NBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday January, 30
NBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday January, 30
By Kevin Rogers
The Wednesday NBA card is loaded with a 12-game slate as only three of the contests involve division foes. The late-night division contest takes place in the Valley between the Lakers and Suns as Steve Nash plays his first game in Phoenix since getting sent to Los Angeles in a sign-and-trade deal in the offseason. The night begins at the Barclays Center as the Nets are playing with double-revenge against the defending World Champions.
Heat at Nets
Miami was honored on Monday when it visited the White House to celebrate the franchise's second championship. The Heat continues a four-game road trip at Brooklyn, as Miami tries to rebound from Sunday's double-overtime setback at Boston. Meanwhile, the Nets attempt to beat the Heat for the first time in three tries this season after getting drilled twice in South Florida.
Both the Heat and Celtics shot 41% from the floor on Sunday, but Boston made the shots in the big moments to cool off Miami, 100-98 as 3½-point home 'dogs. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for Miami, while the Heat fell to 1-5 ATS the last six games off an ATS victory. In the two home wins over the Nets earlier this season, Erik Spoelstra's club beat Brooklyn by 30 and 13 points, as the 'under' cashed each time.
The Nets improved to 13-4 SU and 9-7-1 ATS since P.J. Carlisemo took over as head coach on December 27 with Monday's blowout of Orlando. Brooklyn has won eight straight home contests since falling to Boston on Christmas Day, while the Nets own a 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS mark as a home 'dog this season. The Nets have allowed less than 100 points in nine of the last 11 games at Barclays Center, but Brooklyn allowed an average of 102.5 points per game in the two defeats to Miami.
Bulls at Bucks
Chicago and Milwaukee hook up for the final time in the regular season as the road team has taken each of the first three matchups. The Bulls squandered a pair of home losses to the Bucks, blowing a 15+ point lead each time, while Brandon Jennings dropped 35 points on Chicago in the latest 104-96 triumph earlier this month. The Bucks return home following Tuesday's blowout of Detroit, as Milwaukee goes for its fourth cover at BMO Harris Bradley Center in five tries.
The Bulls failed to cover for the second time this season at home against the Bobcats, but Chicago avoided an upset as 13-point favorites in a 93-85 victory on Monday. Tom Thibodeau's club is rolling with wins in seven of their last nine games, while two of their previous road contests have gone to overtime. Wednesday's contest is the first of a six-game road trip for the Bulls, as Chicago heads to Brooklyn, Atlanta, and Indiana coming up.
Since losing a 16-point decision to Detroit on January 11, the Bucks have won six of seven games. Milwaukee owns a 4-6 SU/ATS record with no rest this season, while allowing at least 99 points in six consecutive home contests (5-1 to 'over'). The Bucks have struggled in the role of a home underdog, going just 1-5 SU/ATS, as the lone victory came over the Heat in late December.
Rockets at Nuggets
Denver grabbed the first two matchups of the season series in Houston, as the Rockets search for their fourth consecutive victory on Wednesday. This streaky Houston squad rebounded from a seven-game skid throughout mid-January to win four of their last five contests. However, that solitary loss in this recent stretch came to the Nuggets at the Toyota Center, a 105-95 defeat last Wednesday as three-point home favorites.
The Nuggets continue a six-game homestand following victories over the Kings and Pacers, but failed to cash as five-point 'chalk' in Monday's one-point squeaker over Indiana. George Karl's team has played to the 'over' in six consecutive games at the Pepsi Center, as Wednesday's total of 217 ½ is the highest home number the Nuggets have seen this season.
The Rockets put together their most impressive effort of the season on Monday by routing the Jazz by 45 points, 125-80 as 3½-point road 'dogs. Houston has allowed 94 points or less in four of the last six games, a major improvement after giving up at least 103 points in the five previous contests.
Lakers at Suns - 10:35 PM EST The big story heading into Wednesday's showdown will obviously center around Nash's return to the Valley after 10 seasons as the face of the Suns' organization. Phoenix has actually played some inspired basketball since the firing of head coach Alvin Gentry, as the Suns won the first two games against the Kings and Clippers. However, the Suns could only hang so long with the Spurs in a nine-point setback on Saturday, followed up by a blowout loss at Dallas. The Lakers need to continue to pile up wins after the slow start, as Los Angeles knocked off Utah and Oklahoma City at home.
