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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday January, 25

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday January, 25

DUNKEL INDEX

Brooklyn at Memphis
The Nets look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games in Memphis. Brooklyn is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2)

Game 801-802: Minnesota at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.282; Washington 120.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-5 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: Boston at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.607; Atlanta 120.127
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5); Under

Game 805-806: Detroit at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.785; Miami 126.495
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: Milwaukee at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.313; Cleveland 110.475
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-3 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Brooklyn at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.836; Memphis 122.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Houston at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 113.604; New Orleans 123.072
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Under

Game 813-814: San Antonio at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.679; Dallas 118.489
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1 1/2); Under

Game 815-816: Golden State at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.548; Chicago 121.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by Even; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2); Over

Game 817-818: Oklahoma City at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.960; Sacramento 113.619
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-8 1/2); Under

Game 819-820: Utah at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.472; LA Lakers 118.903
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 210
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 206
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+5); Over

NCAAB

Niagara at Siena
The Saints look to bounce back from a 76-44 loss to Canisius and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU loss by more than 20 points. Siena is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Purple Eagles favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7 1/2)

Game 821-822: WI-Green Bay at WI-Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 57.774; WI-Milwaukee 49.838
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 8; 130
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 6; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-6); Over

Game 823-824: Loyola-MD at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 55.816; Manhattan 53.766
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 2; 122
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 3; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+3); Over

Game 825-826: Canisius at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.685; Rider 53.619
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 1
Vegas Line: Rider by 1
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+1)

Game 827-828: St. Peter's at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 42.746; Iona 58.639
Dunkel Line: Iona by 16
Vegas Line: Iona by 18
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+18)

Game 829-830: Niagara at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 56.422; Siena 51.413
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5
Vegas Line: Niagara by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7 1/2)

NHL

Washington at New Jersey
The Capitals look to bounce back from last night's 4-1 loss to Montreal and build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Washington is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130)

Game 1-2: NY Islanders at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.013; Boston 11.699
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+175); Over

Game 3-4: Carolina at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.722; Buffalo 11.779
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-150); Under

Game 5-6: Washington at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.013; New Jersey 10.552
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over

Game 7-8: Ottawa at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.108; Tampa Bay 11.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Under

Game 9-10: Minnesota at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.158; Detroit 11.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.354; Winnipeg 10.900
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Under

Game 13-14: Vancouver at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.321; Anaheim 10.649
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+100); Over

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Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vancouver vs. Anaheim
Pick: VancouverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Canucks will be looking for payback here, as the Ducks embarrassed them on opening night, at Vancouver.
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The Canucks got the monkey off their back with a win over Calgary on Wednesday.
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That should take the pressure off a little and give them some confidence going into this evening's "rematch."

The Canucks have been the best "regular season" team in hockey in back-to-back seasons. They've had no trouble winning away from Vancouver.
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Note that the Canucks were 39-23 (+10.3) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same stretch, they were also 25-11, after playing their previous three games at Vancouver.

Consider that the Canucks were -145 favorites the last time that they played here (Vancouver won that one by a score of 5-2) and that they've been favored every time that they've played here the last two seasons.
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We're getting them as (slight) underdogs here and I feel that's providing very fair value. Consider Vancouver.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh vs. Winnipeg
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What to expect: Marc-Andre Fleury and Ondrej Pavelec will steal the show on Friday night in the 'Peg as the Penguins and Jets are involved in a lower-scoring game than most are anticipating. The last two meetings in this series produced 13 and 12 goals, so it's no real surprise that we're being offered a plus-money return with the 'under'. However, it's also worth noting that the two meetings in Winnipeg last year totaled only three and five goals. The Penguins made it look easy in Philadelphia and New York last weekend, but ran into some trouble against Toronto last time out, falling by a 5-2 score. This isn't a team that's going to get rattled by one loss, but I do think we'll see them continue to lag a bit offensively. The Jets busted out with a four-goal performance in Washington on Tuesday, but were held to only one goal in each of their first two games. While the Pens are known for their offense, they also possess a pretty solid defensive corps, and they should bring the proper level of focus to the table after allowing five goals against the Leafs. This one goes down to the wire, and the winner tops out at three goals.
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Final verdict: Winnipeg 3 Pittsburgh 2

