AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Betting News and Notes

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Betting News and Notes

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Preview
By Matt Fargo
Covers.com

The PGA Tour goes back to California this week to the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Pebble Beach Golf Links is one of three host courses for the event along with Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course which replaces Poppy Hills for a fourth straight year as one of the three courses that had been part of this rotation. A traditional playing cut of the top 60 and ties will be made after 54 holes on Saturday giving players one extra day to make a move.

Although the Shore Course will play as a par 70 for the tournament, it will likely again replicate Poppy Hills in being the course where competitors feel they should post their best score of the week as it is the second shortest course on tour. Two years ago the field was cut from 180 to 156 players to help alleviate snails pace of some of the rounds. Some foursomes took over six hours to complete their rounds and the lesser field has helped alleviate some of that the last two years.

Pebble Beach is one of the players favorite stops on tour and for good reason. But it comes with a price. Hitting greens is essential to provide birdie opportunities and scoring on the par fives is also crucial. Experience has played a big role in this event for a good track record will take precedence over those who have not played much or played well here in the past. Last year was just the second time in seven years at Pebble Beach that the average score was under par.

The defending champion is Phil Mickelson (+550) who came from six shots back entering the final day and shot 64 to win by two shots over Charlie WI. Making it even tougher to defend is the fact that Mickelson is coming off a wire-to-wire win in Scottsdale last week. He played his best golf of the young season by far and narrowly missed a Thursday 59. He has won here four times.

The short price on Dustin Johnson (+800) is certainly justified. He has won here twice and finished inside the top seven two other times and this is only his sixth ever start here. Proving that he likes it here, his 2010 performance at the U.S. Open, Sunday notwithstanding, shows that. Johnson already has a win under his belt this year and taking last off week should have him recharged.

This is the third straight week we will use Hunter Mahan (+1,800). After a T15 at the Farmers, he finished T16 at TPC Scottsdale as he certainly looks ready to break through. He has performed very well here over the last couple years as his T15 last year came after a solo second in 2011 where he finished two back of D.A. Points. It is interesting to note his two best rounds that year came at Pebble.

We used Jimmy Walker (+3,000) two weeks ago at Torrey Pines and if not for a Tiger Woods runaway, he was right in the thick of it. He finished T4 and after making the cut at the Phoenix Open last week, he has made the weekend in all four starts as well as 13 straight going back to last season. He finished T9 at Pebble Beach in 2011 no thanks to a Sunday 75 and followed it up last year with another T9.

Tim Clark (+3,500) opened the season with a solo second at the Sony Open in Hawaii but followed that up with a missed cut at the Humana Challenge. He came back last week and was average with a T49 but he returns to the AT&T for the first time since 2010 when he finished T10 and has never been outside the top 25 when making the weekend. Injuries forced him to miss the last two years but he is healthy once again.

For a longshot we will take a look at Matt Every (+7,500). After missing the cut in his first two starts this year, he made the weekend at the Farmers and then followed that up with a T9 last week, posting a 65 and 66 along the way. He missed the cut here last year but that came after a missed cut in his previous start so the momentum is on his side here. Prior to that, he finished T31 in 2011 and T27 in 2010.

Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am - All for 1 Unit

Dustin Johnson (+800)
Hunter Mahan (+1,800)
Jimmy Walker (+3,000)
Tim Clark (+3,500)
Matt Every (+7,500)

2012 Record to date after 36 events: +51.6 Units
2013 Record to date after 5 events: +7.5 Units

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