Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

New Mexico State/ Denver Over 114.5: (Added) Ok here we have a Denver team, who's games average 118.1 ppg and on the other side we have a New Mexico State team, who's games have averaged 132.6 ppg on the year. Both of those numbers are higher than tonight's total and if we middle them we get a total of 125.3 ppg. Denver comes in allowing 48.8 ppg in their last 5 games, but none of those teams were good offensive teams, like the one they will face tonight. The Aggies have averaged 72.9 ppg and have shot an impressive 51.9% at home on the year. I do not see them being held in the 50's in this one. At home the Aggies have allowed just 58.3 ppg and Denver scores just 57 ppg on the road, but I feel that Denver can reach the 60's as well. Denver's offense has picked up of late as they have averaged 67 ppg on 51.1% shooting in their last 5 games, while the Aggies have allowed 64.9 ppg (regulation) in their last 8 games overall. Clearly I expect both teams to hit the 60's here as this game puts up at least 125 points.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Washington State +11 over OREGON: In their first 5 conference games the Ducks have taken on OSU, both Arizona squads (at home) and USC and UCLA on the road. Yes they won all 5, but now must come home and face a lowly Washington State squad that is just 1-4 in the conference. I smell a letdown here.  I just can't see Oregon getting too excited about this one, especially with Washington on deck. WSU is just 1-4 in the conference, but just one of those losses were by double digits and they have been outscored by just 5.6 ppg in Pac-12 play this year. This really looks like a flat spot for Oregon and that should allow the Cougars to keep this one i single digits.


Duke/ Miami Over 130: Would have been nice to get this a bit earlier at 128, but I still expect 135+ points in this one. Miami's ACC games have averaged just 114.5 ppg, but a closer look shows that 3 of those games were vs BC, Maryland and Georgia Tech, which are 3 of the slowest paced teams in the conference. They did have a game vs Carolina, in which just 127 points were scored, but that is an inconsistent Carolina squad and not the same as in years past. Duke is one of the better teams in the ACC and their offense has been solid all year, averaging 78.7 ppg overall and 76 ppg on the road, while not being held to less than 67 points all year. Duke's defense has been solid this year, but mostly at home as they allowed 84 points in their lone true road game and have allowed 67 ppg in ALL games away from home this year.  Miami should also hit the 65 point mark here, as they come in averaging 73 ppg on their home floor. Miami games have gone 0-10-1 to the under this year, but  feel that ends tonight as his game hits at least 135 points.


Florida/ Georgia Over 120:  The Over is 8-1-1 the last 10 in this series. Earlier when these teams met there were 121 points scored and i feel we can get a few more out of this one. The Gators are playing at such a high level right now especially defensively, but still they do allow 53.8 ppg on the road this year and just 2 of their last 10 games put up less than 120 points and one of those was 119 vs FSU. Florida allowed Georgia just 44 points in the first meeting, but the Bulldogs have scored 63.3 ppg in their 3 games since that game and they have averaged 63.6 ppg at home. Have to believe that the Dawgs can notch 53 or 54 in this in this one. That would be golden cause I really don't see Florida scoring less than 70 in this one. Florida put up 77 points in the first meeting and they average 71.8 ppg on the road, plus they will be taking on a Bulldog tea that has allowed 72 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games and 3 of their last 4 vs the SEC. I clearly expect 125+ points to be scored in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Steve Merril

Washington vs. Utah
Pick: Washington

We’ll take the points with the confident underdog as they take this game right down to the wire.

Washington is playing terrific basketball right now; the Wizards have won five of their last seven games and they’ve also covered the pointspread in eleven of their last fourteen ballgames.  John Wall’s presence on the court just makes this team a whole lot better; he returned for the Wizards 93-83 win over Atlanta last Saturday night.  Washington also has defensive stopper Trevor Ariza and Nene back on the court which makes them a complete team on both ends of the court.  “It completely changes the dynamics of this team,” Martell Webster said.  Washington is 2-2 SU on their current 5-game road trip, but their two losses have come by a combined 8 points.

Utah is also playing well right now; the Jazz have won 3 consecutive games and five of their last six games overall.  But their momentum has been interrupted since they’ve had a full three days off since playing their last game.  While the rest is nice, it’s also a negative when a team is in good rhythm which Utah was in.  The Jazz also have a bigger game on deck in Los Angeles against the Lakers so they may be peeking ahead a bit to that game.  We’ll take the points with the confident underdog as they take this game right down to the wire.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Jesse Schule

L.A. Lakers vs. Memphis
Pick: Memphis

Now an UNBELIEVABLE 13-1 with complimentary hoops plays in 2013! I will test that record with another FREE play on the Grizz tonight. The Lakers will come into Memphis tonight with a 5-14 record on the road this season, taking on the best defensive team in the NBA.

The Grizz boast an impressive home record of 15-6 in Memphis, but they have lost two of their last three at home. One of those losses was against the Clippers, and the other was an 82-81 loss to Indiana.

L.A. has lost six straight road games, and it seems almost mind-boggling that they are only a slight underdog here in this game. The Grizz have won and covered in each of the last two meetings with L.A. The Lakers haven't been a good bet when they have played the Grizz in recent seasons, with a record of 6-13 ATS in their last 19 meetings.

The Lakers are 1-10 against teams with a winning record away from home this year, yet they are getting just a couple of points against one of the best teams in the Western Conference.

Dwight Howard is already starting to speak out, saying he isn't happy in L.A., this is something we have heard before from Howard, who cried like a baby because he wanted out of Orlando for the past two seasons. Kobe is starting to question his teammates as well as his coach, saying: "We're going to have to look at some things," he said. "We're going to have to change something. Probably going to have to post the ball a lot more, slow the game down a lot more. That's just my intuition, but that's my gut right now."

The bottom line is, the Lakers simply aren't a good team, and yet the public is still backing them. They are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and I think they are going to continue to struggle in Memphis tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Kyle Hunter

South Florida +5½

The South Florida Bulls are good at staying in the game because of their style of play. South Florida slows the game down in a big way, and the Bulls play very good defense as well. Seton Hall is a young team and I don't expect them to handle the defensive pressure from USF very well. I'll take the points with the more experienced and better defensive team here. Take USF.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 23

Charlie Scott

Colorado State vs. New Mexico
Play: New Mexico   

Time to come back to reallity for Colorado St players and fans. Colorado St is coming off One of their biggest wins ever, a 66-61 win vs UNLV at Moby arena Saturday. Meanwhile New Mexico has had a week off to prepare and rest. New Mexico's Home Court (Pit) will be loud and as Rebel fans know, the Pit Home court advantage isn't just about the noice level, but always seems to brings some "Home Cooking" calls from the officials.

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