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh vs. Winnipeg
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I think we are getting some good value with a Pens team that is arguably the best team in the East and is hungry off a bad loss.
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The Penguins were uncharacteristically sloppy in a loss on home ice to the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Pens took eight minor penalties and left goalie Marc-Andre Fleury out to dry on a lot of opportunities. I think we see a bounce back from a Pens team that is well coached and poised to be one of the better teams in the league this year.
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A good sign for the Pens was that that superstar Sidney Crosby got on the board for his first goal and multiple points game of the year. I think he keeps it going with the already hot Malkin as line mate.

Winnipeg got its first win of the season but still are struggling at home were they have lost five in a row dating back into last season.
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The Penguins have won 12 of the last 13 meetings between these two franchises going back into the Atlanta Thrasher days.

Marc-Andre Fleury has a 12-2 record against the Jets with a 2.06 GAA all-time. Meanwhile Jets goalie Ondrej Pavelec has lost 10 of 11 starts against the Penguins and has a 6.68 GAA in those games.
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Think we are paying  a decent price here for Pittsburgh here.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit vs. Miami
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We realize the Heat aren't hitting on all cylinders these days but this finale on a two-game home stand should find them firing on all 'Pistons' as they take to the road for a tough four-game trip once this one is in the books After all, Detroit made the mistake of beating the Heat, 109-99, in the Motor City one month earlier and series history clearly suggests payback is in order as Miami is 7-1 ATS in this matchup with same-season revenge. Our database also reminds us that: defending champs with double-digit same-season loss revenge are 27-17-2 ATS when hosting an opponent off a same-season revenge contest, including 7-1 ATS when the foe is .482 or less on the season.  And with Detroit arriving off a revenger with the Bulls, those numbers apply tonight in South Beach. In fact, the Pistons are long-term losers in games after battling Chicago, logging a 36-61-1 ATS mark. Yes, it may be surprising to find us laying double-digits with a struggling team but remember: Miami is 30-6 SU and 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 home games and there's no known ointment for northern teams who develop South Beach sunburn this time of year. Simply apply more Heat and the rest is icing.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Miami.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit vs. Miami
Pick: DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit is 16-26 SU and 20-22 ATS; it's coming off an 85-82 loss at Chicago as a 6.5 point underdog on the 23rd. The loss snapped a two game win streak. The Pistons are getting solid play up and down their lineup though right now, and I believe they'll give Miami everything it can handle tonight.
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Will Bynum came off the bench to score 25 points and add 10 assists in his team's 109-99 win over the Heat on December 26th.

And note that Detroit is 10-9 ATS on the road this year, and 11-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
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Miami is 27-12 SU and 19-20 ATS; it's coming off a 123-116 OT win over Toronto as a 10 point favorite on the 23rd.

Dwayne Wade had 35 points; LeBron James had 31 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds; Ray Allen had 18 points.
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Note though that Miami is just 4-6 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The Heat have a bad habit of overlooking their competition, and are also just 17-20 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite.
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The oddsmakers are drastically underestimating this improving Pistons team, and I believe the Heat will as well; grab the points!

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Chris ElliottFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay
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The Sens are 3-0 after winning Thursday night with no time to rest at T.B. in b2b games in this one. Backup Bishop will get the start while starter Anderson has been amazing with 83 saves on 85 shots in the first 3 games. T.B. boasts 2 top notch lines up front while GM Yzerman did a tremendous job bringing in Brewer, Carle and Salo to shore up the back end. Brewer wore a "C" last season while Carle and Salo were "A"S.
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The Senators are 3-0 on the season while outscoring their opponents 11-2 in the process. They are coming off a 3-1 road victory over lowly Florida (1-3). Jason Spezza scored his first goal of the season against Florida, into an empty net to seal a tightly contested affair. G Craig Anderson has been lights out to start the season saving 83 of 85 shots to start all 3 games so far. You have to expect coach MacLean to go with backup goalie Bishop against the Lightning after back to back starts for Anderson.