Mike D'Antoni also makes his return to Phoenix, but the Lakers' head coach has already been back to U.S. Airways Center as the head man of the Knicks. Los Angeles has compiled a putrid 5-15 SU and 6-13-1 ATS record on the highway, while posting a 4-5-1 ATS mark in the away favorite role. The Lakers knocked off the Suns at Staples Center in mid-November, a 114-102 triumph that cashed the 'over' of 201. Nash missed that victory with his leg injury, but Kobe Bryant led all scorers with 31 points as the Lakers won the fourth straight home meeting with the Suns.
The Suns won both home matchups last season against the Lakers, but Bryant missed one of the games. Phoenix is riding an eight-game 'under' streak at home, while hitting the 'under' in 11 of the last 12 games at U.S. Airways Center. The Suns have been held to less than 100 points in 17 of the last 19 contests, while last topping the 100-point mark at home back on December 19 against Charlotte.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday January, 30
Heat at Nets: What Bettors Need to Know
Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets (+2, 189.5)
The Miami Heat don't have much to improve upon as they enter the second half of their season - but they'd love to be better on the road. The Heat will look to improve their record away from Miami as they visit the Brooklyn Nets in a Wednesday showdown between two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Miami is coming off a 100-98 double-overtime loss in Boston that dropped the Heat to 10-10 on the road. The Nets halted a two-game skid with a 97-77 win over Orlando on Monday.
While Miami aims to improve its fortunes on the road, the Nets will take any victory it can get against the powerhouse Heat. Brooklyn has dropped 12 consecutive games against Miami and has been outscored by 43 points in the first two meetings this season. Wednesday represents the start of a pivotal three-game stretch for the Nets, who will host the Chicago Bulls and Los Angeles Lakers on the back end of the four-game homestand. Brooklyn comes into the night three games back of Miami atop the East.
ABOUT THE HEAT (28-13, 20-21-0 ATS): Miami's three-star system occasionally becomes more of a two-man show - and head coach Eric Spoelstra would like to change that. While LeBron James and Dwyane Wade guided the offense as usual in Sunday's crushing loss to the Celtics, forward Chris Bosh was limited to three shot attempts in the second half and overtime. Bosh is the team's best shooter at 54.3 percent but is down to his fewest attempts since his rookie 2003-04 season. "He’s one of our best players, one of our best shooters ... three shots is definitely not enough for him,” James said. “We’ve got to do a better job of just trying to find him."
ABOUT THE NETS (27-18, 21-21-3 ATS): LeBron James may not have many fans in the New York area, but you can count Nets head coach P.J. Carlesimo as one of them. Carlesimo raved about James when discussing his team's chances against the powerhouse Heat. "You think how can this guy who can play the way he does and dominate, how does he keep getting better?" Carlesimo told the New York Daily News. “What fuels him is to be the best and to win, and the guys that I see that all the time with Kobe, Michael, and I see it with LeBron right now. And it’s a scary thing." James averaged 20.5 points in the first two games of the series.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Brooklyn.
* Over is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings in Brooklyn.
1. Bosh averages 12.2 shot attempts per game, well back of James (18.8) and Wade (15.3).
2. The Heat and Nets are the only two teams in the league to have three players averaging at least 17 points per game.
3. Brooklyn is 13-4 since Carlesimo took over for fired coach Avery Johnson.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday January, 30
NBA Point Spreads and Betting Guide
By: The Linemakers
There are 14 games on Wednesday night's NBA schedule, and ESPN’s doubleheader features two of the most intriguing – Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns.
The Lakers beat the Hornets on Tuesday for their third straight win, but now embark on what Sporting News’ Sean Deveney calls a make-or-break, seven-game road trip. There are only two teams among those seven that have winning records – the Nets and Heat – although next Thursday’s date in Boston won’t be easy.
L.A.’s road trip starts tonight against the Suns, with Steve Nash making his return to Phoenix. The Lakers are 2.5-point favorites.
The Lakers’ odds of making the 2013 NBA playoffs have been adjusted at the LVH SuperBook; they are now -125 favorites to get into the postseason, and +105 dogs to miss out. Last week, they were -120 to make it, +100 to miss out. Entering Wednesday night’s action, L.A. is in 10th place in the Western Conference, four games out of the No. 8 and final playoff seed.
