 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-11 ATS (+33.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-4 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.4 Units)

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BOSTON (9-2-0-2, 20 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (8-6-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-6 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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COLUMBUS (4-10-0-2, 10 pts.) at DETROIT (7-6-0-3, 17 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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VANCOUVER (8-3-0-4, 20 pts.) at DALLAS (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 21-26 ATS (-18.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 194-135 ATS (+2.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 191-168 ATS (+363.6 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 27-9 ATS (+15.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 6-3 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 6-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (7-6-0-2, 16 pts.) at EDMONTON (6-6-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/21/2013, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-27 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 18-36 ATS (+56.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 10-24 ATS (+34.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 13-35 ATS (+61.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-28 ATS (+44.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 10-2 (+7.7 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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Re: NHL Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 21

Winnipeg at Carolina
Winnipeg: 3-16 SU away off a win
Carolina: 24-14 Over off an Under

New Jersey at Washington
New Jersey: 25-11 SU in February
Washington: 4-15 SU after winning 3 of their last 4 games

Buffalo at Toronto
Buffalo: 5-0 Over after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Toronto: 6-17 SU at home playing their third game in five days

Florida at Philadelphia
Florida: 0-6 SU after scoring 1 or 0 goals
Philadelphia: 32-16 SU off BB road games

NY Rangers at Ottawa
NY Rangers: 10-1 SU away off a home loss by 2+ goals
Ottawa: 13-4 Under in all games this season

NY Islanders at Montreal
NY Islanders: 13-30 SU off BB games allowing 3+ goals
Montreal: 5-0 SU off a win by 2+ goals

Boston at Tampa Bay
Boston: 10-16 SU off a win by 1 goal
Tampa Bay: 8-1 SU at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Columbus at Detroit
Columbus: 23-61 SU away playing with two days rest
Detroit: 7-1 Over vs. division opponents

Vancouver at Dallas
Vancouver: 14-4 SU away playing with revenge
Dallas: 9-2 Under at home off BB Overs

Minnesota at Edmonton
Minnesota: 16-7 SU away off a home win
Edmonton: 8-24 off a combined score of 4 goals or less

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