The Lightning are 2-1 on the season while they are 1-0 at home, with a 6-3 victory over Washington. Tampa Bay has 2 time Maurice Richard Trophy winner in the lineup Steven Stamkos who has scored a league leading 156 goals in the past 3 seasons with perennial all star playmaker Martin St. Louis (career 852 points) making a great living setting him up. The team has an established 2nd line with veteran C Vinny Lecavalier and young winger Teddy Purcell (combined 114 points last season).
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What impresses me the most about the Lightning is what GM Steve Yzerman was able to do in the offseason, bringing in 3 top notch defensemen in Matt Carle, Eric Brewer and Sami Salo. All three players are leaders in the dressing room with Carle and Salo wearing "A"'s with Philly and Vancouver respectively while Eric Brewer was captain of the St. Louis Blues. All 3 have made tremendous contributions already to the squad.
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Take a look at the Lightning at home to get it done straight up over the Ottawa Senators.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah vs. L.A. Lakers
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My amazing run with FREE hoops plays continued on Wednesday, with another winner on the Grizzlies over the Lakers, extending the streak to a SIZZLIN' 14-1 in 2013! Those of you that have followed my free plays during that time will already know that several of those winners were bets against the Lakers.
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After watching L.A. struggle in Memphis, and hearing the post game comments from Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard, I really see no reason not to continue to fade the Lakers.
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Howard left the game against the Grizzlies with a shoulder injury, however the Lakers are now saying that he is listed as day to day, and the injury is not very serious. You might have to wonder if Howard is just sandbagging it.
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The Jazz won four of five against the Lakers in 2012, including a pair of games in Los Angeles. Utah is also playing great basketball in recent weeks, winning eight of their last 10 games overall. They have been a great bet during that time, covering the points in seven of those eight victories.
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It remains to be seen if Howard will show up to play "physically" on Friday, and even if he does, it's not likely that he will be 100% mentally. It looks like things have gone from bad to worse for the Lakers, and Howard may well be on his way out.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland Cavaliers +4½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Milwaukee Bucks are getting too much respect from oddsmakers as a 4.5-point favorite at Cleveland tonight. I'll gladly side with the value and the home underdog Cavaliers in this one.
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Cleveland has really started to play well over the past week. It has won two of its last three with a road win at Portland and a home victory over Boston. Its lone loss during this stretch came at Utah by 11, which is a tough place to play.

Milwaukee comes in overvalued due to its 3-game winning streak that has come against the likes of the struggling Suns, Blazers and 76ers. In fact, the Bucks have only beaten one team currently with a winning record in January, so they have really benefited from an easy schedule.
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The Cavaliers have outperformed the Bucks in two meetings this season. They lost at home to Milwaukee 86-90 as a 3-point dog in their first meeting on December 14th, but would get their revenge with a 94-82 road win on December 22nd as an 8-point dog.

This play falls into a system that is 59-29 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
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Milwaukee is 46-74 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996. The Bucks are 6-17 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Bet Cleveland Friday.

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Jim Feist

Minnesota Timberwolves at Washington Wizards
Pick: Washington Wizards

Washington is finally healthy and home from a nice road trip, winning at Portland and Denver as a dog. In fact, they are on a sizzling 8-0 ATS run and 10-1 ATS run, getting sparkplug guard John Wall more time each game. The Wizards are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. the Western Conference. Minnesota is banged up with injuries and the Timberwolves are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Timberwolves are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings, including 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Washington. Play Washington!

