Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia Tech +3½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This game falls into a system to play against an up-temp team that averages 62 or more shots per game after making 13 or more 3 point shows in their last game. This trend is 236-151 (61%) since 1997. This trend is extremely relevant in this matchup because North Carolina is 1-9 ATS in road games vs. good defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 39% or less over the last two seasons. Going back beyond two seasons, Roy Williams is 13-26 ATS versus teams allowing less than 39% shooting after the 15 game mark in the season so I expect to see the Tar Heels taking a lot of bad shots in this game.
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This North Carolina team has been overrated and inconsistent most of the season. Roy Williams is 50-68 ATS off a win against a conference rival as the coach of North Carolina. The Tar Heels have struggled on the road with a 5-7 record straight up and 5-6 ATS. The Yellow Jackets are solid at home with a 10-4 record and should be able to play the Tar Heels in a very close game.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

Ray MonohanFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Maryland -1½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Coming off their biggest win of the season the Terps should be feeling pretty good. They always get up for Duke but will have to maintain that intensity in a road tilt against a B.C. team that while struggling in the W-L columns has been surprising. The key for Maryland is going to be focusing on center Alex Len inside as the Eagles have no answer for the big man. Point guard Pe’Shon Howard remains suspended but since they were able to upend the Blue Devils without him his value is questionable. As a short favourite with momentum the value is all on the Maryland side in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

Bob BalfeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU +5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas has only one road win all year and TCU is a tough place to play. Just ask Kansas. Texas may indeed get a win here, but 5 pts in a game like this is about 10 in any other game. Its just too many possessions. The longhorns are not exactly great from the foul line either. Take TCU.
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Denver Nuggets -8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This Boston team looked down and out when Rondo went down to injury, but has played well since then. I think you are going to start to see this team come back down to earth a little bit here especially on the road. Denver is coming off a tough road stretch and now are back home and rested after the break. Take the Nuggets.

