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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday February 8

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday February 8


ATLANTA/New Orleans Under 194

These two have both played a bunch of high scoring games recently and as a result, we get a pumped up number to fade. The Hornets have seen four of their past five opponents go over the century mark and three of those scored 110 or more. New Orleans has just two wins in their past eight games and in the six losses, the opposition scored 100 plus. In the pair of wins over that span, the Hornets won 93-84 and 91-83. It's blatantly clear that New Orleans can't win shootouts. Stands to reason that they’ll play a slow tempo for this one.

The Hawks are just 5-5 over their past 10. The only game during that stretch with a higher posted total than this one was against the Raptors. That game went way under the total and when we look at the history of these two clubs playing one another, this total is at least nine points higher than all of the previous four, including one this year played in mid-January that ended up going under the posted total of 185 in a 95-86 Hawks victory. Both clubs are struggling to win games right now and when that occurs, coaches preach defense. That should bode well with this inflated number.

MEMPHIS -3½ over Golden State

The Warriors have been downright awful on the road during this four-game trip that saw them lose 140-109 to Houston and they followed that up with a 21-point loss at Oklahoma City. Now they have the unenviable task of playing against a club they just can't beat. The Warriors have dropped eight straight in this series, including a pair this season, by seven and 10 points respectively.

The Grizzlies are in a funk of their own since trading Rudy Gay, losing to Phoenix at home and then getting whacked in Atlanta. A team that looked so tough early on, Memphis has regressed badly over the past month. However, they will snap out of it. The Grizz are too talented and this is where they could pull up their socks. The Grizzlies have not come close to covering the number over their last two, missing by 15 and 14 points respectively. Compensation in this line is evident and it most certainly points us to the undervalued host.

Pass CBB & NHL

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday February 8

Ian Cameron

Utah State at San Jose State
Play: Utah State

San Jose State has now gone a month without a victory: 0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and they have been burning money for their supporters on their home court going 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Spartans struggles coincided with the suspension of their best player guard James Kinney who averaged 20.6 ppg along with over 5 rebounds per contest and a team high 34 steals. Kinney was well over 80% of San Jose State’s offense. Without Kinney on the court, only one player averages double digits in scoring on this team and that is Chris Cunningham at 10.6 ppg. Clearly, San Jose State hasn’t shown any sort of ability to adjust to Kinney’s absence.

Utah State has also had to deal with injuries. Preston Medlin is out 6 to 8 weeks with a broken wrist. Kyisean Reed is out for the season after suffering a torn ACL back in January.  After the injuries to Medlin and Reed, the Aggies went through a state of turmoil going 0-4 SU/ATS in games against New Mexico State, Denver, UT Arlington and Louisiana Tech. Unlike the San Jose State situation though, Utah State has shown recent signs of successfully adjusting to life without Medlin and Reed where as San Jose State is still spinning its wheels without Kinney. The Aggies have had great efforts going 2-0 SU/ATS in road wins at Seattle and Idaho by double-digit margins. Utah State has received step up contributions from Jarred Shaw in the frontcourt along with Marcel Davis and Spencer Butterfield in the backcourt as those three players scored in double digits in both of those games. Utah State has been stifling on the defensive end of the court allowing 61.2 ppg and 41.8% shooting in their last five games which is bad news for San Jose State and their putrid offensive production scoring just 53 ppg on a woeful 31.9% FG shooting percentage in their last five games. We’ve seen Utah State head coach Stew Morrill make good adjustments as of late by getting this team to play more of an inside-the-paint game.

Utah State has crushed the Spartans by double-digit margins in each of their last three trips to San Jose dating back to 2010 and another Aggies victory by margin tonight against the slumping Spartans is expected. Lay the points.

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