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Dave Cokin

St. Peter's at Iona
Pick: Iona

Backing big chalk is not my favorite way to play, but sometimes it simply makes sense to take the plunge and surrender a boatload of points. I'll put Friday's St. Peter's-Iona clash in that category. The Peacocks just aren't much good at all, but their best win of the season came against Iona. That means the Gaels aren't likely to simply take them for granted. In that earlier meeting, Iona had a double digit lead at the half and blew it. That should result in a little more focus over the full 40 tonight, and it gets even better with Iona coming in off a loss at Rider last time out. There's certainly no value in the number, as the same season revenge has been built in by the oddsmakers. That said, this is a legit opportunity for some serious payback, so I'll give Iona minus the points the nod tonight.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Loyola Maryland vs. Manhattan
Play: Loyola MarylandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We cashed big with Loyola earlier in the week and we will back them again here tonight as we note that they have covered 10 of the last 12 in the series with Manhattan and are a solid 28-10 vs losing teams. When they play teams that struggle to score and average 64 or less points per game they are 21-5 straight up, including a perfect 8-0 this season. When installed as a road favorite of 3 or less Loyola has won and covered 8 of 12 times. They have played well the past few years in January winning 19 of the last 24. Manhattan has lost 9 of 10 as a dog this season and have been mediocre as a home dog of 3 or less going 4-9 straight up to and to the spread. When playing winning teams they have dropped 6 of the last 7. Look for Loyola to win and cover.

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Scott SpreitzerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nets / Grizzlies Over 177.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I understand both of these teams can play a stingy brand of defensive basketball. But the total set for tonight's game is too low, simply put. Brooklyn Net games have not dipped into the 170s, as far as posted totals are concerned this entire season...not even once. And in fact, the three times the total dipped below 184, the Nets and their opponents finished Over the total all three times. Two of those games were against Indiana, the stingiest defense in the NBA in points allowed per game and the Washington Wizards, who're the league's worst offensive team. The third came against an Orlando team that's not exactly known for high scoring shootouts. Memphis heads into this one having won and covered three of their last four games. Under Lionel Hollins, the Grizzlies are 30-16 to the Over in this situation, with an average of 202 ppg scored in those contests. And Memphis will play higher scoring games against decent opposition...or against teams that will look to attack on the offensive end. We saw 199 points combined against the Lakers and recent games against San Antonio, the Clippers, and the Mavericks saw the winning side score 103, 99, and 104 ppg. I believe the total has been set too low and I'm playing the Over between the Nets & Grizzlies on Friday night.

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Memphis -4.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oddsmakers begging you to take the Red Hot Nets here, and this is totally a line play from my perspective, which means when it looks too good to be true, it ain't.  I am not drinking the kool aid here and taking the points but going against the grain alittle and taking the Grizzlies at home.  Memphis has played some great ball the last 5 and turing it around from a rough stretch, and playinmg great defense along the way.  Memphis 16-6 SU at home this year and allowing 85 ppg on defense their last 5.  I am taking the home fav here on a trap line and laying the wood on Friday Night.

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Siena +7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Let's play the nasty nasty dog here gang as the Aces will have there hands full tonight @ the Times Union Center Maac battle. These Purple  Aces are far and away a better ball club , how ever we will grab the points as the Saints will keep it close.... Power Rated @ Aces - 4 flat here gang.... Aces drilled the Saints by almost 20 less than 2 weeks ago and now a 7.5 chalk.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday January, 25