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Andrew LangeFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Valparaiso at Loyola ChicagoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: ValparaisoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Loyola has been an overvalued commodity for much of the season at home. Prior to Saturday's win over rival UIC, the Ramblers failed to cover six straight at the Gentile Center. Tonight they play host to an opponent in Valparaiso that is eager for a big win. To start, the Crusaders are looking for payback after losing on their home court to the Ramblers back in early January. Second, after blowing Saturday's game against Detroit, Valpo's lead in the conference standings is only a half game. But the real key to this game is the health of Loyola’s Cully Payne and Ben Averkamp. Loyola managed a "hump up effort" without the duo against weaker UIC. Tonight against a far better opponent, their absence could be magnified. In the first meeting, Payne and Averkamp combined for 30 points and 12 assists. As of this morning, Payne (thumb) is doubtful and Averkamp (concussion) is questionable. If neither play, Valpo becomes a solid bet.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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NEW ORLEANS +114 over ChicagoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulls went into the All-Star break as the most depleted team in the Association. They’ll come out of the break much healthier with Derrick Rose remaining as the only player still on the shelf. With Rose due back soon, Chicago looks primed to make a run at the Heat to represent the East in this year’s finals. What’s so interesting about that is Chicago has Miami on deck in Chicago on Thursday in TNT’s nationally televised game of the night. That’s the game everyone is anticipating, making this spot a vulnerable one indeed.
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The Hornets are playing well. They’ve won two straight and four of five before the break, doing so in dominating fashion. All four wins were by nine or more with the past two, over Detroit and Portland, coming by 19 and 36 points respectively. New Orleans also has an abundance of scoring options with five players averaging double-digits. New Orleans is deep, they’re clicking on both ends of the floor and they’re in a favorable spot. That’s enough for the money play here.
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SACRAMENTO +9 -101 over San AntonioFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spurs have the NBA’s best record and will now continue their season long nine-game trip here. Said Spurs guard Tony Parker, "It's always tough the first game after the All-Star break to get back into the routine”. In its first game back after the break last season, San Antonio lost outright to the visiting Bulls. In 2011, they failed to cover at home against Oklahoma City in same situation. Those were games against a couple of clubs that are easy to get up for. Playing against Sacramento, on the road where the Spurs have won nine straight, is just not motivating.
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The Kings have shown some fight at home recently, where they have won two straight over the Jazz and Rockets. This could very well be the Kings’ last 15 games in Sacramento as a Seattle-based group of investors has already reached an agreement with the Maloof family to buy 65% of the franchise. The community support for the Kings has been overwhelming and the building has been electric over the most recent games. Sacramento has responded well and we expect more of the same tonight. The points being offered are abundant and simply too good to pass up.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Jose +113 over ST. LOUISFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. After an ugly 0-5 stretch that including four losses at home in which the Blues were outscored 21-8, they embarked on a three-game trip and went 3-0 while scoring 13 times. Now the Blues return home to face a Sharks’ team that is going through a similar plight. San Jose has dropped seven in a row after winning its first seven games of the year. This will be the fourth game of a six-game trip for the Sharks and so far they have one point to show for it. It’s rather mystifying how a team can struggle so miserably after looking near flawless in the first two weeks of the season. A turnaround is inevitable for this talented guest and the stars may have aligned just right for that turnaround to begin here.
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Traveling take its toll. Waiting around an airport for hours on end for your flight takes an even bigger toll. The Blue Notes played in Vancouver Sunday night and decided to remain in the city overnight before returning home Monday morning. But flight delays forced the Blues to remain in Vancouver as the flight finally left early Tuesday morning, St. Louis time. At the time of this writing (about 9:00 AM EST), the Blues just arrived. Chances are good they’ll be either flat, tired or both tonight and that’s an angle worth fading against this extremely hungry foe. 
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Vancouver +115 over CHICAGOFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Blackhawks remain the last team in the NHL without a regulation loss, meaning they’ve picked up points in all 15 of their games. It’s even more impressive when you consider that they’ve played 10 of their first 15 games on the road. There’s not a negative thing to say about their outstanding current form. What we can say, is that Ray Emery is the Blackhawks backup goaltender that has had plenty of opportunities with the Blackhawks and other teams (Anaheim, Philadelphia and Ottawa) to prove himself as a #1 goaltender. He’s never been able to hold the job because he’s always been far too inconsistent. Having Cory Schneider in net for the Canucks tonight against Emery gives Vancouver a significant edge in that all-important area. That must be considered because the last three games these two have played against one another and five of the past seven have all gone into OT.
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Despite losing two straight (one in OT), the Canucks still have one of the best records in the league with 19 points, tied for third place in the West, behind Chicago and Anaheim. Vancouver is healthy, they’re 3-1-1 on the road and they’re simply too dangerous when facing a back-up goaltender to ignore when taking back a tag.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Charlotte vs. OrlandoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: CharlotteFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last week, I said it takes a lot to get me to release a selection on the Charlotte Bobcats, who have the worst record in the league and are just 5-35 SU their last 40 games.  But that didn't stop me from releasing a free play on the Bobcats last Monday as they upset the favored Boston Celtics, who were riding a seven-game win streak, but playing in the second game of back to backs and off a 3 OT game.
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I played Charlotte there because their opponent was suffering from a lack of rest.  That's clearly not the case here as its the first game after the All-Star Break. However, they do benefit from the fact they are playing the second worst team in the league, Orlando, who has lost 24 of 27 games. Even better is that because the game is in Orlando, the Magic have to give points, a situation that has treated them very poorly all season.  Orlando is 0-9 ATS the last nine times in which has been favored.
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Defensively, the Magic were just awful entering the All-Star Break, allowing an average of 110.3 points the last three games. At the same time, they are averaging just 87.4 PPG the last nine games.  They have lost 12 of 14 on their home floor and clearly are in no position to be laying points to anyone, Charlotte included, right now.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU +5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Take the Horned Frogs here at home against hated rival Texas, a game they have had circled all year.  Yes TCU is an ugly dog here, but a live one in my opinion, and remember they did beat Kansas in here.  Texas has not won a road game all year in conference action and while they may get the win, which is doubtful in my mind, Texas is a big hot mess right now and TCU lying in wait for this one.  I will take the points in what should be a down to the wire type of game.
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Marquette -6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Seton Hall without 2 starters due to injury here and that is bad news for them here.  Seton Hall has covered just 1 game at home all season!  Marquette has the better team in almost every stat that counts, and the fact Seton Hall is scoring just 58 ppg their last 5 games and shooting 58% from the free throw line as a team, and Marquette had a big advantage on offense and a deeper bench has me laying the points on the road here in a 10-12 point win.  Seton Hall has dropped their last 3 home games.