Also tonight, the Heat make their first trip to the new Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Miami has won – and covered – the two games it has played against the Nets so far this season, both at home (102-89 as an 8-point favorite on Dec. 1; and 103-73 as a 10-point favorite on Nov. 7). Miami is a 2-point favorite tonight.
Here are some key trends and injuries to consider as you make your selections Wednesday. The lines below are from the LVH as of about 8:30 a.m. PT.
* The Lakers have covered only once in their last seven road games. The Suns have covered only once in their last five home games. The Lakers have gone OVER the total in seven of their last nine games. The Suns have stayed UNDER the total in six of their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. The Lakers and Suns have gone OVER in their last four meetings. The Lakers are 2.5-point road favorites with a total of 202.
* The Heat have covered only three of their last 10 road games. The home team has covered the last four meetings between the Heat and Nets. The Heat have gone OVER the total in five of their last seven games. The Heat are 2-point road favorites with a total of 189.5.
* The Wizards have covered seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference teams and are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The 76ers have covered only twice in their last eight games. The 76ers have also gone OVER the total in their last eight home games against a team with a road winning percentage of .400 or lower. The 76ers are -3.5 with a total of 190.5.
* The Pistons have covered five of their last six road games. The Pacers have covered seven of their last eight following a loss and have stayed UNDER the total in seven of their last eight home games. The Pacers are -8 with a total of 181.5.
* The Magic have covered eight of their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. The Knicks have covered only once in their last five home games. The Magic and Knicks have gone OVER the total in their past five meetings in New York. The Knicks are -8.5 with a total of 198.
* The Raptors have covered seven of their last 11 games following a loss. The Hawks have covered their last five games against Eastern Conference teams. The Hawks have gone OVER the total in their last four games. The road team has covered in the last four meetings between the Raptors and Hawks. The Hawks are -7 with a total of 197.
* The Kings have covered only twice in their last 13 games. The Celtics have covered only once in their last 10 games against Western Conference teams. The home team has covered the last four meetings between the Kings and Celtics. The Celtics are -7 in Boston tonight, with a total of 194.
* The Clippers have covered only once in their last six games. The T’Wolves have covered only twice in their last 10 games. The Clippers have covered their last five games in Minnesota and have stayed UNDER the total in their last four. The Clippers are 4.5-point road favorites, and the total is 190.
* The Bulls have covered only once in their last five games against Eastern Conference teams, but seven times in their last eight games in Milwaukee. The Bucks have covered five of their last six games and gone OVER the total in five straight. The Bulls are 1.5-point road favorites with a total of 191.5.
* The Bobcats are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games. The Spurs have failed to cover in their past five games against teams with a winning percentage of .400 or lower. The Spurs have stayed UNDER the total in six of their last eight home games. The Spurs are -15 with a total of 203.
* The Hornets have covered their past five road games. The Jazz have covered four straight following a loss. The Jazz have stayed UNDER the total in their last six games against Western Conference teams. The Hornets have covered four of their last five against the Jazz. The Jazz are -7.5 with a total of 189.
* The Rockets have covered only two of their last nine road games. The Nuggets have covered six of their last eight games against Western Conference teams. The Rockets have stayed UNDER the total in their last four home games, while the Nuggets have gone OVER in their last six home games. The Nuggets have covered five straight against the Rockets. The Nuggets are -4 with a total of 217.
* Magic guard Arron Afflalo (calf) missed Orlando’s last game and is questionable tonight.
* Knicks guard Jason Kidd (back) is questionable tonight.
* Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (back) missed Toronto’s last game and is questionable tonight.
* Celtics guard Rajon Rondo (ACL) is OUT for the season.
* Clippers guard Chris Paul (knee) is OUT indefinitely.
* T’Wolves forward Nikola Pekovic (thigh) has missed Minnesota’s last five games, but is probable tonight.
* T’Wolves center Kevin Love (hand) is OUT indefinitely.
* Spurs forward Tim Duncan (knee) missed San Antonio’s last game and is questionable tonight.
* Jazz forward Gordon Hayward (shoulder) missed Utah’s last game and is doubtful tonight.
* Nuggets center JaVale McGee (tibia) missed Denver’s last game and is OUT tonight.