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Thunder / Kings Over 209FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The last two meetings in this series between the Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder have been very high scoring. I look for this game to play out the same way as they combine for 210-plus points with ease. Oklahoma City beat Sacramento 118-110 for 228 combined points on April 24th before also topping the Kings 113-103 for 216 combined points on December 14th in their lone meeting this season. The OVER is 13-3-1 in Kings last 17 home games. Sacramento is 8-1 to the OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams that make at least 36% of their attempts this season. The Kings are 9-1 to the OVER in home games versus good offensive teams that score at least 99 points/game over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings in Sacramento.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina +131 over BUFFALOFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Sabres are 2-1 on the year but could easily be 0-3, as they were trailing in their opener after two periods against Philadelphia and Ryan Miller bailed them out in Toronto. Last night in Carolina the roof caved in and the Sabres dropped a 6-3 decision. The venue switches tonight but the same result is likely.
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The 'Canes seemingly slow start has them undervalued so jump on now because it's not going to last long. Carolina is loaded. They're 1-2 on the year but pay no attention to that, as they ran into a couple of hot goaltenders. No team in the NHL has created more scoring chances than the Hurricanes and they finally resulted in goals last night. The flood gates may have been opened. Alexander Semin looks completely rejuvenated in his new digs. Jordan Staal is a huge talent that can only make this team better. A team that ranked 25th in the league in goals allowed last year figures to be much better with solid performers like former U.S. Olympian Tim Gleason, veteran Joni Pitkanen and perhaps the best of them all, Justin Faulk. Faulk is quickly turning into a cornerstone defender. He was a member of the NHL's all-rookie team last season and played well during the lockout for the 'Canes' AHL affiliate in Charlotte, where he was among the league-leaders among defensemen in point production. Top to bottom and including goal, this solid team has our attention, as does this price.
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NEW JERSEY -½ +113 over WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. As mentioned, fading the Capitals is paying off like a broken slot machine and last night's 4-1 loss to the Canadiens suggests it will continue. Washington is now 0-3 and each loss was worse than the last. The Caps have now allowed 15 goals while scoring just six. Therir lone and meaningless goal by Joey Crabb came with two minutes left in the game. With just one player overseas during the lockout and perhaps less pure producers (we count two) than any team in the NHL, it's no surprise that this team is so lame.
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By contrast, the Devils are playing with fire in their bellies. They're sticking to their strong defensive style, they're scoring timely goals and they continue to win. It's just two games in but New Jersey is 2-0 with wins over the Islanders and Flyers. They've scored five times while allowing just one goal. Ilya Kovalchuk is playing as well or better than any player in the league and that's been ongoing since last January. Frankly, it's hard to envision the experienced and solid Devils not going in for the kill against this wounded, hated and very beatable rival.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday January, 25

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Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Play: Cleveland CavaliersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The (22-18) Milwaukee Bucks of the Eastern Conference Central division will take on the (11-32) Cleveland Cavaliers also of the Eastern Conference Atlantic division in 2013 NBA action. The teams have met twice this season and have split, with both games going under the total. Milwaukee is on a 3 game winning streak both straight up and Against The Spread. Cleveland is 2-1 ATS their last 3 at home. Cleveland gets the home cover.

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Minnesota + over WashingtonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Wizards have played better ball of late with five wins in the last eight games, including beating winning teams with wins over Oklahoma City, Atlanta, Denver, and Portland. This is the first game back home after a long five-game west coast trip however and this will be the biggest favorite spread for the Wizards all season long. Injuries have destroyed a once promising season for Minnesota and this is a Wolves team that has lost seven of the last eight games. The schedule has been exceptionally tough in that span however. Minnesota has just a 6-15 road record on the year but Washington only has six home wins all season long. Minnesota is 6-3 ATS this season as an underdog between 6-10 points and Washington is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, now facing a pretty solid defensive team that rebounds well. Washington is connecting on less than 42 percent of its shots this season and the sterling ATS numbers for Washington in recent weeks have caught up with the team with a greatly inflated number at home Friday night. The first game back home after long travel can generally be a bad spot for teams and Minnesota should bounce back after consecutive narrow losses against quality teams.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday January, 25

Wunderdog

San Antonio at Dallas
Pick: San Antonio

Things have picked up for the Dallas Mavericks now that Dirk Nowitzki has his sea-legs back under him. The Mavericks have won five of their last six. The problem is that they are facing a better San Antonio team that is even hotter than they are, having put their last six in the win column and stand at 34-11 on the season. The Spurs may be doing it differently from the past, as they can still man-up on "D," but the offense is much better, and despite the absence of Tim Duncan there are a lot of answers on the floor. The Spurs own a 40-19-4 ATS mark following a win, and the Mavs have had few answers against them, as San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. Dallas. Take San Antonio.

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