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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Wizards -2FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Raptors return from the All-Star break riding a 4-game winning streak that includes big time wins over the Pacers, Nuggets and Knicks. There's no question that the public is high on Toronto now that they have Rudy Gay, but I look for them to struggle on the road tonight against a much-improved and extremely underrated Wizards team. Washington was just as impressive prior to the break. The Wizards won four of five with impressive wins over the Clippers, Knicks and Nets.
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Washington has been extremely tough to beat at home of late. They have won 8 of their last 9 overall at the Verizon Center. Adding even more value to the Wizards as a small home favorite is the fact that Toronto hasn't won in Washington since 2009. The Wizards are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 homes games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs the Eastern Conference.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver Nuggets -8FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Denver Nuggets head into the second half of the season highly motivated for a victory. That's because they entered the All-Star break on a three-game losing streak thanks to an absolutely brutal schedule. They had to play four road games in five days heading in. After winning the first two, they would drop the next three as they were simply worn down.
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Refreshed and ready to go after the break, I look for Denver to roll at home tonight. That has been the case all season for this team as it has simply been unbeatable inside the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets are 22-3 SU & 17-8 ATS in all home games this season. They scoring 109.2 points/game at home this year, outscoring opponents by a whopping 10.0 points/game.
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Boston comes in overvalued after winning eight of its final nine games heading into the break. It is just 8-15 SU & 7-14-2ATS in all road games this season. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series.
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The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. That includes a 118-114 (OT) victory for Boston on February 10th just over a week ago. Denver's loss in that game puts it in revenge mode tonight. The home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home meetings with Boston.
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The Celtics are 10-22 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Denver is 40-19-2 ATS in its last 61 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Bet the Nuggets Tuesday.

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TJ Pemberton

Milwaukee Bucks +4.5

The Milwaukee Bucks (26-25, 12-13 away) which seats precariously at the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference, will try to salvage a big win against the current fourth-best team in the East, which is the Brooklyn Nets (31-22, 19-10 home) at Barclays Center.

Both teams were hampered by losing streak recently but both won their last game to get back into the winning column once again.

The Milwaukee Bucks snapped a 6-game losing streak by sneaking past the Philadelphia 76ers 94-92 at home as Monta Ellis summoned his fiery form en route to a superb 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists performance. The Brooklyn Nets meanwhile trounced the visiting Denver Nuggets 119-108 as Joe Johnson led the rout by scoring 26 points and dishing out 9 assists.

The Bucks is just 4-7 on its last 11 games and 1-4 on its last 5 games at road, but already won two straight games over the Nets this season. The Bucks prevailed over the Nets last December 9, 2012, 108-93 and last December 26, 2012 97-88 at road. The Bucks’ mastery of the Nets is evident as it won 13 straight times already.

The Nets on the other hand, is 5-6 on its last 7 games and has an even 3-3 mark at home on its last 6 games.

The deadly quartet of Brandon Jennings, Monta Ellis, Mike Dunleavy and Ersan Ilyasova of the Milwaukee Bucks will be in full sway again, though they will surely be greeted by a hostile welcome from the fans and the trio of Brook Lopez, Joe Johnson and Deron Williams.

Bucks’ center Larry Sanders might skip the game while Nets star Williams will finally suit up for the Nets.

The Bucks will bring to the battle a 23-27-1 ATS as opposed the Nets’ slightly superior mark of 24-27-2.

The Bucks is 0-5 ATS on its last 5 outings and just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road. The Nets is just 1-4 ATS on its last 5 outings at home and 0-5 on its last 5 games when pitted against the Bucks.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

David Banks

Memphis Grizzlies -2

Tuesday marks the first night of NBA action following the All-Star break, and one matchup is this non-conference affair as the Memphis Grizzlies (33-18, 29-21-1 ATS) visit the Detroit Pistons (21-33, 26-28 ATS) at The Palace of Auburn Hills in Detroit at 7:35 ET. It certainly seems fair to say that "The West is the Best" this season based on the pre-All-Star Game results, as Western Conference favorites have gone 104-80-1, 56.5 percent ATS vs. Eastern Conference counterparts, and the West's Grizzlies will almost certainly be the favorites here.

That makes this a prime opportunity for the West to continue its success in non-conference games as the Grizzlies are a perfect 6-0 both straight up and ATS in their last six head-to-head meetings with the Pistons including an easy 90-78 win over Detroit back home in Memphis this season. At 33-18, the Grizzlies currently own the fourth best record in the Western Conference and the fifth best in the entire NBA, with their success keyed by have the second best scoring defense in the league allowing a measly 90.2 points per game. The Grizzlies struggled slightly in the first few games after trading away then leading scorer Rudy Gay, a role now taken over by All-Star Zach Randolph, but they regrouped nicely rather quickly and ended the first half of the season on a three-game winning streak, and perhaps most importantly they have bee scoring more points since Tayshaun Prince and Austin Daye came over in that trade involving Gay. Memphis is still ranked just 26th in the NBA with 93.7 points per game, but that average has soared to 104.0 points during the three-game win streak with the Grizzlies eclipsing 100 points twice and scoring 99 points in the other game. Memphis is also 14-5 straight up and 13-6 ATS vs. Eastern foes this season.

The Pistons did win three of their last four games going into the break including an upset of the San Antonio Spurs, but they did not beat much otherwise in fellow Eastern bottom-feeders Washington and Milwaukee and the one loss in that stretch came at home to a New Orleans team out of the West that is in last place in the Southwest Division and 15 games behind the Grizzlies. Another concern for the Pistons here is that while the Memphis offense seems to be getting better, the Detroit defense seems to be getting worse allowing 99.8 points per game in the last four contests while allowing over 100 points three times despite going 3-1 in those games. That could set up their old friend Prince to have a big game in his first game back in Detroit as a visiting player after spending his entire NBA career with the Pistons before the trade.

The Grizzlies are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. the Central Division while the Pistons are 11-29 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win by at least 10 points. Detroit is also 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. the Western Conference.

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NellyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Southern Illinois + over CreightonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Creighton managed to get back in the win column on Saturday with a narrow 3-point win over Evansville, delivering a great second half comeback. All is not well for the Blue Jays who had lost three in a row prior to that win and now trailing Wichita State in the Missouri Valley Conference standings. An absolutely huge Bracket Buster game with St. Mary's is on deck this weekend for the Blue Jays and they may overlook a Southern Illinois team they defeated by 30 points less than a month ago. Southern Illinois is just 4-11 in conference play but three of those wins have come in the last four games including beating conference leader Wichita State. While all three wins came at home the Salukis nearly took out a very good Indiana State team on the road in this recent stretch, falling by just a single point. Many recent road games have been very competitive for Southern Illinois and the Salukis should be motivated to take on one of the marquee teams in the conference and redeem one of their worst performances of the season. The road team has covered in 20 of the last 26 meetings between these teams and this is a huge spread for a struggling Creighton team to give in this spot. Creighton has lost S/U twice at home this season and has been a losing ATS team at home and this is not a team playing well right now.

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Wunderdog

Phoenix at Portland
Pick: Portland -6.5

The Portland Trailblazers were humiliated in their last game, as they scored just 63 points in a 36-point loss at the hands of the New Orleans Hornets. That was on the road and they are poised for redemption here tonight. They fit a huge bounce-back system that plays on certain teams that scored less than 66 points in their previous game. This is a powerful bounce-back system that has seen it go 27-5 ATS the last 32 times it has come up. Play on Portland.

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Andy IskoeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bobcats / Magic Over 197FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Although Both teams have trended UNDER in recent weeks this matchup lends itself to a higher than expected scoring game. In fact, the first two meetings of these teams went OVER, producing 205 and 206 total points. Both teams are among the weakest in the NBA and thus neither is at the usual talent disadvantage when facing each other than when facing better teams. Charlotte games overall have averaged 196.5 total points. In 8 games against Class D teams that average increases to 209.0 total points. The stats for Orlando are similar. Magic games overall have averaged 193.3 total points. In 9 games against Class D teams that total increases to 203.7 per game. Neither team is strong defensively and both teams are more inclined to push the pace when playing to win rather than playing not to lose.  Be sure to take advantage of the last day to sign up for my second half of the season NBA package.  My numbers and situational analysis are at their strongest over the final two months of the season and I'm looking forward to a strong finish to the NBA season as teams have roughly 30 games left before the Playoffs begin.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northern Iowa -6FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There are 18 lined college basketball games today. In eight of those games, the road team is posted as the favorite. In the last eight days, CBKB home dogs are 52-31 ATS (63%). Will that continue today or is it time for the return to the norm, in which home dogs cover 50% of the time? Though three of my selections today involve home underdogs, my top three plays on the card are from other categories. These top rated plays are an absolute must for your wagering portfolio this evening. I invite you to be a part of the winning action tonight so you have the good feelings of going to bed a winner when the final buzzer sounds. In this game, a cursory glance of the coaching profiles show that seventh year N. Iowa HC Jacobson has a record of 11-21 ATS as road favorite. Conversely, Missouri St is 5-1 ATS as conference home dog this year. But current form speaks otherwise in this game. Under second year HC Lusk, Missouri St entered conference play at 2-10 SU, 1-6 ATS. Once the bell rang for league play, however, they bolted from the gate at 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS. It looked for all the world as if Lusk was playing possum in the early going. But as the league season grinded on it has become evident that the Black Bears are a pretender, at 6-9 SU in the league. The Black Bear's offense has scored 54 or less in 3/ 4 recent games, including Feb 5th loss at N. Iowa, 48-37. Those fundamentals don't figure to improve against an NIU defense that allows just 60 PPG on 42% from the field. Particularly considering year to date averages of the home team which find Missouri St averaging just 60/40/31 with only 10 assists per game. The Panthers are headed in the opposite direction. Today they enter on a 5-0 SU streak, climbing to a tie for #3 in league, at 9-6 SU. Jacobson has been a coach whose teams play with momentum, as his Panthers are 38-21 ATS following three or more consecutive victories. With a balanced offense featuring five double digit scorers, look for the Panthers to methodically beat down the Black Bears again, as the respective momentum of each of these teams continues.

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Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Virginia/ Miami Over 116.5: I see this line rising buy game time, so I will grab it now. Virginia was mired in many low scoring games earlier in the year, but now that their offense has come to life their games have been higher scoring of late. Virginia has average 74.4 ppg in their last 5 games and those games have averaged 139.2 ppg. Cav's road games have averaged 128.4 ppg and their defense has struggled away from home, allowing 64.6 ppg on 46.3% shooting. They have also allowed 38.2% from long range away from home, and Miami hits 42.4% from downtown at home. The Miami offense did struggle in their last game vs Clemson, but they are back home for this one, where they have averaged 75.5 ppg overall, including 80 ppg in their last 4 games at home. Miami home games have averaged 132.8 ppg, while their last 4 ACC home games have put up 135.3 ppg. I would not at all be surprised to see 135+ points scored in this one, but I will call this one to played in the 120's.

3 UNIT PLAYS

North Carolina -3.5 over GEORGIA TECH: I know at the end of the day I will be kicking myself for not making this play higher rated, but because it looks so easy to me, I will play it safe and make it a 3 unit play. The Heels have struggled on the road this year, but they still have been playing much better and I feel that down the stretch they will start to dominate teams like they know how to. When you put up 91 points on a Virginia defense you know your doing something right. Carolina's last 3 road losses were to Duke, Miami and NC State and there is no shame in that, as those teams are all very tough. Carolina's 2 ACC road wins this year were vs FSU and Boston College and Tech is more in the class of those teams. Georgia Tech has alternated wins and losses for a couple of wees and they are off a win, so this is a loss spot. they lost to Carolina by 16 earlier in the year and I feel the Tar Heels are a better now then at that point in the season and they should win this one by nearly DD. 

LSU +8 Over TENNESSEE: Nice letdown spot here for the Vols as they are off a 30 point win over Kentucky. LSU has been playing much better of late as they have won 6 of their last 8 games and while both losses were on the road they were by a combined 8 points. LSU is just 2-5 in their alst 7 road games and just one of those loses have been by more than 8, and that was a 9 point loss at Georgia. This team is in just about every game they have played within the SEC and they should be able to keep this one close vs a Tennessee squad that may be just a bit flat.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

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3 UNIT PLAY

NY Isles/ Ottawa Over 5.5: Yes the Sens are having problems scoring right now, but that's okay because the Isles can't stop anyone right now. New York allowed the Flyers 7 goals yesterday and that gives them a run of having allowed 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 9 games, allowing 35 total goals over that stretch. Ottawa should be good for a few off them here, especially since the Isles also allow 3.5 gpg on the road for the year. Offensively, New York has been pretty solid, averaging 3.71 gpg away from home this year and they should be good for a few off a Senators squad that has allowed just 1.38 gpg at home. Both teams played yesterday so the legs may not be there on defense, giving these offenses plenty of chances to score some goals. An d they will score some.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

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3 UNIT PLAYS

Charlotte/ Orlando Under 197.5: I know that both defenses are pretty bad, but these offenses are worse and coming off the break it should take them a bit ti get their shooting back. Prior to the break, the Bobcats had averaged 87.4 ppg in their last 9 games, scoring no more than 95 points in that stretch. On the road this year they have shot just 41.1% from the field and have put up just 91.2 ppg. The Magic also struggled on offense before the break as they had averaged jut 87.4 ppg in their 9 games pre-break. At home they have averaged just 95.3 ppg on the year. Yes both defenses are bad, but because of shitty offensive production we still see that Orlando's last 5 games have averaged 185.2 ppg, while Charlotte's last 5 have averaged just 187.2 ppg. This will be an ugly game with neither team making it past 95 points. 

Milwaukee/ Brooklyn Under 195: Two more teams that went into the break struggling on offense should lead to another low scoring game. Milwaukee went into the break averaging just 92.5 ppg in their last 4 games and they have put up just  86 points in two of their last 3 road games. They do average 96.6 ppg on the road, but shoot only 43.5% away from home. The Nets do allow teams to shoot 47.3% at home, but Brooklyn plays at a slow pace at home, so teams score just 94.8 ppg vs them there. Offensively the Nets wen't into the break having averaged just 92.2 ppg in their last 5 games and they have averaged just 90.7 ppg in their last 3 home games in this series. Milwaukee has struggled on defense of late, but I just don't expect the Nets to be able to take advantage, especially coming off the break Another game where I see both teams being held to 95 points or less. 

WASHINGTON -3 over Toronto: The Wizards have been hot of late, as they have won 4 of their last 5 games. At home they have been very surprising of late as they have gone 8-1 in their last 9 at home, with their last 4 home wins being vs Brooklyn, New York, the Clippers and Chicago. They also have home wins over Atlanta and Oklahoma City in their last 9 at home. Now they get a Toronto team that is just 7-19 on the road this year in their own backyard. Certainly the Raptors are not close in talent to some of the teams that Washington has beat in their current stretch of home games. Toronto has won three of their last 4 overall and they are 6-1 ATS the last 7 in this series, but Washington is just playing too well at home and would like to start of the second half of the season hot, just like they ended the first half.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday February 19

SPORTS WAGERS

Montreal +137 over N.Y. RANGERS

OT included. The Rangers have picked up nine out of a possible 10 points in their last five games but two of those contests were against the Islanders and one against Washington. The Rangers rarely dominate games and often, the action is mostly being played in their own end. In New York’s 4-3 OT win over Boston, NY was outshot 40-29.  New York’s only real impressive outing over that stretch was a 5-1 victory over the Lightning.

Montreal is playing too well to ignore a price like this one. With Carey Price sidelined the past two games, the Canadiens held Philadelphia and Carolina to one goal combined. Carolina is leading the NHL in shots on goal per game and Montreal held the rested ‘Canes to 19 last night. They have not allowed more than 26 shots on net in four straight games, winning them all. Price returns tonight and with Montreal scoring more goals than the Rangers and allowing less, there’s nothing suggesting they can’t come in here and run its winning streak to five.

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